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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm Posts: 20711 Location: West Chester, Pennsylvania
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July 22-24 Predictions
Nope- 59m
Everything else will hold well.
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Fri Jul 15, 2022 3:28 pm |
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Shack
Devil's Advocate
Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2005 2:30 am Posts: 39098
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Re: July 22-24 Predictions
Nope flops
_________________Shack’s top 50 tv shows - viewtopic.php?f=8&t=90227
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Fri Jul 15, 2022 3:46 pm |
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Chippy
KJ's Leading Pundit
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 4:45 pm Posts: 63026 Location: Tonight... YOU!
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Re: July 22-24 Predictions
Nope should hit $50 mil OW.
_________________trixster wrote: shut the fuck up zwackerm, you're out of your fucking element trixster wrote: chippy is correct
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Fri Jul 15, 2022 5:01 pm |
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Thegun
On autopilot for the summer
Joined: Thu Oct 21, 2004 10:14 pm Posts: 21777 Location: Walking around somewhere
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Re: July 22-24 Predictions
I don’t know, Nope’s marketing has been very weird. It really isn’t selling what genre it is except that it’s from Peele. I can definitely see this being his Lady in the Water. But we’ll see how big his name is with this one
_________________Chippy wrote: As always, fuck Thegun. Chippy wrote: I want to live vicariously through you, Thegun!
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Fri Jul 15, 2022 7:16 pm |
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Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am Posts: 34989 Location: Minnesota
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Re: July 22-24 Predictions
Hopefully Nope gets rave reviews because buzz feels almost non-existent. If reviews aren't great it's screwed.
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Fri Jul 15, 2022 7:39 pm |
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Flava'd vs The World
The Kramer
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 11:36 am Posts: 24442 Location: Classified
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Re: July 22-24 Predictions
Incredibly hard to predict. Drawing power for directors is so very inconsistent. It feels alot like Tenet and we never got to find out how that would have done in "normal" market conditions.
Black Phone has definitely shown the appetitie for a big horror though. And the three leads are as hot as they'll ever be. The market has been mostly friendly to non-Disney films all summer. There's a lot going for and against the movie. Good/bad reviews will probably make a huge difference, but what if its just like a 70 on metacritic? That doesn't help or hurt at all.
I really really hope Nope does well though. Otherwise Netflix is just gonna corner the market for the "let the directors do whatever they want" type of film and we still need those on the big screen.
I'm gonna predict $40/$100M. Disappointing compared to Us and Get Out, but still decent.
_________________ Kamala 24-32
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Sat Jul 16, 2022 1:34 pm |
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publicenemy#1
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am Posts: 19201 Location: San Diego
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Re: July 22-24 Predictions
Yeah I'm starting to think Nope isn't gonna do huge numbers but hopefully it'll still do like $45m or so. I think the premise just isn't as appealing as Us or Get Out but hopefully people show up.
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Sat Jul 16, 2022 1:39 pm |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 67688
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Re: July 22-24 Predictions
lol, as if critics would ever criticise a Jordan Peele film. They even gave Candyman 84% certified fresh, and that was a piece of shit. It is tantamount to career suicide these days to be critical of a black filmmaker.
_________________STOP UIGHUR GENOCIDE IN XINJIANG FIGHT FOR TAIWAN INDEPENDENCE FREE TIBET LIBERATE HONG KONG BOYCOTT MADE IN CHINA
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Sat Jul 16, 2022 8:44 pm |
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lilmac
Veteran
Joined: Wed May 25, 2005 12:07 am Posts: 3179
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Re: July 22-24 Predictions
Nope - $48m
_________________ I believe in God as I believe that the sun has risen: not only because I see it, but because by it I see everything else.
I was blind, but now I see.
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Sat Jul 16, 2022 8:48 pm |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 67688
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Re: July 22-24 Predictions
Top Gun: Maverick is now up to 52 days over $1 million, which is equal to The Avengers. It would need its largest Sun-Mon decline ever to miss the $1 million mark coming off a Sunday of $3.8 million, so it's pretty much guaranteed it will reach 54 days with the usual Tuesday bump, which equals Shrek 2. I feel it might fall short of reaching The Phantom Menace by two days.
101 Titanic 80 Avatar 61 The Phantom Menace 54 Shrek 2 52 Top Gun: Maverick 52 Black Panther 52 The Avengers 52 Incredibles 2 45 The Force Awakens 45 Avengers: Infinity War 45 Jurassic World 40 The Dark Knight 38 Avengers: Endgame 38 Spider-Man: No Way Home
_________________STOP UIGHUR GENOCIDE IN XINJIANG FIGHT FOR TAIWAN INDEPENDENCE FREE TIBET LIBERATE HONG KONG BOYCOTT MADE IN CHINA
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Tue Jul 19, 2022 5:57 am |
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Rev
Romosexual!
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 3:06 am Posts: 32380 Location: the last free city
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Re: July 22-24 Predictions
NOPE - 65m
_________________ Is it 2024 yet?
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Tue Jul 19, 2022 10:41 am |
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neo_wolf
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Oct 17, 2004 10:19 pm Posts: 10968
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Re: July 22-24 Predictions
Where are the reviews for Nope?
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Wed Jul 20, 2022 10:19 am |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 67688
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Re: July 22-24 Predictions
I'm guessing the embargo, particularly for a film of this nature, will be as late as possible.
_________________STOP UIGHUR GENOCIDE IN XINJIANG FIGHT FOR TAIWAN INDEPENDENCE FREE TIBET LIBERATE HONG KONG BOYCOTT MADE IN CHINA
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Wed Jul 20, 2022 10:23 am |
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Shack
Devil's Advocate
Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2005 2:30 am Posts: 39098
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Re: July 22-24 Predictions
I agree Nope will get good reviews and they are likely trying to keep the movie a mystery
_________________Shack’s top 50 tv shows - viewtopic.php?f=8&t=90227
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Wed Jul 20, 2022 10:31 am |
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O
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Jul 10, 2005 1:53 pm Posts: 11851
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Re: July 22-24 Predictions
Nope $82M
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Wed Jul 20, 2022 12:12 pm |
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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm Posts: 20711 Location: West Chester, Pennsylvania
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Re: July 22-24 Predictions
Starts with 70 on MC. Seems like it will get an RT score in the low 80s high 70s
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Wed Jul 20, 2022 12:18 pm |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 67688
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Re: July 22-24 Predictions
It's at 90% on Rotten Tomatoes after 60 reviews, but no actual written reviews are posted.
_________________STOP UIGHUR GENOCIDE IN XINJIANG FIGHT FOR TAIWAN INDEPENDENCE FREE TIBET LIBERATE HONG KONG BOYCOTT MADE IN CHINA
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Wed Jul 20, 2022 12:51 pm |
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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm Posts: 20711 Location: West Chester, Pennsylvania
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Re: July 22-24 Predictions
Where the Crawdads Sing is doing well on the weekdays. Considering the first Tuesday grosses have been about equal to the second friday grosses lately, thinking a sub 40% drop for it this upcoming weekend
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Wed Jul 20, 2022 12:53 pm |
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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm Posts: 20711 Location: West Chester, Pennsylvania
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Re: July 22-24 Predictions
Sounds like it will be much more crowd pleasing than Us from the reviews. Hope it can be leggy through August
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Wed Jul 20, 2022 3:28 pm |
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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm Posts: 20711 Location: West Chester, Pennsylvania
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Re: July 22-24 Predictions
How are presales?
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Thu Jul 21, 2022 1:10 pm |
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Flava'd vs The World
The Kramer
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 11:36 am Posts: 24442 Location: Classified
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Re: July 22-24 Predictions
Shows around here looks about 40-50% full, but I could help with that by switching my Friday ticket to Thursday.
_________________ Kamala 24-32
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Thu Jul 21, 2022 2:05 pm |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 67688
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Re: July 22-24 Predictions
Maverick is still in over 3,000 theatres in its ninth weekend.
_________________STOP UIGHUR GENOCIDE IN XINJIANG FIGHT FOR TAIWAN INDEPENDENCE FREE TIBET LIBERATE HONG KONG BOYCOTT MADE IN CHINA
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Thu Jul 21, 2022 9:51 pm |
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Keyser Söze
Quality is a great business plan
Joined: Wed Sep 05, 2007 9:21 pm Posts: 6444
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Re: July 22-24 Predictions
zwackerm wrote: How are presales? not great. Looking like 6m previews and mid 40s OW. Let us hope it goes higher.
_________________ The world is all about mind and matter, I don't mind and U don't matter
I used to be shawman.
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Thu Jul 21, 2022 9:58 pm |
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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm Posts: 20711 Location: West Chester, Pennsylvania
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Re: July 22-24 Predictions
Keyser Söze wrote: zwackerm wrote: How are presales? not great. Looking like 6m previews and mid 40s OW. Let us hope it goes higher. Wouldn't be bad, just not a breakout. Hopefully WOM can at least propel it over 50.
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Thu Jul 21, 2022 10:02 pm |
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rftapeout
Speed Racer
Joined: Wed Dec 18, 2019 4:20 pm Posts: 103
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Re: July 22-24 Predictions
So Deadline says $6.4 million Thursday preview sales for Nope. Nope's opening weekend could be 6.4 + 15 + 17 +12 = $50.4 million.
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Fri Jul 22, 2022 12:07 pm |
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