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publicenemy#1
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am Posts: 18932 Location: San Diego
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Weekend Estimates
Snake Eyes - 13.35m
Oof. I don't think this would've done more than $25m in regular times so oh well.
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Sun Jul 25, 2021 10:38 am |
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publicenemy#1
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am Posts: 18932 Location: San Diego
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Re: Weekend Estimates
Old - 16.5m
Honestly ok opening. Don't really see it having any staying power though, expecting total in the 40s.
55% drop for Black Widow, 69% drop for Space Jam. Awful.
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Sun Jul 25, 2021 11:12 am |
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Magnus
KJ's Most Embarssing Misspeller
Joined: Mon Oct 10, 2005 4:20 pm Posts: 106 Location: The District
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Re: Weekend Estimates
bad, bad weekend.
Old opening is really not good given how likely bad its legs will be. I don't see it breaking 40m total.
Snake Eyes is one of the most pointless IP productions ever and deserves its failure. Henry Goluding is the British/Asian version of Armie Hammer (minus the cannibalism i hope).
The holdovers outside of F9 are all bad. Black Widow is not going to break 180m which means it won't be beating Ant Man. I honestly wonder if the film would have actually done well in normal times in 2020. It very likely would have easily fallen below 275m which would have shocked all of us.
_________________MadGez wrote: Listen to Magnus he knows his shit. Darth Indiana Bond wrote: Magnus is right trixster wrote: magnus is my hero Loyal wrote: Dr. Lecter wrote: Magnus is the fucking voice of reason. That's scary. zwackerm wrote: You're incredibly overrated and and if they made a Pixar film about you it would gross less than The Good Dinosaur.
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Sun Jul 25, 2021 12:08 pm |
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Flava'd vs The World
The Kramer
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 11:36 am Posts: 23908 Location: Classified
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Re: Weekend Estimates
Eh as the first MCU property since Far From Home (Wandavision wouldn’t have premiered yet), it likely would have opened to $125M. In a pretty weak May (F9, Scoob, Spiral, Spongebob, Artemis Fowl…) that should be more than good enough to get $300M.
If we’re thinking this way, the entire last summer could have been a disaster even without covid. We know WW84 had bad wom. We know Tenet was too confusing for many to even bother with. We know In the Heights had very little mainstream appeal. Soul would have needed to save the entire summer.
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Sun Jul 25, 2021 12:17 pm |
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Flava'd vs The World
The Kramer
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 11:36 am Posts: 23908 Location: Classified
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Re: Weekend Estimates
Also, Old’s gross is shit, yet still the highest an original film has opened since 1917…
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Sun Jul 25, 2021 12:19 pm |
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Magnus
KJ's Most Embarssing Misspeller
Joined: Mon Oct 10, 2005 4:20 pm Posts: 106 Location: The District
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Re: Weekend Estimates
Flava'd vs The World wrote: If we’re thinking this way, the entire last summer could have been a disaster even without covid. We know WW84 had bad wom. We know Tenet was too confusing for many to even bother with. We know In the Heights had very little mainstream appeal. Soul would have needed to save the entire summer. i think we all were very worried about last summer pre COVID and rightfully so. It was a very open summer because there was no sure-fire mega-blockbuster. BW and WW84 had the biggest potential but neither were locks for 350m (and likely wouldn't have done it). The whole year had a very 2014 vibe to it (which was not a good year at the box office). I think a big problem with the way things have gone this year is that we are trying to get audiences to come back to the theaters with a very mediocre crop of films. If COVID happen a year earlier, I think we'd see a way different reaction when the films that try to lure people back into theaters are Endgame, Lion King, TS4, Frozen 2, Spider-Man, etc.
_________________MadGez wrote: Listen to Magnus he knows his shit. Darth Indiana Bond wrote: Magnus is right trixster wrote: magnus is my hero Loyal wrote: Dr. Lecter wrote: Magnus is the fucking voice of reason. That's scary. zwackerm wrote: You're incredibly overrated and and if they made a Pixar film about you it would gross less than The Good Dinosaur.
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Sun Jul 25, 2021 12:30 pm |
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publicenemy#1
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am Posts: 18932 Location: San Diego
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Re: Weekend Estimates
Black Widow isn't gonna go pass 400m WW if China doesn't releae it or it does slim pickings there. Embarassing but hopefully this looks more like a loss to Disney if they didn't make enough from PA.
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Sun Jul 25, 2021 12:45 pm |
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Magnus
KJ's Most Embarssing Misspeller
Joined: Mon Oct 10, 2005 4:20 pm Posts: 106 Location: The District
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Re: Weekend Estimates
BW lack of success really doesn't mean much to Disney IMO. The film isn't important setting up anything really for Phase 4.
I think Shang-Chi and Eternals bombing would be way bigger deal cause they're all supposed to be new heroes that will be vital to the new stories moving forward.
_________________MadGez wrote: Listen to Magnus he knows his shit. Darth Indiana Bond wrote: Magnus is right trixster wrote: magnus is my hero Loyal wrote: Dr. Lecter wrote: Magnus is the fucking voice of reason. That's scary. zwackerm wrote: You're incredibly overrated and and if they made a Pixar film about you it would gross less than The Good Dinosaur.
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Sun Jul 25, 2021 12:52 pm |
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Excel
Superfreak
Joined: Sat Aug 20, 2005 12:54 am Posts: 21929 Location: Places
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Re: Weekend Estimates
Marvel is def. feeling some over exposure it seems. Disney+ isn't helping with this, either.
_________________Ari Emmanuel wrote: I'd rather marry lindsay Lohan than represent Mel Gibson.
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Sun Jul 25, 2021 12:56 pm |
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Barrabás
llegó a la casa vía marítima
Joined: Sun Aug 05, 2007 4:53 pm Posts: 6161 Location: la gran casa de la esquina
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Re: Weekend Estimates
Shyamalan back to being panned and flopping
I guess his comeback only lasted The Visit/Split because Glass was a mess.
_________________ .
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Tue Jul 27, 2021 2:46 am |
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mark66
Extraordinary
Joined: Thu Dec 15, 2005 2:41 pm Posts: 13042 Location: Augsburg (2,038 years young)
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Re: Weekend Estimates
Barrabás wrote: Shyamalan back to being panned and flopping
I guess his comeback only lasted The Visit/Split because Glass was a mess. Shyamalan is an excellent director, but as a screenwriter he is hit or miss - he needs (screenwriting) help...
_________________ Nothing Compares 2 U
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Tue Jul 27, 2021 7:17 am |
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Mau
100% That Bitch
Joined: Wed Dec 17, 2008 3:42 pm Posts: 16901 Location: Monterrey, Mexico
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Re: Weekend Estimates
Looks liek Delta is about to make box office go to sleep
_________________ Tongue Pop!
I kneel with Magnus.
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Tue Jul 27, 2021 7:48 am |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm Posts: 36923
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Re: Weekend Estimates
Mau wrote: Looks liek Delta is about to make box office go to sleep Ugh it was just getting interesting....
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Tue Jul 27, 2021 7:49 am |
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Rolling Thunder
Forum General
Joined: Fri Nov 19, 2004 12:11 pm Posts: 9148 Location: Kentucky Bluegrass
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Re: Weekend Estimates
Mau wrote: Looks liek Delta is about to make box office go to sleep At the risk of sounding conspiracy theory-ish, didn't this supposed Delta variant come out of nowhere? Just when things were returning to normal...
_________________ Making Predictions Great Again!
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Tue Jul 27, 2021 10:05 am |
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mark66
Extraordinary
Joined: Thu Dec 15, 2005 2:41 pm Posts: 13042 Location: Augsburg (2,038 years young)
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Re: Weekend Estimates
Not really, Delta started its world tour in India some months ago, went to the UK and spreaded everywhere later...
_________________ Nothing Compares 2 U
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Tue Jul 27, 2021 10:32 am |
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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm Posts: 20418 Location: Where they shot Knock at the Cabin
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Re: Weekend Estimates
Delta is having a miniscule effect on box office as of now. We'll see if breakthrough infections start killing people at a high rate, they currently are not
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Tue Jul 27, 2021 10:37 am |
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publicenemy#1
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am Posts: 18932 Location: San Diego
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Re: Weekend Estimates
Forever Purge is having a good run. 3.5+ multiplier and not that bad a drop from the last film.
F9 late legs are decent. May not hit 2.5 multiplier/175m but it's run has been ok.
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Tue Jul 27, 2021 4:13 pm |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm Posts: 36923
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Re: Weekend Estimates
Aside from Friday Snake Eyes hasn't held on to #2 position. I feel BW's weekday numbers are stronger in comparison to weekend it wouldn't have reached $150m mark without those weekdays.
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Tue Jul 27, 2021 6:46 pm |
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Barrabás
llegó a la casa vía marítima
Joined: Sun Aug 05, 2007 4:53 pm Posts: 6161 Location: la gran casa de la esquina
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Re: Weekend Estimates
Rolling Thunder wrote: Mau wrote: Looks liek Delta is about to make box office go to sleep At the risk of sounding conspiracy theory-ish, didn't this supposed Delta variant come out of nowhere? Just when things were returning to normal... Viruses mutate, that's normal. When they really fucked up was at the very start. If the whole world had acted like Australia and completely shut their borders, it could've been over quickly. But no, flights kept coming in worldwide and here we are.
_________________ .
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Wed Jul 28, 2021 1:07 am |
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