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publicenemy#1
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am Posts: 18929 Location: San Diego
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July 23-25 predictions
I'm thinking...
Snake Eyes - 15 Old - 25
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Sat Jul 17, 2021 10:34 am |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm Posts: 36923
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Re: July 23-25 predictions
Old - $35m Snake eyes - $20m
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Sat Jul 17, 2021 10:49 am |
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mark66
Extraordinary
Joined: Thu Dec 15, 2005 2:41 pm Posts: 13041 Location: Augsburg (2,038 years young)
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Re: July 23-25 predictions
With Shyamalan you never know how the movie turned out - if OLD is a stinker, 50 % of its weekend gross could come from Friday (i.P.)...
_________________ Nothing Compares 2 U
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Sat Jul 17, 2021 10:57 am |
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O
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Jul 10, 2005 1:53 pm Posts: 11601
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Re: July 23-25 predictions
mark66 wrote: With Shyamalan you never know how the movie turned out - if OLD is a stinker, 50 % of its weekend gross could come from Friday (i.P.)... At the same time, it's a wide open summer with so few films that if it was ever a breakout hit, there's always a slim chance of a late summer sleeper. The market is completely ripe for it.
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Sat Jul 17, 2021 11:22 am |
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mark66
Extraordinary
Joined: Thu Dec 15, 2005 2:41 pm Posts: 13041 Location: Augsburg (2,038 years young)
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Re: July 23-25 predictions
Well, I'm rooting for OLD to be a great movie with great legs...
_________________ Nothing Compares 2 U
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Sat Jul 17, 2021 12:17 pm |
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Excel
Superfreak
Joined: Sat Aug 20, 2005 12:54 am Posts: 21910 Location: Places
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Re: July 23-25 predictions
Something will break out, it has too...
_________________Ari Emmanuel wrote: I'd rather marry lindsay Lohan than represent Mel Gibson.
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Sat Jul 17, 2021 6:34 pm |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm Posts: 36923
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Re: July 23-25 predictions
Excel wrote: Something will break out, it has too... Otherwise Excel will break out on WB for not releasing Batman
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Sat Jul 17, 2021 7:34 pm |
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Flava'd vs The World
The Kramer
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 11:36 am Posts: 23902 Location: Classified
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Re: July 23-25 predictions
Big money incoming. $40M+
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Sat Jul 17, 2021 8:41 pm |
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MadGez
Dont Mess with the Gez
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 9:54 am Posts: 22727 Location: Melbourne Australia
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Re: July 23-25 predictions
Old is primed to break out. But it does needs solid reviews and WOM.
_________________
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Sun Jul 18, 2021 11:29 pm |
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Keyser Söze
Quality is a great business plan
Joined: Wed Sep 05, 2007 9:21 pm Posts: 6196
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Re: July 23-25 predictions
Interesting to see so many predicting Old to breakout. So far it has shown no signs. Release so far look small and PS is almost non existent. Unlike SJ2 last week which clearly showed signs of breakout. I think 15m OW at best but I hope I am wrong and this has crazy good walkups to take it lot higher.
_________________ The world is all about mind and matter, I don't mind and U don't matter
I used to be shawman.
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Mon Jul 19, 2021 10:33 pm |
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bl1222
Veteran
Joined: Sun Sep 18, 2005 8:36 pm Posts: 3900
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Re: July 23-25 predictions
Old - $15M Snake Eyes - $13M
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Tue Jul 20, 2021 10:40 am |
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pro1986
The Incredible Hulk
Joined: Wed Sep 02, 2009 7:28 am Posts: 502
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Re: July 23-25 predictions
Industry tracking from Variety: Snake Eyes $15-16m Old $12-15m They expect Space Jam to keep hold of #1 with just a 45-50% drop
Presales are very weak for both new openers
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Wed Jul 21, 2021 11:27 am |
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publicenemy#1
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am Posts: 18929 Location: San Diego
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Re: July 23-25 predictions
Lol whut
Space Jam almost certainly will not be #1 unless both Old and Snake Eyes go below $15m. Don't think so. Even if Space Jam is a "family" movie I think it'll drop 55%+.
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Wed Jul 21, 2021 11:33 am |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm Posts: 36923
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Re: July 23-25 predictions
Yeah Space Jam will not hold onto #1. There's no way it will have that many audience still clamouring to see it.
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Wed Jul 21, 2021 11:37 am |
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Rolling Thunder
Forum General
Joined: Fri Nov 19, 2004 12:11 pm Posts: 9148 Location: Kentucky Bluegrass
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Re: July 23-25 predictions
_________________ Making Predictions Great Again!
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Wed Jul 21, 2021 3:51 pm |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm Posts: 36923
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Re: July 23-25 predictions
pro1986 posted variety numbers few posts above. I am still surprised that Old is tracking that bad, thought it would do well enough for $30m OW with a chance for $40m
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Wed Jul 21, 2021 7:47 pm |
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pro1986
The Incredible Hulk
Joined: Wed Sep 02, 2009 7:28 am Posts: 502
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Re: July 23-25 predictions
Old might just be a walk up kind of film. Tomorrow previews numbers should tell us much more.
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Wed Jul 21, 2021 7:58 pm |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm Posts: 36923
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Re: July 23-25 predictions
Yes I'm hoping for that still the genre is more presales heavy so it's concerning.
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Wed Jul 21, 2021 8:00 pm |
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Keyser Söze
Quality is a great business plan
Joined: Wed Sep 05, 2007 9:21 pm Posts: 6196
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Re: July 23-25 predictions
I am confident 30m is impossible. Its release is small and it has negligible presales. I think Snake eyes will have slightly bigger OW but one of the holdovers could win the weekend depending on how low things go. Black Widow should have better hold than Space Jam as 2nd weekend holds have not been great and Space Jam OW was very front loaded.
_________________ The world is all about mind and matter, I don't mind and U don't matter
I used to be shawman.
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Wed Jul 21, 2021 11:17 pm |
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publicenemy#1
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am Posts: 18929 Location: San Diego
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Re: July 23-25 predictions
I'm gonna revise my predictions to Snake Eyes does 17 and Old does 15. I'd like both to open over 20m but eh.
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Wed Jul 21, 2021 11:28 pm |
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Flava'd vs The World
The Kramer
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 11:36 am Posts: 23902 Location: Classified
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Re: July 23-25 predictions
Old had a 73 on meta 15 minutes ago but is down to 61 now. Someone important really didn’t like it. If Old doe open that low what does it mean for the overall box office? Was I (and a few others) just completely wrong about its appeal, or are audiences only willing to come out for the safe, major franchise event blockbusters? In the Heights is holding Old’s hand right now, whispering encouragement.
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Thu Jul 22, 2021 12:44 pm |
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letsmaybeLP92
Angels & Demons
Joined: Sat Apr 03, 2021 8:40 pm Posts: 201
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Re: July 23-25 predictions
I did like Old but I see the turn off by critics (or rather the disappointment comparatively speaking)
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Thu Jul 22, 2021 12:47 pm |
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bl1222
Veteran
Joined: Sun Sep 18, 2005 8:36 pm Posts: 3900
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Re: July 23-25 predictions
Final Predictions: Old - $20M Snake Eyes - $15M
Space Jam 2 - 62% drop Black Widow - 44% drop
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Thu Jul 22, 2021 4:45 pm |
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publicenemy#1
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am Posts: 18929 Location: San Diego
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Re: July 23-25 predictions
In my area both Old and Snake Eyes look to be doing ok. Hopefully both do over $1.4m in previews.
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Thu Jul 22, 2021 4:54 pm |
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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm Posts: 20409 Location: Where they shot Knock at the Cabin
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Re: July 23-25 predictions
Old needed great reviews to break out. I have confidence that films people want to see will do well going forward.
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Thu Jul 22, 2021 5:00 pm |
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