Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 11:36 am Posts: 23908 Location: Classified
F9: Over/Under $70M Opening
Quiet and Cruella combined for about $69M (hehe). Can Fast top them both? I say yes.
Sun May 30, 2021 2:01 pm
publicenemy#1
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am Posts: 18932 Location: San Diego
Re: F9: Over/Under $70M Opening
I'm thinking an opening in the 70s sounds about right so over.
Sun May 30, 2021 2:09 pm
zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm Posts: 20418 Location: Where they shot Knock at the Cabin
Re: F9: Over/Under $70M Opening
I think box office will be almost normal by then. So a natural decline from F8 would be in store. Over under 70m sounds right.
Sun May 30, 2021 2:20 pm
JustLurking
Wall-E
Joined: Wed Sep 30, 2020 1:44 pm Posts: 876
Re: F9: Over/Under $70M Opening
Over.
Sun May 30, 2021 4:12 pm
Thegun
On autopilot for the summer
Joined: Thu Oct 21, 2004 10:14 pm Posts: 21654 Location: Walking around somewhere
Re: F9: Over/Under $70M Opening
It can honestly go either way. Sub 55 or 80+, I wonder if it already being available to view on every website will also play into a movie being a month out from release. You know one film is going to be a casualty of the pandemic business. Black Widow is avoiding any type of leak so far and is an original marvel movie coming out and Loki will be finishing up by then, so it's prospects are looking really good. Pre Pandemic I thought this was looking to do sub Hobbs and Shaw but the delay will probably help a lot.
70 is a very safe bet, but I'll say lower, lowest opening of the series since F4.
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Sun May 30, 2021 4:13 pm
Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm Posts: 36923
Re: F9: Over/Under $70M Opening
Under $70m I do not think it's appeal or WoM will be as big.
We'll make this a prediction thread. Final predictions: OW: $62M Total: $140M
Sat Jun 19, 2021 5:45 pm
Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm Posts: 36923
Re: F9: Over/Under $70M Opening
The market is ripe for a breakout I think will cross $70m mark because the last few weeks have been pathetic.
Sat Jun 19, 2021 5:49 pm
mark66
Extraordinary
Joined: Thu Dec 15, 2005 2:41 pm Posts: 13042 Location: Augsburg (2,038 years young)
Re: F9: Over/Under $70M Opening
I'm afraid $60m will be a struggle...
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Sun Jun 20, 2021 5:00 am
Thegun
On autopilot for the summer
Joined: Thu Oct 21, 2004 10:14 pm Posts: 21654 Location: Walking around somewhere
Re: F9: Over/Under $70M Opening
The movie has been readily available online for over a month. I think if not for that horrible release rollout, it’d be the movie to do it. But definitely not.
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Sun Jun 20, 2021 11:31 am
Flava'd vs The World
The Kramer
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 11:36 am Posts: 23908 Location: Classified
Re: F9: Over/Under $70M Opening
Yeah I am a lot less confident in this than a month ago. Seems like the overseas release muted the hype. My prediction is around $55M right now, but we still have a few days to go!
Sun Jun 20, 2021 3:04 pm
publicenemy#1
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am Posts: 18932 Location: San Diego
Re: F9: Over/Under $70M Opening
The meltdown Vin Diesel will have if this (... and probably will) finishes below Hobbs and Shaw.
Sun Jun 20, 2021 4:55 pm
lilmac
Veteran
Joined: Wed May 25, 2005 12:07 am Posts: 3134
Re: F9: Over/Under $70M Opening
The domestic market is primed for a blockbuster release
My prediction: $71M OW
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Sun Jun 20, 2021 9:20 pm
Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm Posts: 36923
Re: F9: Over/Under $70M Opening
publicenemy#1 wrote:
The meltdown Vin Diesel will have if this (... and probably will) finishes below Hobbs and Shaw.
WW its pretty much a guarantee now with China not increasing much from H&S and its pretty much a guarantee to go down in other Asian/EU markets from H&S. Domestically if F9 opens to $70m it has a chance to top H&S otherwise I don't see how it will have enough staying power to get past $173m.
Sun Jun 20, 2021 9:29 pm
Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm Posts: 36923
Re: F9: Over/Under $70M Opening
lilmac wrote:
The domestic market is primed for a blockbuster release
My prediction: $71M OW
I have the same sense the market is so down from last two weeks that F9 will benefit and outreach expectations to do $70m+ but crash and burn afterwards.
Sun Jun 20, 2021 9:34 pm
Flava'd vs The World
The Kramer
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 11:36 am Posts: 23908 Location: Classified
Re: F9: Over/Under $70M Opening
The 720 showing at my theater has only two seats presold! The 7pm is about half full. Doesn’t look like any social distancing anymore.
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