Rise of Skywalker - 90

3-day of 8.5-10m for Cats, 5.5-7.5m for Bombshell

I would be so happy if Bombshell beat Cats for the weekend.

Go Frozen.

It’s been nice all week seeing it gain on Jumanji. If it really gets 14m, it could get another 100m from now. So looking at 475m, maybe more.

It's okay... at least above some $170m disaster scenario.

I predicted $185m in the OW cash giveaway game!! yay!!

So it's seeing a similar drop form TJL as that saw from TFA.

Also lmao Cats is a DISASTER. Now I understand why the Globes ignored it.

Someone at BOT said 3.2 and with many schools out it shouldn't get the same Sat increase this week, so it doesn't look to get 14m.

Cats - 2.62

Yikes.

Over at BOT Charlie is projecting either a small dip or increase from True Friday for Saturday. If that's the case 180 won't happen. Eep.

Also the film got a B+ on Cinemascore, the worst a Star Wars film has gotten.

The real winner this weekend is Knives Out. It lost only 33% from last Friday despite losing more than 1/4 of its theaters. Looks like it will hold very well for the rest of its run and should beat Ford v. Ferrari.

It would be so awesome if Frozen 2 was able to beat Skywalker domestically. Although it will face Spies in Disguise and Little Women, I don't think they will do enough damage to ruin its chances for $500m. I think Skywalker could miss $500m due to its mixed WOM if its frontloaded this weekend.

Cats would be lucky to get to $50m even with the holiday boost. Jumanji 3 (Next Level) held well considering it lost every single of its premium screens. $300m isn't impossible.

If Saturday is deflated I'm gonna guess:

90
49.5
39.6 (20% drop)
$179.1m.

Last Jedi legs would get it to $501m. So if this happens Frozen does have a shot at beating it lol

So basically what I told everyone about Star Wars before the anomaly that was DA FORCE AWAKENS has turned out to be true...

Can we call this a disappointment already

The final Star Wars struggling to do half of the current opening weekend record is obviously disappointing

This is kinda giving me Pirates 3 vibes.

That's a bit of a bummer. The movie doesn't really deserve any more, but I think the opening is more reflective of the last one than the current.

I was rooting for Cats to do decently, but after listening to the soundtrack yesterday, I'm fine with it disappointing.

I figured the music and songs would still be great, but that wasn't to be as they really sucked the life out of the vast majority of the soundtrack. They dropped the ball on almost every single song in this rendition... There's no reason to see Cats if the music isn't good, so...

If TROS goes sub $180M that would be pretty disappointing. I hope its closer to 190, but honestly anything under $200M just isn't all that impressive either way for a Star Wars finale IMO. Cats being a huge flop is not surprising in the least. No matter how popular the Broadway play is never looked appealing and ever since that first trailer it seemed as if they didn't even know who to market it towards. Those terrible reviews were the final nail in the coffin too.

Taylor Swift’s Beautiful Ghosts is really good though.

If that’s the case it proves what I was saying about holiday deflation and the preview/OW ratio. ROTS had a good preview/OD ratio compared to TLJ, but only because more schools were out. Still expecting holidays will take it to 525 or more.

On BOT Charlie and Rth numbers are pointing towards a $47-$48M Saturday which would mean a OW in the high 170's.

Damn. It's going to miss my $185m prediction.

$483,266,126 is the adjusted level of Ep. 2. May end up there.

Wait sub $500M is actually possible even with the holidays in effect? If that shit happens than I don't see how anyone can spin this being anything other than a disaster.