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Barrabás
llegó a la casa vía marítima
Joined: Sun Aug 05, 2007 4:53 pm Posts: 6330 Location: la gran casa de la esquina
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 TROS UNDER Rogue One *adjusted* OW club | Flop
I called Solo going under $100M OW so let me try it again.
I'm just not feeling the hype. I know it's "the end of the saga" except we all know it's not. Disney is also flooding the market with Star Wars content right now with The Mandalorian, making this seem less of an event.
I'm happy to be proven wrong but I really don't think people care enough about Rey and Adam Driver. Even Padme and Anakin felt more iconic at this point. Padme also had that amazing all-white catsuit that almost made me straight for a second. What iconic look does Ray have? How would you even dress as her for Halloween? It may sound dumb but after $3 billion in WW grosses if you don't have a Halloween outfit how much impact is your franchise actually making? My point is that those two films sold off of nostalgia for original Star Wars. Now everyone is dead/killed off. They're really trying hard with Lando and Palpatine but those are side characters.
I see this going under Rogue One's unadjusted 3-day OW of $155M. I also see it going under its DOM total and WW total tbh
UPDATE: In a desperate attempt to attract members, this club is moving its goalposts to Rogue One's adjusted OW of $162M.
Members:
- Me
*tumbleweeds*
_________________ .
Last edited by Barrabás on Fri Dec 20, 2019 2:28 am, edited 6 times in total.
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Sat Nov 23, 2019 4:21 pm |
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publicenemy#1
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am Posts: 19444 Location: San Diego
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 Re: Star Wars: TROS Under Rogue One OW club
I've seen people dress up as Rey for Halloween. TFA outfit is recognizable.
I could see the opening dip below 200m but I'm gonna say no. I think as we get closer to release the hype will build and ticket sales seem solid.
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Sat Nov 23, 2019 4:43 pm |
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Keyser Söze
Quality is a great business plan
Joined: Wed Sep 05, 2007 9:21 pm Posts: 6782
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 Re: Star Wars: TROS Under Rogue One OW club
This club is retarded. It has way bigger PS than Rogue One. I am tracking 2 big MTC and interest is definitely there. I think it will open > 200m for sure. Will fine tune close to release once I have final PS numbers.
_________________ The world is all about mind and matter, I don't mind and U don't matter
I used to be shawman.
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Sat Nov 23, 2019 4:51 pm |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm Posts: 36949
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 Re: Star Wars: TROS Under Rogue One OW club
I think this will stay below $200m but it surely won't go below $180m OW. So OUT.
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Sat Nov 23, 2019 10:12 pm |
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Mau
100% That Bitch
Joined: Wed Dec 17, 2008 3:42 pm Posts: 16923 Location: Monterrey, Mexico
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 Re: Star Wars: TROS Under Rogue One OW club
I'm eating your cum if this happens
_________________ Tongue Pop!
I kneel with Magnus.
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Sat Nov 23, 2019 10:40 pm |
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publicenemy#1
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am Posts: 19444 Location: San Diego
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 Re: Star Wars: TROS Under Rogue One OW club
Mau wrote: I'm eating your cum if this happens ... so you want this to happen 
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Sat Nov 23, 2019 10:52 pm |
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SolC9
Forum General
Joined: Fri Jun 24, 2005 11:11 pm Posts: 7196 Location: Wisconsin
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 Re: Star Wars: TROS Under Rogue One OW club
Out.
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Sun Nov 24, 2019 1:23 am |
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Dil
Forum General
Joined: Wed Oct 28, 2009 9:48 pm Posts: 8942 Location: Houston, Texas
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 Re: Star Wars: TROS Under Rogue One OW club
Nah now it could go sub $200M, but below RO's $150M OW is just too low. I'm definitely OUT on this one.
Last edited by Dil on Sun Nov 24, 2019 1:33 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Sun Nov 24, 2019 1:31 am |
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Flava'd vs The World
The Kramer
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 11:36 am Posts: 25427 Location: Classified
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 Re: Star Wars: TROS Under Rogue One OW club
I find your lack of faith disturbing.
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Sun Nov 24, 2019 1:32 am |
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Thegun
On autopilot for the summer
Joined: Thu Oct 21, 2004 10:14 pm Posts: 21895 Location: Walking around somewhere
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 Re: Star Wars: TROS Under Rogue One OW club
Still see 100+OD so no.
_________________ Chippy wrote: As always, fuck Thegun. Chippy wrote: I want to live vicariously through you, Thegun!
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Sun Nov 24, 2019 1:45 am |
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Shack
Devil's Advocate
Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2005 2:30 am Posts: 40586
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 Re: Star Wars: TROS Under Rogue One OW club
This would be a pathetic opening
The Mandalorian may be flooding the market with Star Wars material... But it's also the most positive people have talked about Star Wars in a while. So I guess that helps a little.
_________________Shack’s top 50 tv shows - viewtopic.php?f=8&t=90227
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Sun Nov 24, 2019 12:04 pm |
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Excel
Superfreak
Joined: Sat Aug 20, 2005 12:54 am Posts: 22210 Location: Places
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 Re: Star Wars: TROS Under Rogue One OW club
No way on Earth. Though SW saturation isn't helping. Not is it feels much too soon for Kyle/Rey's story to end
_________________Ari Emmanuel wrote: I'd rather marry lindsay Lohan than represent Mel Gibson.
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Sun Nov 24, 2019 2:09 pm |
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DP07
The Thirteenth Floor
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:26 am Posts: 15571 Location: Everywhere
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 Re: Star Wars: TROS Under Rogue One OW club
I’m tempted to join, but this might be too far.
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Mon Nov 25, 2019 2:43 pm |
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DP07
The Thirteenth Floor
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:26 am Posts: 15571 Location: Everywhere
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 Re: Star Wars: TROS Under Rogue One OW club
Heh. I’m not sure Last Jedi’s reception was as bad as people make it out to be. Could still retain just enough audience.
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Mon Nov 25, 2019 3:19 pm |
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DP07
The Thirteenth Floor
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:26 am Posts: 15571 Location: Everywhere
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 Re: Star Wars: TROS Under Rogue One OW club
DP07 wrote: Heh. I’m not sure Last Jedi’s reception was as bad as people make it out to be. Could still retain just enough audience. What the hell...Even if I'm not sure and even if I'm wrong, it's more fun to be on the other side, so I'll predict 530m.
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Tue Nov 26, 2019 1:25 am |
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MadGez
Dont Mess with the Gez
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 9:54 am Posts: 23385 Location: Melbourne Australia
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 Re: Star Wars: TROS Under Rogue One OW club
The length of this film has been confirmed at 141 minutes.
Its the 3rd longest of the SW films.
For comparison:
“Star Wars: Episode IV – A New Hope” – 121 Minutes
“Star Wars: Episode V – The Empire Strikes Back” – 124 Minutes
“Star Wars: Episode VI – Return of the Jedi” – 131 Minutes
“Star Wars: Episode I – The Phantom Menace” – 136 Minutes
“Star Wars: Episode II – Attack of the Clones” – 142 Minutes
“Star Wars: Episode III – Revenge of the Sith” – 140 Minutes
“Star Wars: Episode VII – The Force Awakens” – 138 Minutes
“Rogue One: A Star Wars Story” – 133 Minutes
“Star Wars: Episode VIII – The Last Jedi” – 152 Minutes
“Solo: A Star Wars Story” – 135 Minutes
“Star Wars Episode IX – The Rise of Skywalker” – 141 Minutes
_________________
What's your favourite movie summer? Let us know @
http://worldofkj.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=2&t=85934
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Tue Nov 26, 2019 6:46 am |
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Rev
Romosexual!
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 3:06 am Posts: 32625 Location: the last free city
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 Re: Star Wars: TROS Under Rogue One OW club
TROS is a guaranteed 200m + OW. GUARANTEED!
_________________ Is it 2028 yet?
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Tue Nov 26, 2019 1:25 pm |
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Barrabás
llegó a la casa vía marítima
Joined: Sun Aug 05, 2007 4:53 pm Posts: 6330 Location: la gran casa de la esquina
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 Re: Star Wars: TROS Under Rogue One OW club
We're eight days away from release, still time to join!
I'm going to cut this off by the end of Sunday. After that I feel like reviews will start coming in.
_________________ .
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Thu Dec 12, 2019 11:40 pm |
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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm Posts: 21591 Location: West Chester, Pennsylvania
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 Re: Rise of Skywalker UNDER Rogue One OW club | Closes Sunda
Out
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Thu Dec 12, 2019 11:49 pm |
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stuffp
Keeping it Light
Joined: Wed Apr 08, 2015 8:06 am Posts: 11642 Location: Bright Falls
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 Re: Rise of Skywalker UNDER Rogue One OW club | Closes Sunda
Out
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Fri Dec 13, 2019 12:49 am |
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publicenemy#1
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am Posts: 19444 Location: San Diego
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 Re: Rise of Skywalker UNDER Rogue One OW club | Closes Sunda
Nah.
If reception is anywhere bad it may go under total.
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Fri Dec 13, 2019 1:18 am |
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Barrabás
llegó a la casa vía marítima
Joined: Sun Aug 05, 2007 4:53 pm Posts: 6330 Location: la gran casa de la esquina
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 Re: Rise of Skywalker UNDER Rogue One OW club | Closes Sunda
How much does Rogue One OW adjust to? May as well make it about ticket sales if no one wants to join for unadjusted OW lol
_________________ .
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Fri Dec 13, 2019 2:30 am |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm Posts: 36949
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 Re: Rise of Skywalker UNDER Rogue One OW club | Closes Sunda
I believe RO's inflation adjusted opening will be close to $162m which will still be too far IMO. Maybe 5-day vs 3-day should be good which would mean over/under $190,260,809.
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Fri Dec 13, 2019 3:26 am |
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Dil
Forum General
Joined: Wed Oct 28, 2009 9:48 pm Posts: 8942 Location: Houston, Texas
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 Re: Rise of Skywalker UNDER Rogue One OW club | Closes Sunda
Yeah I have to agree with Magnus. I still don't see it opening under $160M, but man as far as RO domestic total goes it could end up being really close which is something I wasn't entirely convinced was going to happen at first, although I did have a funny feeling about this movie suffering for the sins of both TLJ and Solo.
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Fri Dec 13, 2019 1:49 pm |
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DP07
The Thirteenth Floor
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:26 am Posts: 15571 Location: Everywhere
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 Re: Rise of Skywalker UNDER Rogue One OW club | Closes Sunda
Definitely not expecting a 200m opening even if previews are 50m. Even if it has a huge 2nd week drop for the date, it probably won’t be more than 50%. Opening on the 20th has to deflate the opening somewhat. It’s not going to get a multiplier under 3 and will probably still get 3.5. This club is possible, but previews will probably be too high.
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Fri Dec 13, 2019 5:09 pm |
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