It's a Republican witch hunt. The hypocrisy knows no bounds.

I expect this will have minimal, if any, impact. For one thing, early voting has begun and in record numbers. And at this point you're on board with sending a vote Hillary's way or you're not, let's be real.

Yeah, anyone who cares about this nonexistent "scandal" is already not voting for Hillary. It won't change anything.

It is good that it involves (tiny) Weiner, who will take some of the beat of Hillary.

Why would he take heat? He's not relevant and his career is already dead.

zwackerm - Rooting for the country's failure since 2016!

Dumbass.

Simply minded dumb people will not be channeling all their negative feelings towards hillary but to their memories of that loser

Most of those people, at least the ones who are politically minded, are Trump supporters and will definitely be channeling all their negative feelings towards Hillary. Not that they weren't already, but nothing will go towards Weiner.

What if Trump did a good job? I am sure you'd still vote against him. I know I would.

Hillary has lost her lead in Florida. Fucking moron, arrogant Democrats.

"Oh, but look - they are only down by 3 in Texas! Things are going great!"

Good lord. If Trump wins because of the sheer arrogance of her campaign, IDK what to say other than Colin Powell killed it when he said she/her people fuck up everything with hubris.

This is the map I keep coming back to. Wouldn't be surprised at all if the blue states here are all that she wins.

That would still give her the win Excel

The early voting helps convince me that it's too hard for Trump to win now, just beating her on election day isn't enough

There is not an ounce of logic behind deploying resources to Arizona, Texas, Utah, Georgia, etc when you are tied or BEHIND in 1) much more important, and 2) more competitive, stages of Florida and Ohio.

Puzzling allocation of resources which is only explainable through Dems absurd arrogance. This is not Barack Obama.

Excel, no offense, but you need to leave this polling analysis to the big boys. You don't really seem to get it.

Florida is going to be close, no bones about it. But Trump is not simply "ahead" there. He is ahead in a couple of polls, and Hillary is ahead in other polls. The margins are very close between them. What will make the difference there is likely the ground game.

Hillary also doesn't "need" Florida to win. It's a must win at all costs for Trump, as are North Carolina and Pennsylvania. Both of which he is significantly behind in.

There will always be polls that vary from the norm, which is why you should do what Nate Silver does -- average them out, weighing them accordingly based on their prior predictive powers and then use a bunch of math I don't understand.

Using that tells us that Hillary has been ahead in Florida pretty much most of this election cycle. And she currently has a 59% chance of winning the state.

http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/201 ... t/florida/

What?

I don't care about "must wins' for Trump if he is setting himself to win them...

Realistically there's no reason to think the popular vote winner won't win the election after it's happened once since 1888 and cause the Bushes cheated. The national poll average has to be 5 points+ wrong for Trump to have a chance and good luck with that

I just told you he's not setting himself to win them. He is behind in North Carolina and Pennsylvania. He cannot win the election without winning both of those states, even if he wins Florida, Ohio, Iowa, Arizona, Utah, etc, etc, etc. The electoral path does not add up.

Johnson is just sooo wacky.

He is making progress in both. Hillary can put the whole thing away by taking Florida where she did basically live this weekend. Puny crowds though...enthusiasm gap between die hard supporters is real.

What? This is a stupid post. IF Trump won, and IF he did a good job, why would I not want him re-elected? Besides being a disgusting piece of human trash?

Right now Hillary is qualified for the job, Trump is not. If she did a bad job, I would not vote for her again. But at least there is evidence she is capable of doing the job.

There's a report surfacing that the FBI concluded Russia is trying to undermine the election but Comey thought it was too close to the election to say so.

http://www.cnbc.com/2016/10/31/fbis-com ... ource.html



So that's not OK to share because it's too close to the election but causing a totally unsubstantiated ruckus with the email nonsense is? OK, Comey. Makes perfect sense. Dude is not keeping his job much longer.

Also, there's a new NBC/Survey Monkey poll which literally shows no difference in polling after Comey's letter:

weeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeee

8 days

I've accepted that Trump stands a real shot to win. He will be the most vulnerable incumbent in history barring an epic first term.

African American and Millennial early voting in Florida is WAY down from 2012.

http://www.politico.com/states/florida/ ... lls-106931

Summon the fucking busses! Where is this "ground game"? Probably in Arizona. The fucking fools running her show think Barack Obama is on the ticket. They think this is 2012 and there is serious enthusiasm for their candidate among those voter demographics. So. Fucking. Dumb. Picking Kaine over Warren or Booker is looking like a major mistake.

Given all of her advantages, I would go as far as to say this is one of the worst national campaigns I can personally recall. She is doing so little with so much.

She has massive cash advantages, inherited enormous infrastructure from Obama campaigns, good will with independents from Obama Presidency, had one of the greatest conventions in history and the most dominant 3 debate performance on record.

But here she is, tanking in the polls yet again. Trump looks likely to win in Ohio, Florida is 50/50 at best and leaning his way, the gaps are shrinking in NC and Colorado, and Trump unquestionably has all the momentum.

DH Hillary supporters should be fucking terrified right now. All of this data is NOT good.