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Cady
Waitress in LA
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 7:20 am
Posts: 23
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 Predict The Grudge's total Now that we see it's going to do at least 35+ this weekend, and it shouldn't drop TOO hard next weekend since it's Halloween, what all do you expect this to do?
I think about... 95. It'll do just under a 100, sadly. I think it'll have a very steep third weekend drop, and just keep on dropping from there.
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| Sat Oct 23, 2004 5:17 pm |
 
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lyndenfl
Newbie
Joined: Fri Oct 22, 2004 2:29 am
Posts: 9
Location: Florida
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$90 million
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| Sat Oct 23, 2004 5:33 pm |
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DP07
The Thirteenth Floor
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:26 am
Posts: 15539
Location: Everywhere
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Re: Predict The Grudge's total Cady wrote: Now that we see it's going to do at least 35+ this weekend, and it shouldn't drop TOO hard next weekend since it's Halloween, what all do you expect this to do?
I think about... 95. It'll do just under a 100, sadly. I think it'll have a very steep third weekend drop, and just keep on dropping from there. I'd give it 117m. There are not too many examples them, but PG-13 horror films seem to hold up better then their R rated counterparts.
However, I think that while wom is mixed, there is more good then bad. And the good wom is is great from some calling it the scariest movie in years. I would expect a multiplier of at least 2.5 without holloween. With it, I believe it will get at least 2.7.
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| Sat Oct 23, 2004 5:42 pm |
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MGKC
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Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 10:42 pm
Posts: 11808
Location: Kansas City, Kansas
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Scary Movie 3 didn't drop too hard on Halloween, but look at its legs... I see about the same for this.
$88 million tops.
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| Sat Oct 23, 2004 5:57 pm |
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DP07
The Thirteenth Floor
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:26 am
Posts: 15539
Location: Everywhere
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micasey300 wrote: Scary Movie 3 didn't drop too hard on Halloween, but look at its legs... I see about the same for this.
$88 million tops. um...Scary Movie 3 was down 58% in its second week.
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| Sat Oct 23, 2004 6:01 pm |
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MGKC
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Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 10:42 pm
Posts: 11808
Location: Kansas City, Kansas
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DP07 wrote: micasey300 wrote: Scary Movie 3 didn't drop too hard on Halloween, but look at its legs... I see about the same for this.
$88 million tops. um...Scary Movie 3 was down 58% in its second week. Oh, I thought it dropped 54%. I had just looked at that page awhile back...
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| Sat Oct 23, 2004 6:03 pm |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm
Posts: 92093
Location: Bonn, Germany
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Halloween will help, but SAW will hit it hard as well as bad WoM...
I say...
$98 million
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| Sat Oct 23, 2004 7:16 pm |
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publicenemy#1
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am
Posts: 19399
Location: San Diego
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87-92 million.
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| Sat Oct 23, 2004 10:34 pm |
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zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm
Posts: 36662
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$105 million
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| Sat Oct 23, 2004 10:34 pm |
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jb007
Veteran
Joined: Sun Oct 17, 2004 1:47 pm
Posts: 3917
Location: Las Vegas
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According to some people this is the scariest movie ever.
This weekend it will do 39 mil.
Weekend of 10/29 is Halloween, it should rise and make 49
Weekend of 11/5 is the weekend after Halloween, So 38 mil.
Weekend of 11/12 is 2nd weekend after Halloween, So 37 mil.
So on and so forth, by the end of this year The Grudge would have passed Titanic as the biggest domestic grosser of all time.
Go Grudge Go 
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| Sun Oct 24, 2004 12:40 am |
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Stillnasatic
Speed Racer
Joined: Mon Oct 18, 2004 12:17 am
Posts: 142
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102 million
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| Sun Oct 24, 2004 12:55 am |
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Kris K
Horror Hound
Joined: Thu Oct 21, 2004 1:44 pm
Posts: 6228
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I rekon around $85M.....hopefully, though, moving on to a possible $100M finish.
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| Sun Oct 24, 2004 7:10 am |
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neo_wolf
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Oct 17, 2004 10:19 pm
Posts: 11029
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70mill.
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| Sun Oct 24, 2004 10:28 am |
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Moviebuf
Angels & Demons
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 6:44 pm
Posts: 270
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I really hope you aren't serious.
By some of the predicitons on this thread I can't tell whether people are being serious or not.
I don't think any movie has ever had under a 2 multiplier, and you don't see many with under a 2.5 multiplier.
So I would see at the least 100 million for The Grudge.
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| Mon Oct 25, 2004 1:47 am |
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zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm
Posts: 36662
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Guys, even AVP managed to get over a 2.0x multiplier. Hell, Resident Evil got more than 2.0x. The Grudge cannot get any lower than 2.3-2.4x. I think somewhere around 2.5-2.6x sounds right. The legs won't be awful, because it obviously wasn't as frontloaded as we though. Plus, next week is Halloween, so it will have an okay hold.
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| Mon Oct 25, 2004 6:23 am |
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Kris K
Horror Hound
Joined: Thu Oct 21, 2004 1:44 pm
Posts: 6228
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Hopefully it's drop next weekend will be under 55%!
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| Mon Oct 25, 2004 7:16 am |
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DP07
The Thirteenth Floor
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:26 am
Posts: 15539
Location: Everywhere
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With the estimate I'll lower my prediction slightly to 113m.
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| Mon Oct 25, 2004 7:20 am |
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Jeff
Christian's #1 Fan
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 8:25 pm
Posts: 28110
Location: Awaiting my fate
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I predict a 40% drop next weekend, slightly lower than a typical horror film due to the holiday.
It should finish with between $110-$125 million.
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| Mon Oct 25, 2004 2:51 pm |
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matatonio
Teh Mexican
Joined: Fri Oct 15, 2004 11:56 pm
Posts: 26066
Location: In good ol' Mexico
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it probably be short of the $100M
im saying $95M
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| Mon Oct 25, 2004 3:00 pm |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm
Posts: 68294
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$113 Million 
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| Mon Oct 25, 2004 3:48 pm |
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DP07
The Thirteenth Floor
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:26 am
Posts: 15539
Location: Everywhere
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Now 110m. Still a solid multiplier of over 2.8.
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| Mon Oct 25, 2004 7:02 pm |
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Maximus
Hot Fuss
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 10:46 am
Posts: 8427
Location: floridaaa
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105ish
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| Mon Oct 25, 2004 7:13 pm |
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Jeff
Christian's #1 Fan
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 8:25 pm
Posts: 28110
Location: Awaiting my fate
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Well, it didn't quite hit $40 million over the weekend, so it won't be the first film with a $40 million opening weekend to not hit $100 million.
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| Mon Oct 25, 2004 10:05 pm |
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DP07
The Thirteenth Floor
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:26 am
Posts: 15539
Location: Everywhere
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I'll now go with 107.5m. I expect the multiplier from this point on to be about 2.7.
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| Mon Nov 01, 2004 9:56 pm |
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matatonio
Teh Mexican
Joined: Fri Oct 15, 2004 11:56 pm
Posts: 26066
Location: In good ol' Mexico
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i guess i have to change my prediction then....its doing very good!
$110M
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| Mon Nov 01, 2004 9:59 pm |
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