Good news for TDKR considering the trailer is attached.

avengers is clearly more family friendly than TDKR. TDKR will be more appealing to older crowds, though. But both have mass appeal to both sides. I too expect the dailies to give TDKR the victory in domestic total, but opening weekend will quite the battle.

Midnights, screen count, and pre sales all need to be pumped to the absolute max.

Excel I don't like this scared version of you man da fuck up

It's to be expected, he's a fan of the wimp in tights.

Looks like some of us are breaking their faith and losing their hope

A Fire will Rise Bitches!

With a 4% increase from TDK every year, this would land at 25.43M tickets. That would be just around 215M.

Goddamn Right!!!!

This thread will be the most exciting for the rest of this summer.


This is definitely the biggest question now. And I'm sure everyone at WB is racing to figure out how to guarantee TDKR the record.


I think the film needs a $20-30m bigger Friday as a cushion because Avengers' Sat and esp. Sunday were just out of this world.

So $100-110m opening day.

It is incredible that this film is truly going to be billed as one of the most anticipated moves ever, yet it may not have the highest opening weekend of it's summer. Seriously, is it too late to convert some of it to 3-D? I havent lost faith, I am just not as confident as i was a week ago. 207 is enormous; i was thinking my 200 prediction was slightly optimistic.

Convert the damn thing to 3-D, get it on 14,000 screens, and boost the shit out of midnights, and 250+ million opening weekend fo sho.

Indeed, and I don't think it's unreasonable to think most, if not all of that cushion will come from midnights (though I personally feel Rises can get ~$65m in day business on Friday, too) Demand is going to be extremely high for them; those IMAX midnight showings that went on sale a few months ago sold out immediately.

I'm really curious if this can reclaim the Sunday record too. If Avengers can drop 18% in May, a <5% decline could be in store for Rises if the film itself really delivers.

I've been out of the box office loops for a good while now, so I don't know much about how midnights have been doing.

What's the record? Is it Harry Potter?


Can TDKR realistically get $50-60m in midnights? $50m I think will give it the record. $40m and who knows.

Btw, I can't believe I'm typing these numbers. What the fuck is going on with this year? Crazy.

Yeah, contrary to everyone else, TA's OW has boosted my confidence for TDKR, not diminished it. Sunday record is definitely within the realm of possibility

Psh, fuck it. I bet Nolan knew all along this would happen. Soon enough, the Dark Knight will RISE to the top of the record books! When TDKR smokes the Avengers by a good 15 million, without 3-D, everybody here will go banasas!

Midnights: 50 million
Friday: 60 million:
Saturday: 65 million
Sunday: 55 million
opening weekend: 230 million.

Yes, there is a storm coming, indeed.



When your records are in ASHES, you will have my permission to die.

The record is currently $43.5m held by Deathly Hallows 2, the last two Twilight films have also gotten >$30m. Here is the list of midnights: http://worldofkj.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=12&t=63396

It really depends on how many theaters give it midnights. 4,200+ could be enough to beat Potter.

And this year has been crazy since the goddamn beginning, when The Devil Inside exploded.

Oh wow, Harry managed $43.5m? Fucking insane. Haha.


Well, if WB wants the record, they have to go all out on midnights.


I think we must assume minimum $50m in midnights for TDKR for the record. My sense is, midnights + Friday day gross = half of weekend total.

With TDK drops

30,0M Midnight
64.5M Friday
62.6M Saturday (-2.9%)
57.3M Sunday (-8.5%)

214.4M OW

HP had 3-D and 3 AM showing included.

TDK dropped 29% on Saturday, m05.

Dropped 2.9% from Friday without midnights. I always split Friday and Midnights in my breakdowns

i think Nolan better go into the archives and add the joker in somehow lol

Sorry, my bad.


Though TDKR is not going to follow the same trajectory, I expect it to be more front-loaded, more so the higher the midnights.

Yeah, I think so as well. Though to be fair, the drop from Friday + Midnights to Saturday is -33.7%, which is a tad bit larger. And with a Saturday that big, the Sunday drop will be softened.

What would be the max drops?


Take a $100m opening day, incl. midnights. 40% off Sat, 15% off Sun, that gives it a $211m opening.


Keep going back to that $100m opening day.

I'm not certain about a $100 million OD. If it does that, I see it breaking or coming near 220M for the weekend.

Nor do I see over 35M for midnights