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 derby scores w/ proj... 
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Indiana Jones IV

Joined: Sat Jan 29, 2005 3:47 pm
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Post derby scores w/ proj...
Projections, not the scores, are going to be all over the place...so should be interesting... :-k


Sat Feb 19, 2005 1:32 pm
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Draughty

Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:23 am
Posts: 13347
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You didn't post a score or even projections.....lol.


Sat Feb 19, 2005 1:51 pm
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Teh Mexican
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Joined: Fri Oct 15, 2004 11:56 pm
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well im starting! :smile:

Constantine - (25.2 / 36) -- Accuracy: 70.00%
Hitch - (31.6 / 35) -- Accuracy: 90.29%
Because of Winn-Dixie - (10.2 / 15) -- Accuracy: 68.00%
Son of the Mask - (11.1 / 9) -- Accuracy: 76.67%
Million Dollar Baby - (7 / 8.5) -- Accuracy: 82.35%
Are We There Yet? - (8 / 8) -- Accuracy: 100.00%
Boogeyman - (6.9 / 7.5) -- Accuracy: 92.00%
Sideways - (4.1 / 4) -- Accuracy: 97.50%
The Aviator - (4.6 / 4) -- Accuracy: 85.00%
Pooh's Heffalump Movie - (4.7 / 3.9) -- Accuracy: 79.49%

OVERALL ESTIMATE ACCURACY: 84.13%

New Release: 71.56%
Still in Theater: 89.52%

compared to the last two weeks, im OK, but still good.......i think.....


Sat Feb 19, 2005 1:56 pm
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Cream of the Crop
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I have 84.15% with the BOF projections.

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Sat Feb 19, 2005 1:58 pm
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Cream of the Crop

Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:35 pm
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Actuals will be different, but nevertheless here we go:

Derby:

Constantine - (27 / 36) -- Accuracy: 75.00%
Hitch - (30 / 35) -- Accuracy: 85.71%
Because of Winn-Dixie - (12.2 / 15) -- Accuracy: 81.33%
Son of the Mask - (8.5 / 9) -- Accuracy: 94.44%
Million Dollar Baby - (8.5 / 8.5) -- Accuracy: 100.00%
Are We There Yet? - (7.5 / 8) -- Accuracy: 93.75%
Boogeyman - (6.2 / 7.5) -- Accuracy: 82.67%
Sideways - (4.2 / 4) -- Accuracy: 95.00%
The Aviator - (4.5 / 4) -- Accuracy: 87.50%
Pooh's Heffalump Movie - (5.0 / 3.9) -- Accuracy: 71.79%

OVERALL ESTIMATE ACCURACY: 86.72%

New Release: 83.59%
Still in Theater: 88.06%


UC6: 89.14%


Sat Feb 19, 2005 2:03 pm
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College Boy Z

Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm
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Constantine - (29.8 / 36) -- Accuracy: 82.78%
Hitch - (30.8 / 35) -- Accuracy: 88.00%
Because of Winn-Dixie - (10.6 / 15) -- Accuracy: 70.67%
Son of the Mask - (11.5 / 9) -- Accuracy: 72.22%
Million Dollar Baby - (7 / 8.5) -- Accuracy: 82.35%
Are We There Yet? - (6.8 / 8) -- Accuracy: 85.00%
Boogeyman - (6.2 / 7.5) -- Accuracy: 82.67%
Sideways - (4.4 / 4) -- Accuracy: 90.00%
The Aviator - (4.4 / 4) -- Accuracy: 90.00%
Pooh's Heffalump Movie - (4.5 / 3.9) -- Accuracy: 84.62%

OVERALL ESTIMATE ACCURACY: 82.83%

New Release: 75.22%
Still in Theater: 86.09%

I underpredicted every damn movie, so I'm glad I didn't enter the derby this week. :razz:


Sat Feb 19, 2005 2:30 pm
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Indiana Jones IV

Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 8:41 pm
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Not a big fan of these projections... Aviator, Sideways will be higher and Boogeyman will not be that high... Also there is a chance Mask will be a tad higher...But anywho based on the ones listed i have a 84.98%


Sat Feb 19, 2005 3:03 pm
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The French Dutch Boy
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Joined: Wed Oct 13, 2004 8:28 pm
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Pooh's Heffalump Movie is being GREATLY underestimated. It's going to be much higher with estimates.

PEACE, Mike ;)


Sat Feb 19, 2005 5:07 pm
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Pooh's number isn't projection...


Sat Feb 19, 2005 5:46 pm
Cream of the Crop

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Location: At the edge of reality
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Nah, my Derby score went up, but my score for UC6 went down:

Derby:

Hitch - (30 / 36.9) -- Accuracy: 81.30%
Constantine - (27 / 34.5) -- Accuracy: 78.26%
Because of Winn-Dixie - (12.2 / 13.8) -- Accuracy: 88.41%
Son of the Mask - (8.5 / 9.4) -- Accuracy: 90.43%
Million Dollar Baby - (8.5 / 8.5) -- Accuracy: 100.00%
Are We There Yet? - (7.5 / 7.9) -- Accuracy: 94.94%
Boogeyman - (6.2 / 6.4) -- Accuracy: 96.88%
Pooh's Heffalump Movie - (5.0 / 5.6) -- Accuracy: 89.29%
The Aviator - (4.5 / 4.9) -- Accuracy: 91.84%
Sideways - (4.2 / 4.6) -- Accuracy: 91.30%

OVERALL ESTIMATE ACCURACY: 90.26%

New Release: 85.70%
Still in Theater: 92.22%


UC6: 85.68%


Sun Feb 20, 2005 3:06 pm
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King Albert!
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With those projections, my score would be an 83.34%.

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Sun Feb 20, 2005 3:28 pm
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Killing With Kindness
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I got an 82.11% with those projections

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Sun Feb 20, 2005 5:29 pm
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College Boy Z

Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm
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Hitch - (30.8 / 36.9) -- Accuracy: 83.47%
Constantine - (29.8 / 34.5) -- Accuracy: 86.38%
Because of Winn-Dixie - (10.6 / 13.8) -- Accuracy: 76.81%
Son of the Mask - (11.5 / 9.4) -- Accuracy: 77.66%
Million Dollar Baby - (7 / 8.5) -- Accuracy: 82.35%
Are We There Yet? - (6.8 / 7.9) -- Accuracy: 86.08%
Boogeyman - (6.2 / 6.4) -- Accuracy: 96.88%
Pooh's Heffalump Movie - (4.5 / 5.6) -- Accuracy: 80.36%
The Aviator - (4.4 / 4.9) -- Accuracy: 89.80%
Sideways - (4.4 / 4.6) -- Accuracy: 95.65%

OVERALL ESTIMATE ACCURACY: 85.54%

New Release: 80.28%
Still in Theater: 87.80%


Sun Feb 20, 2005 5:32 pm
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Constantine - 77.39% ( 26.7 / 34.5 )
Son of the Mask - 80.85% ( 11.2 / 9.4 )
Because of Winn-Dixie - 66.67% ( 9.2 / 13.8 )
Hitch - 79.40% ( 29.3 / 36.9 )
Boogeyman - 96.88% ( 6.6 / 6.4 )
Are We There Yet? - 93.67% ( 7.4 / 7.9 )
Million Dollar Baby - 87.06% ( 7.4 / 8.5 )
Pooh's Heffalump Movie - 85.71% ( 4.8 / 5.6 )
The Aviator - 93.88% ( 4.6 / 4.9 )
Sideways - 93.48% ( 4.3 / 4.6 )

Accuracy: 85.499%

Not bad...


Sun Feb 20, 2005 6:14 pm
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Indiana Jones IV

Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 11:58 am
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Location: Austin, TX
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Hitch - (30 / 36.9) -- Accuracy: 81.30%
Constantine - (30 / 34.5) -- Accuracy: 86.96%
Because of Winn-Dixie - (7.8 / 13.8) -- Accuracy: 56.52%
Son of the Mask - (7.7 / 9.4) -- Accuracy: 81.91%
Million Dollar Baby - (7.9 / 8.5) -- Accuracy: 92.94%
Are We There Yet? - (8 / 7.9) -- Accuracy: 98.73%
Boogeyman - (7.6 / 6.4) -- Accuracy: 81.25%
Pooh's Heffalump Movie - (5.8 / 5.6) -- Accuracy: 96.43%
The Aviator - (5 / 4.9) -- Accuracy: 97.96%
Sideways - (5.2 / 4.6) -- Accuracy: 86.96%

OVERALL ESTIMATE ACCURACY: 86.10%

New Release: 75.13%
Still in Theater: 90.80%

Not bad, not great, hoping for Aviator and Sideways to pull it up :wink:

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Sun Feb 20, 2005 6:30 pm
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84.83%


Sun Feb 20, 2005 9:05 pm
Cream of the Crop
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Here's my score with the estimates; it's a slight improvement from the projections.

Hitch - (32 / 36.5) -- Accuracy: 87.67%
Constantine - (27 / 34.6) -- Accuracy: 78.03%
Because of Winn-Dixie - (11.5 / 13.2) -- Accuracy: 87.12%
Son of the Mask - (9.5 / 10.1) -- Accuracy: 94.06%
Million Dollar Baby - (7.2 / 7.8) -- Accuracy: 92.31%
Are We There Yet? - (6.7 / 8.1) -- Accuracy: 82.72%
Boogeyman - (5.7 / 6.0) -- Accuracy: 95.00%
Pooh's Heffalump Movie - (4.7 / 5.4) -- Accuracy: 87.04%
The Aviator - (4.5 / 5.0) -- Accuracy: 90.00%
Sideways - (4.3 / 3.9) -- Accuracy: 89.74%

OVERALL ESTIMATE ACCURACY: 88.37%

New Release: 86.41%
Still in Theater: 89.21%

_________________
"How you uh, how you comin' on that novel you're working on? Huh? Gotta a big, uh, big stack of papers there? Gotta, gotta nice litte story you're working on there? Your big novel you've been working on for 3 years? Got a, got a compelling protaganist? Yeah? Gotta obstacle for him to overcome? Working on, working on that for quite some time?"

Battle of the 2005 movies - Vote Now!


Mon Feb 21, 2005 2:14 pm
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