A LOT, LOT, LOT more empty. SM3 had the entire market to itself.

200M OW can be attainable but I don't see it happening.

Let's go into reasoning and say the 9200 screens is correct. Let's say the average per screen on Friday is a reasonable 7.2. Then let's say the average seating is 200, and then $8.50 a ticket. That's $112,608,000. Now obviously it isn't going to sell out every show but I can easily see $60M OD (heck close to $65M) happening.

No, it's not. Even the most aggregated weekend ever was "only" $9 million over $200 million.

I'm nto saying it is going to make it. However if every show sold out (and I mean every) then that is the only way a 200M OW would happen.

http://filmgasm.com/feature.html

At this stage I dont care about the numbers (they'll be over $125m OW), but the hype and anticipation is unparalleled in my book. That must see feeling that was there in the 90s for films like Jurassic Park, ID4 and Phantom Menace. This is must see and the level of chatter outside the net is at fever pitch. We are about to witness an amazing box office run....

Buzz IS great, I agree. Among the general public, probably the biggest buzz since 2004 with The Passion and Shrek 2. I've always felt that the Spider-Man films have been more subdued. People don't talk about watching them; they just go.

Yeah thats true with Spidey. Hardly anyone i know talks about the Spidey films - but they somehow open so big (atleast in NA). The Passion was everywhere and Shrek 2 was kind of subdued and then snowballed into a box office phenom.

The only others this decade with a similar level of pre-release noise would be the first Potter, LOTR (especially TTT and ROTK) and Sith. Pirates is more of a Spidey buzz wise.

I think matrix reloaded tops al lof those; tdk is prob. the #1 most talked about blockbuster in the new millenium, followed by mr and then sith, then king kong at 4, and pearl harbor at 5.

All of those were media darlings.

See, I judge the buzz by what my friends who are not obsessed with films/box office say. And I remember so many of them expressing interest in Shrek 2, out of nowhere. And they were college students! That's how I knew, against my wishes, that it would be huge. The same thing's happening with TDK. EVERYONE wants to see it.

Anything over 135m OW puts Dark Knight as a major player for 400m, mostly because this is July, weekdays will be enormous, and the weekend drops will not be all that harsh.

62/46/36 (144)

I half way disagree, Pirates had insane afterbuzz, the first two. I'll never forget Halloween 2006 when everything had to be pirate oriented, and it took me forever to find a pirate costume as everything was sold out.

Semi-Final? Predictions

Daily Gross	Daily Change	Weekly Change	Per-Theater	Theater Count	Change	Gross-to-date	Weekend/Weekly Gross	Change	Per-Theater
$53,192,384	0.0%	0.0%	$12,183	4366	0	$53,192,384
$40,160,250	-24.5%	0.0%	$9,198	4366	0	$93,352,634
$31,927,399	-20.5%	0.0%	$7,313	4366	0	$125,280,033	$125,280,033	0.0%	$28,694
$15,867,917	-50.3%	0.0%	$3,634	4366	0	$141,147,950
$13,408,390	-15.5%	0.0%	$3,071	4366	0	$154,556,340
$11,464,173	-14.5%	0.0%	$2,626	4366	0	$166,020,513
$10,042,616	-12.4%	0.0%	$2,300	4366	0	$176,063,129	$176,063,129	0.0%	$40,326
$15,214,563	51.5%	-71.4%	$3,485	4366	0	$191,277,692
$19,991,936	31.4%	-50.2%	$4,579	4366	0	$211,269,628
$15,713,662	-21.4%	-50.8%	$3,599	4366	0	$226,983,290	$50,920,161	-59.4%	$11,663
$6,961,152	-55.7%	-56.1%	$1,594	4366	0	$233,944,442
$6,452,988	-7.3%	-51.9%	$1,478	4366	0	$240,397,430
$5,801,236	-10.1%	-49.4%	$1,329	4366	0	$246,198,666
$5,656,205	-2.5%	-43.7%	$1,296	4366	0	$251,854,872	$75,791,742	-57.0%	$17,360
$8,224,123	45.4%	-45.9%	$2,048	4015	-351	$260,078,994
$11,225,927	36.5%	-43.8%	$2,796	4015	0	$271,304,921
$8,150,023	-27.4%	-48.1%	$2,030	4015	0	$279,454,945	$27,600,073	-45.8%	$6,874
$3,243,709	-60.2%	-53.4%	$808	4015	0	$282,698,654
$3,279,390	1.1%	-49.2%	$817	4015	0	$285,978,044
$3,167,891	-3.4%	-45.4%	$789	4015	0	$289,145,935
$3,161,555	-0.2%	-44.1%	$787	4015	0	$292,307,490	$40,452,618	-46.6%	$10,075
$4,698,071	48.6%	-42.9%	$1,236	3802	-213	$297,005,560
$6,549,111	39.4%	-41.7%	$1,723	3802	0	$303,554,671
$4,872,538	-25.6%	-40.2%	$1,282	3802	0	$308,427,209	$16,119,720	-41.6%	$4,240
$2,075,701	-57.4%	-36.0%	$546	3802	0	$310,502,910
$2,052,869	-1.1%	-37.4%	$540	3802	0	$312,555,779
$1,999,494	-2.6%	-36.9%	$526	3802	0	$314,555,273
$1,891,521	-5.4%	-40.2%	$498	3802	0	$316,446,794	$24,139,305	-40.3%	$6,349
$2,752,164	45.5%	-41.4%	$823	3346	-456	$319,198,958
$3,718,173	35.1%	-43.2%	$1,111	3346	0	$322,917,131
$2,770,039	-25.5%	-43.1%	$828	3346	0	$325,687,170	$9,240,375	-42.7%	$2,762
$1,263,138	-54.4%	-39.1%	$378	3346	0	$326,950,307
$1,121,666	-11.2%	-45.4%	$335	3346	0	$328,071,974
$1,110,450	-1.0%	-44.5%	$332	3346	0	$329,182,423
$1,148,205	3.4%	-39.3%	$343	3346	0	$330,330,628	$13,883,834	-42.5%	$4,149
$1,761,346	53.4%	-36.0%	$654	2694	-652	$332,091,975
$2,384,863	35.4%	-35.9%	$885	2694	0	$334,476,837
$1,850,654	-22.4%	-33.2%	$687	2694	0	$336,327,491	$5,996,863	-35.1%	$2,226
$801,333	-56.7%	-36.6%	$297	2694	0	$337,128,824
$742,034	-7.4%	-33.8%	$275	2694	0	$337,870,858
$733,872	-1.1%	-33.9%	$272	2694	0	$338,604,730
$652,412	-11.1%	-43.2%	$242	2694	0	$339,257,143	$8,926,515	-35.7%	$3,313
$1,028,202	57.6%	-41.6%	$450	2283	-411	$340,285,344
$1,497,062	45.6%	-37.2%	$656	2283	0	$341,782,406
$1,026,984	-31.4%	-44.5%	$450	2283	0	$342,809,390	$3,552,247	-40.8%	$1,556
$366,633	-64.3%	-54.2%	$161	2283	0	$343,176,024
$389,365	6.2%	-47.5%	$171	2283	0	$343,565,388
$363,277	-6.7%	-50.5%	$159	2283	0	$343,928,665
$396,699	9.2%	-39.2%	$174	2283	0	$344,325,364	$5,068,221	-43.2%	$2,220
$692,239	74.5%	-32.7%	$376	1842	-441	$345,017,603
$1,075,048	55.3%	-28.2%	$584	1842	0	$346,092,651
$812,736	-24.4%	-20.9%	$441	1842	0	$346,905,387	$2,580,023	-27.4%	$1,401
$263,326	-67.6%	-28.2%	$143	1842	0	$347,168,713
$257,007	-2.4%	-34.0%	$140	1842	0	$347,425,720
$240,301	-6.5%	-33.9%	$130	1842	0	$347,666,021
$237,658	-1.1%	-40.1%	$129	1842	0	$347,903,679	$3,578,315	-29.4%	$1,943
$547,088	130.2%	-21.0%	$377	1450	-392	$348,450,768
$928,956	69.8%	-13.6%	$641	1450	0	$349,379,724
$915,022	-1.5%	12.6%	$631	1450	0	$350,294,746	$2,391,066	-7.3%	$1,649
$690,841	-24.5%	162.4%	$476	1450	0	$350,985,587
$147,840	-78.6%	-42.5%	$102	1450	0	$351,133,427
$126,551	-14.4%	-47.3%	$87	1450	0	$351,259,978
$123,640	-2.3%	-48.0%	$85	1450	0	$351,383,619	$3,479,939	-2.7%	$2,400

Total: $362.6 million (2.89 multiplier) - #11 of all time

I BETTER FUCKING BE ABLE TO GET TICKETS!!!

Final predictions:

Friday: $53.5 million ($12 million from Midnights)
Saturday: $40.3 million (-24.7%)
Sunday: $32 million (-20.5%)

Opening Weekend: $125.8 million ($28,800 PTA)
Domestic Total: $353.5 million (2.81)

http://www.imdb.com/chart/top?tt0468569


Apparently the Users at IMDB find TDK better then the Good, The Bad and the Ugly and as good as Godfather part 2

Final Predictions:

Friday: $57.5 Million ($14 Million from Midnights)
Saturday: $43 Million -25.22%
Sunday: $35.7 Million -16.98%
Opening Weekend: $136.2 Million ($31,196 Average)
Second Weekend: $63 Million -53.75%
Domestic Total: $408.6 Million (3.0 Multiplier)
International Total: $360 Million
Worldwide Total: $768.6 Million

Unchanged except for OS total, which I think will be a tad bigger.

Got my tickets!!!

Final Predictions:

Opening Weekend- $127.5 mil

Total- $382.5 mil

Friday - 60
Saturday - 45
Sunday - 35
Weekend - 140
Total - 400

Ahem... FINAL PREDICTIONS:

Opening Weekend- $140.0 mil

Total- $420.0 mil

OW - $145m+
Total - $380m+

Everyone predicting DMC+ numbers.

It just... gosh, seems like something is going to be off. Either it'll "only" make 115-125, or it'll blow past 150.

I feel the same thing. Its either gonna be a 50m-ish Friday, or 60m+.

$80 million OD

$180 million OW