As for right now, subject to change, I see it as Obama 291, McCain 247. Obama gets all the strong and weak Dem states in the latest figure above as well as Colorado and either NV/WV. McCain gets some bounce back up until the election and ends up taking OH, FL, MO and either NV/WV. What's important about that is Obama does take VA from the GOP. The way I see the election unfolding is somewhat conservative, but I still think McCain is going to get some kind of push in the last weeks before election day.

He has purchased 30 minutes of network airtime for 8pm on Oct 29th on CBS and NBC, and is negotiating to get that time on ABC and Fox as well. Could be a really smart move.

I'm uncomfortable with it. It's a little thick on the infomercial propaganda side of things.

I'm uncomfortable with it. It's a little thick on the infomercial propaganda side of things.

I remember when Ross Perot did that in 1992. Of course for him it was so a lot of people could get to know him and his stances. Nonetheless, I remember thinking that it was almost too much self-advertisement.

10/6/92

Ross Perot's return to the 1992 Presidential campaign has been greeted with overwhelming hostility by American voters, leaving the contest fundamentally unchanged, according to the latest New York Times/CBS News Poll. Gov. Bill Clinton holds a persistent lead over President Bush as the campaign enters its final month.

...

While Mr. Perot has yet to begin his advertising campaign, only 7 percent of the registered voters said they planned to vote for him, about the same as John Anderson's support in October 1980 and well below George Wallace's in October 1968. Seventy-two percent said he should not have rejoined the campaign, which he bolted in July. Grim Findings for Bush

The new survey, based on telephone interviews with 1,252 adults, also has grim findings for the Bush campaign, which has high hopes that Mr. Perot can splinter the anti-Bush vote and help shake up the race. Even in a three-way contest, Mr. Clinton retains a lead, with 46 percent of the probable electorate, to 38 percent for Mr. Bush and 7 percent for Mr. Perot.

Clinton-43.0%
Bush-37.7%
Perot-18.9%

CLEVELAND, Ohio (CNN) — In what may be another signal that the troubled economy is forcing John McCain’s campaign to play electoral map defense, Sarah Palin has scheduled a bus tour for Sunday through West Virginia, a state that’s been leaning red throughout this presidential race.

Palin had already scheduled a bus tour of Pennsylvania on Saturday, but she will now repeat that act on Sunday by making various unannounced stops throughout West Virginia, culminating in a campaign event in southeast Ohio. It’s a swing geographically reminiscent of Hillary Clinton’s effort during the Democratic primary to court white working class voters in Appalachia. Clinton won the West Virginia primary over Barack Obama by a whopping 67-26 margin.

Surveys of West Virginia voters this year have consistently favored McCain, but state polls have closed in recent weeks as the global financial crisis has dominated the headlines. A CNN/Time poll conducted in late September showed McCain with a slight 50-46 lead over Obama, and an ARG poll released this week suggested Obama had rocketed to an eight-point over his Republican rival.

Last week, Palin made a pair of last-minute campaign stops in Omaha, Nebraska and Greenville, North Carolina – two regions that until recently were considered safe for McCain.

Palin on Friday seemed to acknowledge that time is running out for her campaign to shift the momentum of the race.

“Things are getting kind of, not tense, but things are getting — as things come down to the wire obviously, things are getting more important in terms of message, and in terms of opportunity we have to lay out the contrast between the two tickets,” she told donors in Cincinnati.

http://politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com/2008/10/10/palin-schedules-bus-tour-of-west-virginia/

I think one, just one visit by Obama would lock WV up for him.

The video of the fucking nutters at that rally ought to be interesting. I'm wondering when someone is going to bring an actual noose and pitchfork to one of these things.

And the reason WV voted for Bush in 2000 was because the REPS played very dirty politics here, and the DEMS didnt nothing about it. People received letters in the mail going into detail about how electing Gore would cause them to lose their guns. No lie, the teachers in my middle school and my dad received them. Then in 2004, the same thing happened, except the letters went into detail about Kerry taking away peoples bibles................ And it didn't help Kerry was way out of touch.