If You Were Clinton And Won PA, What Would You Do?
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Jeff
Christian's #1 Fan
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 8:25 pm Posts: 28110 Location: Awaiting my fate
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 Re: If You Were Clinton And Won PA, What Would You Do?
Ripper wrote: Jeff wrote: I agree with Archie that she needs to done down the negativity, and fast. I think it might be to late. Its to bad, I actually liked HIllary, but starting with the whole "the Republicans will accuses Obama of being a drug dealer since he admitted he used drugs" comment from her camp I just got annoyed. The Republicans might, but you just did. If anything I think the American populace is about as fickle as they come. Sure, she's probably gone too far with a lot of people (I've about had it with her myself) but once she does something right, all the sheep will come flocking back.
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Sun Apr 20, 2008 8:46 pm |
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Groucho
Extraordinary
Joined: Thu Oct 21, 2004 9:30 pm Posts: 12096 Location: Stroudsburg, PA
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 Re: If You Were Clinton And Won PA, What Would You Do?
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Sun Apr 20, 2008 9:32 pm |
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Corpse
Don't Dream It, Be It
Joined: Wed Aug 02, 2006 12:45 pm Posts: 37162 Location: The Graveyard
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 Re: If You Were Clinton And Won PA, What Would You Do?
Jeff wrote: redspear wrote: Ericka wrote: 1. Pledged Delegates aren't pledged delegates. They can switch sides at the convention if they want to. 2. Dean has said very recently the delegates in FL (don't think he mentioned MI) will be seated somehow. Well I do hope they count the delegates from FL and figure something out from MI BUT I do think the pledged delegates should stay that way pledged. They've pretty much thrown them out (which has so many repercussions in my opinion but I digress). I think you are confusing pledged delegates and superdelegates. The pledged delegates have to vote the way of their district I'm pretty sure, no? No, all the delegates are the same basically. Except Super Delegates don't have to side with anyone until the convention, where as the pledged delegates almost always go with whoever won their discrict, though they don't have to and can change their minds if important info or whatever is revealed, certain wins happen, etc. for them to have second thoughts. The media isn't covering this much yet, it has only been brought up a couple times for no more than a day or so. But if it does indeed go to the convention, you can bet it's brought up. I don't want to jump the gun, but I'm really liking these PA polls. They are very similar to the OH polls. Obama in the low/mid 40's, Clinton in the mid/high 40's. Obama performed just like the polls suggested while Hillary performed better (which has happened in many of the bigger states). She seems to be gaining a few points since the Debate Tues as well if anyone has been keeping up with the polls. I'd love a Clinton/Rendell ticket.
_________________Japan Box Office “Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.” “We were like gods at the dawning of the world, & our joy was so bright we could see nothing else but the other.” “There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.” “You have to pretend you get an endgame. You have to carry on like you will; otherwise, you can't carry on at all.” "Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."
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Sun Apr 20, 2008 10:51 pm |
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Jedi Master Carr
Extraordinary
Joined: Fri Nov 11, 2005 9:51 pm Posts: 11637
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 Re: If You Were Clinton And Won PA, What Would You Do?
Ericka wrote: Jeff wrote: redspear wrote: Ericka wrote: 1. Pledged Delegates aren't pledged delegates. They can switch sides at the convention if they want to. 2. Dean has said very recently the delegates in FL (don't think he mentioned MI) will be seated somehow. Well I do hope they count the delegates from FL and figure something out from MI BUT I do think the pledged delegates should stay that way pledged. They've pretty much thrown them out (which has so many repercussions in my opinion but I digress). I think you are confusing pledged delegates and superdelegates. The pledged delegates have to vote the way of their district I'm pretty sure, no? No, all the delegates are the same basically. Except Super Delegates don't have to side with anyone until the convention, where as the pledged delegates almost always go with whoever won their discrict, though they don't have to and can change their minds if important info or whatever is revealed, certain wins happen, etc. for them to have second thoughts. The media isn't covering this much yet, it has only been brought up a couple times for no more than a day or so. But if it does indeed go to the convention, you can bet it's brought up. I don't want to jump the gun, but I'm really liking these PA polls. They are very similar to the OH polls. Obama in the low/mid 40's, Clinton in the mid/high 40's. Obama performed just like the polls suggested while Hillary performed better (which has happened in many of the bigger states). She seems to be gaining a few points since the Debate Tues as well if anyone has been keeping up with the polls. I'd love a Clinton/Rendell ticket. That has never happened historically speaking. Pledged delegates have gone with their candidate 100% of the time. Switching now would be unspeakable.
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Sun Apr 20, 2008 11:55 pm |
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Corpse
Don't Dream It, Be It
Joined: Wed Aug 02, 2006 12:45 pm Posts: 37162 Location: The Graveyard
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 Re: If You Were Clinton And Won PA, What Would You Do?
Jedi Master Carr wrote: Ericka wrote: Jeff wrote: redspear wrote: Ericka wrote: 1. Pledged Delegates aren't pledged delegates. They can switch sides at the convention if they want to. 2. Dean has said very recently the delegates in FL (don't think he mentioned MI) will be seated somehow. Well I do hope they count the delegates from FL and figure something out from MI BUT I do think the pledged delegates should stay that way pledged. They've pretty much thrown them out (which has so many repercussions in my opinion but I digress). I think you are confusing pledged delegates and superdelegates. The pledged delegates have to vote the way of their district I'm pretty sure, no? No, all the delegates are the same basically. Except Super Delegates don't have to side with anyone until the convention, where as the pledged delegates almost always go with whoever won their discrict, though they don't have to and can change their minds if important info or whatever is revealed, certain wins happen, etc. for them to have second thoughts. The media isn't covering this much yet, it has only been brought up a couple times for no more than a day or so. But if it does indeed go to the convention, you can bet it's brought up. I don't want to jump the gun, but I'm really liking these PA polls. They are very similar to the OH polls. Obama in the low/mid 40's, Clinton in the mid/high 40's. Obama performed just like the polls suggested while Hillary performed better (which has happened in many of the bigger states). She seems to be gaining a few points since the Debate Tues as well if anyone has been keeping up with the polls. I'd love a Clinton/Rendell ticket. That has never happened historically speaking. Pledged delegates have gone with their candidate 100% of the time. Switching now would be unspeakable. I highly doubt any of the Pledged Delegates will switch sides. The only way it could happen is if Hillary blows Obama way (huge win, 15 points at least) in PA, wins the popular vote, and if Obama still trails McCain in OH and FL because Clinton beats McCain in OH and polls about even with him in FL. That would be the only way any pledged delegates decide to change sides. And even then it's unlikely, though this race is so unprecedented that anything could happen I suppose. But yeah, I'm nearly 100% sure they won't be changing sides. Unless some major scandal (not something like his Pastor or anything) broke about Obama or something.
_________________Japan Box Office “Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.” “We were like gods at the dawning of the world, & our joy was so bright we could see nothing else but the other.” “There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.” “You have to pretend you get an endgame. You have to carry on like you will; otherwise, you can't carry on at all.” "Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."
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Mon Apr 21, 2008 12:10 am |
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nghtvsn
Extraordinary
Joined: Fri Mar 11, 2005 7:13 pm Posts: 11016 Location: Warren Theatre Oklahoma
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 Re: If You Were Clinton And Won PA, What Would You Do?
If I were Clinton the question would come down to:
1. Do I still have a chance to win the nomination?
2. What is better for the future of the Democratic Party?
Obviously, I still have a chance to win so I'm not going anywhere, but then I have to think about question #2. I realize that Obama is ahead of me in delegates and popular vote and that the media is behind him and that I can only win if a majority of the SDs back me but if I did get the nomination would it be worth it to divide the party? Unless of course, Obama changes his mind and becomes my VP then everything is all sunshine in the end.
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Mon Apr 21, 2008 12:16 am |
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Corpse
Don't Dream It, Be It
Joined: Wed Aug 02, 2006 12:45 pm Posts: 37162 Location: The Graveyard
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 Re: If You Were Clinton And Won PA, What Would You Do?
nghtvsn wrote: If I were Clinton the question would come down to:
1. Do I still have a chance to win the nomination?
2. What is better for the future of the Democratic Party?
Obviously, I still have a chance to win so I'm not going anywhere, but then I have to think about question #2. I realize that Obama is ahead of me in delegates and popular vote and that the media is behind him and that I can only win if a majority of the SDs back me but if I did get the nomination would it be worth it to divide the party? Unless of course, Obama changes his mind and becomes my VP then everything is all sunshine in the end. I heard something about this on the news today actually. It's not happening. Clinton and Obama would lose so much credibility and be seen as just...idk since they have been attacking/mocking each other so much. Basically, the two of them to suddenly kiss and make up wouldn't be believable. The dream ticket is now a nightmare ticket if it were to happen, no matter who is at the top of it.
_________________Japan Box Office “Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.” “We were like gods at the dawning of the world, & our joy was so bright we could see nothing else but the other.” “There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.” “You have to pretend you get an endgame. You have to carry on like you will; otherwise, you can't carry on at all.” "Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."
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Mon Apr 21, 2008 12:20 am |
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Shack
Devil's Advocate
Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2005 2:30 am Posts: 40600
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 Re: If You Were Clinton And Won PA, What Would You Do?
I'm already politiked out for this year... the 6 week break until Pennsylvania really killed my Obama spirit
I can't believe there's the entire general election left to go
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Mon Apr 21, 2008 12:44 am |
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dolcevita
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 11:24 pm Posts: 16061 Location: The Damage Control Table
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 Re: If You Were Clinton And Won PA, What Would You Do?
redspear wrote: Well I know they are not looking at winning the pledged delegates to win but I have to believe they are looking at narrowing that lead down while working on gaining in the popular vote at teh same time.
to the previous quote I did not say she would or have to win NC I said she has to cut down Obamas lead and come within 3-5 percent there.
That's kind of how I feel. And I agree with you and Rev. For the most part I've been irritated by people saying she must drop, because putting myself in her shoes, I wouldn't. This isn't a walk-away for either person, and getting upper-40's percent of the national vote so far means there's still grounds to gain. She's aiming for popular vote, and she has to win PA by enough to start really making up ground. NC is probably going to kill her unless she does some active work down there, but if the votes on the 6th are split Indian to Hillary and NC to Obama, I would stay in the race too if I were her and focus on Kentucky, WV and Puerto Rico. Why should she drop if the next few states she could take, just because they came at a later date than the Mid-Atlantic sweep? If the roles were reversed and she had taken PA, Texas, Ohio before the mid-Atlantic states ran, Obama followers would be supporting him to stay in the race to make up ground, too. And I don't see them being wrong if that were the case. Conversely, of course, people would be urging him to drop because his come-from-behind position would be "ruining the party and prolonging the primaries." Thats the voter schedule for you, I guess. I consider this like the Pentathlon or Heptathlon. I always used to be trailing in second place to some super good high-jumper and long-jumper, but I'd always catch it up and then some in the 800 if at that point I was even within reach. Didn't matter that 800 was the last event of the day. In the end, I had more points, and that's what it came down to. Hillary needs to think long and hard, though, if she can get enough points between now and the finish line. I'm guessing she's really going to have to even up the popular vote, and at that final moment when she sees with one or two states with small voter pops left that she can't do it, I would drop out then. If she can, power to her. Its still close enough.
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Mon Apr 21, 2008 1:28 am |
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STEVE ROGERS
The Greatest Avenger EVER
Joined: Fri Oct 29, 2004 4:02 am Posts: 18501
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 Re: If You Were Clinton And Won PA, What Would You Do?
loyalfromlondon wrote: I think its a valid question. I want this to be over as quick as the next guy. But put yourself in her shoes.
Taking into account the numbers and where both Senators stand today, if you won Pennsylvania what would you do? What if you won by 200k. 50k. 300k. Honestly?? I'd stay in until the bitter end and with any luck, steal the election right from under Pope Obama's nose, even if it met doing it the crooked way.. It makes for great media and FOX News would milk this from now until the sun went down..
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Mon Apr 21, 2008 7:59 am |
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Mr. Reynolds
Confessing on a Dance Floor
Joined: Tue Nov 23, 2004 12:46 am Posts: 5578 Location: Celebratin' in Chitown
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 Re: If You Were Clinton And Won PA, What Would You Do?
You know, all the people, specially superdelegate, complaining that "dragging this on" is bad for the party etc etc need to remember that the primary season lasts until June for a reason. If it were meant to be decided in February, what is the point of scheduling primaries so late in the game then?
Hillary should and will stay in this until the very second she can. (So should Obama if it were the other way around.)
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Tue Apr 22, 2008 2:49 pm |
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Cotton
Some days I'm a super bitch
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 7:22 pm Posts: 6645
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 Re: If You Were Clinton And Won PA, What Would You Do?
Sam wrote: You know, all the people, specially superdelegate, complaining that "dragging this on" is bad for the party etc etc need to remember that the primary season lasts until June for a reason. If it were meant to be decided in February, what is the point of scheduling primaries so late in the game then?
Hillary should and will stay in this until the very second she can. (So should Obama if it were the other way around.) It's the opportunity of a lifetime, so I can see why she's fighting to the bitter end. Still doesn't change the fact that she's just prolonging the inevitable at this point.
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Tue Apr 22, 2008 3:24 pm |
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Groucho
Extraordinary
Joined: Thu Oct 21, 2004 9:30 pm Posts: 12096 Location: Stroudsburg, PA
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 Re: If You Were Clinton And Won PA, What Would You Do?
Ericka wrote: I heard something about this on the news today actually. It's not happening. Clinton and Obama would lose so much credibility and be seen as just...idk since they have been attacking/mocking each other so much. Basically, the two of them to suddenly kiss and make up wouldn't be believable. The dream ticket is now a nightmare ticket if it were to happen, no matter who is at the top of it. Nah, it's politics. It happens all the time. George Bush Sr. called Reagan's plans "voo doo economics" and insulted him throughout the campaign yet gladly accepted VP. Johnson hated Kennedy. Romney attacked McCain over and over and is now begging for the VP slot. No one will blink.
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Tue Apr 22, 2008 4:39 pm |
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Snrub
Vagina Qwertyuiop
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 4:14 pm Posts: 8767 Location: Great Living Standards
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 Re: If You Were Clinton And Won PA, What Would You Do?
Groucho wrote: Ericka wrote: I heard something about this on the news today actually. It's not happening. Clinton and Obama would lose so much credibility and be seen as just...idk since they have been attacking/mocking each other so much. Basically, the two of them to suddenly kiss and make up wouldn't be believable. The dream ticket is now a nightmare ticket if it were to happen, no matter who is at the top of it. Nah, it's politics. It happens all the time. George Bush Sr. called Reagan's plans "voo doo economics" and insulted him throughout the campaign yet gladly accepted VP. Johnson hated Kennedy. Romney attacked McCain over and over and is now begging for the VP slot. No one will blink. The difference is that none of the examples you mentioned were as high profile as Clinton/Obama. Were we in the same media climate as Johnson and Kennedy, or even Romney and McCain, there'd be very little opposition to either of them taking on the other as VP. As it stands, I think Obama taking Clinton on as his VP nom would be incredibly damaging, and vice versa.
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Tue Apr 22, 2008 5:05 pm |
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redspear
Indiana Jones IV
Joined: Thu Jun 30, 2005 12:08 am Posts: 1879
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 Re: If You Were Clinton And Won PA, What Would You Do?
Snrub wrote: Groucho wrote: Ericka wrote: I heard something about this on the news today actually. It's not happening. Clinton and Obama would lose so much credibility and be seen as just...idk since they have been attacking/mocking each other so much. Basically, the two of them to suddenly kiss and make up wouldn't be believable. The dream ticket is now a nightmare ticket if it were to happen, no matter who is at the top of it. Nah, it's politics. It happens all the time. George Bush Sr. called Reagan's plans "voo doo economics" and insulted him throughout the campaign yet gladly accepted VP. Johnson hated Kennedy. Romney attacked McCain over and over and is now begging for the VP slot. No one will blink. The difference is that none of the examples you mentioned were as high profile as Clinton/Obama. Were we in the same media climate as Johnson and Kennedy, or even Romney and McCain, there'd be very little opposition to either of them taking on the other as VP. As it stands, I think Obama taking Clinton on as his VP nom would be incredibly damaging, and vice versa. UHMM the whole voodoo economics thing is one of the highest profile things in modern election history. It is standard politics. Neither candidate will admit taking a VP stance they want teh Presidential spot even admitting such would or could cause votes to sway one way or the toher usually in a bad way though.
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Tue Apr 22, 2008 5:40 pm |
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