If Obama wasn't black ...
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xiayun
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Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:41 pm Posts: 25109 Location: San Mateo, CA
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 Re: If Obama wasn't black ...
If one really wants to pound on this point of Obama being black, a better question to raise might be what if Obama were white and Clinton were black, would Clinton have done as well as Obama did so far?
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Tue Mar 11, 2008 8:51 pm |
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Corpse
Don't Dream It, Be It
Joined: Wed Aug 02, 2006 12:45 pm Posts: 37162 Location: The Graveyard
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 Re: If Obama wasn't black ...
xiayun wrote: If one really wants to pound on this point of Obama being black, a better question to raise might be what if Obama were white and Clinton were black, would Clinton have done as well as Obama did so far? Well, she is the wife of the first black president, so.
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Tue Mar 11, 2008 8:52 pm |
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Caius
A very honest-hearted fellow
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:02 pm Posts: 4767
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 Re: If Obama wasn't black ...
Snrub wrote: Frankly, I think Obama's in the position he's in right now in [i]spite[i] of his race. He's articulate, he's idealistic, he's realistic, he's intelligent, he's politically savvy but honest, he's anti-old politics... frankly he's a wet dream of a presidential candidate.
And it's questions like the ones posed in this thread that show why he's got very little chance of being elected. Obama will be the next president if he wins the Democratic Party nomination. How can he be both idealistic and realistic? The qualities you listed sound just like a grab bag. He's everything to everyone. His minority status helps keep the focus off his actual qualities.
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Tue Mar 11, 2008 8:53 pm |
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Eagle
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Joined: Wed Sep 15, 2004 1:09 pm Posts: 14631 Location: Pittsburgh
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 Re: If Obama wasn't black ...
Groucho wrote: Eagle wrote: Everything Xiayun said is spot on, but look, you can say whatever you want about his charisma, urban areas aren't voting for him 85-15 because of his charisma. And women are voting for Hillary 75% too. And Italians voted for Guiliani, and so on. People vote for people like them. But Obama also won Maine and Iowa and Vermont and states that are 99% white, too, so it's not just that, is it? It's not as if the black vote has made the huge difference in this election. Well, you are so right and so wrong in the same statement, so let me try and explain. On one hand, you are 110% correct. People generally vote for people like them. The African-American community feels like they have a voice, and they are turning to it in droves. There is nothing wrong with that. But to say the black vote hasn't made a difference is crazy. Go look at how Houston, Dallas, Cincinnati, Cleveland and every other major city with a large black population has voted. Urban areas are swinging entire states for Obama, and it IS having a huge impact. I never said white people couldn't, wouldn't or shouldn't vote for Obama. He's a great politician, and people like Groucho find reason to connect with him, but he has been aided by his race, and I don't see why people want to deny it.
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Tue Mar 11, 2008 8:53 pm |
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Eagle
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Joined: Wed Sep 15, 2004 1:09 pm Posts: 14631 Location: Pittsburgh
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 Re: If Obama wasn't black ...
xiayun wrote: If one really wants to pound on this point of Obama being black, a better question to raise might be what if Obama were white and Clinton were black, would Clinton have done as well as Obama did so far? I think she would have won the nomination by now if that were the case. She never would have lost the black vote, which has made all the difference.
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Tue Mar 11, 2008 8:55 pm |
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Rod
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Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:50 pm Posts: 12821
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 Re: If Obama wasn't black ...
Eagle wrote: Oh please, my question has nothing to do with his electability.
Obama is a valid candidate, with valid ideas. As others have said, he is a very charismatic man, and someone who is willing to work with the other side to get things accomplished. Because of that, he will always connect and find support from people who agree with him simply based on policy. People like Mike V.
But don't kid yourself.
We live in a world where people will refuse to vote for him because of the color of his skin. Where people will attack and demean him because of his religion or race, and where people will do anything they can to make sure he doesn't become president.
We also live in a world where people will vote for him simply because he is Black. You can't possibly look at turnout and voting tenancies among African-Americans this year and believe any differently.
The Democratic party has become racially divided. Hispanics, who as a culture are generally the most racist toward African-Americans, are voting hard against him. Race is going to play a huge part in this election, more so than any past election. Yet, I prescribe to the theory that there are far more people that will vote FOR him based on his race than those who would vote AGAINST him based on his race. Thus I think you saying things like he has very little chance at being elected are just foolish. You know, I seriously find this one of the stupidest comments in this thread, and I've seen it twice already. Maybe it says more about your own pre-conceptions than it does about the way people are really voting. Obama took 82% of the Hispanic vote in Illinois. Do you find it so hard to believe that people out there are actually voting for Clinton because they support her, and not against Obama because he is black? Clinton has always had very strong support among minorities. Other minorities are voting equally in favor of her as Hispanics. African Americans would probably be voting for her by an equal margin were it not for Obama. The whole idea that Hispanics have not supported Obama in the primary election simply because he is black is downright ignorant.
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Tue Mar 11, 2008 8:56 pm |
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Eagle
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Joined: Wed Sep 15, 2004 1:09 pm Posts: 14631 Location: Pittsburgh
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 Re: If Obama wasn't black ...
Rod wrote: The fact that this thread exists in itself, I think is pretty sad.
The problem is you only see it one way. You seem to think there are people out there voting for him because he is black but somehow think that in our pretty little world there aren't just as many people out there voting against him for the same reason. That and you ignore that there ARE people out there who can think of a person in more terms than just their race... Are you kidding me? Put words in peoples mouth much? If you think I don't believe people would vote against him because he's black, you're dead wrong. If you think that I believe there aren't people who side with him based only on his political agenda, charisma, etc, then you're dead wrong. I have never said ANYTHING even close to that, but hey, thanks for letting me know how I feel! I just feel that his race HAS helped his campaign to where it is today.
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Tue Mar 11, 2008 8:58 pm |
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Chippy
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Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 4:45 pm Posts: 63026 Location: Tonight... YOU!
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 Re: If Obama wasn't black ...
Don't women populate more than 50% of the country?
Hmm... And... isn't... Hillary a WOMAN?
She MUST be getting the female vote then!
It's undeniable!
What an idiotic thread.
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Tue Mar 11, 2008 8:58 pm |
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Chippy
KJ's Leading Pundit
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 4:45 pm Posts: 63026 Location: Tonight... YOU!
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 Re: If Obama wasn't black ...
Women like nothing more than to feel progressive, to feel they're doing something to erase the bad card dealt to women thanks to years of degrading (emotional, physical, societal).
If they can do that and vote for a good candidate, that's called a twofer.
To think Clinton would be in the same spot if she was Barry Baumer is some funny shit.
_________________trixster wrote: shut the fuck up zwackerm, you're out of your fucking element trixster wrote: chippy is correct
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Tue Mar 11, 2008 9:01 pm |
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Rod
Extra on the Ordinary
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:50 pm Posts: 12821
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 Re: If Obama wasn't black ...
Eagle wrote: Groucho wrote: Eagle wrote: Everything Xiayun said is spot on, but look, you can say whatever you want about his charisma, urban areas aren't voting for him 85-15 because of his charisma. And women are voting for Hillary 75% too. And Italians voted for Guiliani, and so on. People vote for people like them. But Obama also won Maine and Iowa and Vermont and states that are 99% white, too, so it's not just that, is it? It's not as if the black vote has made the huge difference in this election. Well, you are so right and so wrong in the same statement, so let me try and explain. On one hand, you are 110% correct. People generally vote for people like them. The African-American community feels like they have a voice, and they are turning to it in droves. There is nothing wrong with that. But to say the black vote hasn't made a difference is crazy. Go look at how Houston, Dallas, Cincinnati, Cleveland and every other major city with a large black population has voted. Urban areas are swinging entire states for Obama, and it IS having a huge impact. I never said white people couldn't, wouldn't or shouldn't vote for Obama. He's a great politician, and people like Groucho find reason to connect with him, but he has been aided by his race, and I don't see why people want to deny it. You are still looking at only the facts that support your theory. If you want to make this entire about race, which you have already, then you should address why whites in Southern states are voting in favor of a candidate other than Obama by 70+ % in some cases. If it's all about race, then why isn't it logical to think that some of these people who aren't voting for Obama, would were he a white candidate. In fact Edwards beat Obama and Clinton among white men in many of these regions.
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Tue Mar 11, 2008 9:01 pm |
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Amer
Indiana Jones IV
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 10:35 pm Posts: 1912 Location: Texas
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 Re: If Obama wasn't black ...
Take away that fact that Obama is black, and the fact that Hillary's husband was one of the most beloved presidents in awhile. Then its fair game.
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Tue Mar 11, 2008 9:02 pm |
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Groucho
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Joined: Thu Oct 21, 2004 9:30 pm Posts: 12096 Location: Stroudsburg, PA
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 Re: If Obama wasn't black ...
Eagle wrote: but he has been aided by his race, and I don't see why people want to deny it. Well, I think you missed my point, which was that every politician is helped by their own "constituency." Women for Hillary, blacks for Obama, evangelicals for Huckabee, etc. That's not news. You expect that. It's kind of factored in. But that's not enough. If that was all there was, Obama would have, what, 11% of the vote? But he has more than 50% against Hillary. It's not just the blacks there. If that was the case, we'd have President Jesse Jackson right now. The main point of this thread was that he was doing well only because he is black, and I see no evidence of that. You think all those white people in Iowa and Vermont are voting for him because he's black? That goes completely against the concept we all know is true, which is that people tend to vote for people like them. There must be some other reason they are voting for Obama. Maybe they really like him despite the fact that he is not like them. I see in the deep south where his numbers with whites is only around 25%, which is much different from much of the rest of the country. So I'd say in certain parts, his race hurts him. Thus my position that if he were white, he'd be doing even better.
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Tue Mar 11, 2008 9:03 pm |
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Rod
Extra on the Ordinary
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:50 pm Posts: 12821
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 Re: If Obama wasn't black ...
Eagle wrote: Rod wrote: The fact that this thread exists in itself, I think is pretty sad.
The problem is you only see it one way. You seem to think there are people out there voting for him because he is black but somehow think that in our pretty little world there aren't just as many people out there voting against him for the same reason. That and you ignore that there ARE people out there who can think of a person in more terms than just their race... Are you kidding me? Put words in peoples mouth much? If you think I don't believe people would vote against him because he's black, you're dead wrong. If you think that I believe there aren't people who side with him based only on his political agenda, charisma, etc, then you're dead wrong. I have never said ANYTHING even close to that, but hey, thanks for letting me know how I feel! I just feel that his race HAS helped his campaign to where it is today. well you seem to indicate that the only reason why he has gotten as far ahead as he has is his race. or at least a major reason for it. if you have a certain attribute, whether it'd be race or anything else, that helps you within a certain demographic, but prevents you from receiving the support you could get within a different demographic, then i'd say that's the characteristic in question is not helping you at all. simple math?
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Tue Mar 11, 2008 9:05 pm |
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Eagle
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Joined: Wed Sep 15, 2004 1:09 pm Posts: 14631 Location: Pittsburgh
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 Re: If Obama wasn't black ...
Rod, are you crazy?
I never tried to make this all about race.
I never people don't support Obama because of his politics.
I never said people only support Obama because of his race.
I simply said that some do, which is true. I think his race has helped him a ton, and I don't think it's wrong to assume that if he wasn't black, it would shift the African American vote to a point where he would no longer be winning.
Sheesh, there is nothing I hate more than having words thrown into your mouth, and then the person arguing with you about what they THINK you believe.
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Tue Mar 11, 2008 9:06 pm |
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Eagle
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Joined: Wed Sep 15, 2004 1:09 pm Posts: 14631 Location: Pittsburgh
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 Re: If Obama wasn't black ...
Oh, and Hispanics ARE more racist toward Blacks than anyone else, go look at the Hispanic vs Black civil war brewing in LA. It's just a fact, it doesn't apply to all Hispanics, but it does apply to some.
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Tue Mar 11, 2008 9:09 pm |
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Rod
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 Re: If Obama wasn't black ...
Eagle wrote: Rod, are you crazy?
I never tried to make this all about race.
I never people don't support Obama because of his politics.
I never said people only support Obama because of his race.
I simply said that some do, which is true. I think his race has helped him a ton, and I don't think it's wrong to assume that if he wasn't black, it would shift the African American vote to a point where he would no longer be winning.
Sheesh, there is nothing I hate more than having words thrown into your mouth, and then the person arguing with you about what they THINK you believe. But you do make it all about that, just by starting this thread. Groucho already pointed out that, yes, people tend to vote for people who share certain qualities with themselves. Why is the fact that Obama is getting overwhelming support with African Americans an issue worth discussing, but not the fact that Mike Huckabee received equally overwhelming support among Evangelicals? Or Romney with Mormons? Or going back Kennedy with Catholics?
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Tue Mar 11, 2008 9:12 pm |
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Eagle
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Joined: Wed Sep 15, 2004 1:09 pm Posts: 14631 Location: Pittsburgh
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 Re: If Obama wasn't black ...
Groucho wrote: Eagle wrote: but he has been aided by his race, and I don't see why people want to deny it. Well, I think you missed my point, which was that every politician is helped by their own "constituency." Women for Hillary, blacks for Obama, evangelicals for Huckabee, etc. That's not news. You expect that. It's kind of factored in. But that's not enough. If that was all there was, Obama would have, what, 11% of the vote? But he has more than 50% against Hillary. It's not just the blacks there. If that was the case, we'd have President Jesse Jackson right now. The main point of this thread was that he was doing well only because he is black, and I see no evidence of that. You think all those white people in Iowa and Vermont are voting for him because he's black? That goes completely against the concept we all know is true, which is that people tend to vote for people like them. There must be some other reason they are voting for Obama. Maybe they really like him despite the fact that he is not like them. I see in the deep south where his numbers with whites is only around 25%, which is much different from much of the rest of the country. So I'd say in certain parts, his race hurts him. Thus my position that if he were white, he'd be doing even better. The point of this thread was to answer the question of: If Obama wasn't black, would he still be where he is today. It has nothing to do with Obama being where he is ONLY because he is black, those are two vastly different things, and I ascribe to one and not at all to the other. Again, I am not saying people only vote for Obama because of his race, obviously people vote for him for a variety of reasons. I don't understand where you and Rod got this from. All I was saying was that one of the reasons people DO vote for him is his race, and that I think enough people vote for him because of it to swing the election in his favor. But, you touch on a good point, if he was a White male vs Clinton, would the white male vote shift enough in his favor to offset the shift of the African American vote to Clinton. See, I think that if Obama was white, African Americans would vote at least 60-70% for Clinton.
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Tue Mar 11, 2008 9:14 pm |
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Eagle
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Joined: Wed Sep 15, 2004 1:09 pm Posts: 14631 Location: Pittsburgh
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 Re: If Obama wasn't black ...
Rod wrote: Eagle wrote: Rod, are you crazy?
I never tried to make this all about race.
I never people don't support Obama because of his politics.
I never said people only support Obama because of his race.
I simply said that some do, which is true. I think his race has helped him a ton, and I don't think it's wrong to assume that if he wasn't black, it would shift the African American vote to a point where he would no longer be winning.
Sheesh, there is nothing I hate more than having words thrown into your mouth, and then the person arguing with you about what they THINK you believe. But you do make it all about that, just by starting this thread. Groucho already pointed out that, yes, people tend to vote for people who share certain qualities with themselves. Why is the fact that Obama is getting overwhelming support with African Americans an issue worth discussing, but not the fact that Mike Huckabee received equally overwhelming support among Evangelicals? Or Romney with Mormons? Or going back Kennedy with Catholics? Because Huckabee and Romney LOST, where as I feel this is changing the result of the democratic election. Look at how the African American vote went previously, Clinton was a HUGE favorite for them, black women voted for her in droves. Along comes Obama, and she struggles to get 20% of the black vote. This is a HUGE shift, and one worth talking about. Excuse me for not being politically correct, for not pretending that myself and every other American is color blind. Continue to pounce on me for calling a cat a cat.
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Tue Mar 11, 2008 9:16 pm |
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Rod
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 Re: If Obama wasn't black ...
Eagle wrote: Oh, and Hispanics ARE more racist toward Blacks than anyone else, go look at the Hispanic vs Black civil war brewing in LA. It's just a fact, it doesn't apply to all Hispanics, but it does apply to some. There's a difference between not being color blind and seeing only color. Yes, Obama's race accounts for one of the reasons of his support among African Americans but you there's more to it. You see Hispanics voting in favor of Hillary 2-1 and automatically think it must have something to do with race. Yet his support among Hispanics in Illinois was almost as strong as it was Among African Americans (82 to 92%). Just because tensions exist between certain ethnic groups in certain areas that does not mean it represents the views of that entire ethnic group. And last of all, you keep ignoring the last point. If you are going to argue that race has helped him among African Americans, why are you ignoring the fact that it probably has hurt him with other groups? Why is it logical to say that 80% of blacks voting for Obama means they are voting for him because he is black, but 70% of white voters voting for Hillary means nothing? If you're going to make this a fair discussion then go ahead and argue how his race has helped him (as it has every other candidate in history, with his/her own ethnic group) but it's only fair to discuss the ways in which it has hurt him as well! Which many could argue outweigh the benefits..
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Tue Mar 11, 2008 9:33 pm |
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Groucho
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 Re: If Obama wasn't black ...
Eagle wrote: Look at how the African American vote went previously, Clinton was a HUGE favorite for them, black women voted for her in droves. Along comes Obama, and she struggles to get 20% of the black vote. This is a HUGE shift, and one worth talking about.
Excuse me for not being politically correct, for not pretending that myself and every other American is color blind. Continue to pounce on me for calling a cat a cat. But then you have to admit that any gains he may get for being black is offset by losses he has in the south especially. Do you really think that where he is getting over 50% of the white vote in many places but only 25% in Mississippi and Alabama that race isn't the reason? Yeah, his race is having an effect -- to his detriment. Don't address one side without addressing the other.
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Tue Mar 11, 2008 9:36 pm |
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Caius
A very honest-hearted fellow
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:02 pm Posts: 4767
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 Re: If Obama wasn't black ...
Rod wrote: You know, I seriously find this one of the stupidest comments in this thread, and I've seen it twice already. Maybe it says more about your own pre-conceptions than it does about the way people are really voting. Obama took 82% of the Hispanic vote in Illinois. Do you find it so hard to believe that people out there are actually voting for Clinton because they support her, and not against Obama because he is black? Clinton has always had very strong support among minorities. Other minorities are voting equally in favor of her as Hispanics. African Americans would probably be voting for her by an equal margin were it not for Obama. The whole idea that Hispanics have not supported Obama in the primary election simply because he is black is downright ignorant.
I assume you are talking about the Illinois Senate race from 04. If so, he was also running against another black man, and that one, Alan Keyes, is a kook. If you are talking about the Primary against Hillary et al, he only garnered 50% of the Hispanic vote, which undercuts your argument. http://pewresearch.org/pubs/759/hispanics-give-clinton-crucial-wins
Last edited by Caius on Tue Mar 11, 2008 9:45 pm, edited 2 times in total.
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Tue Mar 11, 2008 9:40 pm |
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Eagle
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Joined: Wed Sep 15, 2004 1:09 pm Posts: 14631 Location: Pittsburgh
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 Re: If Obama wasn't black ...
Rod, Clinton won 67% of Hispanic in Texas, where they make up 32% of the population. The hispanic population in Illinois is VASTLY less than that in Texas, New Mexico, Arizona and California. Those 4 states, and maybe Nevada, Colorado and Florida are the best indicators of the population as a whole, not places like Ohio etc where Hispanics make up less than 2% of the population. And I haven't ignored it, you've chose to ignore me talking about it. From earlier in this thread: Eagle wrote: Obama is a valid candidate, with valid ideas. As others have said, he is a very charismatic man, and someone who is willing to work with the other side to get things accomplished. Because of that, he will always connect and find support from people who agree with him simply based on policy. People like Mike V.
But don't kid yourself.
We live in a world where people will refuse to vote for him because of the color of his skin. Where people will attack and demean him because of his religion or race, and where people will do anything they can to make sure he doesn't become president.
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Tue Mar 11, 2008 9:44 pm |
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Eagle
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 Re: If Obama wasn't black ...
Groucho wrote: Eagle wrote: Look at how the African American vote went previously, Clinton was a HUGE favorite for them, black women voted for her in droves. Along comes Obama, and she struggles to get 20% of the black vote. This is a HUGE shift, and one worth talking about.
Excuse me for not being politically correct, for not pretending that myself and every other American is color blind. Continue to pounce on me for calling a cat a cat. But then you have to admit that any gains he may get for being black is offset by losses he has in the south especially. Do you really think that where he is getting over 50% of the white vote in many places but only 25% in Mississippi and Alabama that race isn't the reason? Yeah, his race is having an effect -- to his detriment. Don't address one side without addressing the other. I admit it's certainly a possibility that his gains from being black COULD be offset by losses in other areas. That's really what I wanted to talk about here, how much would be changed if you simply changed his race. I disagree that his race is detrimental to his campaign, and I think you're wrong if you believe that. Remember a while back, we argued about racism per party, and you and Beeble tried to explain how the democratic party had no racists.  Well, following along those lines, I believe that there are far more people who vote FOR him because of his race than AGAINST him because of his race, though there are obviously people in both categories.
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Tue Mar 11, 2008 9:48 pm |
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Ripper
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Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 9:16 pm Posts: 7827 Location: please delete me
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 Re: If Obama wasn't black ...
Eagle wrote: It's a sad world we live in, but that doesn't mean it's not valid reasoning.
Everything Xiayun said is spot on, but look, you can say whatever you want about his charisma, urban areas aren't voting for him 85-15 because of his charisma.
Gee thanks, by urban what do you mean exactly, so what we black must vote for him because he is black? How does the conflct with my vagina's desire to vote for HIllary? Yes, race will factor/sex/religion/etc will factor into the decision for some people, in some cases that may what makes you notice a candidate, but there an implication in your statement, the blacks in droves are just, hey a black man might be President we have to vote for him. I know alot of African-Americans who still went out and voted for Hillary even with Obama running, you know they can be other factors.
Last edited by Ripper on Tue Mar 11, 2008 10:01 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Tue Mar 11, 2008 9:54 pm |
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Eagle
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Joined: Wed Sep 15, 2004 1:09 pm Posts: 14631 Location: Pittsburgh
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 Re: If Obama wasn't black ...
Easy, general psychology.
If you put to people up on a stage, one black, one white, and you have them give the exact same speech. Black people will identify more with the black man, white people will identify more with the white man. Similarly, race is a stronger factor than gender.
Obviously, the above is if both people are giving the EXACT same speech, no difference in anything except the race of the person delivering it. You could easily be moved by both Hillary and Obama, maybe you identify with both, agree on policy with both, who knows. But generally, as voting tendencies have blatantly shown, the black vote has gone overwhelmingly for Obama. Don't ask me why, I have ideas, but no one can say for sure except the people pulling the levers.
By Urban I mean inner city areas with high African-American populations.
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Tue Mar 11, 2008 9:59 pm |
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