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Jonathan
Begging Naked
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 12:07 pm Posts: 14737 Location: The Present (Duh)
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 Re: March 4th Championships
Eagle wrote: Mista Nasty Time wrote: they also called missouri for her too Eagle wrote: Yep, you're totally right, I really think Dems have to be very careful here not to disenfranchise their voters. well what do you think wlil happen if obama leads in pop votes n delegates yet doesnt get the nomination? I've been saying it for a while now: I think Hillary wins TX, OH, PA, and secures the nomination via brokered convention. I think she offers VP to Obama, he turns it down. I think the party has issues, black vote turns away, they lose the general election because of this mess. Because I'm in a pissy mood right now, I will accept this likely course of events and just hope Huckabee isn't VP when McCain croaks next January. Though I get the feeling that Hilary or McCain will be one-termers either way (Obama possibly too), so I might prefer a McCain win in that case. I DON'T KNOW WHAT TO THINK NO MORE.  Eagle wrote: I think WHOEVER gets the White House, Dem or Rep is totally fucked. Pretty much.
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Wed Mar 05, 2008 1:57 am |
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Mr. Reynolds
Confessing on a Dance Floor
Joined: Tue Nov 23, 2004 12:46 am Posts: 5578 Location: Celebratin' in Chitown
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 Re: March 4th Championships
ok, i lied. i am celebrating quite a bit. 
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Wed Mar 05, 2008 1:59 am |
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Excel
Superfreak
Joined: Sat Aug 20, 2005 12:54 am Posts: 22214 Location: Places
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 Re: March 4th Championships
Eagle wrote: Mista Nasty Time wrote: they also called missouri for her too Eagle wrote: Yep, you're totally right, I really think Dems have to be very careful here not to disenfranchise their voters. well what do you think wlil happen if obama leads in pop votes n delegates yet doesnt get the nomination? I've been saying it for a while now: I think Hillary wins TX, OH, PA, and secures the nomination via brokered convention. I think she offers VP to Obama, he turns it down. I think the party has issues, black vote turns away, they lose the general election because of this mess. sorry but im telling you. whoever has the popular vote will get it. if you also lead in delegates than thats even better and it looks like both will be obama.
_________________Ari Emmanuel wrote: I'd rather marry lindsay Lohan than represent Mel Gibson.
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Wed Mar 05, 2008 2:00 am |
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Eagle
Site Owner
Joined: Wed Sep 15, 2004 1:09 pm Posts: 14631 Location: Pittsburgh
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 Re: March 4th Championships
Mista Nasty Time wrote: sorry but im telling you. whoever has the popular vote will get it. if you also lead in delegates than thats even better and it looks like both will be obama. Ignorance is bliss! You and Gore should get together and throw a party, invite Kerry too and ask the two of them how much the popular vote meant for them. As for Obama and Clinton and this dream ticket, it's just not a reality: Quote: Barack Obama’s campaign lawyer Bob Bauer crashed a conference call convened by Hillary Clinton’s campaign Tuesday evening, sparring with Clinton communications director Howard Wolfson in an exchange that lasted several minutes.
Bauer dialed into the call that was intended to update the media on alleged irregularities in Texas caucus voting and identified himself to Wolfson’s surprise.
“Nice of you to call. How are you?†said a startled Wolfson when Bauer introduced himself.
The two men then proceeded to battle over the Clinton campaign’s complaints over caucus voting in Nevada and in Texas, with Bauer directly asking the Clinton campaign to “Stop attacking the caucus process.â€Â
Wolfson responded by challenging Bauer to work closely with the Clinton campaign to ensure there were no irregularities in the Texas caucuses.
“I would ask you to join with us this evening in ensuring that the serious problems that are ongoing as we speak in Texas are addressed,†Wolfson said, adding that they did not hold Bauer "personally responsible.â€Â
Bauer returned to his original charge, saying that the Clinton campaign had attempted to interfere with the process in both Iowa and Nevada, adding: “How is this (complaint) any different than the series of complaints registered against every caucus that you lose?"
After several minutes, Wolfson ended the conversation, telling Bauer he looked forward to "asking our own questions on subsequent calls of yours." Just too much hostility.
_________________
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Wed Mar 05, 2008 2:04 am |
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Excel
Superfreak
Joined: Sat Aug 20, 2005 12:54 am Posts: 22214 Location: Places
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 Re: March 4th Championships
Eagle wrote: Mista Nasty Time wrote: sorry but im telling you. whoever has the popular vote will get it. if you also lead in delegates than thats even better and it looks like both will be obama. Ignorance is bliss! You and Gore should get together and throw a party, invite Kerry too and ask the two of them how much the popular vote meant for them. do you remember 1968?
_________________Ari Emmanuel wrote: I'd rather marry lindsay Lohan than represent Mel Gibson.
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Wed Mar 05, 2008 2:05 am |
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Dkmuto
Forum General
Joined: Fri Oct 22, 2004 1:00 am Posts: 6502
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 Re: March 4th Championships
Mista Nasty Time wrote: Eagle wrote: Mista Nasty Time wrote: they also called missouri for her too Eagle wrote: Yep, you're totally right, I really think Dems have to be very careful here not to disenfranchise their voters. well what do you think wlil happen if obama leads in pop votes n delegates yet doesnt get the nomination? I've been saying it for a while now: I think Hillary wins TX, OH, PA, and secures the nomination via brokered convention. I think she offers VP to Obama, he turns it down. I think the party has issues, black vote turns away, they lose the general election because of this mess. sorry but im telling you. whoever has the popular vote will get it. if you also lead in delegates than thats even better and it looks like both will be obama. The argument against the popular vote claim, though, is that the caucuses aren't representative of any sort of "popular vote." Hillary will run with that.
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Wed Mar 05, 2008 2:06 am |
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Shack
Devil's Advocate
Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2005 2:30 am Posts: 40602
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 Re: March 4th Championships
Yeah, I think Obama would have no problem teaming up with her, but she wouldn't do the same for him
_________________Shack’s top 50 tv shows - viewtopic.php?f=8&t=90227
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Wed Mar 05, 2008 2:06 am |
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Caius
A very honest-hearted fellow
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:02 pm Posts: 4767
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 Re: March 4th Championships
Mista Nasty Time wrote: Eagle wrote: Mista Nasty Time wrote: sorry but im telling you. whoever has the popular vote will get it. if you also lead in delegates than thats even better and it looks like both will be obama. Ignorance is bliss! You and Gore should get together and throw a party, invite Kerry too and ask the two of them how much the popular vote meant for them. do you remember 1968? A riot at the Convention that helped to hurt the party and led to a Nixon win? We can only hope (subject to McCain not being Nixon). What point are you making?
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Wed Mar 05, 2008 2:07 am |
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Box
Extraordinary
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 12:52 am Posts: 25990
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 Re: March 4th Championships
No Country for Sam wrote: ok, i lied. i am celebrating quite a bit.  you jumped ship!!
_________________In order of preference: Christian, Argos MadGez wrote: Briefs. Am used to them and boxers can get me in trouble it seems. Too much room and maybe the silkiness have created more than one awkward situation. My Box-Office Blog: http://boxofficetracker.blogspot.com/
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Wed Mar 05, 2008 2:10 am |
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Rod
Extra on the Ordinary
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:50 pm Posts: 12821
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 Re: March 4th Championships
Latino voters are up from 2004, 24 to 34% in TExas.
African American voter turnout is actually down from '04...21 to 19%
Might have made all the difference.
_________________ Best Actress 2008
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Wed Mar 05, 2008 2:13 am |
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MadGez
Dont Mess with the Gez
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 9:54 am Posts: 23386 Location: Melbourne Australia
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 Re: March 4th Championships
Go Hillary!!
This think is going to PA now I guess.
Still to early to call the Dem nom but I still think Obama has the edge, unless he struggles with the media like he has this week.
_________________
What's your favourite movie summer? Let us know @
http://worldofkj.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=2&t=85934
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Wed Mar 05, 2008 2:15 am |
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MikeQ.
The French Dutch Boy
Joined: Wed Oct 13, 2004 8:28 pm Posts: 10266 Location: Mordor, Middle Earth
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 Re: March 4th Championships
There are now 13% in for the Texas caucuses. Obama dropped a little bit, but still holds the lead 54-46%.
Peace, Mike
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Wed Mar 05, 2008 2:19 am |
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Excel
Superfreak
Joined: Sat Aug 20, 2005 12:54 am Posts: 22214 Location: Places
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 Re: March 4th Championships
KidRock69x wrote: Mista Nasty Time wrote: Eagle wrote: Mista Nasty Time wrote: sorry but im telling you. whoever has the popular vote will get it. if you also lead in delegates than thats even better and it looks like both will be obama. Ignorance is bliss! You and Gore should get together and throw a party, invite Kerry too and ask the two of them how much the popular vote meant for them. do you remember 1968? A riot at the Convention that helped to hurt the party and led to a Nixon win? We can only hope (subject to McCain not being Nixon). What point are you making? They gave the nomination to the person with the less votes (hubert humphrey who hadnt even taken part in the primaries) and aside form losing the election, the party was a national embarassment and it pissed off most democrats. If Obama leads in all 3 of these: votes, delegates, and states- he will get the nomination. There is absolutly no way - 0% chance- they give to Hillary if he's earned more. There would be such an enormous backlash against the democratic party in general for one big reason: the person who gets the most votes did not win. And the public will either hate that or laugh at it, either way its aweful for the party. Bottom line: they will be looking to rally the party to win the white house. Rejecting the most popular member is not the way to do it, and they know it.
_________________Ari Emmanuel wrote: I'd rather marry lindsay Lohan than represent Mel Gibson.
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Wed Mar 05, 2008 2:20 am |
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Caius
A very honest-hearted fellow
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:02 pm Posts: 4767
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 Re: March 4th Championships
Mista Nasty Time wrote: They gave the nomination to the person with the less votes (george mcgovern) and aside form losing the election, the party was a national embarassment.
If Obama leads in all 3 of these: votes, delegates, and states- he will get the nomination. There is absolutly no way - 0% chance- they give to Hillary if he's earned more. There would be such an enormous backlash against the democratic party in general for one big reason: the person who gets the most votes did not win. And the public will either hate that or laugh at it, either way its aweful for the party.
VP Hubert Humphrey won the nomination in 1968 through back room dealings. He also ran a very close campaign in the general election, losing a lot of states, but only around 1% difference between him and Nixon. George McGovern won the nomination in 1972 and was smoked.
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Wed Mar 05, 2008 2:23 am |
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Dkmuto
Forum General
Joined: Fri Oct 22, 2004 1:00 am Posts: 6502
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 Re: March 4th Championships
Rod wrote: Latino voters are up from 2004, 24 to 34% in TExas.
African American voter turnout is actually down from '04...21 to 19%
Might have made all the difference. Really? Down from '04 primary turnout? How is THAT possible?
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Wed Mar 05, 2008 3:05 am |
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dolcevita
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 11:24 pm Posts: 16061 Location: The Damage Control Table
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 Re: March 4th Championships
Dkmuto wrote: Rod wrote: Latino voters are up from 2004, 24 to 34% in TExas.
African American voter turnout is actually down from '04...21 to 19%
Might have made all the difference. Really? Down from '04 primary turnout? How is THAT possible? Numbers is not the same thing as percentages. Clearly if one demographic is rising based on percentage of the whole, the other ones are dropping. It might not mean that less actual voters turned out, just that that number was proportionally less to the whole.
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Wed Mar 05, 2008 3:07 am |
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Dkmuto
Forum General
Joined: Fri Oct 22, 2004 1:00 am Posts: 6502
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 Re: March 4th Championships
dolcevita wrote: Dkmuto wrote: Rod wrote: Latino voters are up from 2004, 24 to 34% in TExas.
African American voter turnout is actually down from '04...21 to 19%
Might have made all the difference. Really? Down from '04 primary turnout? How is THAT possible? Numbers is not the same thing as percentages. Clearly if one demographic is rising based on percentage of the whole, the other ones are dropping. It might not mean that less actual voters turned out, just that that number was proportionally less to the whole. Oh! Gotcha. 
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Wed Mar 05, 2008 3:08 am |
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dolcevita
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 11:24 pm Posts: 16061 Location: The Damage Control Table
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 Re: March 4th Championships
loyalfromlondon wrote: Eagle wrote: Just too much hostility.
Nahh, it would be water under the bridge. Why would Obama pass up a chance at 16 years in the white house vs Hill's 8? Yep. There's no such thing as a repeat run from scratch. Just ask Lieberman and Edwards. Obama needs to get in now. So, if he will take the VP offer if he doesn't get to be President. Then he would be lining himself up perfectly, and the two of them can set some policy work/plans with a longer term vision. 16 Years! I find it funny that when Obama wins a state its coached in terms of 'momentum' and 'under-dog victory' but when Hillary does its about 'ruining the party' and 'should have dropped out already.' All the people who say "Obama was 20% back in the polls just two weeks ago," don't seem to think he should drop out the way they demand Hillary drop out when she's behind in the polls. Its funny. The only thing I got from tonight was that large chunks of the democratic voter base like both candidates, and are going to feel unhappy if their candidate isn't on the ticket. Both candidates are holding their own and clearly going to be in it for the long fight. I'd hope instead the two can find a 'plan C' and just run on the same ticket before democratic voters kill eachother. Even I'm ready to draw blood by now. 
Last edited by dolcevita on Wed Mar 05, 2008 3:18 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Wed Mar 05, 2008 3:13 am |
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Dkmuto
Forum General
Joined: Fri Oct 22, 2004 1:00 am Posts: 6502
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 Re: March 4th Championships
Almost 35,000 Ohioans cast votes for John Edwards today.
I'm sorry but who are these people and what are they thinking?
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Wed Mar 05, 2008 3:15 am |
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Chris
life begins now
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 9:09 pm Posts: 6480 Location: Columbus, Ohio
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 Re: March 4th Championships
Dkmuto wrote: Almost 35,000 Ohioans cast votes for John Edwards today.
I'm sorry but who are these people and what are they thinking? They probably think he's still in the race...we have quite a few smart ones here. Kucinich was also still on the ballot, however we got a paper saying a vote for him would not count. I have no idea why Edward's votes did though.
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Wed Mar 05, 2008 3:18 am |
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mdana
Veteran
Joined: Wed Apr 27, 2005 11:07 pm Posts: 3004
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 Re: March 4th Championships
Dkmuto wrote: Almost 35,000 Ohioans cast votes for John Edwards today.
I'm sorry but who are these people and what are they thinking? Dean won Vermont in 2004 after he had left the race, it was the only state he won. If you don't like the two still running or like them both equally, why not vote for the candidate you like the best? It wasn't like Bush was on the ballot and they were allowing him to win a third term...
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Wed Mar 05, 2008 3:41 am |
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A. G.
Draughty
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:23 am Posts: 13347
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 Re: March 4th Championships
Hillary was defeated after Wisconsin. Obama is going to get the nomination. It's impossible for Clinton to catch up. She'd have to get like 75% in all the remaining states she wins (Because Obama will win a few like NC)
The only question being decided is how much damage she's going to do before she concedes. The party honchos know this. I bet Pelosi, Gore and a few other leaders break for Obama within a week.
Eagle's idea of her getting it with the superdelegates is unlikely for two reasons. A lot of them don't like her, and also a lot of their own constituencies voted for Obama and they are going to want to get re-elected.
As to him taking the vp slot, he'd be a fool to. What he should do is do what she's doing: go negative. Make some ads highlighting her corporate lawyer past and her ties to lobbyists. It would damage his new politics theme a little but it would crush her.
Edit: well maybe not Gore since he is a bit of a wuss, but I wouldn't be surprised if Pelosi makes a decision soon.
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Wed Mar 05, 2008 3:49 am |
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Dkmuto
Forum General
Joined: Fri Oct 22, 2004 1:00 am Posts: 6502
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 Re: March 4th Championships
Archie Gates wrote: Hillary was defeated after Wisconsin. Obama is going to get the nomination. It's impossible for Clinton to catch up. She'd have to get like 75% in all the remaining states she wins (Because Obama will win a few like NC)
The only question being decided is how much damage she's going to do before she concedes. The party honchos know this. I bet Pelosi, Gore and a few other leaders break for Obama within a week.
Eagle's idea of her getting it with the superdelegates is unlikely for two reasons. A lot of them don't like her, and also a lot of their own constituencies voted for Obama and they are going to want to get re-elected.
As to him taking the vp slot, he'd be a fool to. What he should do is do what she's doing: go negative. Make some ads highlighting her corporate lawyer past and her ties to lobbyists. It would damage his new politics theme a little but it would crush her. Yeah, though I'm not sure he'd do it, he needs to prove that he can fight. He's hit back previously with response ads (to the 3 a.m. ad, and to the Wisconsin debate one), but he has yet to strike preemptively. I don't know, though. Would Hillary be able to cry hypocrite? Probably not, but McCain might be able to.
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Wed Mar 05, 2008 3:55 am |
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Dkmuto
Forum General
Joined: Fri Oct 22, 2004 1:00 am Posts: 6502
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 Re: March 4th Championships
Also, how do you guys feel about this whole "the fight is weakening the party" thing?
At of right now, I don't buy into it. I think people are ready for this thing to be over, but there's obviously still excitement. And with Hillary presumably gaining ground, it's not like McCain will have one candidate to be firing shots at like he has the past couple weeks with Obama.
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Wed Mar 05, 2008 3:59 am |
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redfirebird2008
Cream of the Crop
Joined: Thu May 03, 2007 4:13 am Posts: 2483
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 Re: March 4th Championships
The delegate breakdown for the Texas primary is potentially going to only be a difference of 1 in Hillary's favor: http://spreadsheets.google.com/pub?key= ... z7oU3-llfgObama leads the caucus by 10%, but only 34% is reported so far. 10% is around 6 delegates, so that puts Obama ahead by 5 if the numbers in the primary and caucus hold.
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Wed Mar 05, 2008 4:01 am |
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