If she can win in Ohio and Texas, along with Vermont and Rhode Island, that will give her momentum going into PA, which is more than a month after that. Granted, Obama seems to increase his base the more people get to know him and his views, so who knows.

So Hillary is forced to adopt that Giuliani strategy - think ahead to March 4 and forget about these other states, even though the delegate count in Ohio and Texas isn't really that much (less than the contests she lost this past week). Meanwhile, Obama is sweeping her and gaining tremendous amounts of momentum that is going to make it harder and harder for her to catch up. Even if she wins Ohio AND Texas, it won't be by much. In fact, she could win and still lose the delegate counts in those states - meaning that she will have to win decisively, which is unlikely.

McCain's speech delivery system hasn't caught on to the whole "push a bunch of diverse kids behind you to at least make it seem like your base isn't all old white people" thing.

But unlike Rudy, Hillary still has a ton of delegates, a huge name, and I don't think is counted out the way Rudy was.

By DAVID ESPO, AP Special Correspondent 7 minutes ago

WASHINGTON - Sen. Barack Obama easily won Democratic primaries Virginia and Maryland on Tuesday and reached out for another in the District of Columbia in a determined drive to erase Hillary Rodham Clinton's delegate lead in the party's presidential race. Obama's triumphs made it seven straight over Clinton, the former first lady, now struggling in a race she once commanded.


His Virginia victory left him a scant 10 delegates short of his rival, with 132 left to allocate for the night.

Her deputy campaign manager resigned, the second high-level Clinton departure in as many days.

The Illinois senator was gaining more than 60 percent of the Virginia vote, and Clinton, senator from New York, less than 40 percent.

The Associated Press made its call in the Maryland race based on surveys of voters as they left the polls.

Again, Obama doesn't have to win TX, OH or PA to win the nomination now. He only needs to be close and split delegates. Clinton needs to face facts and go back to the Senate and ponder this for eternity.

He doesn't. Assuming he doesnt get killed, than at worst, niether would win the 2200 delegates. If he wins or its close, hell get it.

do you work for his campaign? you seem to know a lot about it.

Considering his base, he'd probably have to use cardboard cut-outs of non-white kids to put behind him.

Obama won the latino vote in the Patomic and it looks like more are jumping ship

No matter how one slices the election results from last night, there's no denying that Obama is the statistical front-runner. He's got a 100-plus pledged delegate lead and even has the lead if you factor in superdelegates. Here's our math: The NBC News election unit hard count stands at 1078 to 969. If you factor in the unallocated pledged delegates, our estimate rises to approximately 1128 to 1009 in Obama's favor (margin of error +/- 5 delegates). Toss in the superdelegates and Obama's lead is 1306 to 1270 (again +/- 5 delegates). What does this mean? For Clinton to overtake Obama for the pledged delegate lead -- which we think is the single most important statistic for the superdelegates to decide their vote -- she'll have to win 55% of the remaining delegates. Assuming next week goes Obama's way in Wisconsin and Hawaii, that percentage rises to 57%. Toss in likely Obama victories in Vermont, Wyoming, Mississippi, Oregon, Montana, and South Dakota, then Clinton's percentage need tops 60% of the remaining delegates available. And this is simply for her to regain the pledged delegate lead…

*** Staying on the statistical front: Check out these cumulative vote totals for primaries and caucuses to date:
States Awarding Delegates
Total Vote %
Obama 9,373,334 50%
Clinton 8,674,779 46%
Others 726,095 4%

With Florida
Total Vote %
Obama 9,942,375 49%
Clinton 9,531,987 46%
Others 984,236 4%

With Florida and Michigan
Total Vote %
Obama 9,942,375 47%
Clinton 9,860,138 47%
Others 1,249,922 6%

Wisconsin - Rasmussen: Obama 47, Clinton 43



Ohio Polls:

Rasmussen: Clinton 51, Obama 37
Quinnipac: Clinton 55, Obama 34


PA Poll:

Quinnipac: Clinton 52, Obama 36