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 Assault on Precinct 13 
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College Boy Z

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Post Assault on Precinct 13
Assault on Precinct 13

Release Date: January 19, 2005
Studio: Rogue Pictures
Director: Jean-François Ríchet
Screenwriter: James DeMonaco
Starring: Ethan Hawke, Laurence Fishburne, John Leguizamo, Maria Bello, Ja Rule, Drea de Matteo, Matt Craven, Aisha Hinds, Brian Dennehy, Gabriel Byrne
Genre: Action, Crime, Drama, Horror, Thriller
MPAA Rating: R (for strong violence and language throughout, and for some drug content)
Official Website: AP13movie.com

Plot Summary: To survive the night, cops and criminals alike will have to unite and fight. A classic head-to-head showdown ignites in an all-new update of the 1976 action thriller of the same name. With only a few hours left in the calendar year, Precinct 13, one of Detroit's oldest precinct houses, is closing. Amid heavy snowfall and unsafe road conditions, only a few lawmen remain on duty for New Year's Eve. They are headed by Sergeant Jake Roenick (Ethan Hawke), a good cop wrestling with bad memories of a fatal undercover op from the previous spring. Roenick and Precinct 13 have both seen better days. Early on December 31st, deep in the city, formidable crime lord Marion Bishop (Laurence Fishburne), is cornered by an undercover cop. Their ensuing struggle leaves the cop dead - and Bishop captured, by the Organized Crime and Racketeering squad that Marcus Duvall (Gabriel Byrne) runs. Bishop is handcuffed and herded onto a prison bus with several criminals: junkie Beck (John Leguizamo), hustler Smiley (Ja Rule), and gang member Anna (Aisha Hinds). But the battering snowstorm stops the bus well short of its high-security destination and strands it at the remote Precinct 13 - where, as night falls, the prisoners are temporarily incarcerated. This influx of prisoners irks Roenick, almost as much as visiting police psychologist Alex Sabian (Maria Bello) does. But Precinct 13's provocative secretary Iris Ferri (Drea de Matteo) and salty veteran cop Jasper "Old School" O'Shea (Brian Dennehy) won't let the increasing workload deter them from celebrating...until two masked gunmen break in and attack the guards from the bus. The gunmen are just barely beaten back, and everyone inside Precinct 13 realizes that more will come - to extract crime lord Bishop, but also armed and ready to shoot anyone and everyone else. The cops, looking to the reluctant Roenick for leadership, and the cons, looking to the steely Bishop for an angle, must join forces to live. Fortifying themselves with minimal weaponry and maximum courage, they will not go gently into the bad night. As they fight to the death, the thin lines between good and bad bleed together.


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Could this be a hit? I think it looks pretty good. I see no point for the 5-day release, though, but whatever. It's only going up against Are We There Yet? and the second weekend of Elektra. I think it may be able to pull some decent numbers with the right amount of theaters. Right now, it's estimated for about 2,000 theaters. I'm not sure how much it costs, but I'm hoping it will be able to make over $40 million.

Opening: $14.3 million ($16.3 million 5-day)
Total: $42.1 million


Sun Jan 02, 2005 3:07 am
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Will never match up to the original. I expect it to do poor numbers. Looks crap also. Ill see it, but only for a joke :lol:

Opening Weekend: $9 Million

Total: $25 Million

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Sun Jan 02, 2005 7:51 am
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My predictions:

Opening Day: $2.3 million
Thursday: $1.35 million
Opening Weekend: $13.75 million
5-Day: $17.4 million

Second Weekend: $8.50 million (-52%)

Domestic Total: $45.5 million

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Sun Jan 02, 2005 9:52 am
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RogueCommander wrote:

Domestic Total: $45.5 million


Bit generous isnt it?

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Sun Jan 02, 2005 10:21 am
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College Boy Z

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Time to change my prediction. The marketing has been terrible. It looks to be release as a very unknown type of movie. I don't think it can do that great now, or at best, Cellular numbers.

Opening: $9 million ($12 million 5-day), Total: $28.2 million

Oh, and by the way....

Rotten Tomatoes - 8 Fresh, 2 Rotten (80%)


Mon Jan 17, 2005 10:46 am
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Algren wrote:
RogueCommander wrote:

Domestic Total: $45.5 million


Bit generous isnt it?


Probably.

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Mon Jan 17, 2005 10:48 am
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Opening: $6.8 million
Total: $15 million

I see no interest in this film.


Mon Jan 17, 2005 11:18 am
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Algren wrote:
Will never match up to the original. I expect it to do poor numbers. Looks crap also. Ill see it, but only for a joke :lol:

Opening Weekend: $9 Million

Total: $25 Million


Wasn't the original just a bad or average B movie.

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Mon Jan 17, 2005 11:20 am
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New Predictions:

Opening: $9.4 million
Domestic Total: $24 million

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Mon Jan 17, 2005 11:21 am
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I'm seeing 2+ ads for this per night on TV, being heavily marketed as far as I can tell, and looks not too bad for a dumb action movie, along the lines of SWAT as far as quality goes.


Mon Jan 17, 2005 12:03 pm
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Getting much better reviews that we expected: on RT, 8 out of 10 are fresh with an average rating of 7.2.

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Mon Jan 17, 2005 2:12 pm
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That is a good sign, maybe it will have stronger legs. I still think that it will open low given the competition and the lack of a strong advertising campaign (at least at the moment).

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Mon Jan 17, 2005 2:29 pm
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Open: $12.1m
Total: $33.2m

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Mon Jan 17, 2005 2:38 pm
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RogueCommander wrote:
That is a good sign, maybe it will have stronger legs. I still think that it will open low given the competition and the lack of a strong advertising campaign (at least at the moment).


I think the advertising campaign isn't that weak. I saw the trailers twice at the theater during the weekend. It's in the top 5 of Yahoo's most downloaded trailer list, so people are aware of it. It seems to me people are lowballing it too much.

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Mon Jan 17, 2005 2:42 pm
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I liked the original John Carpenter movie because of its campiness. The trailer for the new version seems rather underwhelming and boring so Im not that convinced that it will gross over 10 million for the weekend. The reviews do look positive so I may check out the movie since theres nothing else playing


Mon Jan 17, 2005 2:46 pm
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I say 20m+ opening Ive only seen the Trailer on T.V. twise but it got me hooked instantly, family members of mine think it looks interesting also so we may be catching this film some time this wk. Ill have a more exact wknd prediction up later along with the 5 day projecting but I expect 20m+ for the 3-day :wink:

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Mon Jan 17, 2005 2:54 pm
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xiayun wrote:
RogueCommander wrote:
That is a good sign, maybe it will have stronger legs. I still think that it will open low given the competition and the lack of a strong advertising campaign (at least at the moment).


I think the advertising campaign isn't that weak. I saw the trailers twice at the theater during the weekend. It's in the top 5 of Yahoo's most downloaded trailer list, so people are aware of it. It seems to me people are lowballing it too much.


That could be. Next week is a very competitive week though, which is why I think it will be lost among all the higher profile films.

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Mon Jan 17, 2005 2:56 pm
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I REALLY, REALLY want this one to do well. It looks absolutely terrific, and I need my hardcore R movies. I'm just not sure if the interest is there. My dream is for a 20 million opening and 25 5 day with an 80 million total thanks to good wom. My cynical side says 8 million opening and 10 million 5 day with a total of just over 20 million, so I'm going with 12 million three days, 15 million five, and a total of 34 million.


Mon Jan 17, 2005 4:07 pm
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MovieDude wrote:
I REALLY, REALLY want this one to do well. It looks absolutely terrific, and I need my hardcore R movies. I'm just not sure if the interest is there. My dream is for a 20 million opening and 25 5 day with an 80 million total thanks to good wom. My cynical side says 8 million opening and 10 million 5 day with a total of just over 20 million, so I'm going with 12 million three days, 15 million five, and a total of 34 million.


this is the january of suprizes I wouldn count this film out just yet :wink:

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Mon Jan 17, 2005 4:12 pm
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Jesus Christ, this movie still is above 70%. :shock:

http://www.rottentomatoes.com/m/1000396 ... ecinct_13/

12 Fresh, 4 Rotten - 75% Fresh - Average: 7/10


Tue Jan 18, 2005 4:41 pm
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Zingaling wrote:
Jesus Christ, this movie still is above 70%. :shock:

http://www.rottentomatoes.com/m/1000396 ... ecinct_13/

12 Fresh, 4 Rotten - 75% Fresh - Average: 7/10


I was thinking of upping my predictions because of the positive reviews but then I remembered how positive reviews didnt help Harold & Kumar either


Tue Jan 18, 2005 4:49 pm
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I'm thinking about it, too. I mean, it didn't help Harold & Kumar, but honestly, I think teen movies and action flicks react a little differently to positive reviews. For R rated action movies like this, older audiences may actually read the reviews for it and be encouraged to go. It depends more on what the "main" reviewers give it, so we can get an idea of people will actually be looking at when they see reviews.

It could do better than I was once thinking, though.


Tue Jan 18, 2005 4:52 pm
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Yeah, I'm considering upping my predictions too. I was assuming no one knew about it, but at my movie club today people were talking about it just as much as Coach Carter, and that came out last weekend! The great reviews coupled with that is making me consider about 13 million three day, 16.5 five day and a total of 37 million.


Tue Jan 18, 2005 11:18 pm
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Goldie wrote:
Algren wrote:
Will never match up to the original. I expect it to do poor numbers. Looks crap also. Ill see it, but only for a joke :lol:

Opening Weekend: $9 Million

Total: $25 Million


Wasn't the original just a bad or average B movie.


The amatuerish of it, made it what it is. Also the music, cant be beaten for that type of film.

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Wed Jan 19, 2005 9:23 am
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I lower my $6.8 opening prediction even lower.

Opening: $5.7
Total: $12.9

Some of you are predicting opening weekends bigger than my total! :shock:


Wed Jan 19, 2005 9:51 pm
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