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publicenemy#1
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am
Posts: 19399
Location: San Diego
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 Re: Super Mario weekend So even if Mario stays flat today and drops 40% on Sunday it still hits $200m. Wow.
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| Sat Apr 08, 2023 1:13 pm |
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Mau
100% That Bitch
Joined: Wed Dec 17, 2008 3:42 pm
Posts: 16923
Location: Monterrey, Mexico
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Re: Super Mario weekend Where is the Zelda announcement? I'm expecting the Tom Holland as Link casting announcement any day now.
Gorlbye Marvel, Hello Nintendo as the new BOSS
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| Sat Apr 08, 2023 1:32 pm |
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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm
Posts: 21527
Location: West Chester, Pennsylvania
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Re: Super Mario weekend D&D will be at about 65m by Sunday. Ahead of The Lost City and Bullet Train through the same point. With no direct competition opening for a month hopefully it can crawl to 100-105m like those did. Still a bad rate of return, but 100m will at least look ok on paper
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| Sat Apr 08, 2023 1:44 pm |
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publicenemy#1
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am
Posts: 19399
Location: San Diego
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Re: Super Mario weekend I'm very curious about how this summer will be and if any other film will wildly surpass expectations. Think this is just an anomaly though lol but summer should be solid
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| Sat Apr 08, 2023 2:16 pm |
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Flava'd vs The World
The Kramer
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 11:36 am
Posts: 25317
Location: Classified
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Re: Super Mario weekend The trends of the last year suggest that Spiderverse, The Flash, Indy, Dead Reckoning and Barbie will be the big winners of the summer while Guardians, Fast, Transformers and Elemental will struggle.
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| Sat Apr 08, 2023 2:53 pm |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm
Posts: 68295
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Re: Super Mario weekend I don't know. I think Transformers is in for a mini comeback. It already feels like a franchise that was given a slice of reality and has had to grovel and build it's way back up (which it kind of did with Bumblebee). Rise of the Beasts feels like a return to former glories. A gross in the Puss in Boots: The Last Wish region would signal this.
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| Sat Apr 08, 2023 3:27 pm |
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Shack
Devil's Advocate
Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2005 2:30 am
Posts: 40455
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Re: Super Mario weekend I'm going with the scenario as well of MCU and superhero disappointing and virtually everything else doing well. The Flash might be able to buck the trend just because it looks good.
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| Sat Apr 08, 2023 3:34 pm |
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publicenemy#1
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am
Posts: 19399
Location: San Diego
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Re: Super Mario weekend Shazam and Ant-Man having BvS legs is really something lol
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| Sat Apr 08, 2023 5:12 pm |
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Keyser Söze
Quality is a great business plan
Joined: Wed Sep 05, 2007 9:21 pm
Posts: 6753
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Re: Super Mario weekend Empire is saying 58m+ saturday. I am also seeing definite increase today. Definitely looking at 210m+ over 5 days.
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| Sat Apr 08, 2023 6:58 pm |
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Darth Indiana Bond
007
Joined: Wed Jul 20, 2005 11:43 pm
Posts: 11600
Location: Wouldn't you like to know
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Re: Super Mario weekend Flava'd vs The World wrote: The trends of the last year suggest that Spiderverse, The Flash, Indy, Dead Reckoning and Barbie will be the big winners of the summer while Guardians, Fast, Transformers and Elemental will struggle. I think Guardians will be Marvel’s last hurrah. But Disney is starring down a dark hole for the future. I mean they’ll be fine, but not the unparalleled Titan they were in the 2010s. _________________
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| Sat Apr 08, 2023 7:02 pm |
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Rev
Romosexual!
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 3:06 am
Posts: 32603
Location: the last free city
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Re: Super Mario weekend Keyser Söze wrote: Empire is saying 58m+ saturday. I am also seeing definite increase today. Definitely looking at 210m+ over 5 days. Link?
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| Sat Apr 08, 2023 7:02 pm |
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Keyser Söze
Quality is a great business plan
Joined: Wed Sep 05, 2007 9:21 pm
Posts: 6753
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Re: Super Mario weekend Rev wrote: Keyser Söze wrote: Empire is saying 58m+ saturday. I am also seeing definite increase today. Definitely looking at 210m+ over 5 days. Link? Empire has access to comscore. He used to post at BOT but got banned. Now he just posts at twitter. He is also saying 6m+ for Air. Very good indeed. Looking at 15m over 3 days.
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| Sat Apr 08, 2023 7:05 pm |
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Rev
Romosexual!
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 3:06 am
Posts: 32603
Location: the last free city
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Re: Super Mario weekend Keyser Söze wrote: Rev wrote: Keyser Söze wrote: Empire is saying 58m+ saturday. I am also seeing definite increase today. Definitely looking at 210m+ over 5 days. Link? Empire has access to comscore. He used to post at BOT but got banned. Now he just posts at twitter. He is also saying 6m+ for Air. Very good indeed. Looking at 15m over 3 days. Thx 
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| Sat Apr 08, 2023 7:16 pm |
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Barrabás
llegó a la casa vía marítima
Joined: Sun Aug 05, 2007 4:53 pm
Posts: 6324
Location: la gran casa de la esquina
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Re: Super Mario weekend zwackerm wrote: Hopefully D&D levels off next week. Not a great hold for it. Looks to be over/under 60%. 15m looks like the highest it can go It was so stupid to release it one week before Mario when they're both competing for the millennial geek audience.
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| Sat Apr 08, 2023 8:23 pm |
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Barrabás
llegó a la casa vía marítima
Joined: Sun Aug 05, 2007 4:53 pm
Posts: 6324
Location: la gran casa de la esquina
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Re: Super Mario weekend Darth Indiana Bond wrote: Flava'd vs The World wrote: The trends of the last year suggest that Spiderverse, The Flash, Indy, Dead Reckoning and Barbie will be the big winners of the summer while Guardians, Fast, Transformers and Elemental will struggle. I think Guardians will be Marvel’s last hurrah. But Disney is starring down a dark hole for the future. I mean they’ll be fine, but not the unparalleled Titan they were in the 2010s. Yeah Disney blew their load in 2019 and it's been downhill since. They got too cocky with their big franchises. Marvel is declining rapidly, they destroyed the Star Wars brand and there's no OG cast anymore to prop it up, Pixar no longer guarantees success, and they're running out of live-action animation adaptations to make. They do still have a lot of big cards to play though. Zootopia 2 for instance. We will know they're getting desperate if they start to make live-action adaptations of Pixar movies. Or a live-action Frozen.
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| Sat Apr 08, 2023 8:31 pm |
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Keyser Söze
Quality is a great business plan
Joined: Wed Sep 05, 2007 9:21 pm
Posts: 6753
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Re: Super Mario weekend Guardian presales are so bad that at this point sub 100m is a possibility !!!
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The world is all about mind and matter, I don't mind and U don't matter
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| Sat Apr 08, 2023 11:03 pm |
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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm
Posts: 21527
Location: West Chester, Pennsylvania
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Re: Super Mario weekend I think Guardians will pick up significantly closer to release. I still really want to see it. Just haven’t bought tickets yet
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| Sat Apr 08, 2023 11:12 pm |
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Rev
Romosexual!
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 3:06 am
Posts: 32603
Location: the last free city
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Re: Super Mario weekend https://deadline.com/2023/04/box-office ... 235318951/Quote: SATURDAY PM: “It’s still growing tonight” says one rival studio source who happens to be watching the non-stop booming late night ticket sales for Illumination/Universal’s Super Mario Bros Movie which clocked a $56M Saturday (+2% over Friday), for what is now a $146M 3-day, a massive $33,1K theater average, and a record 5-day of –wow– $204.2M per recent industry figures. That kicks Transformers: Revenge of the Fallen‘s $200M Wednesday-Sunday opening to second place among 5-day U.S./Canada records. Among Easter weekend openings, Super Mario Bros ranks third behind 2016’s Batman vs. Superman ($181M) and 2015’s Furious 7‘s $161M. If overseas is still at $173M by tomorrow AM, then the new global opening record for an animated movie set by Super Mario Bros stands at $377.2M.
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| Sun Apr 09, 2023 1:36 am |
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lilmac
Veteran
Joined: Wed May 25, 2005 12:07 am
Posts: 3220
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Re: Super Mario weekend That GOTG3 weekend will tell us a lot about the state of the MCU franchise.
Doctor Strange 2 was lucky to have been released in 2022 vs 2023. It probably would have made $100m less now.
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| Sun Apr 09, 2023 2:04 am |
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Thegun
On autopilot for the summer
Joined: Thu Oct 21, 2004 10:14 pm
Posts: 21889
Location: Walking around somewhere
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Re: Super Mario weekend Guardians will be fine, too early for pre sales to be any way accurate. Disney also has Avengers, Deadpool. 3 new SW films, Indy, Mermaid and Aladdin 2, any studio would kill for that lineup, and that is just a taste of the next 5 years. I’m sure they’ll have countless other films with 750ww+ films coming up.
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| Sun Apr 09, 2023 8:59 am |
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Jonathan
Begging Naked
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 12:07 pm
Posts: 14737
Location: The Present (Duh)
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Re: Super Mario weekend
A really great start. Not only met the highest expectations for the movie, but it's also the best opening weekend for a film opening against a $100M opener since Tag made $14.95M in June 2018 against Incredibles 2! Nice to see counter-programming can still work.
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| Sun Apr 09, 2023 10:53 am |
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Darth Indiana Bond
007
Joined: Wed Jul 20, 2005 11:43 pm
Posts: 11600
Location: Wouldn't you like to know
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Re: Super Mario weekend Helps that they are aiming for vastly different demographics
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| Sun Apr 09, 2023 11:27 am |
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MadGez
Dont Mess with the Gez
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 9:54 am
Posts: 23323
Location: Melbourne Australia
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Re: Super Mario weekend Nice to see Air have a solid start. Hopefully bucks the 2023 trend and have string holds from here.
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| Sun Apr 09, 2023 11:55 am |
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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm
Posts: 21527
Location: West Chester, Pennsylvania
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Re: Super Mario weekend If D&D plummets from here, it will get to 92m. Hopefully it can level off enough to get to 100m, though a sequel is a pipe dream at this point
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| Sun Apr 09, 2023 1:24 pm |
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Jonathan
Begging Naked
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 12:07 pm
Posts: 14737
Location: The Present (Duh)
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Re: Super Mario weekend Little surprised no one posted the official Mario estimate yet.
They're estimating a -39% drop today, so it's definitely going up in the final numbers too - probably topping $150M for the weekend. It probably could have topped Incredibles 2's animation opening record with a normal Friday start w/Thursday previews, but honestly this is kind of more impressive, especially as a non-sequel.
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| Sun Apr 09, 2023 3:02 pm |
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