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 65 Total on $50 million Grossers of 2004. 
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The Thirteenth Floor
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49 have made it.

In the coming weeks:

Locks:
50. Shall We Dance?
51. Ray
52. Saw
53. The Polar Express
54. Bridget Jones: The Edge of Reason
55. Spongebob
56. National Treasure
57. Blade: Trinity
58. Ocean's Twelve
59. Lemony Snicket
60. Meet The Fockers

90%+ chance:
Alexander
Spanglish

50% - 89% chance:
Finding Neverland
Christmas with the Kranks
The Aviator

10% - 49% chance:
Closer
The Phantom of the Opera
The Flight of the Pheonix
Fat Albert
In Good Company

1% - 9% chance:
The Life Aquatic with Steve Zissou
The Darkness


Sat Nov 13, 2004 7:16 pm
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Wow!!! It looks like that this year will be loaded with $50 million grossers. Could we hit 70?

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Sat Nov 13, 2004 8:02 pm
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It looks like that Ray is famous for one thing, for becoming the 50th 50 million grosser (try saying that three times fast). Here is were we stand.

Winter (6)
The Passion of the Christ
50 First Dates
Along Came Polly
Barbershop 2: Back in Business
Miracle
The Butterfly Effect

Spring (10)
Starsky and Hutch
Mean Girls
Scooby-Doo 2: Monsters Unleashed
Man on Fire
Hidalgo
Kill Bill Vol. 2
Hellboy
Dawn of the Dead
13 Going on 30
Home on the Range

Summer (26)
Shrek 2
Spider-Man 2
Harry Potter and the Prisoner of Azkaban
The Day After Tomorrow
The Bourne Supremacy
I, Robot
Troy
Van Helsing
Fahrenheit 9/11
DodgeBall: A True Underdog Story
The Village
Collateral
The Princess Diaries 2: Royal Engagement
Anchorman: The Legend of Ron Burgundy
The Notebook
Alien vs. Predator
The Terminal
Garfield: The Movie
White Chicks
The Manchurian Candidate
The Stepford Wives
The Chronicles of Riddick
Without a Paddle
Hero
King Arthur
A Cinderella Story

Fall (7 down, 2 to go)
The Forgotten
Resident Evil: Apocalypse
Shark Tale
Ladder 49
Friday Night Lights
The Grudge
Ray

Winter (1 down, 15 to go)
Incredibles

Coming up next, Shall We Dance and Saw, which will close out the fall films, and Polar Express should be added to the winter list soon. Bridget Jones will depend on the expansion.

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Sun Nov 14, 2004 3:43 pm
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Glad for:

50 First Dates
The Butterfly Effect
Mean Girls
Scooby-Doo 2: Monsters Unleashed
Man on Fire
Kill Bill Vol. 2
Dawn of the Dead
13 Going on 30
Shrek 2
The Day After Tomorrow
DodgeBall: A True Underdog Story
The Village
Collateral
Anchorman: The Legend of Ron Burgundy
The Notebook
Alien vs. Predator
Garfield: The Movie
White Chicks
The Stepford Wives
Without a Paddle
A Cinderella Story
The Forgotten
Resident Evil: Apocalypse
Shark Tale
The Grudge
Incredibles

Go SAW!!!


Sun Nov 14, 2004 4:07 pm
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On Friday, Shall We Dance waltzed it's way up to 50 million. It is the 51st movie to do so this year. Here is the list.

Winter (6)
The Passion of the Christ
50 First Dates
Along Came Polly
Barbershop 2: Back in Business
Miracle
The Butterfly Effect

Spring (10)
Starsky and Hutch
Mean Girls
Scooby-Doo 2: Monsters Unleashed
Man on Fire
Hidalgo
Kill Bill Vol. 2
Hellboy
Dawn of the Dead
13 Going on 30
Home on the Range

Summer (26)
Shrek 2
Spider-Man 2
Harry Potter and the Prisoner of Azkaban
The Day After Tomorrow
The Bourne Supremacy
I, Robot
Troy
Van Helsing
Fahrenheit 9/11
DodgeBall: A True Underdog Story
The Village
Collateral
The Princess Diaries 2: Royal Engagement
Anchorman: The Legend of Ron Burgundy
The Notebook
Alien vs. Predator
The Terminal
Garfield: The Movie
White Chicks
The Manchurian Candidate
The Stepford Wives
The Chronicles of Riddick
Without a Paddle
Hero
King Arthur
A Cinderella Story

Fall (8 down, 1 to go)
The Forgotten
Resident Evil: Apocalypse
Shark Tale
Ladder 49
Friday Night Lights
The Grudge
Ray
Shall We Dance

Winter (1 down, 15 to go)
Incredibles

Saw should close up that fall gap by Sunday. Polar Express could make it by Sunday too. National Tresure and Spongebob will make on Turkey day. I am not too sure on Bridget Jones. It looks like that the Holidays is off to a good start.

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Sat Nov 20, 2004 3:44 pm
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Scott Vasquez wrote:
Saw should close up that fall gap by Sunday. Polar Express could make it by Sunday too.


And that it did. Putting our 50 million grossers count to 53.

Winter (6)
The Passion of the Christ
50 First Dates
Along Came Polly
Barbershop 2: Back in Business
Miracle
The Butterfly Effect

Spring (10)
Starsky and Hutch
Mean Girls
Scooby-Doo 2: Monsters Unleashed
Man on Fire
Hidalgo
Kill Bill Vol. 2
Hellboy
Dawn of the Dead
13 Going on 30
Home on the Range

Summer (26)
Shrek 2
Spider-Man 2
Harry Potter and the Prisoner of Azkaban
The Day After Tomorrow
The Bourne Supremacy
I, Robot
Troy
Van Helsing
Fahrenheit 9/11
DodgeBall: A True Underdog Story
The Village
Collateral
The Princess Diaries 2: Royal Engagement
Anchorman: The Legend of Ron Burgundy
The Notebook
Alien vs. Predator
The Terminal
Garfield: The Movie
White Chicks
The Manchurian Candidate
The Stepford Wives
The Chronicles of Riddick
Without a Paddle
Hero
King Arthur
A Cinderella Story

Fall (9)
The Forgotten
Resident Evil: Apocalypse
Shark Tale
Ladder 49
Friday Night Lights
The Grudge
Ray
Shall We Dance
Saw

Winter (2 down, 14 to go)
Incredibles
Polar Express

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Sun Nov 21, 2004 2:31 pm
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Yay, National Treasure became the 54th movie to hit this mark.

Winter (6)
The Passion of the Christ
50 First Dates
Along Came Polly
Barbershop 2: Back in Business
Miracle
The Butterfly Effect

Spring (10)
Starsky and Hutch
Mean Girls
Scooby-Doo 2: Monsters Unleashed
Man on Fire
Hidalgo
Kill Bill Vol. 2
Hellboy
Dawn of the Dead
13 Going on 30
Home on the Range

Summer (26)
Shrek 2
Spider-Man 2
Harry Potter and the Prisoner of Azkaban
The Day After Tomorrow
The Bourne Supremacy
I, Robot
Troy
Van Helsing
Fahrenheit 9/11
DodgeBall: A True Underdog Story
The Village
Collateral
The Princess Diaries 2: Royal Engagement
Anchorman: The Legend of Ron Burgundy
The Notebook
Alien vs. Predator
The Terminal
Garfield: The Movie
White Chicks
The Manchurian Candidate
The Stepford Wives
The Chronicles of Riddick
Without a Paddle
Hero
King Arthur
A Cinderella Story

Fall (9)
The Forgotten
Resident Evil: Apocalypse
Shark Tale
Ladder 49
Friday Night Lights
The Grudge
Ray
Shall We Dance
Saw

Winter (3 down, 13 to go)
Incredibles
Polar Express
National Treasure

Spongbob will make it today, and Alexander and Kranks should make it eventually.

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Fri Nov 26, 2004 10:40 pm
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Spongebob now makes it 55.

Winter (6)
The Passion of the Christ
50 First Dates
Along Came Polly
Barbershop 2: Back in Business
Miracle
The Butterfly Effect

Spring (10)
Starsky and Hutch
Mean Girls
Scooby-Doo 2: Monsters Unleashed
Man on Fire
Hidalgo
Kill Bill Vol. 2
Hellboy
Dawn of the Dead
13 Going on 30
Home on the Range

Summer (26)
Shrek 2
Spider-Man 2
Harry Potter and the Prisoner of Azkaban
The Day After Tomorrow
The Bourne Supremacy
I, Robot
Troy
Van Helsing
Fahrenheit 9/11
DodgeBall: A True Underdog Story
The Village
Collateral
The Princess Diaries 2: Royal Engagement
Anchorman: The Legend of Ron Burgundy
The Notebook
Alien vs. Predator
The Terminal
Garfield: The Movie
White Chicks
The Manchurian Candidate
The Stepford Wives
The Chronicles of Riddick
Without a Paddle
Hero
King Arthur
A Cinderella Story

Fall (9)
The Forgotten
Resident Evil: Apocalypse
Shark Tale
Ladder 49
Friday Night Lights
The Grudge
Ray
Shall We Dance
Saw

Winter (4 down, 12 to go)
Incredibles
Polar Express
National Treasure
Spongebob Squarepants.

It looks like Alexander blew it's chance. Arghh.

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Sun Nov 28, 2004 3:16 pm
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We have last year beat. Lemony Snicket, Ocean's 12, Fokkers, and Blade are all locks to make it.

Bridget Jones has a 50/50 chance. Kranks has a good shot. The Aviator should make it as well. Spanglish is a tossup, but I think no.

Also, The Life Aquatic might make it by the end of the year, if it expands wide enough. But according to BOM, it;s only the top 25 markets, so it might not. It depends what kind of WOM it gets.

So:

100%
Lemony Snicket
Ocean's Twelve
Meet the Fokkers
Blade: Trinity

75%
The Aviator
Christmas with the Kranks

50%
Bridget Jones: The Edge of Reason
The Life Aquatic

25%
Spanglish

Less than 5%
Flight of the Phoenix
Finding Neverland (depending on expansions)

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Sun Nov 28, 2004 3:50 pm
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The following will definitely make it:

Ocean's Twelve
Meet the Fockers
Lemony Snicket's A Series of Unfortunate Events
Finding Neverland
Blade: Trinity
The Aviator


The following have a great chance to make it:

Spanglish
Flight of the Phoenix
Closer


These are still in:

Sideways
Bridget Jones: The Edge of Reason


Other possibilities:

Hotel Rwanda

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Sun Nov 28, 2004 3:50 pm
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I don't know the expansion plans for Finding Neverland. What is it?

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Sun Nov 28, 2004 7:05 pm
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I think it expands to 800+ theaters next weekend.

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Sun Nov 28, 2004 8:51 pm
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Say Hello to Christmas with the Kranks for being the 56th movie to do so.

Winter (6)
The Passion of the Christ
50 First Dates
Along Came Polly
Barbershop 2: Back in Business
Miracle
The Butterfly Effect

Spring (10)
Starsky and Hutch
Mean Girls
Scooby-Doo 2: Monsters Unleashed
Man on Fire
Hidalgo
Kill Bill Vol. 2
Hellboy
Dawn of the Dead
13 Going on 30
Home on the Range

Summer (26)
Shrek 2
Spider-Man 2
Harry Potter and the Prisoner of Azkaban
The Day After Tomorrow
The Bourne Supremacy
I, Robot
Troy
Van Helsing
Fahrenheit 9/11
DodgeBall: A True Underdog Story
The Village
Collateral
The Princess Diaries 2: Royal Engagement
Anchorman: The Legend of Ron Burgundy
The Notebook
Alien vs. Predator
The Terminal
Garfield: The Movie
White Chicks
The Manchurian Candidate
The Stepford Wives
The Chronicles of Riddick
Without a Paddle
Hero
King Arthur
A Cinderella Story

Fall (9)
The Forgotten
Resident Evil: Apocalypse
Shark Tale
Ladder 49
Friday Night Lights
The Grudge
Ray
Shall We Dance
Saw

Winter (5 down, 11 to go)
Incredibles
Polar Express
National Treasure
Spongebob Squarepants
Christmas with the Kranks

I think at this rate, Blade III might struggle to make it (based on a mediocre weekend). Oceans Twelve and Lemony Snickets will close the Yearly gap, but will we keep up the the Holiday cume? That remains questionable.

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Mon Dec 13, 2004 8:18 pm
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I think Phantom has a great shot, mind you I wouldn't label it a lock.


Mon Dec 13, 2004 8:20 pm
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DP07 wrote:
49 have made it.

In the coming weeks:

Locks:
50. Shall We Dance?
51. Ray
52. Saw
53. The Polar Express
54. Bridget Jones: The Edge of Reason
55. Spongebob
56. National Treasure
57. Blade: Trinity
58. Ocean's Twelve
59. Lemony Snicket
60. Meet The Fockers

90%+ chance:
Alexander
Spanglish

50% - 89% chance:
Finding Neverland
Christmas with the Kranks
The Aviator

10% - 49% chance:
Closer
The Phantom of the Opera
The Flight of the Pheonix
Fat Albert
In Good Company

1% - 9% chance:
The Life Aquatic with Steve Zissou
The Darkness


Wow, Bridget didn't make it and Blade: Trinity might not. I guess it just goes to show that some things arn't as certain as they seem.

New list:

Locks:
57. Ocean's Twelve
58. Lemony Snicket
59. Meet The Fockers

90%+ chance:
Spanglish
The Aviator

50% - 89% chance:
Finding Neverland
Blade: Trinity

10% - 49% chance:
Closer
The Phantom of the Opera
The Flight of the Pheonix
Fat Albert
In Good Company

1% - 9% chance:
The Life Aquatic with Steve Zissou
The Darkness


Last edited by DP07 on Mon Dec 13, 2004 8:50 pm, edited 2 times in total.



Mon Dec 13, 2004 8:28 pm
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zach wrote:
I think Phantom has a great shot, mind you I wouldn't label it a lock.


Heck no unless the whole population turned into Liberace

Edit. Nm, I misread. I was thinking that this was a 50 million opener thread.


Last edited by El Maskado on Mon Dec 13, 2004 8:50 pm, edited 1 time in total.



Mon Dec 13, 2004 8:28 pm
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Actually, with all the buzz, Scorcese, good reviews, the PG 13 rating and the cast The Aviator is an absolute lock for $50 million

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Mon Dec 13, 2004 8:46 pm
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Dr. Lecter wrote:
Actually, with all the buzz, Scorcese, good reviews, the PG 13 rating and the cast The Aviator is an absolute lock for $50 million


I moved it to 90%, but I think of Bridget Jones and Blade when thinking of the word "lock".


Mon Dec 13, 2004 8:49 pm
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DP07 wrote:
Dr. Lecter wrote:
Actually, with all the buzz, Scorcese, good reviews, the PG 13 rating and the cast The Aviator is an absolute lock for $50 million


I moved it to 90%, but I think of Bridget Jones and Blade when thinking of the word "lock".


Hehe, I can undersand, but The Aviator is a completely different animal. If Gangs of New York can get 70M, there is no way The Aviator will gross less with all the things Arthur mentioned. There is also no LOTR film this year, so this is basically the epic film of the Christmas.


Mon Dec 13, 2004 10:21 pm
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xiayun wrote:
DP07 wrote:
Dr. Lecter wrote:
Actually, with all the buzz, Scorcese, good reviews, the PG 13 rating and the cast The Aviator is an absolute lock for $50 million


I moved it to 90%, but I think of Bridget Jones and Blade when thinking of the word "lock".


Hehe, I can undersand, but The Aviator is a completely different animal. If Gangs of New York can get 70M, there is no way The Aviator will gross less with all the things Arthur mentioned. There is also no LOTR film this year, so this is basically the epic film of the Christmas.


Yes, I would be very surprised if it fell short of 50m, but there always are things that happen at the BO that defy expectations and conventional wisdom. I've learned that too many times. :lol:

I would be very disappointed if it didn't reach 50m. It's one of my most anticipated for the year, and I'm predicting over 100m.


Mon Dec 13, 2004 10:38 pm
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Say hello to Danny Ocean for being the 57th member of the club

Winter (6)
The Passion of the Christ
50 First Dates
Along Came Polly
Barbershop 2: Back in Business
Miracle
The Butterfly Effect

Spring (10)
Starsky and Hutch
Mean Girls
Scooby-Doo 2: Monsters Unleashed
Man on Fire
Hidalgo
Kill Bill Vol. 2
Hellboy
Dawn of the Dead
13 Going on 30
Home on the Range

Summer (26)
Shrek 2
Spider-Man 2
Harry Potter and the Prisoner of Azkaban
The Day After Tomorrow
The Bourne Supremacy
I, Robot
Troy
Van Helsing
Fahrenheit 9/11
DodgeBall: A True Underdog Story
The Village
Collateral
The Princess Diaries 2: Royal Engagement
Anchorman: The Legend of Ron Burgundy
The Notebook
Alien vs. Predator
The Terminal
Garfield: The Movie
White Chicks
The Manchurian Candidate
The Stepford Wives
The Chronicles of Riddick
Without a Paddle
Hero
King Arthur
A Cinderella Story

Fall (9)
The Forgotten
Resident Evil: Apocalypse
Shark Tale
Ladder 49
Friday Night Lights
The Grudge
Ray
Shall We Dance
Saw

Winter (6 down, 10 to go)
Incredibles
Polar Express
National Treasure
Spongebob Squarepants
Christmas with the Kranks
Ocean's Twelve.

Will Lemony Snickets tie it up? Here are my prospects. Blade III will struggle, so will Phoenix. If Spanglish opens to 12 million, then 50 million is a shoo in.

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Fri Dec 17, 2004 5:18 pm
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On Christmas Day, One Movie tied the record and the other broke the record. That's right, I'm talking about Meet the Fockers and Lemony Snickets. We now have 59 movies that hit 50 million.

Winter (6)
The Passion of the Christ
50 First Dates
Along Came Polly
Barbershop 2: Back in Business
Miracle
The Butterfly Effect

Spring (10)
Starsky and Hutch
Mean Girls
Scooby-Doo 2: Monsters Unleashed
Man on Fire
Hidalgo
Kill Bill Vol. 2
Hellboy
Dawn of the Dead
13 Going on 30
Home on the Range

Summer (26)
Shrek 2
Spider-Man 2
Harry Potter and the Prisoner of Azkaban
The Day After Tomorrow
The Bourne Supremacy
I, Robot
Troy
Van Helsing
Fahrenheit 9/11
DodgeBall: A True Underdog Story
The Village
Collateral
The Princess Diaries 2: Royal Engagement
Anchorman: The Legend of Ron Burgundy
The Notebook
Alien vs. Predator
The Terminal
Garfield: The Movie
White Chicks
The Manchurian Candidate
The Stepford Wives
The Chronicles of Riddick
Without a Paddle
Hero
King Arthur
A Cinderella Story

Fall (9)
The Forgotten
Resident Evil: Apocalypse
Shark Tale
Ladder 49
Friday Night Lights
The Grudge
Ray
Shall We Dance
Saw

Winter (8 down, 8 to go)
Incredibles
Polar Express
National Treasure
Spongebob Squarepants
Christmas with the Kranks
Ocean's Twelve.
Meet the Fockers
Lemony Snickets

Will we break the Winter record? That remains questionable.

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Tue Dec 28, 2004 1:55 am
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Blade Trinity don't have a chance anymore i rekon.


Tue Dec 28, 2004 3:20 pm
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mansonmyers wrote:
Blade Trinity don't have a chance anymore i rekon.


i agree, its falling too fast.

It has $42,099,570 right now but I don't think it will make 8m more.


Tue Dec 28, 2004 7:44 pm
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This weekend, Blade Trinity is now the 60th member of the club (sorry sako16 and mansonmyers, but it made it).

Winter (6)
The Passion of the Christ
50 First Dates
Along Came Polly
Barbershop 2: Back in Business
Miracle
The Butterfly Effect

Spring (10)
Starsky and Hutch
Mean Girls
Scooby-Doo 2: Monsters Unleashed
Man on Fire
Hidalgo
Kill Bill Vol. 2
Hellboy
Dawn of the Dead
13 Going on 30
Home on the Range

Summer (26)
Shrek 2
Spider-Man 2
Harry Potter and the Prisoner of Azkaban
The Day After Tomorrow
The Bourne Supremacy
I, Robot
Troy
Van Helsing
Fahrenheit 9/11
DodgeBall: A True Underdog Story
The Village
Collateral
The Princess Diaries 2: Royal Engagement
Anchorman: The Legend of Ron Burgundy
The Notebook
Alien vs. Predator
The Terminal
Garfield: The Movie
White Chicks
The Manchurian Candidate
The Stepford Wives
The Chronicles of Riddick
Without a Paddle
Hero
King Arthur
A Cinderella Story

Fall (9)
The Forgotten
Resident Evil: Apocalypse
Shark Tale
Ladder 49
Friday Night Lights
The Grudge
Ray
Shall We Dance
Saw

Winter (9 down, 7 to go)
Incredibles
Polar Express
National Treasure
Spongebob Squarepants
Christmas with the Kranks
Ocean's Twelve.
Meet the Fockers
Lemony Snickets
Blade Trinity

What will be next? Aviator, Fat Albert, maybe Spanglish, Sideways? You never know.

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