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Terminator1997
George A. Romero
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 10:30 pm Posts: 9773 Location: Enjoying a cold pint
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 Jackass: Number Two predictions
I saw the teaser poster for Jackass: Number Two at the theater today and it got me thinking of how it will do at the box office. I still think the audience is there for this franchise. The Jackass Boxset that was released in December sold very briskly, telling me that there is still a demand for all things Jackass.
at this point i will say $19/$51. A bit less than the first but still a solid hit. my prediction may change higher or lower after seeing a trailer.
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Fri Jun 09, 2006 12:24 am |
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matatonio
Teh Mexican
Joined: Fri Oct 15, 2004 11:56 pm Posts: 26066 Location: In good ol' Mexico
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I dont know, but its making less than $50M
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Fri Jun 09, 2006 1:07 am |
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Terminator1997
George A. Romero
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 10:30 pm Posts: 9773 Location: Enjoying a cold pint
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matatonio wrote: I dont know, but its making less than $50M
i think it will crack 50 million
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Fri Jun 09, 2006 11:36 pm |
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zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm Posts: 36662
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Opening: $15m
Total Gross: $35m
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Fri Jun 09, 2006 11:39 pm |
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Terminator1997
George A. Romero
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 10:30 pm Posts: 9773 Location: Enjoying a cold pint
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Zingaling wrote: Opening: $15m Total Gross: $35m
you think it will only make barely over half the original? i'm almost positive there's still plenty of fans of this franchise to push it over $50 million
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Fri Jun 09, 2006 11:41 pm |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm Posts: 92093 Location: Bonn, Germany
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How are all the spin-off shows doing at MTV?
_________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
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Fri Jun 09, 2006 11:42 pm |
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Terminator1997
George A. Romero
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 10:30 pm Posts: 9773 Location: Enjoying a cold pint
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Dr. Lecter wrote: How are all the spin-off shows doing at MTV?
viva la bam was very successful, and wildboyz is pretty popular. i'm not saying number two will equal part one's earnings, but it should still hover around $50 million.
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Fri Jun 09, 2006 11:44 pm |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm Posts: 92093 Location: Bonn, Germany
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I think it certainly won't have its legs...
Opening weekend - $16.2 million
Total gross - $40 million
_________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
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Fri Jun 09, 2006 11:59 pm |
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matatonio
Teh Mexican
Joined: Fri Oct 15, 2004 11:56 pm Posts: 26066 Location: In good ol' Mexico
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Terminator1997 wrote: matatonio wrote: I dont know, but its making less than $50M i think it will crack 50 million
no!....
Jackass is not as popular as it use to be
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Sat Jun 10, 2006 1:24 am |
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Mister Ecks
New Server, Same X
Joined: Wed Oct 13, 2004 7:07 pm Posts: 28301 Location: ... siiiigh...
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I say...
OW: $31.3m
Tot: $63.7m
_________________ Ecks Factor: Cancelled too soon
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Sat Jun 10, 2006 9:41 am |
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Libs
Sbil
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:38 pm Posts: 48678 Location: Arlington, VA
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Jackass is not nearly as popular as it was four years ago, but Viva La Bam and the others are still popular enough that I could see this with over 40.
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Sat Jun 10, 2006 9:55 am |
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Tuukka
Indiana Jones IV
Joined: Sun Apr 17, 2005 8:35 am Posts: 1830 Location: Helsinki, Finland
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Viva La Bam and Wildboyz have BOTH been MTV's most watched shows.
Steve-O is a star now, Bam Margera is a BIG star - His fanbase is huge. Neither were stars when Jackass was on the air. And Knoxville is just as big as he was back then.
This can reach 50 million pretty easily. Has a good chance of outgrossing the first film - The fanbase for Jackass has grown over the years, not decreased. Saying that Jackass is not as popular as it used to be is not true - The show simply hasn't aired in 4 years. But thanks to re-runs and DVD it's now more popular than ever, and the sequel has the benefit of having three stars instead of just one. You have to remember that Jackass operates on male teenagers, so the Jackass / Viva La Bam / Wildboyz trinity has gained a lot of new young fans over the last 4 years - And the old fans are still intact, and in their early 20's.
It will be extremely frontloaded, regardless of WOM. People either belong to the fanbase and have a definitive need to see the film, or alternatively have zero interest and won't see it no matter what. So it will have around a 2.0 - 2.5 multiplier, but I see it opening around 25-27 million.
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Sat Jun 10, 2006 12:52 pm |
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Terminator1997
George A. Romero
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 10:30 pm Posts: 9773 Location: Enjoying a cold pint
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matatonio wrote: Terminator1997 wrote: matatonio wrote: I dont know, but its making less than $50M i think it will crack 50 million no!....  Jackass is not as popular as it use to be
yes! lol, the spin offs have been very popular and the jackass boxset sold very well. that tells me right there that jackass is alive and well. i still say $50 million plus
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Sat Jun 10, 2006 9:35 pm |
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Terminator1997
George A. Romero
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 10:30 pm Posts: 9773 Location: Enjoying a cold pint
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Sun Jun 11, 2006 7:50 pm |
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DIB2
All Star Poster
Joined: Wed Jun 14, 2006 3:57 am Posts: 4669 Location: Anchorage, AK
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I think
OW:24
TOTAL:55
_________________My Most anticipated films of 2015 
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Fri Jun 16, 2006 1:48 pm |
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zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm Posts: 36662
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Based on that teaser, I'm going a little higher.
19/45.
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Fri Jun 16, 2006 1:50 pm |
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Tuukka
Indiana Jones IV
Joined: Sun Apr 17, 2005 8:35 am Posts: 1830 Location: Helsinki, Finland
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http://movies.yahoo.com/feature/jackassnumbertwo.html
A 90-second teaser trailer. Kicks some serious ass, and has been greatly received around the net.
I'm even more confident that this will definitely do 50+ million, and might top the first one. They really know how to market this thing.
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Fri Jun 16, 2006 3:22 pm |
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Terminator1997
George A. Romero
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 10:30 pm Posts: 9773 Location: Enjoying a cold pint
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Tuukka wrote: http://movies.yahoo.com/feature/jackassnumbertwo.html
A 90-second teaser trailer. Kicks some serious ass, and has been greatly received around the net.
I'm even more confident that this will definitely do 50+ million, and might top the first one. They really know how to market this thing.
holy lord, that was absolutely awesome. i'm upping my prediction after seeing that
$24/$61
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Fri Jun 16, 2006 3:29 pm |
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The Scottie
King Albert!
Joined: Sun Oct 17, 2004 1:04 pm Posts: 11838 Location: The Happiest City on Earth
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The trailer gets big laughs everytime it plays.
So, I think this could do at least 40 million total, maybe even 50.
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Mon Jul 31, 2006 10:16 pm |
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Rev
Romosexual!
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 3:06 am Posts: 32629 Location: the last free city
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8/21
_________________ Is it 2028 yet?
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Mon Jul 31, 2006 10:17 pm |
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Terminator1997
George A. Romero
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 10:30 pm Posts: 9773 Location: Enjoying a cold pint
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i thought i'd bump this up since it'll be coming out in a week. any new/changed predictions from anyone now that we have the trailer/clips/numerous tv spots? i think number two looks to be as funny or more so thatn part 1 and will clear $50+ million, and could go as high as the origina's gross if it's received as well by the public.
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Fri Sep 15, 2006 12:43 am |
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MovieDude
Where will you be?
Joined: Tue Dec 21, 2004 4:50 am Posts: 11675
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I've heard a LOT of hype for this at my school, I think that this will opening higher then the first, which most people didn't think would make total what it did in it's opening weekend. 26/62
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Fri Sep 15, 2006 2:06 am |
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Tuukka
Indiana Jones IV
Joined: Sun Apr 17, 2005 8:35 am Posts: 1830 Location: Helsinki, Finland
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The Jackass / Johnny Knoxville / Viva La Bam / Bam Margera / Wildboyz / Steve-O fanbase is very big. And the marketing has been very smart and effective. And there is a lot of very positive hype around internet. It will drop like a rock, because once it plays out it's initial fanbase, it has nowhere to expand to. But it should open pretty big.
27/65
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Sat Sep 16, 2006 9:03 am |
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zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm Posts: 36662
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25/60
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Sat Sep 16, 2006 1:17 pm |
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Mister Ecks
New Server, Same X
Joined: Wed Oct 13, 2004 7:07 pm Posts: 28301 Location: ... siiiigh...
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It's released at a great time. Jackass may be long gone, but between DVD releases of Jackass, The Movie, Viva La Bam, and Wildboyz, the name has been living well for the past four years. I think it'll do well, and I hope to see a second sequel eventually. No "Viva La Bam" or "Wildboyz" movies, though. Just the entire cast of jackasses.
_________________ Ecks Factor: Cancelled too soon
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Sat Sep 16, 2006 1:32 pm |
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