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Rolling Thunder
Forum General
Joined: Fri Nov 19, 2004 12:11 pm Posts: 9148 Location: Kentucky Bluegrass
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 The "American Haunting" Prediction Thread
Opens May 5th. I know, I know, MI:3 will be out and who cares, right? Well, Ghost movies have been strong lately, and I think this will see some solid business. I'm going with 8/18.
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Wed Apr 26, 2006 8:00 am |
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zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm Posts: 36662
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No marketing whatsoever, 2000 theaters and it faces some of the biggest competition of the year in its first two or three weekends. I'd say that the company doesn't care if it does well or not.
6/15.
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Wed Apr 26, 2006 2:52 pm |
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Libs
Sbil
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:38 pm Posts: 48677 Location: Arlington, VA
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I think it will do reasonably well considering the competition. It probably depends o the number of theaters but I think it can do a $4,000 PTA, at least.
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Wed Apr 26, 2006 3:28 pm |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm Posts: 92093 Location: Bonn, Germany
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Who cares to see a period horror flick now?
Zing's prediction seems pretty much right on.
_________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
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Wed Apr 26, 2006 4:17 pm |
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Kris K
Horror Hound
Joined: Thu Oct 21, 2004 1:44 pm Posts: 6228
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$7,500,000/$17,000,000
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Wed Apr 26, 2006 4:20 pm |
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A. G.
Draughty
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:23 am Posts: 13347
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I saw an ad for this for the first time last night and was impressed, so I looked it up and found that over at IMDB there are 16 pages of user reviews, most of them very positive with a few disappointed. While it's possible some might be fake, that's a lot of them to fake if they are.
See for yourself: http://www.imdb.com/title/tt0429573/use ... ts?start=0
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Sat Apr 29, 2006 1:49 pm |
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getluv
i break the rules, so i don't care
Joined: Sun May 15, 2005 4:28 pm Posts: 20411
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Horror films don't work in May.
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Sat Apr 29, 2006 2:01 pm |
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zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm Posts: 36662
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The theater count dropped to 1,500.
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Sun Apr 30, 2006 12:58 pm |
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Spidey
Teenage Dream
Joined: Mon Oct 18, 2004 8:13 pm Posts: 10678
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If House of Wax didn't do well last year on this date with a better cast and more audience friendly plot then this won't do well.
I say 4-6m/13-16m
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Sun Apr 30, 2006 6:21 pm |
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Nazgul9
Extraordinary
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 12:32 pm Posts: 11289 Location: Germany
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Dr. Lecter wrote: Who cares to see a period horror flick now?
I care, from january to december. 
_________________
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Sun Apr 30, 2006 6:26 pm |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm Posts: 92093 Location: Bonn, Germany
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Nazgul9 wrote: Dr. Lecter wrote: Who cares to see a period horror flick now? I care, from january to december. 
You won't be part of its opening weekend in the US, though, so hah!
With the lower theatre count, it should do pretty badly.
Opening weekend - $4.8 million
Total gross - $11.8 million
_________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
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Sun Apr 30, 2006 6:35 pm |
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Kris K
Horror Hound
Joined: Thu Oct 21, 2004 1:44 pm Posts: 6228
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It did pretty mediocre in the UK....nearly $4,000 pta. But it didn't open too hot.
It's going to bomb...there has been no marketing..
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Mon May 01, 2006 8:36 am |
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Rolling Thunder
Forum General
Joined: Fri Nov 19, 2004 12:11 pm Posts: 9148 Location: Kentucky Bluegrass
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KrissyKins wrote: It did pretty mediocre in the UK....nearly $4,000 pta. But it didn't open too hot.
It's going to bomb...there has been no marketing..
In all fairness, it is called An "American" Haunting. I wouldn't expect a film about a haunting in the U.K. to do well here, either. I still wonder why they chose to release this in May, though?
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Mon May 01, 2006 10:02 am |
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Kris K
Horror Hound
Joined: Thu Oct 21, 2004 1:44 pm Posts: 6228
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Well AMITYVILLE HORROR and THE OTHERS both done massive numbers here, and their based in the UK.
That was a really stupid comment above.
Basically your saying movies set in other countries, won't do well in america.
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Mon May 01, 2006 11:22 am |
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movies35
Forum General
Joined: Thu Nov 11, 2004 1:53 pm Posts: 8627 Location: Syracuse, NY
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$9/$19
_________________ Top 10 Films of 2016
1. La La Land 2. Other People 3. Nocturnal Animals 4. Swiss Army Man 5. Manchester by the Sea 6. The Edge of Seventeen 7. Sing Street 8. Indignation 9. The Lobster 10. Hell or High Water
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Mon May 01, 2006 11:23 am |
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Harry Warden
Orphan
Joined: Thu Jun 09, 2005 5:47 pm Posts: 19747
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KrissyKins wrote: Well AMITYVILLE HORROR and THE OTHERS both done massive numbers here, and their based in the UK.
That was a really stupid comment above.
Basically your saying movies set in other countries, won't do well in america.
Not really. Just films with the title as such.
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Mon May 01, 2006 11:42 am |
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Kris K
Horror Hound
Joined: Thu Oct 21, 2004 1:44 pm Posts: 6228
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Not really...
"I wouldn't expect a film about a haunting in the U.K. to do well here"
So, no.
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Mon May 01, 2006 12:18 pm |
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Gulli
Jordan Mugen-Honda
Joined: Mon May 01, 2006 9:53 am Posts: 13403
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It's an awful movie and at the rate screens are falling off I can only hope it bombs bad.
$4.5M/13M
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Mon May 01, 2006 12:50 pm |
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movies35
Forum General
Joined: Thu Nov 11, 2004 1:53 pm Posts: 8627 Location: Syracuse, NY
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I don't think it will do bad opening weekend. I know quite a few people who'd like to see it. I'm sure the WOM will be really bad though.
_________________ Top 10 Films of 2016
1. La La Land 2. Other People 3. Nocturnal Animals 4. Swiss Army Man 5. Manchester by the Sea 6. The Edge of Seventeen 7. Sing Street 8. Indignation 9. The Lobster 10. Hell or High Water
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Mon May 01, 2006 2:19 pm |
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Rolling Thunder
Forum General
Joined: Fri Nov 19, 2004 12:11 pm Posts: 9148 Location: Kentucky Bluegrass
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movies35 wrote: I don't think it will do bad opening weekend. I know quite a few people who'd like to see it. I'm sure the WOM will be really bad though.
Agreed. For a horror movie, this actually looks pretty good. Have there been any similar movies that have opened in May? I'm expecting a pretty decent PTA for this, because not everyone will want to see MI:3 - or even able to get a ticket for it.
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Mon May 01, 2006 2:48 pm |
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MovieDude
Where will you be?
Joined: Tue Dec 21, 2004 4:50 am Posts: 11675
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The trailer and premise aren't bad but I don't think the distributor will do the movie any favors. Still, Bloodrayne managed a surprisingly decent PTA, and this is PG-13. I'll go with a $4,000 PTA and 6/16
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Mon May 01, 2006 5:09 pm |
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Libs
Sbil
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:38 pm Posts: 48677 Location: Arlington, VA
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I still think this will do alright, maybe about what Darkness did.
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Mon May 01, 2006 5:10 pm |
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zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm Posts: 36662
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1,667 theaters this weekend.
I can't see higher than a $5 million opening weekend ($3,000 PTA). Horror movies don't do well in these months anyways, and if House of Wax couldn't pull off a $4,000 PTA with tons of marketing, this won't with no marketing at all.
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Wed May 03, 2006 9:51 pm |
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Libs
Sbil
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:38 pm Posts: 48677 Location: Arlington, VA
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Zingaling wrote: 1,667 theaters this weekend.
I can't see higher than a $5 million opening weekend ($3,000 PTA). Horror movies don't do well in these months anyways, and if House of Wax couldn't pull off a $4,000 PTA with tons of marketing, this won't with no marketing at all.
But it's a lot easier to get a higher PTA in 1,667 theaters than it is in over 3000.
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Wed May 03, 2006 9:56 pm |
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trixster
loyalfromlondon
Joined: Wed Oct 13, 2004 6:31 pm Posts: 19697 Location: ville-marie
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I think this'll do around $4 million this weekend. I haven't seen any ads, and everyone's going to MI3 anyway. This might get some spillover from MI3 sellouts, but it won't do well. Agree with Zingy, no more than $5 million.
_________________Magic Mike wrote: zwackerm wrote: If John Wick 2 even makes 30 million I will eat 1,000 shoes. Same. Algren wrote: I don't think. I predict. 
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Thu May 04, 2006 9:28 pm |
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