DOMESTIC - Day 18 (estimates)

1) Pirates Of The Caribbean 2: Dead Man’s Chest - $326,203,444 (Mon - $4,304,211)
2) Star Wars 3: ROTS - $307,892,961 (Sun - $7,555,982)
3) Shrek 2 - $302,608,864 (Sat - $15,563,658)
4) Spiderman 2 - $294,579,826 (Sat - $9,941,993)
5) Spiderman 1 - $289,882,492 (Mon - $4,308,824)
6) Spiderman 3 - $284,729,332 (Mon - $2,349,677)
7) Lord Of The Rings: ROTK - $283,395,934 (Sat - $10,563,221)
8) Shrek 3 - $258,553,839 (Mon - $2,626,056)
9) Pirates Of The Caribbean 3: At World’s End - $255,610,936 (Mon - $2,169,213)
10) Lord Of The Rings: TTT - $254,290,037 (Sat - $10,699,493)

11) The Passion Of The Christ - $253,792,087 (Sat - $13,452,908)
12) Transformers - $248,584,000 (Fri - $6,120,000)
13) Star Wars 1: PM - $245,134,578 (Sat - $13,854,324)
14) The Matrix: Reloaded - $232,701,046 (Sun - $4,454,316)
15) Star Wars 2: AOTC - $232,324,769 (Sun - $6,488,254)
16) Harry Potter 4: GOF - $230,406,014 (Mon - $1,139,298)
17) Harry Potter 1: SS - $220,931,000 (Mon - $1,261,000)
18) X-Men 3: The Last Stand - $203,913,170 (Mon - $1,668,518)
19) Harry Potter 2: COS - $201,207,172 (Mon - $1,048,160)
20) Lord Of The Rings: FOTR - $199,400,725 (Sat - $10,114,063)


DOMESTIC - Day 18 (estimates)

1) Pirates Of The Caribbean 2: Dead Man’s Chest - $330,424,411 (Tue - $4,220,967)
2) Shrek 2 - $314,523,202 (Sun - $11,914,338)
3) Star Wars 3: ROTS - $310,314,752 (Mon - $2,421,791)
4) Spiderman 2 - $302,287,882 (Sun - $7,708,056)
5) Spiderman - $292,666,312 (Tue - $2,783,820)
6) Lord Of The Rings: ROTK - $290,410,961 (Sun - $7,015,027)
7) Spiderman 3 - $286,385,002 (Tue - $1,655,670)
8) The Passion Of The Christ - $264,510,209 (Sun - $10,718,122)
9) Shrek 3 - $261,139,048 (Tue - $2,585,209)
10) Lord Of The Rings: TTT - $261,031,601 (Sun - $6,741,564)

11) Pirates Of The Caribbean 3: At World’s End - $257,687,300 (Tue - $2,076,364)
12) Transformers - $256,545,000 (Sat - $7,961,000)
13) Star Wars 1: PM - $255,758,124 (Sun - $10,623,546)
14) Star Wars 2: AOTC - $234,540,000 (Mon - $2,215,000)
15) The Matrix: Reloaded - $234,183,237 (Mon - $1,482,191)
16) Harry Potter 4: GOF - $231,560,213 (Tue - $1,154,199)
17) Harry Potter 1: SS - $222,342,000 (Tue - $1,411,000)
18) Lord Of The Rings: FOTR - $205,509,869 (Sun - $6,109,144)
19) X-Men 3: The Last Stand - $205,448,161 (Tue - $1,534,991)
20) Meet The Fockers - $204,297,870 (Sun - $6,718,935)


DOMESTIC - Day 18 (estimates)

1) Pirates Of The Caribbean 2: Dead Man’s Chest - $334,133,670 (Wed - $3,709,259)
2) Shrek 2 - $318,064,963 (Mon - $3,541,761)
3) Star Wars 3: ROTS - $312,659,891 (Mon - $2,345,139)
4) Spiderman 2 - $305,304,586 (Mon - $3,016,704)
5) Spiderman - $295,142,188 (Wed - $2,475,876)
6) Lord Of The Rings: ROTK - $292,639,432 (Mon - $2,228,471)
7) Spiderman 3 - $287,939,746 (Wed - $1,554,744)
8) The Passion Of The Christ - $267,680,889 (Mon - $3,170,680)
9) Shrek 3 - $263,640,920 (Wed - $2,501,872)
10) Lord Of The Rings: TTT - $263,165,066 (Mon - $2,133,465)

11) Transformers - $262,969,000 (Sun - $6,425,000)
12) Pirates Of The Caribbean 3: At World’s End - $259,697,522 (Wed - $2,010,222)
13) Star Wars 1: PM - $259,677,495 (Mon - $3,919,371)
14) Star Wars 2: AOTC - $236,819,000 (Tue - $2,279,000)
15) The Matrix: Reloaded - $235,801,657 (Tue - $1,618,420)
16) Harry Potter 4: GOF - $232,682,657 (Wed - $1,122,444)
17) Harry Potter 1: SS - $223,647,000 (Wed - $1,305,000)
18) Lord Of The Rings: FOTR - $207,220,679 (Mon - $1,710,810)
19) X-Men 3: The Last Stand - $206,959,236 (Wed - $1,511,075)
20) Meet The Fockers - $206,149,545 (Mon - $1,851,675)

Take a look at this.....Transformers is doing bloody fantastic in New Zealand

1 1 Harry Potter and the Order of the Phoenix WB $659,190 -61.1% 89 - $7,407 $3,224,603 2
2 2 Transformers PPI $328,206 -48.1% 89 - $3,688 $4,785,238 4
3 N Knocked Up PPI $294,331 - 46 - $6,399 $294,331 1
4 14 Amazing Grace Rialto $231,475 +1,491.7% 69 +60 $3,355 $306,027 1
5 3 Shrek the Third PPI $82,156 -74.0% 93 - $883 $5,500,288 7

It just passed At World's End this week and looks like it'll fight it out with Shrek 3 for the yearly crown. HP5 may still be in the mixed, though with school holidays finished, I don't think it'll be able to pass $5.5m here.

Transformers had the best drop out of the bigger movies. To beat Shrek 3, it needs to start dropping in the 30-40% range....Shrek 3 had the advantage of school holidays....Transformers has already experienced that.

On that basis, I would say that Transformers would just fall short of topping Shrek 3, afterall, Simpsons and co arrive next week......so yeah, looks like both movies will be in the $5.5-6m. range...which is huge..

Is there a website for New Zealand box office or are these numbers taken from Screen Daily?

I got these from BOM, though you can also get them from ScreenDaily...

Transformers is doing compartively better (ranking wise) in New Zealand than in Australia..... , Transformers won't be topping Pirates 3, HP5 and Shrek 3 in Australia....but should beat Pirates 3 and HP5 in New Zealand

Japan = 60m
UK = 40m
Germany = 30m
France = 20m
------------------
150m

Looking good for 400m OS...

I might be wrong, but somehow I think Japan could contribute $100m...

WTF,

You're European predictions are right....but why on earth would u predict just $60m in Japan....when this movie has literlly demolished records and exceeded expectations in almost all of Asia.....

Enlighten me please

You're not wrong, Nazgul9 must be confused with his prediction for HP5 in Japan or something....

Just want to keep my expectations low. 100m is definitely possible, though you never know with Japan, HP just openend there for instance...

Btw, my prediction before the movie came out was DOM 300m/ OS 400m. I think i won't be far off... *pats myself on the back*

Playing it safe ,

Are you getting flashbacks of King Kong or something? .....let's just hope that this doesn't ever happen again....

I want to see a $15m+ opening weekend

It still hurts. What did it gross, 25m or something like that? Pathetic, expected at least twice that...

If that happens to Transformers, I'll call on the Dinobots to turn Japan into Dinobot Island...

This is the Australian Top 5 in USD$.....Fantasic hold for both Transformers and Knocked Up. TF thunders pass $20m, but was surpassed by Potter.

Potter looks like it'll be able to take out Shrek 3 which has slowed down considerably after the school holidays... Shrek 3 should finish with about $30.5m....and Potter looks good for at least $30m.....unless it gets hit badly next week by Simpsons.....it's built up such a great lead though.

1(1) Harry Potter And The Order Of The Phoenix (US, UK) Warner Bros 2 5,179,594 4,565,933 500 9,132 -60 22,574,386
2(2) Transformers (US) Paramount Pictures International 4 1,789,545 1,577,526 357 4,419 -35 21,280,106
3(3) Knocked Up (US) Universal Pictures International 3 1,681,117 1,481,944 283 5,237 -29 9,212,690
4(-) Premonition (US) Paramount Pictures International NEW 728,052 641,795 157 4,088 - 641,795
5(4) Shrek The Third (US) Paramount Pictures International 7 445,228 392,479 262 1,498 -56 29,360,138

*sends King Kong vibes to Japan*

TAIPEI (TWD) - Weekend 4

Magnificent drop against Potter's 2nd weekend and the solid opening of Die Hard 4. This is Transformers 2nd best drop to date and makes up for last week's 55% drop against Potter's opening. Transformers just surpassed HP4 this week and is tracking as the strongest performer since ROTK, that's saying alot.

More importantly, Transformers has surpassed Pirates 3 to become this year's largest grosser....it's hard to see anything with enough firepower to match it.

Transformers is a couple thousands away from surpassing Armageddon as Bay's largest pic ever in Taipei....that movie finished with 157,862,070.

HP4 grossed another 10m TWD from this point......though Transformers to me looks the stronger out of the two. Depending on how in the upcoming weeks against Ratatouille and Bourne Ultimatum......it may well surpass The Day After Tomorrow's 181,388,280 and Independence Day's 187,755,640 TWD. ROTK's 200,046,545 TWD is probably out of reach.


Lord Of The Rings: ROTK - 165,356,980 (6,334,780, -44.5%) - 20
Transformers - 157,132,089 (7,687,179, -35.1%) - 18
Harry Potter 4: GOF - 155,773,640 (8,577,630, -51.4%) - 20
Harry Potter 2: COS - 147,676,980 (9,194,020, -44.5%) - 19
The Day After Tomorrow - 147,342,935 (8,193,075, -49.8%) - 17
Pirates Of The Caribbean 3: At World’s End - 142,028,328 (3,456,993, -64.2%) - 19
Kung Fu Hustle - 140,949,250 (3,844,520, -53.3%) - 19
Lord Of The Rings: TTT - 140,729,625 (5,244,530, -52.3%) - 17
Pirates Of The Caribbean 2: Dead Man’s Chest - 139,585,080 (4,500,533, -51.1%) - 19
The Da Vinci Code - 132,664,117 (3,688,123, -56%) - 20
Spiderman 2 - 128,662,410 (3,033,130, -60.3%) - 19
Spiderman 3 - 120,990,465 (2,817,455, -70.1%) - 17
Mr. And Mrs. Smith - 120,354,595 (3,570,275, -58.2%) - 17
Harry Potter 3: POA - 118,211,800 (6,387,330, -34%) - 21
War Of The Worlds - 110,153,675 (1,579,240, -48.8%) - 19
King Kong - 109,793,825 (3,013,310, -58.1%) - 19
Mission Impossible 3 - 107,942,435 (3,642,000, -49.6%)

AUSTRALIA (AUD$) - Weekend 4

Brillaint hold, looks like it'll easily blow past $27m, and $30m is still possible. It's definately looking at at least AUD$28m.

Shrek 2 - $42,263,132 ($4,257,541, -20%)
Lord Of The Rings: ROTK - $37,994,080 ($2,439,792, -36%)
Lord Of The Rings: TTT - $35,903,713 ($2,084,391, -40%)
Lord Of The Rings: FOTR - $34,406,128 ($2,150,499, -36%)
Pirates Of The Caribbean 2: Dead Man’s Chest - $31,792,569 ($2,049,464, -44%)
The Chronicles Of Narnia: The Lion, The Witch And The Wardrobe - $31,681,370 ($1,528,628, -44%)
Star Wars 3: ROTS - $30,755,524 ($2,144,636, -39%) or $31,372,117 ($2,761,229)*Queens Birthday
Pirates Of The Caribbean 3: At World’s End - $29,319,105 ($1,716,308, -50%)
Star Wars 2: AOTC - $28,648,078 ($2,081,249, -40%)
The Matrix: Reloaded - $28,244,450 ($2,091,489, -36%)
Harry Potter 4: GOF - $28,191,908 ($1,183,525, -55%)*Christmas
Happy Feet - $27,672,156 ($1,671,335, -31%)
Harry Potter 3: POA - $26,982,632 ($1,718,241, -29%)
Shrek 3 - $26,963,614 ($1,849,132, -33%)
Star Wars 1: PM - $26,809,097 ($2,371,864, -21%)
Harry Potter 1: PS - $26,629,774 ($2,279,774, -29%)
Harry Potter 2: COS - $26,143,705 ($1,990,301, -25%)
Meet The Fockers - $25,844,654 ($2,537,850, -34%)
Spiderman - $25,644,827 ($1,662,662, -30%)
Finding Nemo - $24,875,117 ($2,450,680, -37%)
Transformers - $24,140,152($1,789,545, -35%)
Shrek - $23,724,504 ($3,085,851, -3%)
The Da Vinci Code - $22,513,056 ($1,781,738, -33%) or $22,986,342 ($2,251,215 5-Day)*Queens
Spiderman 2 - $22,475,472 ($1,013,244, -55%)
The Incredibles - $22,073,261 ($1,805,068, -41%)
Ice Age 2: The Meltdown - $21,995,080 ($1,896,382, -38%)
Madagascar - $21,919,987 ($1,970,963, -28%)
James Bond: Casino Royale - $21,772,020 ($2,776,312, +15%)*NY
Spiderman 3 - $21,487,957 ($1,155,772, -57%)
Independence Day - $20,877,267 ($1,731,532, -40.6%)


NEW ZEALAND - Weekend 4

Transformers has had an unbelievable run in New Zealand, it's tracking at least $700k above this year's biggest hits...

Lord Of The Rings: ROTK - $6,069,391 ($534,999/ NZ$791,798, -28%) or $5,759,079 Actuals
Shrek 2 - $5,307,311 ($730,409/ NZ$1,117,526, -3%) or $4,997,340 Actuals
King Kong - $4,778,965 ($462,188/ NZ$674,795, -24%)
Transformers - $4,766,249 ($326,904/ NZ$411,899, -49%)
Pirates Of The Caribbean 3: At World’s End - $3,890,584 ($219,770/ NZ$292,294, -42%)
The Chronicles Of Narnia: The Lion The Witch And The Wardrobe - $3,703,754 ($446,699/ NZ$656,647, +24%)*New Years
Shrek 3 - $3,665,770 ($343,555/ NZ$450,057, -28%) or $3,599,064 Actuals
Star Wars 3: ROTS - $3,527,811 ($203,625/ NZ$291,184, -59%)
Pirates Of The Caribbean 2: Dead Man’s Chest - $3,497,002 ($241,179/ NZ$393,121, -31%)
Harry Potter 4: GOF - $3,225,636 ($173,608/ NZ$253,468, -47%)
The Da Vinci Code - $2,838,204 ($168,889/ NZ$270,222, -60%)
Harry Potter 3: POA - $2,754,883 ($209,696/ NZ$327,126, -37%)
James Bond: Casino Royale - $2,669,698 ($347,029/ NZ$496,252, +10%)*NY
Charlie And The Chocolate Factory - $2,666,806 ($314,422/ NZ$455,912, +15%)
Ice Age 2: The Meltdown - $2,662,694 ($200,533/ NZ$316,842, -63%)
Finding Nemo - $2,651,263 ($471,589/ NZ$811,133, +43%)
Madagascar - $2,577,825 ($451,154/ NZ$676,731, +75%)
Spiderman 2 - $2,484,104 ($107,038/ NZ$170,190, -70%) or $2,588,651 Actuals
The Incredibles - $2,482,067 ($180,354/ NZ$259,710, +3%)
Happy Feet - $2,456,082 ($154,979/ NZ$224,720, -50%)
Spiderman 3 - $2,398,812 ($176,058/ NZ$244,721, -47%)
War Of The Worlds - $2,259,532 ($161,976/ NZ$238,104, -47%)

so where this headed? 400-450?

Down about 20% last week in China and passed 200m RMB ($26m) today. Will pass $30m before long.

Crazy!

WOW WOW WOW!

Yeah, it's amazing. It could pass Hero by the end of the week and will make a run at Curse of the Golden Flower's $37m.

BOM finally updated the opening week.

Just saw the latest number for last week: 2,703,583 admissions (-10%), 83m RMB, $10.95m.

Good bye Curse of the Golden Flower

We need to see UK and Japan to know.....at the momment, i'm more for the lower end....though if it passed $50m+ in the UK and $100m+ in Japan then I'll see $450m is achievable.

SINGAPORE - Weekend 4

Closing in on Spiderman 3, still needs a couple more drops like this to be in contention.....but brillaint hold after suffering a huge decline last week against Potter.

Spiderman 3 - $4,907,489 ($105,126, -75.1%)
Transformers - $4,340,805 ($200,942, -24.4%)
Pirates Of The Caribbean 3: At World’s End - $3,335,347 ($40,282, -81.3%)
Spiderman 2 - $3,114,975
Lord Of The Rings: ROTK - $2,965,295 (or $2,993,325 week)
Fantastic Four 2: Rise Of The Silver Surfer - $2,483,755 ($22,500, -71%)


MALAYSIA - Weekend 4

Will surpass Spiderman 3 here to become the largest movie of all-time in Malaysia, in USD$

Spiderman 3 - $4,643,397 ($136,446, -66.7%)
Transformers - $4,635,553 ($306,877, -33.8%)
Pirates Of The Caribbean 3: At World’s End - $3,937,714 ($108,048, -59.5%)Spiderman 2 - $2,934,928
Mr. Bean’s Holiday - $2,090,853 ($102,862)
Fantastic Four 2: Rise Of The Silver Surfer - $1,977,921 ($103,577, -79.9%)


PHILLIPPINES - Weekend 4

Spiderman 3 is untouchable at $9.14m, but Transformers is going to be a very strong #2.

Transformers - $5,542,212 ($327,958, -32%)
Spiderman 2 - $4,015,604
Fantastic Four 2: Rise Of The Silver Surfer - $3,013,557 ($64,612, -67.8%)
The Day After Tomorrow - $2,391,453

DreamWorks/Paramount's Transformers opens in six territories including France and Hong Kong on Jul 25 and the UK on Jul 27.

The action blockbuster has made a sizeable dent overseas and this weekend's launches should considerably raise the $206.3m international running total.

Latest figures put Shrek The Third on $390.1m and Blades Of Glory, which opens in Italy on Jul 27, on $25.7m.

Universal/UPI has four comedies in play. Evan Almighty opens in South Korea on Jul 26 and has grossed $4.7m from the early stages of release, while last weekend's number one North American film I Now Pronounce You Chuck And Larry opens in Taiwan on Jul 28.

Knocked Up has taken $9.9m so far and opens in Russia and Singapore on Jul 26, while Mr Bean's Holiday opens in China on Jul 27 and stands at $177.6m. Thriller White Noise 2: The Lights launches in Brazil on Jul 27.

==========

Got a very bad feeling it'll be overwhelemed by Simpsons on the UK....why on earth won't they move...stupid