I hope you meant it as a joke

I predict Transformers to dominate Japan entire august and september.

LOL well it came out negative mainly because it isn't my type of movie, but I did say this
Well I admit that is very good. Probably will finish 4 or 5 WW.

The Top 3 spots of the year are probably locked out.....it could well be between this, National Treasure 2, The GOlden Compass and Ratatouille.

Well if it can get over the storm clouds before it (Harry Potter, Ratatouille) then it should have no problems ruling August..

In Japan

GIANT FUCKING ROBOTS = GOD

125m

AUSTRALIA - Thursday and Friday

http://www.moviemarshal.com.au/

Thursday to Thursday drop

TRANSFORMERS.........941,911....-54%
KNOCKED UP.............678,605....N/A
SHREK THE THIRD......460,778....46%
FANTASTIC FOUR.......294,810....31%
BLADES OF GLORY.....218,807.....2%
BRIDGE TO TERA.......216,236.....112%
NANCY DREW............154,221.....159%
OCEAN'S THIRTEEN....134,115.....-33%
PIRATES OF THE.........71,857......-14%
CLUBLAND.................40,176.......-24%

On Friday, Transformers did $1.16m+. which is only a 32% Fri to Fri drop. Normally if a movie has a Thursday around the $900k mark, it's headed for an opening weekend between $4.5-$6m.

Transformers should increase again to about $1.5-$2m on Saturday and drop lightly again on Sunday with the school still in operation.

It's definately headed for a weekend around $5m, give or take $500k. This is a brillaint hold and would be in the vicinity of 35-40%.

DOMESTIC - Day 3

In it's first 3-Days, Transformers has racked up a very impressive psuedo-opening weekend. It dropped slightly from the #12 position it held on Tue-Wed, to #16...though should be screaming back up the charts over the next 3 days.

Transformers is tracking as the largest non-sequel, non-franchise release after 3-Days of play, about $7m ahead of last year's similarlly hyped Da Vinic Code.

1) Spiderman 3 - $151,116,516 (Sun - $39,937,865) incl. $4.8m (IMAX - 84)
2) Pirates Of The Caribbean 2: Dead Man’s Chest - $135,634,554 (Sun - $35,360,729)
3) Pirates Of The Caribbean 3: At World’s End - $127,972,864 (Sun - $34,121,377)
4) Star Wars 3: ROTS - $124,237,232 (Sat - $40,693,760)
5) Shrek 3 - $122,536,609 (Sun - $36,124,782)
6) Spiderman - $114,844,116 (Sun - $31,814,980)
7) The Matrix: Reloaded - $108,227,933 (Sat - $34,389,237)
8) X-Men 3: The Last Stand - $102,750,665 (Sun - $25,650,557)
9) Harry Potter 4: GOF - $102,685,961 (Sun - $25,848,463) incl. $2.93m (IMAX - 66)
10) Spiderman 2 - $96,707,866 (Fri - $32,452,342)

11) Harry Potter 3: POA - $93,687,367 (Sun - $23,925,205)
12) Harry Potter 1: SS - $90,294,621 (Sun - $24,448,477)
13) Harry Potter 2: COS - $88,357,488 (Sun - $24,512,232)
14) Star Wars 2: AOTC - $85,799,792 (Sat - $31,253,618)
15) X-Men 2: X-Men United - $85,558,731 (Sun - $22,310,123)
16) Transformers - $84,903,028 (Thu - $19,177,089)
17) The Da Vinci Code - $77,073,388 (Sun - $21,125,768)
18) Austin Powers 3: Goldmember - $76,624,907 (Sun - $20,974,475)
19) Jurassic Park 2: The Lost World - $74,699,969 (Sun - $26,083,950)
20) Lord Of The Rings: ROTK - $73,282,370 (Fri - $21,811,549)

300 - $70,885,301 (Sun - $18,097,726) incl. $3.6m (IMAX)
The Day After Tomorrow - $68,743,584 (Sun - $21,449,531)
Independence Day - $63,619,859 (Fri - $17,745,871)
Pearl Harbor - $59,078,912 (Sun - $19,749,861)
Fantastic Four 2: Rise Of The Silver Surfer - $58,051,684 (Sun - $16,413,435)
War Of The Worlds - $57,602,976 (Fri - $21,920,576)
The Matrix: Revolutions - $51,844,367 (Fri - $16,529,521)
Superman Returns - $48,376,870 (Fri - $16,318,426)
Mission Impossible 3 - $47,743,273 (Sun - $12,701,240)
Ratatouille - $47,027,395 (Sun - $13,598,308)
Terminator 3: Rise Of The Machines - $41,382,326 (Fri - $13,036,305)
Armageddon - $31,718,000 (Fri - $13,620,000)
King Kong - $30,519,740 (Fri - $14,468,240)


ALL-TIME - Thursday

This is the largest Thursday gross we've seen since Star Wars 3's opening day. Transformers coming in at #4, just a smidgen above Independence Day's 2nd day.

1) Star Wars 3: ROTS - $50,013,859 (Day 1 - incl. $16,912,367 midnights on 2900 TC)
2) The Matrix: Reloaded - $42,508,303 (Day 1 - $37,508,303 + $5m Wed-10pm p/v on 2750 TC)
3) Star Wars 2: AOTC - $30,141,471 (Day 1)
4) Spiderman 2 - $23,812,920 (Day 2)
5) Transformers - $19,177,089 (Day 3)
6) Independence Day - $17,343,388 (Day 2)*
7) Lord Of The Rings: ROTK - $17,019,987 (Day 2)
8) Men In Black 2 - $16,493,214 (Day 2)*
9) Lord Of The Rings: TTT - $15,455,171 (Day 9)*
10) The Passion Of The Christ - $14,781,316 (Day 2)

11) War Of The Worlds - $14,425,917 (Day 2)
12) Men In Black 1 - $14,206,708 (Day 2)
13) Lord Of The Rings: ROTK - $13,986,220 (Day 9)*
14) Lord Of The Rings: TTT - $13,878,712 (Day 2)
15) Pirates Of The Caribbean 3: At World’s End - $13,240,044 (Thu 8pm - Day 0)
16) Toy Story 2 - $13,143,034 (Day 2)
17) Lord Of The Rings: ROTK - $12,784,656 (Day 16)*
18) Harry Potter 4: GOF - $12,409,162 (Day 7)
19) Pirates Of The Caribbean 2: Dead Man’s Chest - $12,358,033 (Day 7)
20) Meet The Fockers - $12,330,000 (Day 2)

I should have said summer. Golden Compass is defintely something that could surprise overseas in the winter.

Oops. I meant to say that the Top 4 positions are locked out with (HP5, AWE, Spiderman 3 and Shrek 3). Golden Compass to me has the most potential overseas. If it hits, it could easily do $350m+ grosser. Unlike Night At The Museum, this one skews even younger and will draw in the fantasy genre which is much stronger overseas....

Transformers I'm still putting around the $350m region until it opens in UK and Japan....if it doesn't gross as well as WOTWs in those markets then forget it.

Well, it seems to be doing extremely well in South Korea....this could only mean good things....it hasn't done badly yet in any Asian market so far...

Some more weekly numbers for Transformers.....

Sequels dominate international box office

'Spider-Man,' 'Shrek,' and 'Pirates' speak revenue
By DAVE MCNARY
http://www.variety.com/article/VR111796 ... id=13&cs=1

Recent stellar returns also bode well for socko biz on the foreign front with "Transformers" and the fourth "Die Hard" at the start of their international runs. And overseas biz should receive another jolt on July 11 when "Harry Potter and the Order of the Phoenix" opens with a powerful pedigree that's seen the four previous "Potter" pics generate $2.4 billion in offshore grosses.

Paramount slotted "Transformers" into 10 foreign markets a week before its Stateside launch in order to distance itself from "Phoenix" and take advantage of local holidays. That strategy worked especially well in South Korea, with $14.75 million in its first five days, and in Australia with $7.6 million.

In Italy, the toy-based vehicle easily took the top spot with $4.07 million in its first five days, giving energy to an otherwise flat frame. The Michael Bay actioner caused a 31% rise in Italo grosses compared with the previous weekend.

"Transformers" also rocked in mid-tier Asian markets with beefy five-day cumes of $3.5 million in Taiwan, $2.5 million in the Philippines, $2.1 million each in Singapore and Thailand and $1.77 million in Malaysia.

Wow! All the films held amazingly well. Seems AWE will surpass DMC.

Yeah some great holds. Alot of that is to do with the fact that the biggest markets (mainly Melbourne and Sydney) are on school holiday time.

BRILLIANT HOLD FOR TRANSFORMERS!!!!! And Knocked Up opened very well. My session was 90% full last nite.

TRANSFORMERS does $43.6m this weekend in 29 territories, new total $93.6m (no details yet)

That gross probably includes $3.6m from Thursday. By Friday, the OS total was at $53.0m.

I think the film will be massive in japan for some strange reason.

Japan has been horrible to predict the last few years. I am not sure if they are having a lot of money problems or what.

No, AWE will not be surpassing DMC.....and it looks like Shrek 3 will overtake AWE for the yearly crown....until potter arrives

Yeah, i'm really happy with Transformers so far, it's doing better than expectations and looks like a possibility for $30m at the rate its going...

Thanks to the domestic market of course, this is a very strong worldwide opening,

The thing with Japan is that this could well have one of the strongest grosses of all-time, there's definately potential there

Hmmm.....don't know how I feel about the international figure....was kinda expecting a bit more this weekend with the holdovers and new openers in Europe...

Estimates.....will update actuals tomorrow with comments....though look at how fast Transformers rises by Sunday....Top 6 all-time...


DOMESTIC - Day 4

1) Spiderman 3 - $161,401,784 (Mon - $10,285,268)
2) Star Wars 3: ROTS - $158,449,700 (Sun - $34,212,468)
3) Pirates Of The Caribbean 2: Dead Man’s Chest - $153,774,825 (Mon - $18,140,271)
4) Pirates Of The Caribbean 3: At World’s End - $153,042,234 (Mon - $25,069,370)*Memorial
5) The Matrix: Reloaded - $134,282,716 (Sun - $26,054,783)
6) Shrek 3 - $132,168,748 (Mon - $9,632,139)
7) Spiderman 2 - $130,456,123 (Sat - $33,748,257)
8) Spiderman - $125,878,901 (Mon - $11,034,785)
9) X-Men 3: The Last Stand - $122,861,157 (Mon - $20,110,492)*Memorial
10) Harry Potter 4: GOF - $110,741,182 (Mon - $8,055,221)

11) Star Wars 2: AOTC - $110,169,231 (Sun - $24,369,439)
12) Transformers - $107,403,000 (Fri - $22,500,000)
13) Harry Potter 3: POA - $102,115,798 (Mon - $8,428,431)
14) Lord Of The Rings: ROTK - $100,774,423 (Sat - $27,492,053)
15) The Passion Of The Christ - $97,325,776 (Sat - $33,077,939)
16) Harry Potter 1: SS - $96,937,323 (Mon - $6,642,702)
17) Harry Potter 2: COS - $93,678,789 (Mon - $5,321,301)
18) Jurassic Park 2: The Lost World - $92,729,064 (Mon - $18,029,095)*Memorial Monday
19) X-Men 2: X-Men United - $92,108,448 (Mon - $6,549,717)
20) Shrek 2 - $94,082,519 (Sat - $44,797,042)


DOMESTIC - Day 4

1) Star Wars 3: ROTS - $172,802,507 (Mon - $14,352,807)
2) Pirates Of The Caribbean 2: Dead Man’s Chest - $169,506,744 (Tue - $15,731,919)
3) Spiderman 3 - $169,444,466 (Tue - $8,042,682)
4) Pirates Of The Caribbean 3: At World’s End - $160,831,171 (Tue - $7,788,937)
5) Spiderman 2 - $152,411,751 (Sun - $21,955,628)
6) The Matrix: Reloaded - $144,391,066 (Mon - $10,108,350)
7) Shrek 3 - $138,706,832 (Tue - $6,538,084)
8) Spiderman - $135,840,755 (Tue - $9,961,854)
9) Transformers - $133,303,000 (Sat - $25,900,000)
10) X-Men 3: The Last Stand - $130,150,700 (Tue - $7,289,543)

11) Shrek 2 - $128,983,060 (Sun - $34,900,541)
12) The Passion Of The Christ - $125,185,971 (Sun - $27,860,195)
13) Lord Of The Rings: ROTK - $124,100,534 (Sun - $23,326,111)
14) Star Wars 2: AOTC - $120,829,572 (Mon - $10,660,341)
15) Harry Potter 4: GOF - $119,743,524 (Tue - $9,002,342)
16) Harry Potter 3: POA - $109,363,094 (Tue - $7,247,296)
17) Star Wars 1: PM - $105,661,237 (Sun - $21,929,334)
18) Harry Potter 1: SS - $104,590,892 (Tue - $7,653,569)
19) Lord Of The Rings: TTT - $102,046,212 (Sun - $20,031,131)
20) War Of The Worlds - $100,561,125 (Sun - $19,775,949)


DOMESTIC - Day 6

1) Pirates Of The Caribbean 2: Dead Man’s Chest - $183,661,469 (Wed - $14,154,725)
2) Star Wars 3: ROTS - $182,710,278 (Tue - $9,907,771)
3) Spiderman 2 - $180,072,888 (Mon - $27,661,137)*Independence Monday
4) Spiderman 3 - $176,161,954 (Wed - $6,717,488)
5) Pirates Of The Caribbean 3: At World’s End - $167,236,619 (Wed - $6,405,448)
6) Transformers - $152,500,000 (Sun - $19,200,000)
7) The Matrix: Reloaded - $151,919,513 (Tue - $7,528,447)
8) Shrek 3 - $144,478,827 (Wed - $5,771,995)
9) Spiderman - $144,156,124 (Wed - $8,315,369)
10) Shrek 2 - $140,495,380 (Mon - $11,512,320)

11) Lord Of The Rings: ROTK - $137,663,742 (Mon - $13,563,208)
12) X-Men 3: The Last Stand - $135,955,809 (Wed - $5,805,109)
13) The Passion Of The Christ - $135,317,847 (Mon - $10,131,876)
14) Harry Potter 4: GOF - $133,873,907 (Wed - $14,130,383)
15) Star Wars 2: AOTC - $128,332,368 (Tue - $7,502,796)
16) Harry Potter 1: SS - $117,233,000 (Wed - $12,642,000)
17) Star Wars 1: PM - $116,542,509 (Mon - $10,881,272)
18) Harry Potter 3: POA - $116,241,576 (Wed - $6,878,482)
19) Lord Of The Rings: TTT - $115,556,154 (Mon - $13,509,942)
20) War Of The Worlds - $112,744,353 (Mon - $12,183,228)*Independence Monday

Transformers down only 41% in OZ!!! Brilliant!

http://www.moviemarshal.com.au/

Great BO with Knocked Up a strong second.

1 TRANSFORMERS M Par 2 4,737,304 367 12,908 -41 16,203,472
2 KNOCKED UP MA15+ Uni 1 3,467,281 222 15,618 na 3,886,894
3 SHREK THE THIRD PG Par 5 1,705,437 381 4,476 -8 30,282,030
4 FANTASTIC FOUR: RISE OF THE.. PG Fox 3 1,175,976 292 4,027 -13 7,540,214
5 BLADES OF GLORY M Par 3 906,408 187 4,847 -28 6,111,271
6 OCEAN'S THIRTEEN PG Road 4 783,780 278 2,819 -39 10,871,027
7 BRIDGE TO TERABITHIA PG BVI 4 721,820 260 2,776 22 4,442,697
8 NANCY DREW PG WB 3 510,558 172 2,968 61 1,439,880
9 PIRATES OF THE CARIBBEAN: AT.. M BVI 7 410,559 190 2,161 -31 32,553,142
10 CLUBLAND M Pal 2 225,394 69 3,267 -30 845,929
11 LA VIE EN ROSE M Icon P/V 191,914 43 4,463 na 191,914
12 DINOSAURS 3D - GIANTS OF.. G IMAX 5 151,203 2 75,602 169 559,028
13 BLACK BOOK MA15+ Sony 1 121,384 13 9,337 na 121,384
14 ROMULUS, MY FATHER M Den/Foot 6 104,111 53 1,964 -28 2,084,075
15 AS IT IS IN HEAVEN M Rialto 49 78,945 17 4,644 4 1,801,214
16 I DO M Hop 3 67,903 20 3,395 -39 509,164
17 DEEP SEA 3D G IMAX 66 46,805 2 23,403 104 3,965,853
18 THE LIVES OF OTHERS MA15+ Hop 15 32,936 18 1,830 -8 2,561,892
19 DEAD GIRL MA15+ Hoyts 3 32,111 9 3,568 -33 194,870
20 THE ITALIAN M Jump/Shar 11 25,051 16 1,566 -32 913,867

Shrek 3 will beat Pirates. Transformers should do $27m+
Potter has a chance at No.1 of the year.