Yahoo Review Thread - 2010
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Rolling Thunder
Forum General
Joined: Fri Nov 19, 2004 12:11 pm
Posts: 9148
Location: Kentucky Bluegrass
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Squeeks wrote: Omni wrote: Rolling Thunder wrote: ChipMunk-Y wrote: Ratatouille needs only 1200 reviews to get a $20 mil OD, correct?
While getting a 60 ratio of course.
And only 1400 with a 70 ratio. Yes. Kid films tail off quickly throughout the day. My early numbers assume 800-1000 reviews with a ratio of 55-60. They are right about Cars having a similar number of reviews at this point, but I've got a few other variables I'm playing with on my nerd graph. They could very well be worth nothing, though.  I'm sure one of those variables is the different release date, since it's hard to have a great start if many schools are still open and you are a kids flick. What schools are these? It's almost July for crying out loud. He/she means that all schools are out now.
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| Fri Jun 29, 2007 1:20 pm |
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Biggestgeekever
I heet the canadian!
Joined: Mon Jan 23, 2006 12:58 am
Posts: 5192
Location: The Great _______
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Just wanted to point out that Ratatouille's ratio should be slightly larger than Incredibles, due to the sneaks two weeks ago.
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| Fri Jun 29, 2007 1:21 pm |
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Omni
The Antichrist
Joined: Thu Nov 30, 2006 8:04 am
Posts: 1742
Location: Calisota
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Rolling Thunder wrote: He/she means that all schools are out now. He  _________________
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| Fri Jun 29, 2007 1:21 pm |
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Rolling Thunder
Forum General
Joined: Fri Nov 19, 2004 12:11 pm
Posts: 9148
Location: Kentucky Bluegrass
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Live Free or Die Hard - 2942 (666), 322 (56) Friday, +30 (+3), A-
Ratatouille - 227 (45), +24 (+4), A-
Sicko - 830 (619), 409 (522) Friday, +217 (+326), B-
Massive written increase for Sicko from the front page exposure.
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| Fri Jun 29, 2007 1:38 pm |
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xiayun
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:41 pm
Posts: 25109
Location: San Mateo, CA
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Sicko is one of the films where frontpage exposure could distort the ratio the most since both Moore and health care attract huge attention even for people who didn't know the film is opening.
_________________Recent watched movies: American Hustle - B+ Inside Llewyn Davis - B Before Midnight - A 12 Years a Slave - A- The Hunger Games: Catching Fire - A- My thoughts on box office
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| Fri Jun 29, 2007 1:42 pm |
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Rolling Thunder
Forum General
Joined: Fri Nov 19, 2004 12:11 pm
Posts: 9148
Location: Kentucky Bluegrass
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xiayun wrote: Sicko is one of the films where frontpage exposure could distort the ratio the most since both Moore and health care attract huge attention even for people who didn't know the film is opening. Yeah, but you get the ratios right so often that I swear you have a stack of tarot cards and a Ouija board in your room.
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| Fri Jun 29, 2007 1:47 pm |
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xiayun
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:41 pm
Posts: 25109
Location: San Mateo, CA
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Rolling Thunder wrote: xiayun wrote: Sicko is one of the films where frontpage exposure could distort the ratio the most since both Moore and health care attract huge attention even for people who didn't know the film is opening. Yeah, but you get the ratios right so often that I swear you have a stack of tarot cards and a Ouija board in your room.  _________________Recent watched movies: American Hustle - B+ Inside Llewyn Davis - B Before Midnight - A 12 Years a Slave - A- The Hunger Games: Catching Fire - A- My thoughts on box office
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| Fri Jun 29, 2007 1:49 pm |
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xiayun
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:41 pm
Posts: 25109
Location: San Mateo, CA
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Live Free or Die Hard - 2988 (674), 368 (64) Friday, +46 (+8), A-
Ratatouille - 275 (46), +48 (+1), A-
Sicko - 1265 (790), 844 (693) Friday, +435 (+171), B-
Evening - 38 (18), B+
Car had a good increase this hour to 388. Added Evening.
_________________Recent watched movies: American Hustle - B+ Inside Llewyn Davis - B Before Midnight - A 12 Years a Slave - A- The Hunger Games: Catching Fire - A- My thoughts on box office
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| Fri Jun 29, 2007 2:40 pm |
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Rolling Thunder
Forum General
Joined: Fri Nov 19, 2004 12:11 pm
Posts: 9148
Location: Kentucky Bluegrass
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The early crowd reports (and they are early) suggest Ratatouille may be performing better than the reviews show. If so, we're looking at very low ratio - even for a kid's film.
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| Fri Jun 29, 2007 3:06 pm |
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Squee
Squee
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 10:01 pm
Posts: 13270
Location: Yuppieville
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I will guess a ratio of 30 for Ratatouille.
Ok, so with 1200 reviews, what friday number does that equal?
(I still have no idea how to calculate guesstimates based on ratios. All I know is that lower is better.)
_________________Setting most people on fire is wrong.Proud Founder of the "Community of Squee." 
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| Fri Jun 29, 2007 3:17 pm |
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Chippy
KJ's Leading Pundit
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 4:45 pm
Posts: 63026
Location: Tonight... YOU!
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Squeeks wrote: I will guess a ratio of 30 for Ratatouille.
Ok, so with 1200 reviews, what friday number does that equal?
(I still have no idea how to calculate guesstimates based on ratios. All I know is that lower is better.) That'd be $40 mil OD... HAH!
I would say maybe a 50 ratio at best.
And if it ends up with 1200 reviews, that's a $24 mil OD, which would become a $70+ mil OW _________________trixster wrote: shut the fuck up zwackerm, you're out of your fucking element trixster wrote: chippy is correct
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| Fri Jun 29, 2007 3:19 pm |
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Squee
Squee
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 10:01 pm
Posts: 13270
Location: Yuppieville
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ChipMunk-Y wrote: Squeeks wrote: I will guess a ratio of 30 for Ratatouille.
Ok, so with 1200 reviews, what friday number does that equal?
(I still have no idea how to calculate guesstimates based on ratios. All I know is that lower is better.) That'd be $40 mil OD... Wow! So Ratatoille will come close to breaking the opening weekend record! Awesome!! _________________Setting most people on fire is wrong.Proud Founder of the "Community of Squee."
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| Fri Jun 29, 2007 3:20 pm |
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Rolling Thunder
Forum General
Joined: Fri Nov 19, 2004 12:11 pm
Posts: 9148
Location: Kentucky Bluegrass
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1000 is the most reviews I see it getting. That could produce a $20M day. I'm still sticking with my earlier projection for now.
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| Fri Jun 29, 2007 3:23 pm |
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Biggestgeekever
I heet the canadian!
Joined: Mon Jan 23, 2006 12:58 am
Posts: 5192
Location: The Great _______
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One hour or so update:
Live Free or Die Hard - 3042 (684), +54 (+10) Friday, +46 (+8), A-
I'm not sure how you guys are seperating out the fridays numbers for Sicko. 
Ratatouille - 319 (50), +44 (+4), A-
Evening - 39 (22), +1 (+4) B+
Definetely clogged.
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| Fri Jun 29, 2007 4:10 pm |
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zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm
Posts: 36662
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We're keeping track of how much Die Hard and Sicko make on Friday, so:
Live Free or Die Hard - 2988 (695), 422 (85) Friday, +54 (+21), A-
Sicko - 1343 (1087), 922 (990) Friday, +78 (+297), B-
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| Fri Jun 29, 2007 4:16 pm |
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xiayun
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:41 pm
Posts: 25109
Location: San Mateo, CA
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Live Free or Die Hard - 3090 (684), 470 (74) Friday, +48 (+0), A-
Ratatouille - 354 (51), +35 (+1), A-
Sicko - 1456 (932), 1036 (835) Friday, +113 (-155), B-
Evening - 45 (22), +6 (+0), B+
_________________Recent watched movies: American Hustle - B+ Inside Llewyn Davis - B Before Midnight - A 12 Years a Slave - A- The Hunger Games: Catching Fire - A- My thoughts on box office
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| Fri Jun 29, 2007 4:50 pm |
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Omni
The Antichrist
Joined: Thu Nov 30, 2006 8:04 am
Posts: 1742
Location: Calisota
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Sub-2M weekend for Evening? It really looks like it's in deep trouble.
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| Fri Jun 29, 2007 5:04 pm |
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xiayun
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:41 pm
Posts: 25109
Location: San Mateo, CA
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3 hours:
Live Free or Die Hard - 3218 (695), 598 (85) Friday, +128 (+11), A-
Ratatouille - 441 (59), +87 (+8), A-
Sicko - 1497 (945), 1077 (848) Friday, +41 (+13), B-
Evening - 52 (22), +7 (+0), B+
Sicko slowed down dramatically, and Evening looks as dead as it gets. Cars had 694 at this point, so Ratatouille must be looking at a very low ratio unless crowd reports so far don't represent the whole picture. _________________Recent watched movies: American Hustle - B+ Inside Llewyn Davis - B Before Midnight - A 12 Years a Slave - A- The Hunger Games: Catching Fire - A- My thoughts on box office
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| Fri Jun 29, 2007 7:46 pm |
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Excel
Superfreak
Joined: Sat Aug 20, 2005 12:54 am
Posts: 22182
Location: Places
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die hard is looking 10 million+ right?
_________________Ari Emmanuel wrote: I'd rather marry lindsay Lohan than represent Mel Gibson.
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| Fri Jun 29, 2007 8:02 pm |
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Nazgul9
Extraordinary
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 12:32 pm
Posts: 11289
Location: Germany
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LFODH's grade is still an A-. 
You don't see that often... _________________
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| Fri Jun 29, 2007 8:24 pm |
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Libs
Sbil
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:38 pm
Posts: 48677
Location: Arlington, VA
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To add to my post in the crowd report, I've seen numerous sellouts for both Ratatouille and Die Hard in local theaters. Looks promising for both.
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| Fri Jun 29, 2007 9:02 pm |
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Jonathan
Begging Naked
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 12:07 pm
Posts: 14737
Location: The Present (Duh)
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1-Hour (Links opened before top-of-the-hour update):
Live Free or Die Hard - 3255 (725), 635 (115) Friday, +37 (+30), A-
Ratatouille - 462 (82), +21 (+23), A-
Sicko - 1513 (1200), 1093 (1093) Friday, +16 (+255), B-
Evening - 55 (27), +3 (+5), B+
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| Fri Jun 29, 2007 9:03 pm |
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baumer72
Mod Team Leader
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 11:00 pm
Posts: 7087
Location: Crystal Lake
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I have maintained all along tghat DH has a chance to jump 100% today. I don't think everyone had a chance to see it on Wed and many of us, like me were waiting until the weekend. The movie is phenominal and i think it could do 40 mill this weekend.
_________________
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| Fri Jun 29, 2007 9:24 pm |
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xiayun
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:41 pm
Posts: 25109
Location: San Mateo, CA
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Live Free or Die Hard - 3541 (733), 921 (123) Friday, +286 (+8), A-
Ratatouille - 705 (97), +243 (+15), A-
Sicko - 1875 (1219), 1455 (1112) Friday, +362 (+19), B-
Evening - 78 (30), +23 (+3), B+
Unclogged, good time to do a projection:
Die Hard - heading to a 1,300-1,400 finish, so pretty much $9-10m as expected.
Ratatouille - since it attracts more adults comparing to a typical family film, the night pace should be steady, so look like $17-19m.
Sicko - I really don't have much idea, but even with an 800 ratio, $2m looks to be secured.
Evening - can't see it hitting $1m with only 78 reviews and 30 of them written.
_________________Recent watched movies: American Hustle - B+ Inside Llewyn Davis - B Before Midnight - A 12 Years a Slave - A- The Hunger Games: Catching Fire - A- My thoughts on box office
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| Fri Jun 29, 2007 10:06 pm |
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Excel
Superfreak
Joined: Sat Aug 20, 2005 12:54 am
Posts: 22182
Location: Places
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what? if dh gets the same amount of reviews fri as it did swed wouldnt it have a way lower ratio since its not p[ening day?
_________________Ari Emmanuel wrote: I'd rather marry lindsay Lohan than represent Mel Gibson.
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| Fri Jun 29, 2007 10:15 pm |
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