| Author |
Message |
|
MadGez
Dont Mess with the Gez
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 9:54 am
Posts: 23258
Location: Melbourne Australia
|
hehe thats kind of freaky 
_________________
What's your favourite movie summer? Let us know @
http://worldofkj.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=2&t=85934
|
| Thu Jun 28, 2007 4:53 am |
|
|
|
Levy
Golfaholic
Joined: Wed Jan 05, 2005 2:06 pm
Posts: 16054
|
$11 Million 
|
| Thu Jun 28, 2007 7:58 am |
|
|
|
Rolling Thunder
Forum General
Joined: Fri Nov 19, 2004 12:11 pm
Posts: 9148
Location: Kentucky Bluegrass
|
Agree with $9 million. 
|
| Thu Jun 28, 2007 8:09 am |
|
|
|
Rolling Thunder
Forum General
Joined: Fri Nov 19, 2004 12:11 pm
Posts: 9148
Location: Kentucky Bluegrass
|
Die Hard's ratio was approximately 154.56
|
| Thu Jun 28, 2007 1:31 pm |
|
|
|
xiayun
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:41 pm
Posts: 25109
Location: San Mateo, CA
|
To start out:
Live Free or Die Hard - 2620 (610), A-
Sicko - 420 (97), B _________________Recent watched movies: American Hustle - B+ Inside Llewyn Davis - B Before Midnight - A 12 Years a Slave - A- The Hunger Games: Catching Fire - A- My thoughts on box office
|
| Fri Jun 29, 2007 3:33 am |
|
|
|
Rolling Thunder
Forum General
Joined: Fri Nov 19, 2004 12:11 pm
Posts: 9148
Location: Kentucky Bluegrass
|
Xiayun, do you have the ratios for previous Moore flms? Sicko's will obviously be pretty high. Thanks.
|
| Fri Jun 29, 2007 7:23 am |
|
|
|
zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm
Posts: 36662
|
Live Free or Die Hard - 2623 (654), +3 (+44), A-
Ratatouille - 6 (36), +0 (+0), A
Sicko - 453 (109), +33 (+12), B
|
| Fri Jun 29, 2007 12:11 pm |
|
|
|
zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm
Posts: 36662
|
Rolling Thunder wrote: Xiayun, do you have the ratios for previous Moore flms? Sicko's will obviously be pretty high. Thanks. Fahrenheit 9/11 had 823.
Cars had 59, Incredibles had 70.
Superman Returns had 135 on Friday (222 Wednesday), War of the Worlds had 261 Friday (151 Wednesday), Batman Begins had 171 (179 Wednesday).
|
| Fri Jun 29, 2007 12:18 pm |
|
|
|
Rolling Thunder
Forum General
Joined: Fri Nov 19, 2004 12:11 pm
Posts: 9148
Location: Kentucky Bluegrass
|
I've got Ratatouille pacing at $45-50M right now. If it doesn't pick up, an opening below Cars is almost certain. When I red-flagged Evan Almighty, it never did gain momentum.
Sicko is now on the front page, and I wouldn't be surprised if Ratatouille appears later. I'm assuming we don't care to track Evening, except for maybe the last few hours?
Zing, thanks for the ratios - I'm away from my main desk and didn't have access to them.
Last edited by Rolling Thunder on Fri Jun 29, 2007 12:39 pm, edited 1 time in total.
|
| Fri Jun 29, 2007 12:37 pm |
|
|
|
Biggestgeekever
I heet the canadian!
Joined: Mon Jan 23, 2006 12:58 am
Posts: 5192
Location: The Great _______
|
Live Free or Die Hard - 2775 (661), +152 (+7), A-
Ratatouille - 79 (40), +36 (+4), A-
Sicko - 453 (230), +0 (+129), B
Clogged?
|
| Fri Jun 29, 2007 12:38 pm |
|
|
|
xiayun
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:41 pm
Posts: 25109
Location: San Mateo, CA
|
Live Free or Die Hard - 2775 (654), 155 (51) Friday, +152 (+7), A-
Ratatouille - 79 (41), +73 (+5), A-
Sicko - 453 (265), +0 (+156), B
Die Hard is unclogged, but Sicko is now.
_________________Recent watched movies: American Hustle - B+ Inside Llewyn Davis - B Before Midnight - A 12 Years a Slave - A- The Hunger Games: Catching Fire - A- My thoughts on box office
|
| Fri Jun 29, 2007 12:39 pm |
|
|
|
Rolling Thunder
Forum General
Joined: Fri Nov 19, 2004 12:11 pm
Posts: 9148
Location: Kentucky Bluegrass
|
Ratatouille unclogged to 203 overall reviews at this hour.
|
| Fri Jun 29, 2007 12:43 pm |
|
|
|
xiayun
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:41 pm
Posts: 25109
Location: San Mateo, CA
|
Sicko is in fewer theaters, but it isn't as controversial as F9/11, and having the reviews opened since last Friday should have absorbed a lot of fakes and leave today's ratio more mild. I'm thinking 400-500.
_________________Recent watched movies: American Hustle - B+ Inside Llewyn Davis - B Before Midnight - A 12 Years a Slave - A- The Hunger Games: Catching Fire - A- My thoughts on box office
Last edited by xiayun on Fri Jun 29, 2007 12:48 pm, edited 1 time in total.
|
| Fri Jun 29, 2007 12:43 pm |
|
|
|
xiayun
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:41 pm
Posts: 25109
Location: San Mateo, CA
|
Re-post for the current hour:
Live Free or Die Hard - 2912 (663), 292 (53) Friday, +289 (+9), A-
Ratatouille - 203 (41), +197 (+5), A-
Sicko - 613 (293), 192 (196) Friday, +160 (+184), B- _________________Recent watched movies: American Hustle - B+ Inside Llewyn Davis - B Before Midnight - A 12 Years a Slave - A- The Hunger Games: Catching Fire - A- My thoughts on box office
|
| Fri Jun 29, 2007 12:46 pm |
|
|
|
tyrannyreborn
The Incredible Hulk
Joined: Fri May 25, 2007 7:02 pm
Posts: 550
|
xiayun wrote: Re-post for the current hour: Live Free or Die Hard - 2912 (663), 292 (53) Friday, +289 (+9), A- Ratatouille - 203 (41), +197 (+5), A- Sicko - 613 (293), 192 (196) Friday, +160 (+184), B- What would these translate to?
|
| Fri Jun 29, 2007 12:53 pm |
|
|
|
Omni
The Antichrist
Joined: Thu Nov 30, 2006 8:04 am
Posts: 1742
Location: Calisota
|
tyrannyreborn wrote: xiayun wrote: Re-post for the current hour: Live Free or Die Hard - 2912 (663), 292 (53) Friday, +289 (+9), A- Ratatouille - 203 (41), +197 (+5), A- Sicko - 613 (293), 192 (196) Friday, +160 (+184), B- What would these translate to? Way too early to make projections. _________________
|
| Fri Jun 29, 2007 12:59 pm |
|
|
|
Rolling Thunder
Forum General
Joined: Fri Nov 19, 2004 12:11 pm
Posts: 9148
Location: Kentucky Bluegrass
|
The only quasi-confident projection I have right now Ratatouille. I've got a rough projection of a $15-17M Friday for it but like Omni said, it's way too early for anything concrete.
|
| Fri Jun 29, 2007 1:02 pm |
|
|
|
xiayun
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:41 pm
Posts: 25109
Location: San Mateo, CA
|
Car has 204 reviews at this point.  _________________Recent watched movies: American Hustle - B+ Inside Llewyn Davis - B Before Midnight - A 12 Years a Slave - A- The Hunger Games: Catching Fire - A- My thoughts on box office
|
| Fri Jun 29, 2007 1:06 pm |
|
|
|
zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm
Posts: 36662
|
Just to compare, Cars had 204 reviews at this point. 1 behind isn't too bad, Thunder.
EDIT: xiayun always beats me to my own observations. 
Last edited by zingy on Fri Jun 29, 2007 1:07 pm, edited 1 time in total.
|
| Fri Jun 29, 2007 1:06 pm |
|
|
|
Chippy
KJ's Leading Pundit
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 4:45 pm
Posts: 63026
Location: Tonight... YOU!
|
Ratatouille needs only 1200 reviews to get a $20 mil OD, correct?
While getting a 60 ratio of course.
And only 1400 with a 70 ratio.
_________________trixster wrote: shut the fuck up zwackerm, you're out of your fucking element trixster wrote: chippy is correct
|
| Fri Jun 29, 2007 1:06 pm |
|
|
|
Rolling Thunder
Forum General
Joined: Fri Nov 19, 2004 12:11 pm
Posts: 9148
Location: Kentucky Bluegrass
|
ChipMunk-Y wrote: Ratatouille needs only 1200 reviews to get a $20 mil OD, correct?
While getting a 60 ratio of course.
And only 1400 with a 70 ratio. Yes. Children's films tend to tail off throughout the day, though. My early numbers assume 800-1000 reviews with a ratio of 55-60. They are right about Cars having a similar number of reviews at this point, but I've got a few other variables I'm playing with on my nerd graph. They could very well be worth nothing, though. 
|
| Fri Jun 29, 2007 1:13 pm |
|
|
|
Chippy
KJ's Leading Pundit
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 4:45 pm
Posts: 63026
Location: Tonight... YOU!
|
If it averages 50 reviews an hour, which is easily possible, that's 700 reviews right there, with 900 total.
So the minimum for this is $15 mil. Which would mean a minimum $45 mil weekend.
_________________trixster wrote: shut the fuck up zwackerm, you're out of your fucking element trixster wrote: chippy is correct
|
| Fri Jun 29, 2007 1:15 pm |
|
|
|
Omni
The Antichrist
Joined: Thu Nov 30, 2006 8:04 am
Posts: 1742
Location: Calisota
|
Rolling Thunder wrote: ChipMunk-Y wrote: Ratatouille needs only 1200 reviews to get a $20 mil OD, correct?
While getting a 60 ratio of course.
And only 1400 with a 70 ratio. Yes. Kid films tail off quickly throughout the day. My early numbers assume 800-1000 reviews with a ratio of 55-60. They are right about Cars having a similar number of reviews at this point, but I've got a few other variables I'm playing with on my nerd graph. They could very well be worth nothing, though. I'm sure one of those variables is the different release date, since it's hard to have a great start if many schools are still open and you are a kids flick. _________________
|
| Fri Jun 29, 2007 1:16 pm |
|
|
|
Squee
Squee
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 10:01 pm
Posts: 13270
Location: Yuppieville
|
Omni wrote: Rolling Thunder wrote: ChipMunk-Y wrote: Ratatouille needs only 1200 reviews to get a $20 mil OD, correct?
While getting a 60 ratio of course.
And only 1400 with a 70 ratio. Yes. Kid films tail off quickly throughout the day. My early numbers assume 800-1000 reviews with a ratio of 55-60. They are right about Cars having a similar number of reviews at this point, but I've got a few other variables I'm playing with on my nerd graph. They could very well be worth nothing, though. I'm sure one of those variables is the different release date, since it's hard to have a great start if many schools are still open and you are a kids flick. What schools are these? It's almost July for crying out loud. _________________Setting most people on fire is wrong.Proud Founder of the "Community of Squee." 
|
| Fri Jun 29, 2007 1:18 pm |
|
|
|
Rolling Thunder
Forum General
Joined: Fri Nov 19, 2004 12:11 pm
Posts: 9148
Location: Kentucky Bluegrass
|
Omni wrote: I'm sure one of those variables is the different release date, since it's hard to have a great start if many schools are still open and you are a kids flick. Great thinking! I have 4 different variables I'm using, and that's actually the most useful. The others are experimental right now. I'm still blowing projections now and then, but it's getting better.
|
| Fri Jun 29, 2007 1:19 pm |
|
|
