Would the typical frontloading of horror films, that would be a sub-10mil weekend with a 4mil friday, right?

Most likely scenario would be somewhere between $10-10.5M with a $4M Friday. It surely doesn't seem like Hostel II will pull any more than that tonight.

Ocean's Thirteen - 732 (69), +96 (+4), B
Surf's Up - 351 (34), +20 (+4), B
Hostel: Part II - 441 (106), +32 (+7), C

A ratio of 60 for Ocean's put it at $12-12.5m, a ratio of 50 for Surf's Up gives $7m, and a ratio of 150 makes it $3m for Hostel 2.

Final numbers:

Ocean's Thirteen - 752 (71), +20 (+2), B
Surf's Up - 357 (35), +6 (+1), B
Hostel: Part II - 451 (109), +10 (+3), C

No change in my projections based on these numbers, although it looks like Surf's Up will have a little higher ratio and be more around $6m.

I agree completely, and also feel SU is looking more like $5-6M.

After all this time, the system is still strong as ever. Great work, everyone!

Fantastic 4: ROTSS - 0
Nancy Drew - 0
DOA - 169 user ratings/17 user reviews Ave. Grade C

Fantastic Four had 3,046 reviews for a ratio of 143.25. With a PG rating and the trend since then, I'd probably go with 120 for The Silver Surfer.

Nancy Drew is the kind of films that tends to have big ratios (The Sisterhood of the Traveling Pants - 397.58, Ice Princess - 649.90, Herbie: Fully Loaded - 297.14, etc.), so I'd go with something around 200.

No need to track DOA.

Fantastic Four: Rise of the Silver Surfer - 10 (19), B
Nancy Drew - 1 (0), A

Nancy Drew kicks off the day with one review. Most excellent!

Fantastic Four: Rise of the Silver Surfer - 10 (33), +0, (+14), B
Nancy Drew - 1 (2), +0, (+2), A

Fantastic Four: Rise of the Silver Surfer - 40 (33), +30 (+0), B
Nancy Drew - 2 (2), +1, (+0), A

Fantastic Four: Rise of the Silver Surfer - 40 (42), +0 (+9), B
Nancy Drew - 2 (3), +0, (+1), A

Fantastic Four: Rise of the Silver Surfer - 198 (49), +158 (+7), B
Nancy Drew - 53 (4), +51, (+1), B

Are you intentionally trying to make me angry?

Good start for FFII.

FFII has been on the front page since about 11 AM EST.

Fantastic Four: Rise of the Silver Surfer - 274 (78), +76 (+29), B
Nancy Drew - 72 (5), +19, (+1), B

Fantastic Four: Rise of the Silver Surfer - 407 (143), +133 (+65), B+
Nancy Drew - 115 (5), +43, (+0), B-

FFII remains on the front page with an improved grade. Drew's grade is slipping. If FFII's pacing were to match the original film the rest of the day, it would be in store for a sub-$50M weekend. Much has changed in how we interpret the numbers, though, and it's hard to say if we're dealing with clogging.

FFII is off the front page.

Fantastic Four: Rise of the Silver Surfer - 504 (188), +97 (+45), B
Nancy Drew - 142 (8), +27, (+3), B

I see nothing suggesting a breakout for Nancy Drew.

Fantastic Four: Rise of the Silver Surfer - 624 (211), +120,(+23), B+
Nancy Drew - 177 (8), +35, (+0), B

Fantastic Four had 741 for Friday at this point and an increase of 126 from the previous hour, so similar pace so far.

Yup, and since it's likely that FFII will have a slightly smaller ratio (PG rating, generally lower ratios than '05), it's looking good to at least match the original's opening day, even if it falls faster through the weekend.

Very impressive, my friend!

Look like the ratio won't change too much between the two either, unlike what I first thought. Certainly on track for a solid $20m day.