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xiayun
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:41 pm
Posts: 25109
Location: San Mateo, CA
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I'll post them then: 
The Condemned - 116 (13), B
The Invisible - 80 (11), B
Kickin' It Old Skool - 59 (4), B-
Next - 93 (12), B
The Condemned has the highest number, but it will also have the highest ratio given its WWE fanbase (See No Evil had a ratio of 309). None looks promising. _________________Recent watched movies: American Hustle - B+ Inside Llewyn Davis - B Before Midnight - A 12 Years a Slave - A- The Hunger Games: Catching Fire - A- My thoughts on box office
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| Fri Apr 27, 2007 4:13 pm |
 
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zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm
Posts: 36662
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It wouldn't totally surprise me if Spider-Man 3's opening day is higher than this weekend's top ten total.
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| Fri Apr 27, 2007 4:56 pm |
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xiayun
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:41 pm
Posts: 25109
Location: San Mateo, CA
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The Condemned - 142 (18), +26 (+5), B
The Invisible - 85 (13), +5 (+2), B
Kickin' It Old Skool - 63 (4), +4 (+0), B-
Next - 101 (15), +8 (+3), B
The increases for the last three are pathetic.
_________________Recent watched movies: American Hustle - B+ Inside Llewyn Davis - B Before Midnight - A 12 Years a Slave - A- The Hunger Games: Catching Fire - A- My thoughts on box office
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| Fri Apr 27, 2007 5:05 pm |
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dolemit3
child of the 80's
Joined: Sat Apr 01, 2006 2:10 am
Posts: 2017
Location: Amerikka
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Next looks a lot like "Impostor". That one opened with a 1600-ish PTA.
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| Fri Apr 27, 2007 5:11 pm |
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Quint
Baaaaa!
Joined: Sat May 06, 2006 10:31 am
Posts: 1011
Location: Lookin for mah bukkit
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I honestly have no idea how this works, but if Next is performing really horribly...could Disturbia possibly pull off a third weekend a #1? Or are the other releases performing well enough to likely outdo it?
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| Fri Apr 27, 2007 5:13 pm |
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thompsoncory
Rachel McAdams Fan
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 11:13 am
Posts: 14605
Location: LA / NYC
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If The Condemned opens at #1, it will be proof that American audiences have gone absolutely insane.
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| Fri Apr 27, 2007 5:50 pm |
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Shack
Devil's Advocate
Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2005 2:30 am
Posts: 40249
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I would totally choose Condemned over any of the other 3 new releases. It has a good fun concept, it's just WWE.
_________________Shack’s top 50 tv shows - viewtopic.php?f=8&t=90227
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| Fri Apr 27, 2007 5:51 pm |
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xiayun
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:41 pm
Posts: 25109
Location: San Mateo, CA
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Quint75 wrote: I honestly have no idea how this works, but if Next is performing really horribly...could Disturbia possibly pull off a third weekend a #1? Or are the other releases performing well enough to likely outdo it? Very unlikely. Next should have a low ratio even with an earlier appearance on the front page, so even if it just finishes with 200-250 reviews, that should be good enough for at least $3m and the top position.
Right now I think The Condemned is looking at $2m, The Invisible $2m, and Kickin' It $1m.
I agree with Zing that Spider-Man 3 could gross as much on its opening day as the top 10 this weekend combined. Imagine how much weaker the holdover's numbers will look next week. The market place is completely empty at this point. _________________Recent watched movies: American Hustle - B+ Inside Llewyn Davis - B Before Midnight - A 12 Years a Slave - A- The Hunger Games: Catching Fire - A- My thoughts on box office
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| Fri Apr 27, 2007 5:57 pm |
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dolemit3
child of the 80's
Joined: Sat Apr 01, 2006 2:10 am
Posts: 2017
Location: Amerikka
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The jump between #1 and #2 will be gigantic next week.
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| Fri Apr 27, 2007 6:54 pm |
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Libs
Sbil
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:38 pm
Posts: 48677
Location: Arlington, VA
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dolemit3 wrote: The jump between #1 and #2 will be gigantic next week. True
But considering how blank the box office will be other than Spider-Man 3, I'm not willing to count out Lucky You scrounging up a solid $12-13M yet.
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| Fri Apr 27, 2007 6:57 pm |
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xiayun
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:41 pm
Posts: 25109
Location: San Mateo, CA
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3-hour:
The Condemned - 189 (23), +47 (+5), B-
The Invisible - 147 (25), +62 (+12), B-
Kickin' It Old Skool - 110 (12), +47 (+8), C+
Next - 132 (23), +31 (+8), B-
The pace picked up a little, but the grades are dropping too. _________________Recent watched movies: American Hustle - B+ Inside Llewyn Davis - B Before Midnight - A 12 Years a Slave - A- The Hunger Games: Catching Fire - A- My thoughts on box office
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| Fri Apr 27, 2007 7:41 pm |
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MadGez
Dont Mess with the Gez
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 9:54 am
Posts: 23255
Location: Melbourne Australia
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We are actually losing alot of ground to 2006 in this 2nd half of April. This weekend is dismal. But Spidey will make up for alot of that in the next two weeks.
I agree that Lucky You will most likely have a $12m+ opening. Perfect counterprogramming (romance/women) and will also capture spillover business (men/poker).
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| Fri Apr 27, 2007 8:00 pm |
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MovieDude
Where will you be?
Joined: Tue Dec 21, 2004 4:50 am
Posts: 11675
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MadGez wrote: We are actually losing alot of ground to 2006 in this 2nd half of April. This weekend is dismal. But Spidey will make up for alot of that in the next two weeks.
I agree that Lucky You will most likely have a $12m+ opening. Perfect counterprogramming (romance/women) and will also capture spillover business (men/poker). Uhm... Spider-Man is all about the romance and has plenty of appeal to women. I'm not sure how I feel about Lucky You's odds at doing decently.
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| Fri Apr 27, 2007 9:12 pm |
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xiayun
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:41 pm
Posts: 25109
Location: San Mateo, CA
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2-hour:
The Condemned - 233 (30), +44 (+7), B
The Invisible - 196 (31), +49 (+6), B-
Kickin' It Old Skool - 139 (14), +29 (+2), C+
Next - 161 (26), +29 (+3), B- _________________Recent watched movies: American Hustle - B+ Inside Llewyn Davis - B Before Midnight - A 12 Years a Slave - A- The Hunger Games: Catching Fire - A- My thoughts on box office
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| Fri Apr 27, 2007 9:48 pm |
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Timayd
The 5th B-Sharp
Joined: Sun Mar 19, 2006 8:48 am
Posts: 1506
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Well the market couldn't be more empty for Spider Man 3 so theres the silver lining.
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| Fri Apr 27, 2007 9:58 pm |
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Spidey
Teenage Dream
Joined: Mon Oct 18, 2004 8:13 pm
Posts: 10678
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This weekend is very boring. Bring on Spider-Man 3!!!
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| Fri Apr 27, 2007 10:15 pm |
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xiayun
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:41 pm
Posts: 25109
Location: San Mateo, CA
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The Condemned - 308 (44), +75 (+14), B
The Invisible - 310 (51), +114 (+20), C+
Kickin' It Old Skool - 175 (19), +36 (+5), C+
Next - 229 (41), +68 (+15), B-
This is four hours over the heart of the night, so yeah, in line with the terrible crowd reports. The Invisible shows the most life, and I won't be surprised if it beats Next today; it actually has the best chance of winning Friday over Disturbia.
_________________Recent watched movies: American Hustle - B+ Inside Llewyn Davis - B Before Midnight - A 12 Years a Slave - A- The Hunger Games: Catching Fire - A- My thoughts on box office
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| Sat Apr 28, 2007 1:52 am |
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dolemit3
child of the 80's
Joined: Sat Apr 01, 2006 2:10 am
Posts: 2017
Location: Amerikka
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Can't wait for the Yahoo to go off scale tomorrow
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| Thu May 03, 2007 8:43 pm |
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Jonathan
Begging Naked
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 12:07 pm
Posts: 14737
Location: The Present (Duh)
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| Thu May 03, 2007 11:28 pm |
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xiayun
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:41 pm
Posts: 25109
Location: San Mateo, CA
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Ah, MovieMom didn't like it that much either.
_________________Recent watched movies: American Hustle - B+ Inside Llewyn Davis - B Before Midnight - A 12 Years a Slave - A- The Hunger Games: Catching Fire - A- My thoughts on box office
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| Thu May 03, 2007 11:32 pm |
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Jonathan
Begging Naked
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 12:07 pm
Posts: 14737
Location: The Present (Duh)
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xiayun wrote: Ah, MovieMom didn't like it that much either. Heh, it sounds a whole lot worse than a B-.
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| Thu May 03, 2007 11:40 pm |
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xiayun
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:41 pm
Posts: 25109
Location: San Mateo, CA
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Positive Jon wrote: xiayun wrote: Ah, MovieMom didn't like it that much either. Heh, it sounds a whole lot worse than a B-. Yeah, she called it a "mess" and still gave a B-. I think the great special effects are given, so most reviews are focusing on the negative aspects, which happened to be a lot more than what SM2 had, it appears. By comparison, MovieMom gave SM1 a B+ and SM2 A-. _________________Recent watched movies: American Hustle - B+ Inside Llewyn Davis - B Before Midnight - A 12 Years a Slave - A- The Hunger Games: Catching Fire - A- My thoughts on box office
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| Thu May 03, 2007 11:55 pm |
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xiayun
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:41 pm
Posts: 25109
Location: San Mateo, CA
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 DP07 wrote: Spider-Man 2 and July
Spider-Man 2 (Wed)
Daily Total Hourly Increase % of Daily Total
12:30 AM
1:30 AM
2:30 AM
3:30 AM
4:30 AM
5:30 AM
6:30 AM
7:30 AM
8:30 AM
9:30 AM
10:30 AM
11:30 AM
12:30 PM 2288 44.96%
1:30 PM 2713 425 53.31%
2:30 PM 2963 250 58.22%
3:30 PM 3212 249 63.12%
4:30 PM 3430 218 67.40%
5:30 PM 3658 228 71.88%
6:30 PM 3860 202 75.85%
7:30 PM 4047 187 79.52%
8:30 PM 4383 336 86.13%
9:30 PM 4614 231 90.67%
10:30 PM 4807 193 94.46%
11:30 PM 4969 162 97.64%
12:30 AM 5089 120 100.00%
Spider-Man 2 (Fri)
Daily Total Hourly Increase % of Daily Total
12:30 AM
1:30 AM
2:30 AM
3:30 AM
4:30 AM
5:30 AM
6:30 AM
7:30 AM
8:30 AM
9:30 AM 658 20.88%
10:30 AM 812 154 25.77%
11:30 AM 995 183 31.58%
12:30 PM 1142 147 36.24%
1:30 PM 1273 131 40.40%
2:30 PM 1431 158 45.41%
3:30 PM 1584 153 50.27%
4:30 PM 1716 132 54.46%
5:30 PM 1853 137 58.81%
6:30 PM 1991 138 63.19%
7:30 PM 2126 135 67.47%
8:30 PM 2306 180 73.18%
9:30 PM 2454 148 77.88%
10:30 PM 2727 273 86.54%
11:30 PM 2959 232 93.91%
12:30 AM 3151 192 100.00%
POTC2 tracking started here. The clogging was starting to get serious then, but only in spurts, and it did finish with 6,570 reviews (1,923 written) for a reasonable ratio of 117.68. SM2 didn't have a high ratio either, so 3 should fall in similar range. _________________Recent watched movies: American Hustle - B+ Inside Llewyn Davis - B Before Midnight - A 12 Years a Slave - A- The Hunger Games: Catching Fire - A- My thoughts on box office
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| Fri May 04, 2007 12:05 am |
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Alex Y.
Top Poster
Joined: Fri Oct 15, 2004 4:47 pm
Posts: 5812
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Just wondering, how will all the international reviews be taken into account for SM3?
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| Fri May 04, 2007 1:50 am |
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xiayun
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:41 pm
Posts: 25109
Location: San Mateo, CA
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I thought about it on the way home too. It'll definitely increase the ratio, given the record breaking numbers and the fact that it already earned so much before Friday. That could push it to be close to 150. Still think it'll be more like 130.
_________________Recent watched movies: American Hustle - B+ Inside Llewyn Davis - B Before Midnight - A 12 Years a Slave - A- The Hunger Games: Catching Fire - A- My thoughts on box office
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| Fri May 04, 2007 2:11 am |
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