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 Saturday Numbers 
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Extraordinary
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Post Saturday Numbers
Fom SBD

1. NIGHT AT THE MUSEUM 20TH CENTURY FOX 3,685 12,625,000 3,426 n/a 24,913,000 +3 %
2. PURSUIT OF HAPPYNESS, THE SONY 2,863 6,285,000 2,195 -41% 50,104,000 +17 %
3. ROCKY BALBOA MGM 2,752 5,243,999 1,906 n/a 19,825,104 +6 %
4. GOOD SHEPHERD, THE UNIVERSAL 2,218 4,200,000 1,894 n/a 7,750,000 +18 %
5. CHARLOTTE'S WEB PARAMOUNT 3,728 3,161,000 848 -32% 25,140,000 +1 %
6. ERAGON 20TH CENTURY FOX 3,030 2,958,000 976 -65% 36,231,000 +6 %
7. WE ARE MARSHALL WARNER BROS. 2,606 2,550,000 979 n/a 5,175,000 -3 %
8. HAPPY FEET WARNER BROS. 2,565 2,189,000 853 -41% 157,958,000 +22 %
9. HOLIDAY, THE PARAMOUNT 2,617 2,100,000 802 -35% 34,032,000 +15 %
10. NATIVITY STORY, THE NEW LINE 1,824 2,020,000 1,107 14% 30,892,000 +30 %


Last edited by mark66 on Sun Dec 24, 2006 2:43 pm, edited 2 times in total.



Sun Dec 24, 2006 1:16 pm
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Those increases seem kinda weak.

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Sun Dec 24, 2006 1:20 pm
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The increases are weak expectedly, as this was the busiest shopping day of the year. People are far too busy to see movies until tommorow. Granted NS went up 30%, and has FINALLY passed $30 m! It's down 18% from its opening day 23 days ago. So for a release to open in 3000 + theaters, and never get past $3 m in its entire run, its doing pretty good considering the weak opening. It has a 3.94 multiplier, and should be able to get to 4.5 + in the end. Even Sunday's total won't be so bad, as I could see alot of people seeing this on Sunday before Monday. So alot depends on its hold after Monday...


Sun Dec 24, 2006 1:27 pm
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Where's Apocalypto?


Sun Dec 24, 2006 1:29 pm
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Only 70 million more to get to 100 million! You can do it Nativity!!!!!!!!!!!


Sun Dec 24, 2006 1:44 pm
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The Good Shepherd had the second highest increase in the top ten. :biggrin:

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Sun Dec 24, 2006 1:53 pm
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Here are my rough estimates for the weekend, if estimates aren't issued:

3day:

1. NIGHT AT THE MUSEUM $31.19 m
2. PURSUIT OF HAPPYNESS, THE $14.41 m (-45.7%)
3. ROCKY BALBOA $12.87 m
4. GOOD SHEPHERD, THE $9.716 m
5. CHARLOTTE'S WEB $7.95 m (-30.6%)
6. ERAGON $7.187 m (-69.1%)
7. WE ARE MARSHALL $6.474 m
8. HAPPY FEET $5.13 m (-38.7%)
9. HOLIDAY, THE $4.807 m (-40%)
10. NATIVITY STORY, THE $4.681 m (+0.5%)

While these might appear low based on Fri/Sat #'s, Sunday business just drops off immensely.

To find the 4day grosses, I multiplied all of the 3day grosses by 1.33, which many films in 2000 seemed to have. Of course, this is a very rough estimate.

1. NIGHT AT THE MUSEUM $41.48 m
2. PURSUIT OF HAPPYNESS, THE $19.17 m (-27.8%)
3. ROCKY BALBOA $17.18 m
4. GOOD SHEPHERD, THE $12.92 m
5. CHARLOTTE'S WEB $10.57 m (-7.7%) (I bet this one will outdo the 1.33 multiplier, probably closer to 1.4, $11.13 m weekend)
6. ERAGON $9.56 m (-58.9%)
7. WE ARE MARSHALL $8.61 m
8. HAPPY FEET $6.82 m (-18.4%)
9. HOLIDAY, THE $6.39 m (-20.23%)
10. NATIVITY STORY, THE $6.44 m (+38.3%)


Sun Dec 24, 2006 1:59 pm
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the following weekdays will make up for the weak weekend.

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Sun Dec 24, 2006 2:10 pm
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Here's the multipliers of films in 2000, for their 4 day grosses that weekend, and how much more $ they added to their totals:

1 N Cast Away 4.86X more
2 1 What Women Want 5.21X more
3 N The Family Man 4.02 X more
4 3 How the Grinch Stole Christmas 1.69X more
5 N Miss Congeniality 6.71 X more
6 4 The Emperor's New Groove 6.8X more
7 N Dracula 2000 2.82X more
8 5 Vertical Limit 5.45 X more
9 2 Dude, Where's My Car? 3.92 X its 4day weekend more
10 13 Crouching Tiger, Hidden Dragon Not a good comparison

Take note. To find the estimated totals for the 2006 films, multiply the multipliers by the estimated 4day weekend total, and then add the weekend total + previous total for a final gross.

Ex. Say Cast Away made $39 m in its 4day weekend. Its additional total was 4.86 times this total ($230 m).


Sun Dec 24, 2006 2:36 pm
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BOG has posted a weekend # of Museum at $31 m.


Sun Dec 24, 2006 2:40 pm
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Poor for CW. It should have had an increase similar to Happy Feet's. Yet Eragon was even able to increase more, strange.

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Sun Dec 24, 2006 3:26 pm
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O wrote:
Here are my rough estimates for the weekend, if estimates aren't issued:

3day:

1. NIGHT AT THE MUSEUM $31.19 m
2. PURSUIT OF HAPPYNESS, THE $14.41 m (-45.7%)
3. ROCKY BALBOA $12.87 m
4. GOOD SHEPHERD, THE $9.716 m
5. CHARLOTTE'S WEB $7.95 m (-30.6%)
6. ERAGON $7.187 m (-69.1%)
7. WE ARE MARSHALL $6.474 m
8. HAPPY FEET $5.13 m (-38.7%)
9. HOLIDAY, THE $4.807 m (-40%)
10. NATIVITY STORY, THE $4.681 m (+0.5%)

While these might appear low based on Fri/Sat #'s, Sunday business just drops off immensely.

To find the 4day grosses, I multiplied all of the 3day grosses by 1.33, which many films in 2000 seemed to have. Of course, this is a very rough estimate.

1. NIGHT AT THE MUSEUM $41.48 m
2. PURSUIT OF HAPPYNESS, THE $19.17 m (-27.8%)
3. ROCKY BALBOA $17.18 m
4. GOOD SHEPHERD, THE $12.92 m
5. CHARLOTTE'S WEB $10.57 m (-7.7%) (I bet this one will outdo the 1.33 multiplier, probably closer to 1.4, $11.13 m weekend)
6. ERAGON $9.56 m (-58.9%)
7. WE ARE MARSHALL $8.61 m
8. HAPPY FEET $6.82 m (-18.4%)
9. HOLIDAY, THE $6.39 m (-20.23%)
10. NATIVITY STORY, THE $6.44 m (+38.3%)


You think charlotte will outdo the 1.33 multiplier. I think it will do less, remember, Kid movie increase anymore than 20% from Eve to Day. Some even dropped. They recover the most the day after Christmas.

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Sun Dec 24, 2006 4:47 pm
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