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El Maskado
Arrrrrrrrrrgggghhhhhhhhhh!
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 8:17 pm
Posts: 21572
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 Dec 22-25 predictions 4-day predictions
Rocky Balboa 33.0 ( 46 million 6 day)
Night at the Museum 36 million
We Are Marshall 13.5 million
The Good Shepard 11.0 million
Last edited by El Maskado on Sat Dec 16, 2006 3:47 pm, edited 3 times in total.
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| Sat Dec 16, 2006 2:38 pm |
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Jonathan
Begging Naked
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 12:07 pm
Posts: 14737
Location: The Present (Duh)
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Someone needs to stay out of Granny's moonshine.
Anyway, I'll wait. I really, really hate predicting Christmas weekend.
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| Sat Dec 16, 2006 2:48 pm |
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El Maskado
Arrrrrrrrrrgggghhhhhhhhhh!
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 8:17 pm
Posts: 21572
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Awards Czar Jon wrote: Someone needs to stay out of Granny's moonshine.
Anyway, I'll wait. I really, really hate predicting Christmas weekend. Err? Well i just use a multiplier of 1.5-1.6 for 4 day. sounds reasonable
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| Sat Dec 16, 2006 2:51 pm |
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zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm
Posts: 36662
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4-Day
Night at the Museum - $40.5 million
Rocky Balboa - $25.1 million ($36.3 million 6-day)
We Are Marshall - $19.3 million
The Good Shepherd - $13.4 million
Roid, in 2000 (same weekend dates, 22nd-25th), the multipliers, on average, were roughly 1.35 for all films except kids films, which were closer to 1.25. Your multipliers are extremely high.
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| Sat Dec 16, 2006 2:54 pm |
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DIB2
All Star Poster
Joined: Wed Jun 14, 2006 3:57 am
Posts: 4669
Location: Anchorage, AK
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4-day predictions
Night At the Museum - 34m
Rocky Balboa - 20.4m
We Are Marshall - 10.1m
The Good Shepherd - 14.7m
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| Sat Dec 16, 2006 3:05 pm |
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Bryan_smith
Cream of the Crop
Joined: Wed Nov 24, 2004 7:13 pm
Posts: 2120
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This weekend could potentially be huge.. last year the three day weekend did 100 million and the 4-day weekend did 159 million with Kong on top... if Night at the Museum and Rocky VI both perform well, we will outdo that for sure...
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| Sat Dec 16, 2006 11:21 pm |
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misterglass
Iron Man
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 12:56 pm
Posts: 678
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All 3-Day (I wonder if BOM will do 3 or 4-day...HSX is doing a 3-day thing I believe)
Night at the Museum 33.3
Rocky Balboa 18.3 ($28 million five-day from Weds)
Pursuit of Happyness 15.5
Eragon 13
The Good Shepherd 11.2
We Are Marshall 10.5
Charlotte's Web 9.5
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| Sun Dec 17, 2006 10:18 am |
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Quint
Baaaaa!
Joined: Sat May 06, 2006 10:31 am
Posts: 1011
Location: Lookin for mah bukkit
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I'm terrible at predicting holidays, so I won't, but since Black Christmas opens on Christmas, shouldn't it be part of everyone's predictions?
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| Sun Dec 17, 2006 4:49 pm |
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Kenspy
Into the fray
Joined: Thu May 18, 2006 12:09 pm
Posts: 1874
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1-day prediction?
Maybe if nobody predicts it, they won't release it. We can only hope...
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| Sun Dec 17, 2006 4:53 pm |
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El Maskado
Arrrrrrrrrrgggghhhhhhhhhh!
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 8:17 pm
Posts: 21572
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Thats probably the biggest bonehead decision by the studios to release the movie on a X-mas day thats falls on monday. Pretty much its a bad for a horror movie but there goes their gimmack completely. It would have made more sense to at least release on friday
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| Sun Dec 17, 2006 4:57 pm |
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zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm
Posts: 36662
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We predicted 1-day for Rumor Has It and Wolf Creek last year, I guess we will for Black Christmas as well.
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| Sun Dec 17, 2006 4:58 pm |
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O
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Jul 10, 2005 1:53 pm
Posts: 12197
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I think Dreamgirls could do $5 m on Monday from 800 theaters, for a $6,250 avg for that day. I think there will be a bit of a rush out as with Ali, but it'll still have a good weekend the following week. Ali did $10.2 m from 2400ish theaters, but Dreamgirls, even in 800, I think could pull $5 m.
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| Sun Dec 17, 2006 4:59 pm |
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Jonathan
Begging Naked
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 12:07 pm
Posts: 14737
Location: The Present (Duh)
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Double Post Double Post
Last edited by Jonathan on Sun Dec 17, 2006 5:05 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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| Sun Dec 17, 2006 5:03 pm |
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Jonathan
Begging Naked
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 12:07 pm
Posts: 14737
Location: The Present (Duh)
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Night at the Museum - $25/33M
Rocky Balboa - $17/$22/$33M
We Are Marshall - $10/13M
The Good Shepherd - $8/11M
Black Christmas - $3M
Dreamgirls - $2M
The Pursuit of Happyness -35%
Eragon -60%
Charlotte's Web -20%
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| Sun Dec 17, 2006 5:04 pm |
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Jonathan
Begging Naked
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 12:07 pm
Posts: 14737
Location: The Present (Duh)
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| Sun Dec 17, 2006 5:33 pm |
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MadGez
Dont Mess with the Gez
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 9:54 am
Posts: 23386
Location: Melbourne Australia
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I really have no idea at this stage, but here are the 4 days...
Night at the Museum $38.1m
Rocky Balboa $27.2m ($35.1m 6 day)
We Are Marshall $16.8m
The Good Shepard $12.7m
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| Sun Dec 17, 2006 6:14 pm |
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El Maskado
Arrrrrrrrrrgggghhhhhhhhhh!
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 8:17 pm
Posts: 21572
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Yeah you're right
Revised now
4-day predictions
Rocky Balboa 34.0 ( 46 million 6 day)
Night at the Museum 32.0 million
We Are Marshall 12.0 million
The Good Shepard 11.0 million
Dreamgirls 3.0 million
Black X-mas 2.8 million
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| Sun Dec 17, 2006 6:30 pm |
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David
Pure Phase
Joined: Tue Feb 15, 2005 7:33 am
Posts: 34865
Location: Maryland
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December 22, 2006 /// Predictions.
(All predictions are for the four-day, Friday-to-Monday period, unless otherwise noted.)
Night at the Museum: $41.5 million
Rocky Balboa: $18.5 million (Six-day: $29.1 million)
We Are Marshall: $15.7 million
The Good Shepherd: $13.3 million
Dreamgirls: $3.1 million (One-day)
Black Christmas: $2.8 million (One-day)
_________________   1. The Lost City of Z - 2. A Cure for Wellness - 3. Phantom Thread - 4. T2 Trainspotting - 5. Detroit - 6. Good Time - 7. The Beguiled - 8. The Florida Project - 9. Logan and 10. Molly's Game
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| Sun Dec 17, 2006 6:40 pm |
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zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm
Posts: 36662
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Updated:
4-Day
Night at the Museum - $37 million
Rocky Balboa - $23 million
We Are Marshall - $14 million
The Good Shepherd - $12 million
Dreamgirls - $3 million (1-day)
Black Christmas - $1.6 million (don't forget, it's in 1000 theaters)
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| Sun Dec 17, 2006 7:18 pm |
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Outatime
Veteran
Joined: Fri Nov 04, 2005 9:00 pm
Posts: 3413
Location: South Florida
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Night at the Museum - $39.1m
Rocky Balboa - $29.4m
We Are Marshall - $19.0m
The Good Shepherd - $14.8m
Dreamgirls - $4.6m
Black Christmas - $2.2m
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| Sun Dec 17, 2006 7:19 pm |
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Jonathan
Begging Naked
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 12:07 pm
Posts: 14737
Location: The Present (Duh)
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Zingaling wrote: Updated:
4-Day
Dreamgirls - $3 million (1-day)
Black Christmas - $1.6 million (don't forget, it's in 1000 theaters) Dreamgirls is in 800 theaters.
And Black Christmas should do well on Christmas simply for the fitting date. I think a run similar to The Omen is likely (At a thir of the size).
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| Sun Dec 17, 2006 8:37 pm |
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David
Pure Phase
Joined: Tue Feb 15, 2005 7:33 am
Posts: 34865
Location: Maryland
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Dreamgirls can gross $3 million from 800+ theatres in one day.
_________________1. The Lost City of Z - 2. A Cure for Wellness - 3. Phantom Thread - 4. T2 Trainspotting - 5. Detroit - 6. Good Time - 7. The Beguiled - 8. The Florida Project - 9. Logan and 10. Molly's Game
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| Sun Dec 17, 2006 8:43 pm |
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DIB2
All Star Poster
Joined: Wed Jun 14, 2006 3:57 am
Posts: 4669
Location: Anchorage, AK
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Updated
3-Day
1. Night at the Museum - 30m
2. Rocky Balboa - 15.9m
3. The Pursuit of Happyness - 15.4m
4. Charlottes Web - 10.0m
5. Eragon - 9.4m
6. The Good Shepherd - 9.2m
7. We Are Marshall - 8.1m
8. Happy Feet - 6.8m
9. Nativity Story - 5.2m
10. Blood Diamond - 4.7m
11. The Holiday - 4.2m
12. Casino Royal - 3.7m
13. Apocalypto - 3.7m
-Dream Girls - 3.5m
-Black Christmas: 1.5m
_________________My Most anticipated films of 2015
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| Sun Dec 17, 2006 8:52 pm |
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STEVE ROGERS
The Greatest Avenger EVER
Joined: Fri Oct 29, 2004 4:02 am
Posts: 18501
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El_Masked_fuerte_grande wrote: Yeah you're right Revised now 4-day predictions Rocky Balboa 34.0 ( 46 million 6 day) Night at the Museum 32.0 million We Are Marshall 12.0 million The Good Shepard 11.0 million Dreamgirls 3.0 million Black X-mas 2.8 million  I mean, it isn't like it has an All Star Cast or anything and hoiw hard is it to make something like this?? Jesus, I'm desperate to get some box office right after blowing Charlotte's Web.. 
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| Sun Dec 17, 2006 10:43 pm |
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Harry Warden
Orphan
Joined: Thu Jun 09, 2005 5:47 pm
Posts: 19747
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CASINO_BKB wrote: El_Masked_fuerte_grande wrote: Considering it only cost 10 million, Black Christmas is basically guaranteed to make a profit. Even if it flops in theatres it will do decently on DVD.
Predictions (I'll take a stab at it):
NATM - 35 mil.
Rocky - 25 mil.
MRSHL - 17 mil.
GSHEP - 12 mil.
BLKCH - 2 mil.
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| Sun Dec 17, 2006 11:55 pm |
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