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xiayun
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:41 pm Posts: 25109 Location: San Mateo, CA
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yoshue wrote: Upon closer inspection of Tapley's updated predictions, it appears he now has Letter From Iwo Jima pegged for nine nominations. Must have left an impression.
I don't see how Flags/Letters vote splitting is not a problem though. Flags, as much as I didn't care for it, had passionate support. This whole Eastwood situation unsettles me.
No, he did a sweeping change toward Iwo Jima two weeks ago. He still hasn't seen it yet.
_________________Recent watched movies: American Hustle - B+ Inside Llewyn Davis - B Before Midnight - A 12 Years a Slave - A- The Hunger Games: Catching Fire - A- My thoughts on box office
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Tue Dec 05, 2006 4:13 pm |
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Levy
Golfaholic
Joined: Wed Jan 05, 2005 2:06 pm Posts: 16054
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After watching it today I can safely declare "Breaking & Entering" not to be a contender for any awards
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Tue Dec 05, 2006 4:38 pm |
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Johnny Dollar
The Lubitsch Touch
Joined: Thu Jul 21, 2005 5:48 pm Posts: 11019
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Tapley weighs in on Good Shephard...for the most part:
Quote: The two films everyone is waiting to hear about...
David Poland is hinting all over the place via blog entries and Gurus of Gold chart updates about his opinion on one film. The other one...well...I haven't been told I'm under embargo, but regardless, that doesn't mean I'm dying to write a full review and kill the film in question.
However, as a mover and shaker in this year's awards race, it's done for. Big ideas it has in spades, but at what feels like three hours long (I believe it's two hours forty minutes), the convolution tears at the seams of one's patience. A killer third act that seems to be another film entirely wasn't enough to save it. Drop it from your lists...
That's really all I care to say about it right now. And all of this doesn't mean the studio doesn't still have the best film of the year elsewhere in their stable to push for awards success (if they so choose).
As expected.
_________________ k
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Tue Dec 05, 2006 5:06 pm |
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Jonathan
Begging Naked
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 12:07 pm Posts: 14737 Location: The Present (Duh)
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Well, that makes me feel better about only having Jolie in my predicts (Who I think I'm gonna drop for Thompson).
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Tue Dec 05, 2006 5:20 pm |
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Shack
Devil's Advocate
Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2005 2:30 am Posts: 40243
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Dreamgirls only has a 6.8 average so far... uh oh. Doesn't seem like the reviews are pointing it out to be that special, this is not Chicago.
...

_________________Shack’s top 50 tv shows - viewtopic.php?f=8&t=90227
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Tue Dec 05, 2006 10:27 pm |
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Libs
Sbil
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:38 pm Posts: 48677 Location: Arlington, VA
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J-Bot Jiggler 5 wrote: Dreamgirls only has a 6.8 average so far... uh oh. Doesn't seem like the reviews are pointing it out to be that special, this is not Chicago. ... 
Ummm
The movie doesn't come out until Christmas, so there's still plenty of time for more reviews to come in...
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Tue Dec 05, 2006 10:31 pm |
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MovieDude
Where will you be?
Joined: Tue Dec 21, 2004 4:50 am Posts: 11675
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yoshue wrote: Tapley weighs in on Good Shephard...for the most part: Quote: The two films everyone is waiting to hear about...
David Poland is hinting all over the place via blog entries and Gurus of Gold chart updates about his opinion on one film. The other one...well...I haven't been told I'm under embargo, but regardless, that doesn't mean I'm dying to write a full review and kill the film in question.
However, as a mover and shaker in this year's awards race, it's done for. Big ideas it has in spades, but at what feels like three hours long (I believe it's two hours forty minutes), the convolution tears at the seams of one's patience. A killer third act that seems to be another film entirely wasn't enough to save it. Drop it from your lists...
That's really all I care to say about it right now. And all of this doesn't mean the studio doesn't still have the best film of the year elsewhere in their stable to push for awards success (if they so choose). As expected.
Yup, just as expected. 
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Wed Dec 06, 2006 12:54 am |
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Joker's Thug #3
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 2:36 am Posts: 11130 Location: Waiting for the Dark Knight to kick my ass
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Thats actually better then what I expected to hear, "killer third act."
I was sure the whole movie would be one big snooze but that has got me curious, might not be all that bad. Always better to end with a bang, then start with one.
_________________ "People always want to tear you down when you're on top, like Napoleon back in the Roman Empire" - Dirk Diggler
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Wed Dec 06, 2006 1:04 am |
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Levy
Golfaholic
Joined: Wed Jan 05, 2005 2:06 pm Posts: 16054
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This was posted on Oscarwatch:
The Lives of Others, the German Foreign Language entry may in fact be one of 2006's very best offerings. If enough people see it, it could end up expanding beyond its foreign language category (it will most certainly be nominated) to perhaps screenplay (as Anne Thompson is predicting) and original score. If it were up to me, the actors would be nominated, especially Ulrich Mühe as the interrogator who grows a heart as a result of his surveillance of writer/actress couple. The Lives of Others tackles such weighty subject matter as freedom of speech, the primal need for human contact, creative inspiration, love, art - and, of course, the chokehold of fear when the truth threatens to bring down a misguided (shall we say) government.
The Lives of Others is a real threat to Volver for Foreign Language - it reminds me of when Amelie was up against No Man's Land. Volver is a wonderful film though it isn't Almodovar's best. It already beat Volver at the Euro Oscars and will likely be the champion at the 79th. Just a heads up, Oscarwatchers.
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Wed Dec 06, 2006 4:04 am |
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MovieDude
Where will you be?
Joined: Tue Dec 21, 2004 4:50 am Posts: 11675
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Killuminati510 wrote: Thats actually better then what I expected to hear, "killer third act."
I was sure the whole movie would be one big snooze but that has got me curious, might not be all that bad. Always better to end with a bang, then start with one.
Yeah that part did get me curious, but enough to see it in theaters? Maybe if this was September, but I don't know how I'll get around to it with so much product out around then.
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Wed Dec 06, 2006 5:11 am |
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MikeQ.
The French Dutch Boy
Joined: Wed Oct 13, 2004 8:28 pm Posts: 10266 Location: Mordor, Middle Earth
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Levy wrote: This was posted on Oscarwatch:
The Lives of Others, the German Foreign Language entry may in fact be one of 2006's very best offerings. If enough people see it, it could end up expanding beyond its foreign language category (it will most certainly be nominated) to perhaps screenplay (as Anne Thompson is predicting) and original score. If it were up to me, the actors would be nominated, especially Ulrich Mühe as the interrogator who grows a heart as a result of his surveillance of writer/actress couple. The Lives of Others tackles such weighty subject matter as freedom of speech, the primal need for human contact, creative inspiration, love, art - and, of course, the chokehold of fear when the truth threatens to bring down a misguided (shall we say) government.
The Lives of Others is a real threat to Volver for Foreign Language - it reminds me of when Amelie was up against No Man's Land. Volver is a wonderful film though it isn't Almodovar's best. It already beat Volver at the Euro Oscars and will likely be the champion at the 79th. Just a heads up, Oscarwatchers.
It feels like every German film I've seen or heard about ends up being really good. I like the Germans.
Peace,
Mike.
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Wed Dec 06, 2006 12:47 pm |
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neo_wolf
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Oct 17, 2004 10:19 pm Posts: 11028
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Amelie was robbed.
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Wed Dec 06, 2006 1:05 pm |
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the limey
Speed Racer
Joined: Wed Dec 14, 2005 8:53 pm Posts: 135
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Wed Dec 06, 2006 1:10 pm |
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Alex Y.
Top Poster
Joined: Fri Oct 15, 2004 4:47 pm Posts: 5811
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Excellent poster. I wonder whose idea it was to purposely not have Clint Eastwood's name on there.
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Wed Dec 06, 2006 1:49 pm |
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the limey
Speed Racer
Joined: Wed Dec 14, 2005 8:53 pm Posts: 135
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alex young wrote: Excellent poster. I wonder whose idea it was to purposely not have Clint Eastwood's name on there.
You mean right where it says 'Letters from Iwo Jima - A Clint Eastwood Film'? 
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Wed Dec 06, 2006 2:20 pm |
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Alex Y.
Top Poster
Joined: Fri Oct 15, 2004 4:47 pm Posts: 5811
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the limey wrote: alex young wrote: Excellent poster. I wonder whose idea it was to purposely not have Clint Eastwood's name on there. You mean right where it says 'Letters from Iwo Jima - A Clint Eastwood Film'? 
haha i missed that, i guess i just saw the "from the director of " on the top
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Wed Dec 06, 2006 2:27 pm |
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Jonathan
Begging Naked
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 12:07 pm Posts: 14737 Location: The Present (Duh)
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Kris Tapley is now predicting Iwo Jima as the Best Picture upsetter at the Oscars. Methinks he's just trying to kick up dust and make it seem like this is the BIG JANUARY SURPRISE. The problem is, no one knows what the BIG JANUARY SURPRISE is until, well, JANUARY.
And Lives of Others might be a smart prediction for Screenplay. The branch loves foreign films.
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Wed Dec 06, 2006 3:02 pm |
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dolcevita
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 11:24 pm Posts: 16061 Location: The Damage Control Table
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Iwo Jima isn't even getting nominated, more or less winning. Gosling on the other hand, is really a dark horse for a nom at least, which is news to me.
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Wed Dec 06, 2006 6:58 pm |
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neo_wolf
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Oct 17, 2004 10:19 pm Posts: 11028
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dolcevita wrote: Iwo Jima isn't even getting nominated, more or less winning.
You spoke to soon..
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Wed Dec 06, 2006 8:42 pm |
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dolcevita
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 11:24 pm Posts: 16061 Location: The Damage Control Table
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neo_wolf wrote: dolcevita wrote: Iwo Jima isn't even getting nominated, more or less winning. You spoke to soon..
No I Didn't. You're only as memorable as your last film. Iwo Jima is going to open small and drop theatres just as quick as Flags. People are just not even going to bother showing up. Its going to have zero momentum. Zero.
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Wed Dec 06, 2006 9:28 pm |
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Jonathan
Begging Naked
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 12:07 pm Posts: 14737 Location: The Present (Duh)
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dolcevita wrote: neo_wolf wrote: dolcevita wrote: Iwo Jima isn't even getting nominated, more or less winning. You spoke to soon.. No I Didn't. You're only as memorable as your last film. Iwo Jima is going to open small and drop theatres just as quick as Flags. People are just not even going to bother showing up. Its going to have zero momentum. Zero.
Please, you think WB is going to release it wide? They're planning a limited release to build momentum.
But it ain't winning Picture, that's for sure. Th only BP winner to win the NBR was American Beauty, a major awards steamroller.
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Wed Dec 06, 2006 9:57 pm |
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David
Pure Phase
Joined: Tue Feb 15, 2005 7:33 am Posts: 34865 Location: Maryland
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MovieDude wrote: yoshue wrote: Tapley weighs in on Good Shephard...for the most part: Quote: The two films everyone is waiting to hear about...
David Poland is hinting all over the place via blog entries and Gurus of Gold chart updates about his opinion on one film. The other one...well...I haven't been told I'm under embargo, but regardless, that doesn't mean I'm dying to write a full review and kill the film in question.
However, as a mover and shaker in this year's awards race, it's done for. Big ideas it has in spades, but at what feels like three hours long (I believe it's two hours forty minutes), the convolution tears at the seams of one's patience. A killer third act that seems to be another film entirely wasn't enough to save it. Drop it from your lists...
That's really all I care to say about it right now. And all of this doesn't mean the studio doesn't still have the best film of the year elsewhere in their stable to push for awards success (if they so choose). As expected. Yup, just as expected. 
It's just one man's opinion.  The critic at FOX News gave it a positive review.
_________________   1. The Lost City of Z - 2. A Cure for Wellness - 3. Phantom Thread - 4. T2 Trainspotting - 5. Detroit - 6. Good Time - 7. The Beguiled - 8. The Florida Project - 9. Logan and 10. Molly's Game
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Thu Dec 07, 2006 12:56 am |
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MovieDude
Where will you be?
Joined: Tue Dec 21, 2004 4:50 am Posts: 11675
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Gunslinger wrote: MovieDude wrote: yoshue wrote: Tapley weighs in on Good Shephard...for the most part: Quote: The two films everyone is waiting to hear about...
David Poland is hinting all over the place via blog entries and Gurus of Gold chart updates about his opinion on one film. The other one...well...I haven't been told I'm under embargo, but regardless, that doesn't mean I'm dying to write a full review and kill the film in question.
However, as a mover and shaker in this year's awards race, it's done for. Big ideas it has in spades, but at what feels like three hours long (I believe it's two hours forty minutes), the convolution tears at the seams of one's patience. A killer third act that seems to be another film entirely wasn't enough to save it. Drop it from your lists...
That's really all I care to say about it right now. And all of this doesn't mean the studio doesn't still have the best film of the year elsewhere in their stable to push for awards success (if they so choose). As expected. Yup, just as expected.  It's just one man's opinion.  The critic at FOX News gave it a positive review.
Oooooh, Fox News. I can't wait until you mention when Larry King calls it "The best film about the CIA ever made!"
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Thu Dec 07, 2006 2:05 am |
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Snrub
Vagina Qwertyuiop
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 4:14 pm Posts: 8767 Location: Great Living Standards
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yoshue wrote: Tapley weighs in on Good Shephard...for the most part: Quote: The two films everyone is waiting to hear about...
David Poland is hinting all over the place via blog entries and Gurus of Gold chart updates about his opinion on one film. The other one...well...I haven't been told I'm under embargo, but regardless, that doesn't mean I'm dying to write a full review and kill the film in question.
However, as a mover and shaker in this year's awards race, it's done for. Big ideas it has in spades, but at what feels like three hours long (I believe it's two hours forty minutes), the convolution tears at the seams of one's patience. A killer third act that seems to be another film entirely wasn't enough to save it. Drop it from your lists...
That's really all I care to say about it right now. And all of this doesn't mean the studio doesn't still have the best film of the year elsewhere in their stable to push for awards success (if they so choose). As expected.
That "best film of the year elsewhere in their stable" he's talking about is undoubtedly Children of Men.
The Good Shepard sucking is the best news ever.
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Thu Dec 07, 2006 4:20 am |
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xiayun
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:41 pm Posts: 25109 Location: San Mateo, CA
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The Lives of Others debuts on metacritic.
_________________Recent watched movies: American Hustle - B+ Inside Llewyn Davis - B Before Midnight - A 12 Years a Slave - A- The Hunger Games: Catching Fire - A- My thoughts on box office
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Thu Dec 07, 2006 4:14 pm |
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