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DP07
The Thirteenth Floor
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:26 am
Posts: 15561
Location: Everywhere
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 Re: The Official Happy Feet Prediction and Tracking Thread
I don't consider myself a cynical person, but these make me want to kill all penguins.
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| Sun Oct 29, 2006 4:32 am |
 
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Tyler
Powered By Hate
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 8:55 pm
Posts: 7578
Location: Torrington, CT
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I trust George Miller's instincts.
I think the movie is being underestimated in a lot of quarters, though. November is DEAD when it comes to family films. There is The Santa Clause 2 and Flushed Away two weeks before this, but they won't crack $200 million (hell, maybe not even $175 million) put together, and there's this. Last November, all the family films released that month made over $600 million altogether. In November 2004, $500+ million put together (and I'm not counting National Treasure, which had tons of kid appeal). 2003, $455 million. There's Deck The Halls a week after this, but Thanksgiving will cancel out any impact, and I don't see why that movie would make more than about $60 million.
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| Sun Oct 29, 2006 11:49 am |
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BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm
Posts: 25035
Location: Anchorage,Alaska
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Sun Ra wrote: I trust George Miller's instincts.
I think the movie is being underestimated in a lot of quarters, though. November is DEAD when it comes to family films. There is The Santa Clause 2 and Flushed Away two weeks before this, but they won't crack $200 million (hell, maybe not even $175 million) put together, and there's this. Last November, all the family films released that month made over $600 million altogether. In November 2004, $500+ million put together (and I'm not counting National Treasure, which had tons of kid appeal). 2003, $455 million. There's Deck The Halls a week after this, but Thanksgiving will cancel out any impact, and I don't see why that movie would make more than about $60 million. mwha, that hs why happy feet will easily make a robust 350m+ gross with an excelent chance at 400m and the largest film of the year. _________________The Force Awakens
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| Sun Oct 29, 2006 3:13 pm |
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BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm
Posts: 25035
Location: Anchorage,Alaska
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Re: The Official Happy Feet Prediction and Tracking Thread DP07 wrote: I don't consider myself a cynical person, but these make me want to kill all penguins. H8ter  _________________The Force Awakens
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| Sun Oct 29, 2006 3:17 pm |
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BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm
Posts: 25035
Location: Anchorage,Alaska
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get your predictions in for what is sure to be the biggest film of the winter.  _________________The Force Awakens
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| Tue Oct 31, 2006 10:21 pm |
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O
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Jul 10, 2005 1:53 pm
Posts: 12194
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$34 m/$153 m (Over The Hedge territory...)
$200 m + if this weren't the 13th of 13 cg animated films this year...
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| Tue Oct 31, 2006 10:32 pm |
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Tyler
Powered By Hate
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 8:55 pm
Posts: 7578
Location: Torrington, CT
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The Charlotte's Web and Eragon two-fer will hurt it after a month, but Christmas coming right after will reverse a good deal of the damage.
There has to be ONE big kid's film in November...
50/220
_________________
It's my lucky crack pipe.
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| Sat Nov 04, 2006 4:54 pm |
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BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm
Posts: 25035
Location: Anchorage,Alaska
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Magnus wrote: It pains me to say it but....HF is probably going to beat CR.  I have seen A LOT of marketing for it all of which are targeted to various demographs. And with SC2 and FA both not opening too big, HF will be very strong. And with no kid film until Eragon(which also isn't looking too good so HF legs should be even better than I intially thought), it'll have strong legs OW: 42m Total: 185m Still no 200m. CR is going down, and 200m will be obliterated before christmas _________________The Force Awakens
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| Sun Nov 05, 2006 2:38 am |
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zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm
Posts: 36662
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43/172
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| Sun Nov 05, 2006 1:30 pm |
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BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm
Posts: 25035
Location: Anchorage,Alaska
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another under prediction. 
_________________The Force Awakens
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| Sun Nov 05, 2006 1:31 pm |
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Jeff
Christian's #1 Fan
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 8:25 pm
Posts: 28110
Location: Awaiting my fate
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The marketing is really amazing for this.
The trailers have been all over the place, and there is a sneak preview of it playing before every movie at Regal (not sure about other theaters) that links it to the "Please turn off your cell phones announcement"...
The posters are all over the place, tie-ins to the concession products...
I'm thinking at least $60 million opening.
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| Sun Nov 05, 2006 1:35 pm |
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BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm
Posts: 25035
Location: Anchorage,Alaska
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"bump"
Happy Feet
Opening Day: 18.20m
2nd Day: 30.04m +65%
Opening Wknd: 68.36m - Fri: 18.20m / Sat: 30.04m +65% / Sun: 20.12m -32%
4-Day: 73.18m - Mon: 4.82m -76%
5-Day: 79.46m - Tue: 6.26m +30%
6-Day: 91.98m - Wed: 12.52m +100%
Opening Wk: 106.00m - Thur: 14.02m +12%
2nd Wknd: 62.00m -9.5% - Fri: 25.54m +80% / Sat: 22.72m -10% / Sun: 14.04m -38%
11-Day: 170.52m - Mon: 2.52m -82%
12-Day: 172.92m - Tue: 2.40m -5%
13-Day: 174.96m - Wed: 2.04m -15%
2nd Wk: 177.10m - Thur: 2.14m +5%
3rd Wknd: 31.00m -50% - Fri: 7.26m +240% / Sat: 14.68m +102% / Sun: 9.06m -38%
18-Day: 209.74m - Mon: 1.64m -82%
19-Day: 211.48m - Tue: 1.74m +6%
20-Day: 213.04m - Wed: 1.56m -10%
3rd Wk: 214.60m - Thur: 1.56m NC
4th Wknd: 20.28m -34.5% - Fri: 4.68m +200% / Sat: 10.06m +115% / Sun: 5.54m -45%
25-Day: 236.08m - Mon: 1.20m -78%
26-Day: 237.33m - Tue: 1.25m +5%
27-Day: 238.58m - Wed: 1.25m NC
4th Wk: 240.03m - Thur: 1.45m +16%
5th Wknd: 14.18m -30.5% - Fri: 3.85m +165% / Sat: 6.15m +60% / Sun: 4.18m -32%
32-Day: 255.26m - Mon: 1.05m -75%
33-Day: 256.76m - Tue: 1.50m +40%
34-Day: 258.26m - Wed: 1.50m NC
5th Wk: 260.11m - Thur: 1.85m +25%
6th Wknd: 12.00m -15% - Fri: 4.05m +120% / Sat: 5.56m +40% / Sun: 2.30m -50%
4-Day-Wknd: 14.40m +1.5% - Mon: 2.40m +5%
40-Day: 279.81m - Tue: 5.30m +115%
41-Day: 284.86m - Wed: 5.05m -4%
6th Wk: 290.16m - Thur: 5.30m +5%
7th Wknd: 16.15m +34.5% - Fri: 5.80m +10% / Sat: 6.10m +5% / Sun: 4.25m -30%
4-Day-Wknd: 20.60m +70.5% - Mon: 4.45m +5%
47-Day: 312.51m - Tue: 1.75m -60%
48-Day: 313.56m - Wed: 1.05m -40%
7th Wk: 314.56m - Thur: 1.00m -5%
8th Wknd: 10.50m -35% - Fri: 2.50m +150% / Sat: 5.00m +100% / Sun: 3.00m -40%
53-Day: 325.51m - Mon: .45m -85%
54-Day: 326.01m - Tue: .50m +10%
55-Day: 326.41m - Wed: .40m -20%
8th Wk: 326.81m - Thur: .40m NC
9th Wknd: 7.45m -30% - Fri: 1.45m +260% / Sat: 3.10m +115% / Sun: 2.90m -6%
4-Day-Wknd: 9.60m -8.5% - Mon: 2.15m -20%
Wk-1: 106.00m - Wknd: 68.36m | Total: 106.00m
Wk-2: 71.10m - Wknd: 62.00m | Total: 177.10m
Wk-3: 37.50m - Wknd: 31.00m | Total: 214.60m
Wk-4: 25.43m - Wknd: 20.28m | Total: 240.03m
Wk-5: 20.08m - Wknd: 14.18m | Total: 260.11m
Wk-6: 30.05m - Wknd: 12.00m - 4-Day-Wknd: 14.40m | Total: 290.16m
Wk-7: 24.40m - Wknd: 16.15m - 4-Day-Wknd: 20.60m | Total: 314.65m
Wk-8: 11.90m - Wknd: 10.50m | Total: 326.81m
Wk-9: 10.40m - Wknd: 7.45m - 4-Day-Wknd: 9.60m | Total: 337.21m
Wk-10: 5.56m - Wknd: 4.75m | Total: 342.77m
Wk-11: 3.45m - Wknd: 2.85m | Total: 346.22m
Wk-12: 2.80m - Wknd: 2.25m | Total: 349.02m
Wk-13: 2.00m - Wknd: 1.55m | Total: 351.02m
Wk-14: 1.35m - Wknd: 1.10m | Total: 352.37m
Wk-15: 1.10m - Wknd: .75m - 4-Day-Wknd: .95m | Total: 353.47m
Wk-16: .50m - Wknd: .40m | Total: 353.97m
Wk-17: 40m - Wknd: .30m | Total: 354.33m
Wk-18: .32m - Wknd: .24m | Total: 354.65m
Wk-19: .24m - Wknd: .18m | Total: 354.84m
Wk-20: .20m - Wknd: .14m | Total: 355.04m
Wk-21: .17m - Wknd: .12m | Total: 355.21m
Wk-22: .14m - Wknd: .10m | Total: 355.35m
Wk-23: .22m - Wknd: .18m | Total: 355.57m
Wk-24: .18m - Wknd: .15m | Total: 355.65m
Wk-25: .16m - Wknd: .12m | Total: 355.81m
Wk-26: .15m - Wknd: .11m | Total: 355.96m
Money made after Wk-26: ~.5m
Estimated wks in theaters 36
Days to 50m: 3-Days - 68.36m
Days to 100m: 7-Days - 106.00m
Days to 150m: 9-Days - 153.96m
Days to 200m: 17-Days - 208.10m
Days to 250m: 30-Days - 250.03m
Days to 300m: 44-Days - 302.06m
Days to 350m: 86-Days - 350.12m
Domestic Total: 356m
International Total: 504m
World Wide Total: 860m
Multiplyer: 5.20
_________________The Force Awakens
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| Sat Nov 11, 2006 5:26 pm |
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Corpse
Don't Dream It, Be It
Joined: Wed Aug 02, 2006 12:45 pm
Posts: 37162
Location: The Graveyard
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42/165
I think it will land in the Not Pixar high, but not low territiory of Shark Tale, Madagascar, Ice Age/Ice Age 2, and OTH.
_________________Japan Box Office “Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
“We were like gods at the dawning of the world, & our joy was so bright we could see nothing else but the other.”
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”
“You have to pretend you get an endgame. You have to carry on like you will; otherwise, you can't carry on at all.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."
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| Sat Nov 11, 2006 9:10 pm |
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MadGez
Dont Mess with the Gez
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 9:54 am
Posts: 23339
Location: Melbourne Australia
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I think this has ALOT of apeal to kids and families. Its cute and there is minimal competition in November so:
Opening $51m
Total $218m
_________________
What's your favourite movie summer? Let us know @
http://worldofkj.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=2&t=85934
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| Sat Nov 11, 2006 10:36 pm |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm
Posts: 92093
Location: Bonn, Germany
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This is making $200+ million.
_________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
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| Sun Nov 12, 2006 7:38 am |
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thompsoncory
Rachel McAdams Fan
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 11:13 am
Posts: 14617
Location: LA / NYC
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This is being seriously underestimated. 200 Million is a lock for sure.
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| Sun Nov 12, 2006 12:45 pm |
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zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm
Posts: 36662
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Final.
Opening: $43.7m
Total: $174.8m
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| Fri Nov 17, 2006 1:18 am |
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BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm
Posts: 25035
Location: Anchorage,Alaska
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Zingaling wrote: Final.
Opening: $43.7m
Total: $174.8m blasphemous under prediction. _________________The Force Awakens
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| Fri Nov 17, 2006 1:53 am |
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Excel
Superfreak
Joined: Sat Aug 20, 2005 12:54 am
Posts: 22198
Location: Places
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47.6/232
_________________Ari Emmanuel wrote: I'd rather marry lindsay Lohan than represent Mel Gibson.
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| Fri Nov 17, 2006 2:10 am |
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Squee
Squee
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 10:01 pm
Posts: 13270
Location: Yuppieville
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14.3 opening
22.1 final
_________________Setting most people on fire is wrong.Proud Founder of the "Community of Squee." 
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| Fri Nov 17, 2006 2:12 am |
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BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm
Posts: 25035
Location: Anchorage,Alaska
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Squee wrote: 14.3 opening
22.1 final That is deletable graffiti, BJ must conroll his impulse to get you banned.
_________________The Force Awakens
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| Fri Nov 17, 2006 2:35 am |
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Rev
Romosexual!
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 3:06 am
Posts: 32608
Location: the last free city
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Wiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiii
_________________
Is it 2028 yet?
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| Fri Nov 17, 2006 3:10 am |
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The Scottie
King Albert!
Joined: Sun Oct 17, 2004 1:04 pm
Posts: 11838
Location: The Happiest City on Earth
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Opening - 45.2m
Final - 207.9m
4.6 multiplier.
_________________Visit My Youtube Account and here is what you will see.    and many more.
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| Fri Nov 17, 2006 4:46 am |
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DIB2
All Star Poster
Joined: Wed Jun 14, 2006 3:57 am
Posts: 4669
Location: Anchorage, AK
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Final:
Opening - 52.6m
TOTAL:255.1m
4.85 multiplier
_________________My Most anticipated films of 2015 
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| Fri Nov 17, 2006 5:44 am |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm
Posts: 92093
Location: Bonn, Germany
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Final Predictions:
Opening Weekend - $45.2 million
Total Gross - $202 million
_________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
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| Fri Nov 17, 2006 4:47 pm |
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