Yahoo Review Thread - 2010
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xiayun
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:41 pm Posts: 25109 Location: San Mateo, CA
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The unclogging hours has become pretty stable (12:30pm, 4:30pm, etc.) now, so the traditional ratios are still useful at different time of the day.
_________________Recent watched movies: American Hustle - B+ Inside Llewyn Davis - B Before Midnight - A 12 Years a Slave - A- The Hunger Games: Catching Fire - A- My thoughts on box office
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Fri Oct 27, 2006 3:11 pm |
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Rolling Thunder
Forum General
Joined: Fri Nov 19, 2004 12:11 pm Posts: 9148 Location: Kentucky Bluegrass
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xiayun wrote: The unclogging hours has become pretty stable (12:30pm, 4:30pm, etc.) now, so the traditional ratios are still useful at different time of the day.
Saw's 57 written reviews at this hour is very impressive when you consider there is nothing to suggest a high ratio.
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Fri Oct 27, 2006 3:32 pm |
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xiayun
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:41 pm Posts: 25109 Location: San Mateo, CA
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Saw III - 312, 218 Friday, +156, B
Catch a Fire - 43, 41 Friday, +31, B-
Running With Scissors - 93, 13 Friday, +9, B
_________________Recent watched movies: American Hustle - B+ Inside Llewyn Davis - B Before Midnight - A 12 Years a Slave - A- The Hunger Games: Catching Fire - A- My thoughts on box office
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Fri Oct 27, 2006 3:42 pm |
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xiayun
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:41 pm Posts: 25109 Location: San Mateo, CA
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BTW, I don't think Scissors' ratio will be higher than 100 since the film is hidden deeply at Yahoo (no picture or right-side link from the movie main page). It's still not making $1m today though.
_________________Recent watched movies: American Hustle - B+ Inside Llewyn Davis - B Before Midnight - A 12 Years a Slave - A- The Hunger Games: Catching Fire - A- My thoughts on box office
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Fri Oct 27, 2006 3:45 pm |
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zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm Posts: 36662
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Saw III - 326, 232 Friday, +14, B
Catch a Fire - 45, 43 Friday, +2, B-
Running With Scissors - 93, 13 Friday, +0, B
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Fri Oct 27, 2006 5:03 pm |
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Harry Warden
Orphan
Joined: Thu Jun 09, 2005 5:47 pm Posts: 19747
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Is it still too early for projections?
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Fri Oct 27, 2006 5:39 pm |
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xiayun
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:41 pm Posts: 25109 Location: San Mateo, CA
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Saw III - 338, 244 Friday, +12, B
Catch a Fire - 45, 43 Friday, +0, B-
Running With Scissors - 93, 13 Friday, +0, B
_________________Recent watched movies: American Hustle - B+ Inside Llewyn Davis - B Before Midnight - A 12 Years a Slave - A- The Hunger Games: Catching Fire - A- My thoughts on box office
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Fri Oct 27, 2006 5:40 pm |
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xiayun
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:41 pm Posts: 25109 Location: San Mateo, CA
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Joe wrote: Is it still too early for projections?
Saw III should get to 1,000 reviews. Neither Catch a Fire (200 reviews max) or Running With Scissors (will be around 50) is breaking out. So everything is pretty much doing what's expected.
_________________Recent watched movies: American Hustle - B+ Inside Llewyn Davis - B Before Midnight - A 12 Years a Slave - A- The Hunger Games: Catching Fire - A- My thoughts on box office
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Fri Oct 27, 2006 5:45 pm |
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zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm Posts: 36662
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If Saw III is as backloaded as The Grudge 2 was (unlikely, but possible), it'll reach 1,600 reviews for the day (1,700+ overall). However, I doubt it's as backloaded, so I think we're looking at 1200-1300 for the day (90 ratio = $13-15m).
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Fri Oct 27, 2006 5:47 pm |
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El Maskado
Arrrrrrrrrrgggghhhhhhhhhh!
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 8:17 pm Posts: 21572
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It would need more than 16.5 million on friday to reach 40 million. I see it being very frontloaded with at least a 10% drop on saturday
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Fri Oct 27, 2006 6:14 pm |
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zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm Posts: 36662
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Yeah, based on Yahoo! alone, it doesn't look like $40m, but it's possible that we're overprojecting the ratio (TCM and Grudge pulled VERY low ratios, and R-rated horror films generally have smaller ratios than PG-13, so it could be closer to TCM) or it's really backloaded. Personally, I think it'll be around 80-ish. It'll need at least 1,200 tonight to have a chance at $40m.
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Fri Oct 27, 2006 6:24 pm |
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Kenspy
Into the fray
Joined: Thu May 18, 2006 12:09 pm Posts: 1874
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Way too early for projections would be an understatement.
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Fri Oct 27, 2006 6:44 pm |
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xiayun
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:41 pm Posts: 25109 Location: San Mateo, CA
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Saw III - 344, 250 Friday, +6, B
Catch a Fire - 46, 44 Friday, +1, B-
Running With Scissors - 93, 13 Friday, +0, B
_________________Recent watched movies: American Hustle - B+ Inside Llewyn Davis - B Before Midnight - A 12 Years a Slave - A- The Hunger Games: Catching Fire - A- My thoughts on box office
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Fri Oct 27, 2006 6:48 pm |
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xiayun
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:41 pm Posts: 25109 Location: San Mateo, CA
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Saw III - 557, 463 Friday, +213, B
Catch a Fire - 81, 79 Friday, +35, B-
Running With Scissors - 106, 26 Friday, +13, C+ (down from B)
_________________Recent watched movies: American Hustle - B+ Inside Llewyn Davis - B Before Midnight - A 12 Years a Slave - A- The Hunger Games: Catching Fire - A- My thoughts on box office
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Fri Oct 27, 2006 7:57 pm |
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Kenspy
Into the fray
Joined: Thu May 18, 2006 12:09 pm Posts: 1874
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Using Saw 2 midnight to 4:30 PM ratio and TCM's review to gross ratio...13.89 is a guess at Saw II's Friday gross.
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Fri Oct 27, 2006 8:37 pm |
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gotdane
Iron Man
Joined: Wed May 10, 2006 1:55 am Posts: 622 Location: AMC
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SAW III is at 604 w/B avg.
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Fri Oct 27, 2006 8:39 pm |
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xiayun
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:41 pm Posts: 25109 Location: San Mateo, CA
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Saw III - 604, 510 Friday, +47, B
Catch a Fire - 86, 84 Friday, +5, B-
Running With Scissors - 109, 29 Friday, +3, C+
_________________Recent watched movies: American Hustle - B+ Inside Llewyn Davis - B Before Midnight - A 12 Years a Slave - A- The Hunger Games: Catching Fire - A- My thoughts on box office
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Fri Oct 27, 2006 8:42 pm |
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Kenspy
Into the fray
Joined: Thu May 18, 2006 12:09 pm Posts: 1874
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Saw 3 now on the front page. Catch a Fire also sort of on the front page...it's a small link below Saw 3.
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Fri Oct 27, 2006 8:43 pm |
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xiayun
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:41 pm Posts: 25109 Location: San Mateo, CA
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Saw III - 614, 520 Friday, +10, B
Catch a Fire - 89, 87 Friday, +3, B-
Running With Scissors - 109, 29 Friday, +0, C+
_________________Recent watched movies: American Hustle - B+ Inside Llewyn Davis - B Before Midnight - A 12 Years a Slave - A- The Hunger Games: Catching Fire - A- My thoughts on box office
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Fri Oct 27, 2006 9:40 pm |
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zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm Posts: 36662
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It's very clogged. There's 213 written reviews for Saw III.
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Fri Oct 27, 2006 9:51 pm |
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zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm Posts: 36662
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Saw III - 680, 586 Friday, +66, B (325 written)
Catch a Fire - 96, 94 Friday, +7, B- (9 written)
Running With Scissors - 113, 34 Friday, +4, C+ (18 written)
Expect a huge increase (at least for Saw III) in the next update.
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Fri Oct 27, 2006 10:40 pm |
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xiayun
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:41 pm Posts: 25109 Location: San Mateo, CA
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Saw III - 819, 725 Friday, +139, B
Catch a Fire - 103, 101 Friday, +7, C+ (down from B-)
Running With Scissors - 118, 39 Friday, +5, C+
I don't see $15m for Saw III. Most likely around $13m.
_________________Recent watched movies: American Hustle - B+ Inside Llewyn Davis - B Before Midnight - A 12 Years a Slave - A- The Hunger Games: Catching Fire - A- My thoughts on box office
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Fri Oct 27, 2006 11:42 pm |
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zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm Posts: 36662
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509 written for Saw III.
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Fri Oct 27, 2006 11:48 pm |
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xiayun
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:41 pm Posts: 25109 Location: San Mateo, CA
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Even with clogging, the written percentage is still high, so I expect a higher than originally projected ratio.
_________________Recent watched movies: American Hustle - B+ Inside Llewyn Davis - B Before Midnight - A 12 Years a Slave - A- The Hunger Games: Catching Fire - A- My thoughts on box office
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Fri Oct 27, 2006 11:55 pm |
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DP07
The Thirteenth Floor
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:26 am Posts: 15497 Location: Everywhere
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xiayun wrote: Even with clogging, the written percentage is still high, so I expect a higher than originally projected ratio.
60% of the written have come in the last 2 hours. So, the clogging is probably worse than usual. I think it might near 2,000 reviews.
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Sat Oct 28, 2006 12:20 am |
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