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MadGez
Dont Mess with the Gez
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 9:54 am Posts: 23258 Location: Melbourne Australia
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xiayun wrote: The Departed looks good for at least $7m, more likely $8-9m. $5-6m for TCM, and $4-5m for Employee.
 I knew it would top $25m!! Remember weekend multiplier should be good due to Columbus Day.
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What's your favourite movie summer? Let us know @
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Fri Oct 06, 2006 8:43 pm |
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zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm Posts: 36662
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7:30 EST seems to be the unclogging hour every week.
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Fri Oct 06, 2006 8:53 pm |
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Kenspy
Into the fray
Joined: Thu May 18, 2006 12:09 pm Posts: 1874
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MadGez wrote: xiayun wrote: The Departed looks good for at least $7m, more likely $8-9m. $5-6m for TCM, and $4-5m for Employee.  I knew it would top $25m!! Remember weekend multiplier should be good due to Columbus Day.
Columbus day wouldn't really effect it since most people work on Monday, but the extremely positive reviews and great WOM will give it a great multiplier.
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Fri Oct 06, 2006 9:00 pm |
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xiayun
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:41 pm Posts: 25109 Location: San Mateo, CA
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_________________Recent watched movies: American Hustle - B+ Inside Llewyn Davis - B Before Midnight - A 12 Years a Slave - A- The Hunger Games: Catching Fire - A- My thoughts on box office
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Fri Oct 06, 2006 10:36 pm |
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Kenspy
Into the fray
Joined: Thu May 18, 2006 12:09 pm Posts: 1874
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The Departed 604, +86, A-
Employee of the Month 340, +31, C+
The Texas Chainsaw Massacre: The Beginning 426, +30, C+
Either TCM tanking or Departed doing phenomenal. Probably a little of both.
Employee not doing too badly. Probably right on with tracking.
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Fri Oct 06, 2006 11:56 pm |
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Thegun
On autopilot for the summer
Joined: Thu Oct 21, 2004 10:14 pm Posts: 21856 Location: Walking around somewhere
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It looks like TCM might only do 17 million at the most, while the Departed looks bigger, Id say 23 million is the floor at this point.
_________________ Chippy wrote: As always, fuck Thegun. Chippy wrote: I want to live vicariously through you, Thegun!
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Sat Oct 07, 2006 12:05 am |
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Rolling Thunder
Forum General
Joined: Fri Nov 19, 2004 12:11 pm Posts: 9148 Location: Kentucky Bluegrass
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Departed should indeed be on its way to $8-9M. Employee is also impressive - at least $4M tonight. TCM looks like it will be under $20M for the weekend, but by no means a bomb.
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Sat Oct 07, 2006 12:12 am |
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Kenspy
Into the fray
Joined: Thu May 18, 2006 12:09 pm Posts: 1874
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Tanking compared to expectations, not regarding profit.
Unfortunately shitty movies like these are always profitable.
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Sat Oct 07, 2006 12:17 am |
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Rolling Thunder
Forum General
Joined: Fri Nov 19, 2004 12:11 pm Posts: 9148 Location: Kentucky Bluegrass
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Sat Oct 07, 2006 12:36 am |
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Rolling Thunder
Forum General
Joined: Fri Nov 19, 2004 12:11 pm Posts: 9148 Location: Kentucky Bluegrass
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Sat Oct 07, 2006 12:37 am |
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Kenspy
Into the fray
Joined: Thu May 18, 2006 12:09 pm Posts: 1874
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Two updates in a row with Employee over TCM...
And Departed is doing 50% more than TCM/Employee combined in the last two updates. Yeesh.
Last edited by Kenspy on Sat Oct 07, 2006 12:39 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Sat Oct 07, 2006 12:38 am |
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Harry Warden
Orphan
Joined: Thu Jun 09, 2005 5:47 pm Posts: 19747
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Kenspy wrote: Tanking compared to expectations, not regarding profit.
Unfortunately shitty movies like these are always profitable.
You haven't seen it so what do you know? That's right. Nothing.
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Sat Oct 07, 2006 1:38 am |
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MadGez
Dont Mess with the Gez
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 9:54 am Posts: 23258 Location: Melbourne Australia
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Kenspy wrote: MadGez wrote: xiayun wrote: The Departed looks good for at least $7m, more likely $8-9m. $5-6m for TCM, and $4-5m for Employee.  I knew it would top $25m!! Remember weekend multiplier should be good due to Columbus Day. Columbus day wouldn't really effect it since most people work on Monday, but the extremely positive reviews and great WOM will give it a great multiplier.
ah ok - I thought it was a day off for everyone. Thanks.
_________________
What's your favourite movie summer? Let us know @
http://worldofkj.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=2&t=85934
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Sat Oct 07, 2006 1:46 am |
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Kenspy
Into the fray
Joined: Thu May 18, 2006 12:09 pm Posts: 1874
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Joe wrote: Kenspy wrote: Tanking compared to expectations, not regarding profit.
Unfortunately shitty movies like these are always profitable. You haven't seen it so what do you know? That's right. Nothing.
I am fairly certain I will never actually see it unless I'm captured as a POW and tortured with it.
The Departed 673, +13, A-
Employee of the Month 368, +7, C+
The Texas Chainsaw Massacre: The Beginning 445, +2, C+
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Sat Oct 07, 2006 1:47 am |
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DP07
The Thirteenth Floor
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:26 am Posts: 15497 Location: Everywhere
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Departed has just over 4 reviews for every written one which is at the very low end. The other two over 7. I'm thinking 100 for TCM, 100 for EOTM and 110 for Departed.
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Sat Oct 07, 2006 1:59 am |
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MadGez
Dont Mess with the Gez
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 9:54 am Posts: 23258 Location: Melbourne Australia
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So how many more reviews on average can we expect for the rest of the night for Departed?
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What's your favourite movie summer? Let us know @
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Sat Oct 07, 2006 2:04 am |
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DP07
The Thirteenth Floor
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:26 am Posts: 15497 Location: Everywhere
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MadGez wrote: So how many more reviews on average can we expect for the rest of the night for Departed?
I've given up predicting that sort of thing with the clogging. 
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Sat Oct 07, 2006 2:05 am |
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MadGez
Dont Mess with the Gez
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 9:54 am Posts: 23258 Location: Melbourne Australia
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DP07 wrote: MadGez wrote: So how many more reviews on average can we expect for the rest of the night for Departed? I've given up predicting that sort of thing with the clogging. 
hehe I guess so.
So if it makes it to 1000 - then usuing your 110 - it should be good for about 9m but who knows!
_________________
What's your favourite movie summer? Let us know @
http://worldofkj.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=2&t=85934
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Sat Oct 07, 2006 2:07 am |
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Kenspy
Into the fray
Joined: Thu May 18, 2006 12:09 pm Posts: 1874
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Sat Oct 07, 2006 2:36 am |
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zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm Posts: 36662
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At this point, I'll go with $8.5m for Departed (owned, DP  ), $4m for Employee and $6m for Chainsaw.
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Sat Oct 07, 2006 2:45 am |
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DP07
The Thirteenth Floor
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:26 am Posts: 15497 Location: Everywhere
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I'll only be owned with the release of the numbers.
I think Employee can get as much as 5m.
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Sat Oct 07, 2006 3:02 am |
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Kenspy
Into the fray
Joined: Thu May 18, 2006 12:09 pm Posts: 1874
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Sat Oct 07, 2006 3:41 am |
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Kenspy
Into the fray
Joined: Thu May 18, 2006 12:09 pm Posts: 1874
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Departed (847)
Ratio: 90 - 100
Friday: 8.5 - 9.3
Friday Median: 8.9
Projected Weekend: 27.24
Texas Chainsaw (512)
Ratio: 80 - 90
Friday: 5.8 - 6.5
Friday Median: 6.15
Projected Weekend: 16.32
Employee of the Month (422)
Ratio: 80 - 90
Friday: 4.6 - 5.1
Friday Median: 4.85
Projected Weekend: 13.55
Departed seems to have a higher than expected ratio due to a large number of Infernal Affairs lovers giving it Cs/Ds/Fs, and Scorsese lovers giving it A+s to counteract.
The rest are just low compared to theater reports. Texas Chainsaw should probably be a little higher, but this is the Yahoo! review thread so gotta stick with the modus operandi.
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Sat Oct 07, 2006 3:52 am |
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misterglass
Iron Man
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 12:56 pm Posts: 678
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"Departed seems to have a higher than expected ratio due to a large number of Infernal Affairs lovers giving it Cs/Ds/Fs, and Scorsese lovers giving it A+s to counteract. "
I am both... which is why I gave it a B.
I'm thinking that the people dumb enough to pay and see a prequel to that lame Texas Chainsaw remake probably won't know how to use computers, so you may want a higher ratio on that.
_________________ misterglass/NYC
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Sat Oct 07, 2006 6:47 am |
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Rolling Thunder
Forum General
Joined: Fri Nov 19, 2004 12:11 pm Posts: 9148 Location: Kentucky Bluegrass
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My projections:
The Departed - $8.5M
Employee - $4.7M
Chainsaw - $5.6M
TCM should still have a fairly low ratio even with the crappy grade.
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Sat Oct 07, 2006 8:09 am |
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