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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm
Posts: 92093
Location: Bonn, Germany
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 What movie will top the National Board of Review list? In every single year except for two, the #1 on NBR's list was nominated for Best Picture at the Oscars, the exceptions being Quills & Gods and Monsters.
Here are the past #1's of NBR:
2005 - Good Night, and Good Luck
2004 - Finding Neverland
2003 - Mystic River
2002 - The Hours
2001 - Moulin Rouge!
2000 - Quills
1999 - American Beauty
1998 - Gods and Monsters
1997 - L.A. Confidential
1996 - Shine
1995 - Sense and Sensibility
I don't think any of the "biggies" will make it (Flags, Dreamgirls, The Departed), something small-ish.
Capote didn't top the list despite stellar reviews, so I doubt The Queen or The Last King of Scotland will. Just not the kind of a film.
I am thinking Babel, Little Children, Little Miss Sunshine or United 93.
Going with United 93. If anything, its reviews are excellent.
_________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
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| Thu Sep 28, 2006 6:35 am |
 
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zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm
Posts: 36662
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Borat!
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| Thu Sep 28, 2006 6:55 am |
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Anonymous
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http://www.nbrmp.org/awards/past.cfm
I always find their top 10 interesting.
Whatever takes the top spot, hasn't been released yet. Could be a film like History Boys.
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| Thu Sep 28, 2006 7:48 am |
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Atoddr
Veteran
Joined: Fri Oct 15, 2004 3:07 am
Posts: 3014
Location: Kansai
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I say Little Children. They don't mind a little controversy. Or maybe Volver or The Queen.
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| Thu Sep 28, 2006 8:56 am |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm
Posts: 92093
Location: Bonn, Germany
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Not Volver, I don't think a foreign film ever topped that list, I am not even sure they are eligible.
_________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
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| Thu Sep 28, 2006 8:57 am |
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Anonymous
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Little Children was a good pick.
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| Thu Sep 28, 2006 9:00 am |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm
Posts: 92093
Location: Bonn, Germany
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Do you see a Best Picture nom for it?
_________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
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| Thu Sep 28, 2006 9:11 am |
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Anonymous
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Dr. Lecter wrote: Do you see a Best Picture nom for it? I'm sticking to my theory that there's one BP spot available. Not sure yet if it fits my 5th pic profile. Not even sure yet what my 5th pic profile is. 
I'm assuming LMS pulls 5 noms and has the lowest total of the 5 films (Picture, Screenplay, Supporting Actor, Supporting Actress, random tech). A film could match LMS with 5 or best it by 1. I don't know enough about Little Children, could it earn 5 or 6 noms?
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| Thu Sep 28, 2006 9:22 am |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm
Posts: 92093
Location: Bonn, Germany
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loyalfromlondon wrote: Dr. Lecter wrote: Do you see a Best Picture nom for it? I'm sticking to my theory that there's one BP spot available. Not sure yet if it fits my 5th pic profile. Not even sure yet what my 5th pic profile is. I'm assuming LMS pulls 5 noms and has the lowest total of the 5 films (Picture, Screenplay, Supporting Actor, Supporting Actress, random tech). A film could match LMS with 5 or best it by 1. I don't know enough about Little Children, could it earn 5 or 6 noms? Hmm, maybe if it has a good score? Otherwise, even IF a BP contenders, I'd see noms for BP, BD, Screenplay and Actress.
Babel could grab up to 5 as well. Volver could grab 5-6. _________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
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| Thu Sep 28, 2006 9:28 am |
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android
Cream of the Crop
Joined: Sun Aug 28, 2005 7:44 am
Posts: 2913
Location: Portugal
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Let's not forget that Little Children has a score of 95 at BFCA... so it's still extremely possible 
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| Thu Sep 28, 2006 11:36 am |
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David
Pure Phase
Joined: Tue Feb 15, 2005 7:33 am
Posts: 34865
Location: Maryland
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Babel
_________________   1. The Lost City of Z - 2. A Cure for Wellness - 3. Phantom Thread - 4. T2 Trainspotting - 5. Detroit - 6. Good Time - 7. The Beguiled - 8. The Florida Project - 9. Logan and 10. Molly's Game
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| Thu Sep 28, 2006 12:39 pm |
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Anonymous
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well, they liked 21 Grams. It made their top 10, they just liked Mystic River more and gave it the top prize.
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| Thu Sep 28, 2006 12:53 pm |
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Fulleyes
Aspiring Director
Joined: Sun Jul 23, 2006 12:49 pm
Posts: 48
Location: North Carolina
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It's Little Children for sure.
If not, and they somehow let it slip by, then I'd go with:
The Good German.
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| Thu Sep 28, 2006 2:52 pm |
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xiayun
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:41 pm
Posts: 25109
Location: San Mateo, CA
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I don't think they'll pick another black and white film starring Clooney for two consecutive years. Little Children feels like the one they would go for.
_________________Recent watched movies: American Hustle - B+ Inside Llewyn Davis - B Before Midnight - A 12 Years a Slave - A- The Hunger Games: Catching Fire - A- My thoughts on box office
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| Thu Sep 28, 2006 2:56 pm |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm
Posts: 92093
Location: Bonn, Germany
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Little Children feels too much like Closer to me and that didn't top the list. Moreover, currently I see several BP nominee contenders ahead of Little Children and as we know the probability of a BP nominee topping the list is very high, so...
_________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
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| Thu Sep 28, 2006 3:07 pm |
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David
Pure Phase
Joined: Tue Feb 15, 2005 7:33 am
Posts: 34865
Location: Maryland
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Even though it's buzz-free thus far, Miss Potter might be a contender. They loved Finding Neverland...
_________________1. The Lost City of Z - 2. A Cure for Wellness - 3. Phantom Thread - 4. T2 Trainspotting - 5. Detroit - 6. Good Time - 7. The Beguiled - 8. The Florida Project - 9. Logan and 10. Molly's Game
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| Thu Sep 28, 2006 3:19 pm |
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Shack
Devil's Advocate
Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2005 2:30 am
Posts: 40494
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Babel.
_________________Shack’s top 50 tv shows - viewtopic.php?f=8&t=90227
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| Thu Sep 28, 2006 6:34 pm |
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Fulleyes
Aspiring Director
Joined: Sun Jul 23, 2006 12:49 pm
Posts: 48
Location: North Carolina
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Yeah, good point on the consecutive B&W George Clooney films.
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| Thu Sep 28, 2006 10:09 pm |
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xiayun
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:41 pm
Posts: 25109
Location: San Mateo, CA
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Dr. Lecter wrote: Little Children feels too much like Closer to me and that didn't top the list. Moreover, currently I see several BP nominee contenders ahead of Little Children and as we know the probability of a BP nominee topping the list is very high, so... Quills, another sexual drama with Winslet that didn't come close to get in BP, did win it though.
Hard to say; I mean, at this point, I wouldn't be surprised if The Queen wins it. _________________Recent watched movies: American Hustle - B+ Inside Llewyn Davis - B Before Midnight - A 12 Years a Slave - A- The Hunger Games: Catching Fire - A- My thoughts on box office
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| Fri Sep 29, 2006 1:56 pm |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm
Posts: 92093
Location: Bonn, Germany
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xiayun wrote: Dr. Lecter wrote: Little Children feels too much like Closer to me and that didn't top the list. Moreover, currently I see several BP nominee contenders ahead of Little Children and as we know the probability of a BP nominee topping the list is very high, so... Quills, another sexual drama with Winslet that didn't come close to get in BP, did win it though. Hard to say; I mean, at this point, I wouldn't be surprised if The Queen wins it. I had that on my mind, yeah, but that is a rare thing and Quills had more support than that, I think. _________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
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| Fri Sep 29, 2006 2:28 pm |
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Raffiki
Forum General
Joined: Fri Oct 22, 2004 12:14 am
Posts: 9966
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At this point, Babel or Little Children are the best bets
_________________
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| Fri Sep 29, 2006 2:32 pm |
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Lucky
The Incredible Hulk
Joined: Sat Jan 29, 2005 6:50 am
Posts: 514
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I was surprised the year Mystic River won and I believe Last Samurai was second that year. I going to say another WB film tops the list this year.
The Departed
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| Fri Sep 29, 2006 2:40 pm |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm
Posts: 92093
Location: Bonn, Germany
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I am thinking it is between U93 and The Queen now.
_________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
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| Sat Oct 14, 2006 5:53 am |
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A. G.
Draughty
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:23 am
Posts: 13347
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I'm guessing The Queen.
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| Sat Oct 14, 2006 9:56 am |
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Libs
Sbil
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:38 pm
Posts: 48678
Location: Arlington, VA
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The Queen or Babel
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| Sat Oct 14, 2006 11:18 am |
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