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Maverikk
Award Winning Bastard
Joined: Wed Oct 13, 2004 12:03 am Posts: 15310 Location: Slumming at KJ
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 Best Supporting Actor Predictions!
Best Supporting Actor has lots of interesting choices this season!
Eddie Murphy (Dreamgirls) - I have a feeling that the rest of the selections are just going to be a product of the academy going through the motions, as this year will see Eddie Murphy rewarded for being one of the most amazingly talented people that the industry has ever known. In no way do I want to see Murphy start gravitating toward "serious" work, though. He's said to be a scene stealer in Dreamgirls, and honestly, there are very few people that Eddie Murphy couldn't steal a scene from if he tried, and Jamie Foxx is definitely not one of them. Wouldn't it be a kick to watch them do their Ray Charles and Stevie Wonder impersonations together?
Joe Pesci (The Good Shepherd) - Yes, after an 8 year golfing vacation, the little Italian with the helium voice is back, baby! I think that's all he had to do. He can even suck, and just being back would have been enough for a nom. I hardly expect him to suck, though, as The Good Shepherd has high caliber talent up and down the production.
Jack Nicholson (The Departed) - Although it hasn't been 8 years, it's been 3 years since the great Jack Nicholson has been on the silver screen. He's back to playing a villian, which I personally think nobody does better, in a very high profile Martin Scorcese picture with a star studded cast.
Tobey MaGuire (The Good German) - This pick is partly because of my Peter Parker love and partly because Maguire is one of the most talented actors working today, and he's in a very Oscar-baity film. I think this guy's got some Oscar wins in his future. Probably not this season, but definitely down the road, and he's bound to pick up some nominations along the way first.
William H. Macy (Bobby) - It's been 10 years since his Fargo nomination, and Bobby is going to need some acting support, so this seems like a logical pick here.
There are just so many to choose from in this category. I could pick 5 completely different actors and make a case for all of them as of now. Steve Carrell, Alan Arkin, Ben Affleck, somebody from Flags of Our Fathers/Letters From Imo Jima, somebody from All the King's Men, etc...
It's really an exciting year on paper!
Last edited by Maverikk on Wed Sep 06, 2006 3:44 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Wed Sep 06, 2006 3:35 pm |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm Posts: 92093 Location: Bonn, Germany
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Surprised you didn't even mention Affleck, heh.
I think Nicholson is the closest thing to a sure bet at this point, however in this category there are really no certainties whatsoever right now.
_________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
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Wed Sep 06, 2006 3:38 pm |
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Maverikk
Award Winning Bastard
Joined: Wed Oct 13, 2004 12:03 am Posts: 15310 Location: Slumming at KJ
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Dr. Lecter wrote: Surprised you didn't even mention Affleck, heh.
I think Nicholson is the closest thing to a sure bet at this point, however in this category there are really no certainties whatsoever right now.
haha...I'm surprised I didn't mention him, too. I'm telling you, there are just so many possibilities. Affleck's chances are still as good as ever, and he might be in my top 5 when all is said and done.
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Wed Sep 06, 2006 3:40 pm |
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Maverikk
Award Winning Bastard
Joined: Wed Oct 13, 2004 12:03 am Posts: 15310 Location: Slumming at KJ
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I went ahead and added Ben to my alternates list.
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Wed Sep 06, 2006 3:45 pm |
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Anonymous
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If Greg Kennar could get a nod for As Good As It Gets, there's no reason to think Steve Carrell can't. I still put Carrell behind Arkin but who knows, maybe both of them will get nominated.
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Wed Sep 06, 2006 4:05 pm |
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Shack
Devil's Advocate
Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2005 2:30 am Posts: 40502
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Michael Caine is in the race, I think. Early word seems to say that he's a shining light of the movie, and it wouldn't surprise me that the academy would throw Children a random nod like this.
_________________Shack’s top 50 tv shows - viewtopic.php?f=8&t=90227
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Wed Sep 06, 2006 9:51 pm |
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Chris
life begins now
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 9:09 pm Posts: 6480 Location: Columbus, Ohio
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Alan Arkin, Little Miss Sunshine
Brian Cox, Running With Scissors
Richard Griffiths, The History Boys
Tobey Maguire, The Good German
Jack Nicholson, The Departed
Next:
Ben Affleck, Hollywoodland
Eddie Murphy, Dreamgirls (I guess)
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Wed Sep 06, 2006 10:05 pm |
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Maverikk
Award Winning Bastard
Joined: Wed Oct 13, 2004 12:03 am Posts: 15310 Location: Slumming at KJ
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Chris wrote: Alan Arkin, Little Miss Sunshine Brian Cox, Running With Scissors Richard Griffiths, The History Boys Tobey Maguire, The Good German Jack Nicholson, The Departed
Next:
Ben Affleck, Hollywoodland Eddie Murphy, Dreamgirls (I guess)
Good list on paper!
How about the rest of you?
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Wed Sep 06, 2006 10:50 pm |
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Shack
Devil's Advocate
Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2005 2:30 am Posts: 40502
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I'll say
Eddie Murphy, Dreamgirls
Jack Nicholson, The Departed
Michael Caine, The Children of Men
Ben Affleck, Hollywoodland
Alan Arkin, Little Miss Sunshine
God, that's the dreamlist. Arkin could be switched for Kinnear I think, depends on who gets the buzz.
_________________Shack’s top 50 tv shows - viewtopic.php?f=8&t=90227
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Wed Sep 06, 2006 10:54 pm |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm Posts: 92093 Location: Bonn, Germany
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I'd love to see Nicholson taking it again.
_________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
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Wed Sep 06, 2006 10:57 pm |
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Maverikk
Award Winning Bastard
Joined: Wed Oct 13, 2004 12:03 am Posts: 15310 Location: Slumming at KJ
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Shack wrote: I'll say Eddie Murphy, Dreamgirls Jack Nicholson, The Departed Michael Caine, The Children of Men Ben Affleck, Hollywoodland Alan Arkin, Little Miss Sunshine
God, that's the dreamlist. Arkin could be switched for Kinnear I think, depends on who gets the buzz.
Ain't nothin' wrong with that list. I wouldn't kick it out of bed for eating crackers.
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Wed Sep 06, 2006 11:06 pm |
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Excel
Superfreak
Joined: Sat Aug 20, 2005 12:54 am Posts: 22198 Location: Places
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afflec in hollywoodland is farrrrr better then macy in bobby. ithought.
_________________Ari Emmanuel wrote: I'd rather marry lindsay Lohan than represent Mel Gibson.
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Wed Sep 06, 2006 11:20 pm |
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The Scottie
King Albert!
Joined: Sun Oct 17, 2004 1:04 pm Posts: 11838 Location: The Happiest City on Earth
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Comon, how can you guys not mention Paul Dano for Little Miss Sunshine. He gave the best performance in the movie.
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Thu Sep 07, 2006 4:57 pm |
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Jonathan
Begging Naked
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 12:07 pm Posts: 14737 Location: The Present (Duh)
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Scott V. wrote: Comon, how can you guys not mention Paul Dano for Little Miss Sunshine. He gave the best performance in the movie.
Arkin is a bigger name in Hollywood (And he hasn't been nominated in 38 years) and Carell is the It Comedian among critics and Hollywood. I'm currently predicting Arkin.
But I agree Dano gave the best performance. He's currently my Supporting Actor winner.
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Thu Sep 07, 2006 9:03 pm |
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Joker's Thug #3
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 2:36 am Posts: 11130 Location: Waiting for the Dark Knight to kick my ass
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Pesci's role is supposedly very very small, but hey look at William Hurt in HOV, very small role i'd say but he got a nod. This years competition seems very tough though.
Hopefully the stuidos play up Bale's performance in Prestige more as a supporting role then leading ( since im hearing both Jackman and Bale could be considered leads ), he has a chance especially if the film becomes a success in more ways then one.
_________________ "People always want to tear you down when you're on top, like Napoleon back in the Roman Empire" - Dirk Diggler
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Thu Sep 07, 2006 9:27 pm |
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Atoddr
Veteran
Joined: Fri Oct 15, 2004 3:07 am Posts: 3014 Location: Kansai
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1. Eddie Murphy - Dreamgirls
2. Brian Cox - Running With Scissors
3. James McAvoy - The Last King Of Scotland
4. Barry Pepper - Flags Of Our Father (shot in the dark guess)
5. Jack Nicholson - The Departed
FOr an alternate I'd say Alec Baldwin. I think he's in The Good Shepherd and Running With Scissors. Maybe even The Departed?
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Fri Sep 08, 2006 12:06 am |
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Excel
Superfreak
Joined: Sat Aug 20, 2005 12:54 am Posts: 22198 Location: Places
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im pretty sure afflecks gonna get a nomination.
just look at HOW MUCH praise hes getting as reeves 
_________________Ari Emmanuel wrote: I'd rather marry lindsay Lohan than represent Mel Gibson.
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Fri Sep 08, 2006 12:13 am |
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Johnny Dollar
The Lubitsch Touch
Joined: Thu Jul 21, 2005 5:48 pm Posts: 11019
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I don't think Hollywoodland will be nominated for anything, really. It hasn't had the type of raves needed for a movie with that release date. It's gonna be forgotten in the onslaught of contenders coming out in rapid succession.
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Fri Sep 08, 2006 12:34 am |
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Maverikk
Award Winning Bastard
Joined: Wed Oct 13, 2004 12:03 am Posts: 15310 Location: Slumming at KJ
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yoshue wrote: I don't think Hollywoodland will be nominated for anything, really. It hasn't had the type of raves needed for a movie with that release date. It's gonna be forgotten in the onslaught of contenders coming out in rapid succession.
Movies don't need raves to get acting nominations, regardless of their release date. For instance, Unfaithful (another movie starring Diane Lane) was released in August of 2002 and only has a 47% at RT, yet she was nominated for Best Actress. I Am Sam, though released in late December, was critically bashed at 33%, yet Sean Penn still got a Best Actor nom, despite there being several movies that were much MUCH better received.
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Fri Sep 08, 2006 12:48 am |
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Atoddr
Veteran
Joined: Fri Oct 15, 2004 3:07 am Posts: 3014 Location: Kansai
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Atoddr wrote: 1. Eddie Murphy - Dreamgirls 2. Brian Cox - Running With Scissors 3. James McAvoy - The Last King Of Scotland 4. Barry Pepper - Flags Of Our Father (shot in the dark guess) 5. Jack Nicholson - The Departed
FOr an alternate I'd say Alec Baldwin. I think he's in The Good Shepherd and Running With Scissors. Maybe even The Departed?
I really meant to include Brad Pitt for Babel but I forgot about him. I'll include him as an alternate.
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Fri Sep 08, 2006 5:05 am |
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Maverikk
Award Winning Bastard
Joined: Wed Oct 13, 2004 12:03 am Posts: 15310 Location: Slumming at KJ
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Affleck won Best Actor in Venice, if you haven't heard.
He would, no doubt, campaign for supporting actor.
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Sat Sep 09, 2006 3:25 pm |
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Excel
Superfreak
Joined: Sat Aug 20, 2005 12:54 am Posts: 22198 Location: Places
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i think hes a lock to be nominated. so much praise, best actor award, famous real life character, gained lot of weight for role, ect.
_________________Ari Emmanuel wrote: I'd rather marry lindsay Lohan than represent Mel Gibson.
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Sun Sep 10, 2006 8:02 am |
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Libs
Sbil
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:38 pm Posts: 48678 Location: Arlington, VA
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I'm surprised no one has mentioned Jackie Earle Haley of Little Children, as a convicted child molester. All reviews have been praising his performance so far.
I read the book, and the part could be very Oscar-friendly, I think.
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Sun Sep 10, 2006 11:17 am |
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Shack
Devil's Advocate
Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2005 2:30 am Posts: 40502
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Thinking about it, I think Alec Baldwin will get a nomination somewhere this year. He's in 3 of these movies, amazingly. The Departed, The Good Shepard, and Running With Scissors. He's also been pretty ignored by the academy in the past, only 1 nomination in his long career, so he's due for more love. If he gives his standard great performances in all 3, it's hard to not see him picking up one.
_________________Shack’s top 50 tv shows - viewtopic.php?f=8&t=90227
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Sun Sep 10, 2006 5:02 pm |
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Maverikk
Award Winning Bastard
Joined: Wed Oct 13, 2004 12:03 am Posts: 15310 Location: Slumming at KJ
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This is actually Poland's Toronto summary, so he talks about a lot, including that he thinks Best Actress is Penelope Cruz's to lose, but he talks about Sandra Bullock in Infamous, so I figured I'd use it as an excuse to bump this thread.
http://moviecitynews.com/voices/2006/06 ... onto1.html
Quote: A much sure scenario might be betting on the other true astonishment in Infamous which is Sandra Bullock (of all people!) delivering a great, caring performance as Truman's masterful amanuensis, assistant and traveling companion, childhood friend and Pulitzer-Prize winning authoress of "To Kill a Mockingbird" Harper Lee.
The splendid Catherine Keener was Oscar-nominated for this role in Capote which she played with titanic understatement and again an actively intellectualized coolness. Bullock actually lets you feel Lee's pain in her also pitch-perfect performance.
Bullock gets to say movingly one of the film's great quotes, regarding the ultimate effect of the killers' executions on Capote, "I've come to feel with deep heart-sickness there were three deaths on the gallows that night."
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Thu Sep 21, 2006 7:37 pm |
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