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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm
Posts: 92093
Location: Bonn, Germany
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Joe wrote: Dr. Lecter wrote: As of now, I don't see Snakes having an opening day lower than $12 million. The opening day should account for at least 40% of the total weekend cume. Any thoughts on whether the recent events will have an effect on the film's performance?  None at all.
Man, the terrorists should have tried smuggling the snakes on those plane, then the film would have opened to $50+ million, heh. _________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
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| Thu Aug 10, 2006 9:05 pm |
 
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El Maskado
Arrrrrrrrrrgggghhhhhhhhhh!
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 8:17 pm
Posts: 21572
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Zingaling wrote: So Roid, now that SOAP is opening in at least 800 more theaters than you expected and it's on the buzz chart that you bring up everyday (and it has a damn great score and ranking), you still eatin' that sock when it has a $10m opening day? Dont celebrate too early, I remember your comment about congratulating Dr Lecter on an early victory against me and that movie was MI3 
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| Thu Aug 10, 2006 9:44 pm |
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Harry Warden
Orphan
Joined: Thu Jun 09, 2005 5:47 pm
Posts: 19747
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I'm not certain SOAP will open to 10 million or more opening day. Of course I want it to but I could see a take of 7-9 million as well. Really hoping for more though. I'd really like to see an opening weekend of 25 million+.
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| Thu Aug 10, 2006 9:47 pm |
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O
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Jul 10, 2005 1:53 pm
Posts: 12197
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I wouldn't be surprised to see Snakes get just under $10 m from midnights. 
But realistically, I'm seeing $40 m + opening weekend.
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| Fri Aug 11, 2006 10:29 pm |
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Rolling Thunder
Forum General
Joined: Fri Nov 19, 2004 12:11 pm
Posts: 9148
Location: Kentucky Bluegrass
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O wrote: I wouldn't be surprised to see Snakes get just under $10 m from midnights. But realistically, I'm seeing $40 m + opening weekend. O, outside of the Internet, do you sense a lot of buzz for this? I think a lot of people will be disappointed come Sunday, and I believe it will be those who think SOAP is going to be some behemoth. Huge theater count, but only a respectable opening in the low 20's, IMO.
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| Mon Aug 14, 2006 12:33 am |
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Harry Warden
Orphan
Joined: Thu Jun 09, 2005 5:47 pm
Posts: 19747
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Here's something I found online regarding the likely trailers playing before the film:
Snakes on a Plane
Tenacious D (attached) - New Line
Texas Chainsaw Massacre Prequel (enclosed) - New Line
Borat - Fox
Covenant - Sony
Crank - Lionsgate
Idlewild - Universal
Deja Vu - Buena Vista
Any thoughts on it?
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| Mon Aug 14, 2006 2:47 pm |
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Harry Warden
Orphan
Joined: Thu Jun 09, 2005 5:47 pm
Posts: 19747
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Snakes a Train review
I might actually rent the rip-off tomorrow. Who's with me? 
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| Tue Aug 15, 2006 1:20 am |
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Harry Warden
Orphan
Joined: Thu Jun 09, 2005 5:47 pm
Posts: 19747
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| Tue Aug 15, 2006 10:21 am |
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liesse00
Commander Coo Coo Bananas
Joined: Sat May 20, 2006 10:45 am
Posts: 585
Location: North Central Illinois
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Just like I said with Lady in the Water this won't crack 30 million opening weekend.
_________________Last FMTwitter
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| Tue Aug 15, 2006 11:20 am |
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Harry Warden
Orphan
Joined: Thu Jun 09, 2005 5:47 pm
Posts: 19747
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liesse00 wrote: Just like I said with Lady in the Water this won't crack 30 million opening weekend. Well, considering it cost only 35 million anything 20 and over would be fantastic.
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| Tue Aug 15, 2006 4:58 pm |
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dolcevita
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 11:24 pm
Posts: 16061
Location: The Damage Control Table
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Magnus wrote: Joe wrote: They don't estimate a film for 3300+ screens unless they think it'll appeal to a relatively large audience segment. I think the fanbase for this is realtively large. I just think that the only ones who are going to see it is the fanbase. And they're all going to see it opening weekend. Be prepared for the shortest legs of the year.
OW: 39 M
SW: 16 M
TW: 6.5 M
TR: 82 M (if even...I'm being generous. School starts)
Its going to plummet its third weekend when even the fanboys have seen it twice and realize there's not much there.
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| Tue Aug 15, 2006 5:20 pm |
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Harry Warden
Orphan
Joined: Thu Jun 09, 2005 5:47 pm
Posts: 19747
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dolcevita wrote: Magnus wrote: Joe wrote: They don't estimate a film for 3300+ screens unless they think it'll appeal to a relatively large audience segment. I think the fanbase for this is realtively large. I just think that the only ones who are going to see it is the fanbase. And they're all going to see it opening weekend. Be prepared for the shortest legs of the year. OW: 39 M SW: 16 M TW: 6.5 M TR: 82 M (if even...I'm being generous. School starts) Its going to plummet its third weekend when even the fanboys have seen it twice and realize there's not much there. If it does those type of numbers New Line would be dumb not to greenlight a sequel pronto.
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| Tue Aug 15, 2006 5:22 pm |
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notfabio
Harry Potter and the Half Blood Prince
Joined: Sat Jul 09, 2005 9:30 pm
Posts: 437
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 More.. Joe wrote: Here's something I found online regarding the likely trailers playing before the film:
Snakes on a Plane
Tenacious D (attached) - New Line
Texas Chainsaw Massacre Prequel (enclosed) - New Line
Borat - Fox
Covenant - Sony
Crank - Lionsgate
Idlewild - Universal
Deja Vu - Buena Vista
Any thoughts on it? Paramount Vantage is also asking for BLACK SNAKE MOAN in key markets, WB is asking for either
DEPARTED or BEERFEST depending on the chain. Universal is also asking for LET'S GO TO PRISON at some
chains.
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| Tue Aug 15, 2006 6:00 pm |
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El Maskado
Arrrrrrrrrrgggghhhhhhhhhh!
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 8:17 pm
Posts: 21572
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How are midnight shows going at your place notfabio,Scott V, Rolling Thunder?
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| Tue Aug 15, 2006 6:31 pm |
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Erendis
Indiana Jones IV
Joined: Thu Oct 28, 2004 9:40 am
Posts: 1527
Location: Emyn Arnen
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Not sure where to put this, but Samuel L Jackson was on Jon Stewart: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BZijbpxNXII
They are both sooooooooo excited.
_________________
I'm not around much anymore because I don't have time (or permission, probably) to surf the 'net from my new job.
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| Wed Aug 16, 2006 1:12 pm |
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Rolling Thunder
Forum General
Joined: Fri Nov 19, 2004 12:11 pm
Posts: 9148
Location: Kentucky Bluegrass
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Is there any female interest in this? I've heard sporadic interest from women in Snakes, and I can't figure out why. It's obviously not the core demo, but it could be the difference between a $25M opener and a $30M opener.
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| Wed Aug 16, 2006 2:04 pm |
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Harry Warden
Orphan
Joined: Thu Jun 09, 2005 5:47 pm
Posts: 19747
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| Thu Aug 17, 2006 10:00 pm |
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Libs
Sbil
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:38 pm
Posts: 48678
Location: Arlington, VA
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Apparently Variety says it's tracking for a high-teens opening.
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| Thu Aug 17, 2006 10:11 pm |
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Ghostooze
Indiana Jones IV
Joined: Sat Jan 29, 2005 3:47 pm
Posts: 1406
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Libs wrote: Apparently Variety says it's tracking for a high-teens opening. day or weekend?
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| Thu Aug 17, 2006 10:13 pm |
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Libs
Sbil
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:38 pm
Posts: 48678
Location: Arlington, VA
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Ghostooze wrote: Libs wrote: Apparently Variety says it's tracking for a high-teens opening. day or weekend? Uh? Weekend... Edit: The full article does say this, though: Variety wrote: Internet buzz: What is it good for?
After over six months of parody trailers, blog debates and mainstream press articles about the online hype, New Line will find out what it all means for the bottom line as "Snakes on a Plane" opens this weekend.
Pic is tracking like a normal late-summer horror film, which would indicate a bow in the high teens. But studio is hoping all the hype and buzz could translate into something much bigger, possibly as high as the 30s.
"I'm not sure you can track this movie," said New Line distribution prexy David Tuckerman. "Nobody can ever remember a film that has been like this. Since the beginning, we've just been trying to catch up with it."
Main competition this weekend is Universal's slacker comedy "Accepted," which is also going after a teenage aud but has the benefit of a PG-13 rating vs. an R for "Snakes."
One good sign for "Snakes": Intense exhibitor interest helped New Line book it at 3,555 playdates, very wide for a horror film.
Few doubt that theaters will be packed with the faithful -- mostly young males and some older males -- on Friday and for latenight shows Thursday.
Bigger question is whether good word of mouth will spread after hardcore fans finally get to see the film, convincing a broader aud that "Snakes" is more than an Internet oddity.
New Line isn't making the movie available for review before it opens.
Tuckerman said he's most hopeful that teenage girls, who often help drive a horror pic's success but aren't showing up in tracking for "Snakes," will be a key component in its opening weekend.
Current record holder for an August horror opening is "Freddy vs. Jason," which made $36.4 million in 2003.
Last edited by Libs on Thu Aug 17, 2006 10:32 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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| Thu Aug 17, 2006 10:24 pm |
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Squee
Squee
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 10:01 pm
Posts: 13270
Location: Yuppieville
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According to the commercials, it's the most anticipated movie of the year. I don't see how it can fail to open with 140+
_________________Setting most people on fire is wrong.Proud Founder of the "Community of Squee." 
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| Thu Aug 17, 2006 10:27 pm |
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Excel
Superfreak
Joined: Sat Aug 20, 2005 12:54 am
Posts: 22213
Location: Places
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THE MOVIE I AWESOME!!!
26/80!!!!!
_________________Ari Emmanuel wrote: I'd rather marry lindsay Lohan than represent Mel Gibson.
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| Thu Aug 17, 2006 10:33 pm |
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gardenia.11/14....
Indiana Jones IV
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 3:43 am
Posts: 1241
Location: the south
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Horror?? It may do well as a date movie, as well...
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| Fri Aug 18, 2006 12:02 am |
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zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm
Posts: 36662
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25/60.
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| Fri Aug 18, 2006 12:53 am |
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Harry Warden
Orphan
Joined: Thu Jun 09, 2005 5:47 pm
Posts: 19747
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Just got back from seeing it. Let me say, it was a blast. The movie mixes humor with jump scares and gore to good effect and Sam Jackson anchors it the way only he can, lending authority to the film.
The 550 seat Ultrascreen was sold out as well with the ushers handing out Snakes on a Plane posters, soundtracks, and popcorn to everyone as they entered. The theatre made it up to be something of an event and it paid off, with people cheering basically everytime SLJ killed a snake and especially when he said the line everyone knows by now. Some actually stood up and cheered during that part. Overall, a very fun movie and definitely one I'd see again, maybe tomorrow in fact.
Grade - A
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| Fri Aug 18, 2006 1:23 am |
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