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Harry Warden
Orphan
Joined: Thu Jun 09, 2005 5:47 pm
Posts: 19747
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Looking good for JTMD. Not so for MV.
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| Fri Jul 28, 2006 11:01 pm |
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baumer72
Mod Team Leader
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 11:00 pm
Posts: 7087
Location: Crystal Lake
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Magnus wrote: baumer72 wrote: I'm going to go out on a limb and say that this is the one time that the reviews won't tell the story. I don't think people that are seeing MV are rushing out to write reviews about it. It will still make about 27-30 mill OW. You go out on a limb for a movie that seems like is doing medicore business but that you predicted would do well. SHOCKING!  I didn't predict it to do well. 29 mill is well?
_________________
Brick Tamland: Yeah, there were horses, and a man on fire, and I killed a guy with a trident.
Ron Burgundy: Brick, I've been meaning to talk to you about that. You should find yourself a safehouse or a relative close by. Lay low for a while, because you're probably wanted for murder.
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| Fri Jul 28, 2006 11:03 pm |
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Excel
Superfreak
Joined: Sat Aug 20, 2005 12:54 am
Posts: 22182
Location: Places
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good 4 ant bully.
_________________Ari Emmanuel wrote: I'd rather marry lindsay Lohan than represent Mel Gibson.
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| Fri Jul 28, 2006 11:06 pm |
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paper
Artie the One-Man Party
Joined: Sat Sep 17, 2005 2:53 pm
Posts: 4632
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I'm liking my predictions of 22.5 for MV, a little too high but still decent, 21 for Ant Bully, which I think it can come close to now, and 15.2 for John Tucker, which may be low, but was on the very high end of most predictions.
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| Fri Jul 28, 2006 11:26 pm |
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Kenspy
Into the fray
Joined: Thu May 18, 2006 12:09 pm
Posts: 1874
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the french man wrote: I'm liking my predictions of 22.5 for MV, a little too high but still decent, 21 for Ant Bully, which I think it can come close to now, and 15.2 for John Tucker, which may be low, but was on the very high end of most predictions. Ant Bully is not going to come close to 21...
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| Fri Jul 28, 2006 11:57 pm |
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MovieDude
Where will you be?
Joined: Tue Dec 21, 2004 4:50 am
Posts: 11675
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Miami Vice 595, +59, C+
John Tucker Must Die 809, +53, B
Ant Bully 238, +21, B-
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| Sat Jul 29, 2006 12:37 am |
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zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm
Posts: 36662
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Looks like a $5 million opening day for John Tucker and Ant Bully, and $6-7 million for Miami Vice, IMO.
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| Sat Jul 29, 2006 12:45 am |
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DP07
The Thirteenth Floor
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:26 am
Posts: 15497
Location: Everywhere
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They are on the old front page. MV with the picture. It doesn't have as much of an effect as it once did, but based on two weeks ago it still does matter.
I'm thinking MV will have about 6.1m. JT about 5.8m. Ant Bully about 5.2m
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| Sat Jul 29, 2006 1:03 am |
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Joker's Thug #3
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 2:36 am
Posts: 11130
Location: Waiting for the Dark Knight to kick my ass
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Miami Vice 654, +59, C+
John Tucker Must Die 843, +34, B
Ant Bully 239, +1, B-
Tucker and Ant Bully seem to be losing more and more steam.
_________________ "People always want to tear you down when you're on top, like Napoleon back in the Roman Empire" - Dirk Diggler
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| Sat Jul 29, 2006 1:42 am |
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DP07
The Thirteenth Floor
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:26 am
Posts: 15497
Location: Everywhere
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Mostly frontpage effect I'd say. Still nice for MV though even with the picture there. I think it is now clogged actually.
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| Sat Jul 29, 2006 2:01 am |
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xiayun
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:41 pm
Posts: 25109
Location: San Mateo, CA
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Miami Vice 795, +141, C+
John Tucker Must Die 958, +115, B
Ant Bully 256, +17, B-
_________________Recent watched movies: American Hustle - B+ Inside Llewyn Davis - B Before Midnight - A 12 Years a Slave - A- The Hunger Games: Catching Fire - A- My thoughts on box office
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| Sat Jul 29, 2006 2:53 am |
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Excel
Superfreak
Joined: Sat Aug 20, 2005 12:54 am
Posts: 22182
Location: Places
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miami vice 795, +141 c+
john tucker must die 958, +115
ant bully 256, +17
_________________Ari Emmanuel wrote: I'd rather marry lindsay Lohan than represent Mel Gibson.
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| Sat Jul 29, 2006 2:55 am |
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SolC9
Forum General
Joined: Fri Jun 24, 2005 11:11 pm
Posts: 7195
Location: Wisconsin
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Nice increases.
I'm thinking
Miami Vice 8-9M
John Tucker Must Die 4-5M
Ant Bully 4-5M
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| Sat Jul 29, 2006 2:58 am |
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Joker's Thug #3
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 2:36 am
Posts: 11130
Location: Waiting for the Dark Knight to kick my ass
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Miami Vice - 6.9m ( Ratio 120 )
John Tucker - 4.2 ( Ratio 235 )
Ant Bully - 4.4 ( Ratio 60 )
_________________"People always want to tear you down when you're on top, like Napoleon back in the Roman Empire" - Dirk Diggler
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| Sat Jul 29, 2006 3:06 am |
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Shack
Devil's Advocate
Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2005 2:30 am
Posts: 40264
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Nice late boost for Vice. Definitley that type of audience.
I'll say:
Miami Vice - 7.5-8.0 mil
John Tucker - 5.1-5.6 mil
Ant Bully - 3.2-3.7 mil
_________________Shack’s top 50 tv shows - viewtopic.php?f=8&t=90227
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| Sat Jul 29, 2006 3:08 am |
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banjo6
Speed Racer
Joined: Fri Dec 17, 2004 5:23 pm
Posts: 143
Location: Virginia
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SolC9 wrote: Nice increases.
I'm thinking
Miami Vice 8-9M
John Tucker Must Die 4-5M
Ant Bully 4-5M Based on my theater today, Ant Bully isn't even going to touch John Tucker for Friday. Kids movies do really well at my theater and Tucker easily doubled Ant Bully business. Night business was dreadful for Ant, I know kids movies do all the matinee business but usually the good kids movies can also do some solid night business.......Ant did pretty much neither.
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| Sat Jul 29, 2006 3:10 am |
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DP07
The Thirteenth Floor
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:26 am
Posts: 15497
Location: Everywhere
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MV - 6.6m
JT Must Die - 5.9m
Ant Bully - 3.3m
The last few hours only really make me doubt Ant Bully. Weak review total, and the frontloading makes me doubt the ratio more. I think banjo is right.
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| Sat Jul 29, 2006 3:17 am |
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Shack
Devil's Advocate
Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2005 2:30 am
Posts: 40264
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I'm liking the way my derby looks, I went the highest on John Tucker and lowest on Ant Bully. Hopefully holdovers go my way...
_________________Shack’s top 50 tv shows - viewtopic.php?f=8&t=90227
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| Sat Jul 29, 2006 3:27 am |
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Mesjarch
Cream of the Crop
Joined: Tue May 03, 2005 5:41 am
Posts: 2388
Location: Poland
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If Miami Vice doesn't make 7-8 milions on friday then Pirates will win.
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| Sat Jul 29, 2006 3:41 am |
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mark66
Extraordinary
Joined: Thu Dec 15, 2005 2:41 pm
Posts: 13054
Location: Augsburg (2,040 years young)
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Scoop 104, B- (down from B)
Little Miss Sunshine 72 (32 on Friday), A-
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| Sat Jul 29, 2006 3:43 am |
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DP07
The Thirteenth Floor
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:26 am
Posts: 15497
Location: Everywhere
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Final:
Miami Vice 825, +30, C+
John Tucker Must Die 975, +17, B
Ant Bully 260, +4, B-
I think it's clogged, but it doesn't really matter. I stick with the same projections I just made.
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| Sat Jul 29, 2006 3:45 am |
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DP07
The Thirteenth Floor
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:26 am
Posts: 15497
Location: Everywhere
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I'd guess $95,000 for LMS and under $400,000 for Scoop.
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| Sat Jul 29, 2006 3:47 am |
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zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm
Posts: 36662
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$6.5m for Miami Vice, $4.9m for John Tucker, $4.0m for The Ant Bully.
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| Sat Jul 29, 2006 3:51 am |
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SolC9
Forum General
Joined: Fri Jun 24, 2005 11:11 pm
Posts: 7195
Location: Wisconsin
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I'm curious, if Collateral had a ratio of 94 (and it has many similarities with MV),
and another action/drama The Bourne Supremacy had a ratio of 77, and there has been a
trend to lower ratios since those films, then why would Miami Vice have a ratio higher than
100?
Yeah, the grade of C+ isn't great, but I don't think it's so low to have a major impact.
It is based on a TV show, so it has a fanbase, but so did Bourne Supremacy. I think
the ratio will be in the 100 area.
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| Sat Jul 29, 2006 3:52 am |
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DP07
The Thirteenth Floor
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:26 am
Posts: 15497
Location: Everywhere
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SolC9 wrote: I'm curious, if Collateral had a ratio of 94 (and it has many similarities with MV),
and another action/drama The Bourne Supremacy had a ratio of 77, and there has been a
trend to lower ratios since those films, then why would Miami Vice have a ratio higher than
100?
Yeah, the grade of C+ isn't great, but I don't think it's so low to have a major impact.
It is based on a TV show, so it has a fanbase, but so did Bourne Supremacy. I think
the ratio will be in the 100 area. Younger audience. Both of those were mpre then 70% over 25. I doubt this is even 60% over 25.
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| Sat Jul 29, 2006 3:57 am |
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