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Shack
Devil's Advocate
Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2005 2:30 am
Posts: 40604
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edit ... ugh
Great day for holdovers.
_________________Shack’s top 50 tv shows - viewtopic.php?f=8&t=90227
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| Wed Aug 02, 2006 3:42 pm |
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DP07
The Thirteenth Floor
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:26 am
Posts: 15573
Location: Everywhere
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Speevy wrote: The Dark Shape wrote: xiayun wrote: Yeah, horror is the genre least depending on reviews in term of gross; in fact, the correlation seems to be negative (better reviews, worse box office). Much better off going by history, and it doesn't bode well for Descent. The Ring was well-reviewed, and it's the biggest horror film in a decade. You better hope DP07 doesn't come into this thread  Not that I think reviews helped it, but that's just a fact.
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| Wed Aug 02, 2006 3:45 pm |
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Mannyisthebest
Forum General
Joined: Wed May 10, 2006 3:53 pm
Posts: 8642
Location: Toronto, Canada
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pirates is only 30,000 dollars way from MV. Pirates should break 10 million in dailies this week.
$2,749,175
5.6% $363,838,343
-34.9%
If pirates drops to 2.5 million -10%, it will be down only 32% from last week and it increases thrusday it will be only 30% off from last week. We could see a sub 40% drop even with a huge opener. Pirates will break 12 million this weekend.
_________________The Dark Prince 
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| Wed Aug 02, 2006 3:50 pm |
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zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm
Posts: 36662
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Pirates will be at around $380 million after the weekend.
Great increase for The Ant Bully.
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| Wed Aug 02, 2006 4:00 pm |
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Supafroius
Star Trek XI
Joined: Thu May 11, 2006 10:59 am
Posts: 370
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I am currently clocking pirates with a 13 million weekend , around a 37% drop. Amazing!
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| Wed Aug 02, 2006 4:01 pm |
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misutaa
je vois l'avenir
Joined: Thu Jun 30, 2005 3:33 pm
Posts: 3841
Location: Hollywood/Berkeley, CA
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great increases esp. for animated flicks. OTH up 31%
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| Wed Aug 02, 2006 4:03 pm |
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Mannyisthebest
Forum General
Joined: Wed May 10, 2006 3:53 pm
Posts: 8642
Location: Toronto, Canada
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if it follows last weekend it can get 13.8-14 million. However if it stays above 2.5 million on thrusday 12 million is a given. Meaning it will beat Rots by sunday in only 5 weekends!
_________________The Dark Prince
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| Wed Aug 02, 2006 4:04 pm |
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DIB2
All Star Poster
Joined: Wed Jun 14, 2006 3:57 am
Posts: 4669
Location: Anchorage, AK
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The kids film had huge increases
Monster Hounse +12.1%
Ant Bully +20.4%
Cars +18%
Over the Hedge +31.6%
Two Kitties +37.3%
Ice age 2 +21.7%
_________________My Most anticipated films of 2015 
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| Wed Aug 02, 2006 4:06 pm |
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Supafroius
Star Trek XI
Joined: Thu May 11, 2006 10:59 am
Posts: 370
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My new total for Pirates 2 is now up to 415M. It keeps rising too. It's looking like a lock to Nail SPidey 1's coffin. Phantom Menace and beyond are still a stretch but if its drops keep improving anythings possible. But probably wont happen. 425 ceiling. 410-425. Thats amazing!
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| Wed Aug 02, 2006 4:27 pm |
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deathawk
Madoshi
Joined: Sun May 08, 2005 12:35 pm
Posts: 631
Location: Cephiro
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Overall nice numbers. Pirates looks to have leveled into a more standard weekday pattern now. I'd be more impressed with Ant Bully if it wasn't in such a bad position to begin with.
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| Wed Aug 02, 2006 5:33 pm |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm
Posts: 92093
Location: Bonn, Germany
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Thegun wrote: I think it will be a tough race for 2nd this weekend
Piratest, Miamie Vice, could both be around 12 million
and who know the Descent, or Barnyard could break out Out of curiosity - do you still think Pirates is not a lock for $400 million? _________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
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| Wed Aug 02, 2006 8:20 pm |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm
Posts: 92093
Location: Bonn, Germany
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xiayun wrote: Yeah, horror is the genre least depending on reviews in term of gross; in fact, the correlation seems to be negative (better reviews, worse box office). Much better off going by history, and it doesn't bode well for Descent. Well, it does help the legs, though, as good reviews indicate very good WoM. See 28 Days Later. _________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
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| Wed Aug 02, 2006 8:21 pm |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm
Posts: 92093
Location: Bonn, Germany
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The Ant Bully looks like it might repeat Garfield 2's performance (i.e. bad opening, good legs, mediocre gross). Could hit $30 million.
Miami Vice is dropping as expected. On Wednesday, Pirates mioght be ahead, on Thursday it definitely will be.
John Tucker Must Die is a bit frontloaded, yeah. I see it dropping at least 45% this weekend.
The Devil Wears Prada continues a run that is probably best-described as this year's 40-Year-Old Virgin (not that the films are too similar, but the runs definitely are). $125 million is still pretty much in store for it.
Monster House is rebounding well, just 31.4% down from last week. I could see it hitting $80 million.
Little Miss Sunshine is posting splendid numbers! It could make up to $1.5 million this weekend, in just 60 theatres. It'll soon enter the Top 10.
_________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
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| Wed Aug 02, 2006 8:31 pm |
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Thegun
On autopilot for the summer
Joined: Thu Oct 21, 2004 10:14 pm
Posts: 21904
Location: Walking around somewhere
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Dr. Lecter wrote: Thegun wrote: I think it will be a tough race for 2nd this weekend
Piratest, Miamie Vice, could both be around 12 million
and who know the Descent, or Barnyard could break out Out of curiosity - do you still think Pirates is not a lock for $400 million? Ill let you know after this weekend. _________________ Chippy wrote: As always, fuck Thegun. Chippy wrote: I want to live vicariously through you, Thegun!
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| Wed Aug 02, 2006 10:04 pm |
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zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm
Posts: 36662
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Hahaha. Not a lock for $400 million. Hahaha.
You're cool, Thegun, but c'mon now.
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| Wed Aug 02, 2006 10:07 pm |
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Speevy
Veteran
Joined: Wed May 11, 2005 9:12 am
Posts: 3139
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Thegun wrote: Dr. Lecter wrote: Thegun wrote: I think it will be a tough race for 2nd this weekend
Piratest, Miamie Vice, could both be around 12 million
and who know the Descent, or Barnyard could break out Out of curiosity - do you still think Pirates is not a lock for $400 million? Ill let you know after this weekend. That's almost as absurd as BJ's 300 million club for TD.
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| Wed Aug 02, 2006 10:11 pm |
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Mannyisthebest
Forum General
Joined: Wed May 10, 2006 3:53 pm
Posts: 8642
Location: Toronto, Canada
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it is especially certain considering it will be near Rotts by sunday.
_________________The Dark Prince
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| Wed Aug 02, 2006 11:10 pm |
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banjo6
Speed Racer
Joined: Fri Dec 17, 2004 5:23 pm
Posts: 143
Location: Virginia
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DIB2 wrote: The kids film had huge increases
Monster Hounse +12.1%
Ant Bully +20.4%
Cars +18%
Over the Hedge +31.6%
Two Kitties +37.3%
Ice age 2 +21.7% I can't speak for all theaters but I know at my theatre all the kids films doubled what they did on Monday because of the extreme heat. Any Bully had more ppl for the 1:00 show on Tuesday alone then it did the entire day combined on Monday!!! That was about across the board for everything else as well kid related, even the adult movies had nice increases but not as extreme as the kiddie movies.
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| Wed Aug 02, 2006 11:18 pm |
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O
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Jul 10, 2005 1:53 pm
Posts: 12197
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Dr. Lecter wrote:
The Devil Wears Prada continues a run that is probably best-described as this year's 40-Year-Old Virgin (not that the films are too similar, but the runs definitely are). $125 million is still pretty much in store for it.
I personally think the best comparison for Prada is Legally Blonde. Close to the same release dates, similar audience, and similar performances (VERY similar).
LB adjusted for inflation $23.73 m/$112.41 m (4.74 multiplier) -> Second weekend drop of 45.5% drop
Devil Wears Prada $27.5 m/$126 m total estimated (4.58 multiplier) -> Second weekend drop of 45.5%
They are almost carbon copies. Their 2nd weekend drops are identical to a tee, both not that great, but just they both grabbed 4.5 + multipliers...
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| Wed Aug 02, 2006 11:22 pm |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm
Posts: 92093
Location: Bonn, Germany
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O wrote: Dr. Lecter wrote:
The Devil Wears Prada continues a run that is probably best-described as this year's 40-Year-Old Virgin (not that the films are too similar, but the runs definitely are). $125 million is still pretty much in store for it.
I personally think the best comparison for Prada is Legally Blonde. Close to the same release dates, similar audience, and similar performances (VERY similar). LB adjusted for inflation $23.73 m/$112.41 m (4.74 multiplier) -> Second weekend drop of 45.5% drop Devil Wears Prada $27.5 m/$126 m total estimated (4.58 multiplier) -> Second weekend drop of 45.5% They are almost carbon copies. Their 2nd weekend drops are identical to a tee, both not that great, but just they both grabbed 4.5 + multipliers... Well, I don't think that far back, heh. _________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
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| Thu Aug 03, 2006 4:06 am |
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Thegun
On autopilot for the summer
Joined: Thu Oct 21, 2004 10:14 pm
Posts: 21904
Location: Walking around somewhere
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It depends on what it makes this weekend, I will drop this barrier if its over 380 million and has a weekend over 11 million.
I would drop it, but I think the theater count loss and Talladega will hurt it for some reason. It still has an outside chance.
_________________Chippy wrote: As always, fuck Thegun. Chippy wrote: I want to live vicariously through you, Thegun!
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| Thu Aug 03, 2006 10:48 am |
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Supafroius
Star Trek XI
Joined: Thu May 11, 2006 10:59 am
Posts: 370
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Thegun wrote: It depends on what it makes this weekend, I will drop this barrier if its over 380 million and has a weekend over 11 million.
I would drop it, but I think the theater count loss and Talladega will hurt it for some reason. It still has an outside chance. What kinda of theatre loss would actually hurt it when it has 3800 theatres. If it drops to 3000 will it really be affected? 400 Is a lock without question. You are in denial.
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| Thu Aug 03, 2006 11:05 am |
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zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm
Posts: 36662
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Thegun wrote: It depends on what it makes this weekend, I will drop this barrier if its over 380 million and has a weekend over 11 million.
I would drop it, but I think the theater count loss and Talladega will hurt it for some reason. It still has an outside chance. Well, you said two weeks ago that $400 million depended on the third weekend, in which you predicted $28 million and it ended up with $35 million. It's been a lock since that point.
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| Thu Aug 03, 2006 1:24 pm |
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Speevy
Veteran
Joined: Wed May 11, 2005 9:12 am
Posts: 3139
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Thegun wrote: It depends on what it makes this weekend, I will drop this barrier if its over 380 million and has a weekend over 11 million.
I would drop it, but I think the theater count loss and Talladega will hurt it for some reason. It still has an outside chance. Yea it has an outside chance if there's no more theaters left that play POTC2 because the world ends up blowing up tomorrow
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| Thu Aug 03, 2006 1:32 pm |
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