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 Something Blatantly Obvious but Nonetheless Noteworthy 
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Extraordinary

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Box wrote:
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Do you define popularity by "money"? Titanic made the most worldwide of any movie ever in real dollars/yen/whatever. Everybody knows this. So are you now trying to quantify "popularity" using a box office number? There are many who would disagree with the way you are defining popularity.


But of course I am. I never said 'overall popularity', just popularity as measured by a film's theatrical success. Casablanca is probably more popular than Gone With the Wind by now, yet it made a fraction of its theatrical gross. And as I said, those Disney films, they're formidable.

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It's not a fact Box, you are making assumptions and guesses based on the single fact of its gross. And the reasoning you gave above to downplay Gone With The Wind's impact was shakey at best.


Well, going from my comments above, popularity as determined solely by a film's initial theatrical success can be quantified. I have the GWTW initial gross data somewhere, but I'm not willing to dig through hundreds of files right now. I remember the NYT, in its reviews, however, indicating that around 40-50m people in the US wanted to watch the film. 129m saw Titanic in North America, 100m or so if you discount repeat viewings.

Based on my own calculations of Titanic's overseas admissions, conservatively, some 500m people saw it in theatres worldwide (tickets in India cost 15 cents, and not much more in China, yet the film grosses millions there alone; more than 20m+ people saw it in the UK, Germany, France, and Japan each). The figure could possibly be above 600m or even 700m.

The US population in 1939 was around 131m. Unless 99% of Americans saw Gone with the Wind, it's unlikely it attracted as many people in the same time frame as Titanic did (slice it by half to 65m for an extreme for repeat viewings).


Also, its difficult to throw in pop'n figures as how many people wanted to see the film. 1939 had alot of big things going on in the world, while I'm sure everyone that wanted to see Titanic could have in 1997, the same might not have been able to be said about GWTW. The comparisons are just far too complicated.


Sat Jul 22, 2006 11:55 pm
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Um, Box, as I said, the data when used comparatively would yield conclusions you'd be unhappy with.

The US data you just supplied prima facia demonstrates GWTW was seen by a far larger portion of the US population than did Titanic, not the other way round. Your assumptions regarding repeat viewings are also faulty and work even further against you when applied correctly.


Sat Jul 22, 2006 11:58 pm
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O wrote:

Also, its difficult to throw in pop'n figures as how many people wanted to see the film. 1939 had alot of big things going on in the world, while I'm sure everyone that wanted to see Titanic could have in 1997, the same might not have been able to be said about GWTW. The comparisons are just far too complicated.



I'm not talking about hypothetical grosses. This is not a "what if" scenario.


The question simply put is whether Gone With the Wind's initial gross in 1939/40 rendered it more popular than Titanic in 1997/1998. Unless 100m or so individuals (so around 70-75% of North America's population) packed theatres in 1939 and 1940 to watched GWTW, the answer is no.

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Sun Jul 23, 2006 12:00 am
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deathawk wrote:

The US data you just supplied prima facia demonstrates GWTW was seen by a far larger portion of the US population than did Titanic, not the other way round.


No, it doesn't. There is no proof that GWTW was seen by 34% of North America's population during a nine month period, which is the percentage it needs to match Titanic's popularity during that same time frame. Given the nature of theatrical releasing at that time (GWTW rotated around the country from region to region, rather than opening simultanenously nation-wide), it is unlikely that 48m did see GWTW in a nine months' period. The NYT stated that's approximately how many intended to see it, but it could have taken the film two years to reach their area.

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Sun Jul 23, 2006 12:06 am
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Box wrote:
O wrote:

Also, its difficult to throw in pop'n figures as how many people wanted to see the film. 1939 had alot of big things going on in the world, while I'm sure everyone that wanted to see Titanic could have in 1997, the same might not have been able to be said about GWTW. The comparisons are just far too complicated.



I'm not talking about hypothetical grosses. This is not a "what if" scenario.


The question simply put is whether Gone With the Wind's initial gross in 1939/40 rendered it more popular than Titanic in 1997/1998. Unless 100m or so individuals (so around 70-75% of North America's population) packed theatres in 1939 and 1940 to watched GWTW, the answer is no.


Yes, but can't we say other $100 m films of the 90's might have been able to get higher admissions more quickly than Gone With The Wind could have with its slower release, and rereleases? So should I say that Disney's Hunchback of Notre Dame initial gross was more popular in 1996, than GWTW was in its early release? By your reasoning, the answer is yes, because it was able to make more initially as it was accessible to everyone. There are SO many films that in the 90's, and 00's, I'm sure made more than Gone With The Wind in initial release. But things were also MUCH, MUCH different than. You can't judge popularity based on how quickly people rush to a movie. If that's the case, than 2004's The Village was more popular than Gone With The Wind opening day in 1939. This makes no sense, but more people may have been able to see the Village opening day than Gone With The Wind, so where do we draw the line?


Sun Jul 23, 2006 12:07 am
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O wrote:

Yes, but can't we say other $100 m films of the 90's might have been able to get higher admissions more quickly than Gone With The Wind could have with its slower release, and rereleases? So should I say that Disney's Hunchback of Notre Dame initial gross was more popular in 1996, than GWTW was in its early release? By your reasoning, the answer is yes, because it was able to make more initially as it was accessible to everyone. There are SO many films that in the 90's, and 00's, I'm sure made more than Gone With The Wind in initial release. But things were also MUCH, MUCH different than. You can't judge popularity based on how quickly people rush to a movie. If that's the case, than 2004's The Village was more popular than Gone With The Wind opening day in 1939. This makes no sense, but more people may have been able to see the Village opening day than Gone With The Wind, so where do we draw the line?


If they attracted more people into theatres, then sure, of course. Obviously not if they grossed more; hundreds of films post-1980 would beat GWTW's gross.

Star Wars got more people into theatres initially than GWTW did (around the same number as Titanic's), ditto with ET, but they got them over a longer period than Titanic (so, more than 9 months).

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Sun Jul 23, 2006 12:14 am
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The most popular film of alltime is the wizard of oz, sure, its theatricle #s were average but along the years it became the most recognizable film ever.


Sun Jul 23, 2006 12:25 am
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Post Re: Something Blatantly Obvious but Nonetheless Noteworthy
Box wrote:
Had Titanic not been released, Star Wars would still be the #1 film of all time :-o All those years since its 1997 re-release, and no film has been able to catch it since.

And, in 1999, the Star Wars franchise would have had the top 2 films of all time :-o


If not for Titanic the box office story of the decade would have been Star Wars.Episode 4 was re-released in 1997 earned almost $140 mil and finished in the top ten for releaeses that year. It also became the first film to earn over $400 mil. Two years later Episode 1 was able to reach $400 mil in it's initial release.Since 1997 the only film that's been able to pass SW is Titanic.No other film has even been able to reach $460 mil.

Still those accomplishments pale in comparison to Titanic which earned $600 mil domestic and $1.8 bil worldwide.You could even take away Titanic's domestic gross and it would still be worldwide champ. Titanic also became all-time box office champ in each and every market it was released in with five markets over $100 mil.Not to mention 15 consecutive weeks at #1 in the US.For me nothing compares with Titanic.


Last edited by Lucky on Sun Jul 23, 2006 1:00 am, edited 2 times in total.



Sun Jul 23, 2006 12:44 am
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Let's tackle this a different way since you seem to be adverse to logic when it doesn't mesh with your Titatinic-centric view.

How about just going by number of admits?

Gone with the Wind had 200,000,000 admits. The population at release was about 130 million. That's 1.53 viewings per person. Titanic had 130,000,000 admits. The population at release was 275 million. That's .47 viewings per person.

This is inflation-neutral.

I'd imagine the worldwide numbers show a bit of a better showing for Titanic versus Gone with the Wind, but still behind. I doubt there is any way to determine for certain.


Sun Jul 23, 2006 12:44 am
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Yeah, I used to be discount GWTW's gross in comparison to SW/ET/Titanic until I took into account the population factor. Still, comparisons are extremely hard to make, I don't think it's fair to hold it against GWTW that it was unable to draw in the same amount of people as Titanic did during a certain period of time just because of how release patterns have drastically changed. GWTW probably never played in 500 theaters during its initial runs - much less 3,000+.


Sun Jul 23, 2006 12:53 am
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Number of admits chart for comparison...

1. Gone With the Wind (1939) 202,044,569 $1,181,960,729 $198,655,278
2. Star Wars (1977) 178,119,595 $1,041,999,631 $460,998,007
3. The Sound of Music (1965) 142,415,376 $833,129,950 $158,671,368
4. E.T. (1982) 141,925,359 $830,263,350 $434,538,449
5. The Ten Commandments (1956) 131,000,000 $766,350,000 $65,500,000
6. Titanic (1997) 129,201,761 $755,830,301 $600,788,188
7. Jaws (1975) 128,078,818 $749,261,084 $260,000,000
8. Snow White (1937) 109,000,000 $637,650,000 $184,925,486
9. 101 Dalmations (1961) 99,917,251 $584,515,919 $144,880,014
10. The Empire Strikes Back (1980) 98,106,044 $573,920,357 $290,266,497

(this is from 2002)

http://abcnews.go.com/US/story?id=89988


Sun Jul 23, 2006 1:00 am
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Box wrote:
ROTK would be #1 Worldwide :smile:


But I love Titanic, so I'm glad it's number one on both fronts.


Btw, I think it will be much easier for a film to take its #1 domestic crown than its #1 international or worldwide title.


I expect there to be 3-5 years of difference between a film beating it domestically and another beating it worldwide. $1.845B is so much bigger than anything else out there.


3-5 years? Make that 10-12. Movies like Shrek 2 and POTC2 have shown that it is possible to get close to Titanic, at least somewhat. But worldwide...I mean POTC2 won't beat ROTK worldwide and ROTK was a phenomenon...and it fell short by over $600 million worldwide.

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Sun Jul 23, 2006 1:38 am
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neo_wolf wrote:
The most popular film of alltime is the wizard of oz, sure, its theatricle #s were average but along the years it became the most recognizable film ever.


More than Star Wars? :huh:

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Sun Jul 23, 2006 1:39 am
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I think the Guinness Book of Records has Gone with the Wind's rough adjusted worldwide take at $3.2 billion.

Seems a bit high to be honest.

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Sun Jul 23, 2006 1:41 am
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Movies should be adjusted at the general inflation rate, not at the ticket price inflation rate, which is higher. When ticket prices rise, they do not necessarily become more affordable relative to the average income. $9 in 2006 has more buying power today than $0.05 did in 1930. Case in point: $0.05 in 1930 could buy a trolley ticket or a snack; $9 today can buy a lot of bus tickets or a lot of burgers.

Star Wars deserves to be atop the adjusted list.

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Sun Jul 23, 2006 2:12 am
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I still think Star Wars will take the title back, in the next couple years. It made 140 mil in 97, it just needs to match that in it's next re-release and Titanic is finished. With Lucas enhancing his movie once again, lots of crazy Star Wars fans out there, and inflation, I think it can be done.

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Kenspy wrote:
Let's tackle this a different way since you seem to be adverse to logic when it doesn't mesh with your Titatinic-centric view.

How about just going by number of admits?

Gone with the Wind had 200,000,000 admits. The population at release was about 130 million. That's 1.53 viewings per person. Titanic had 130,000,000 admits. The population at release was 275 million. That's .47 viewings per person.

This is inflation-neutral.

I'd imagine the worldwide numbers show a bit of a better showing for Titanic versus Gone with the Wind, but still behind. I doubt there is any way to determine for certain.


I like your math.,......
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24816326412825651210242048,etc.........

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Sun Jul 23, 2006 3:45 am
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Shack wrote:
I still think Star Wars will take the title back, in the next couple years. It made 140 mil in 97, it just needs to match that in it's next re-release and Titanic is finished. With Lucas enhancing his movie once again, lots of crazy Star Wars fans out there, and inflation, I think it can be done.


I am pretty sure, Titanic would get rereleased then as well, heh. They won't give up easily. Especially considering that the 100 year anniversary of the ship sinking is just 6 years away...

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Sun Jul 23, 2006 3:46 am
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Let's not ignore the fact that without Titanic, more than just the domestic chart would look different. I think films, release strategies, etc. would all be at least slightly different. The $600 million that Titanic made would have had to have been made up, either on toher films or in the economy, which would also affect other things. It wouldn't have taken up as many screens, affecting the movies for the next six or so months after it's release, which would affect movies after it's release.

I'm not saying we'd be looking at a world with Return of the King as number 1, or anything drastic, but things would definitely have adifferent feel to them.

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