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 X-Men 3 Tracking Thread - $231,802,193 

Will X-Men: The Last Stand break the $250 million barrier?
Yes 37%  37%  [ 7 ]
No 63%  63%  [ 12 ]
Total votes : 19

 X-Men 3 Tracking Thread - $231,802,193 
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revolutions wrote:
DP07 wrote:
revolutions wrote:
Magnus101 wrote:
That's a good number. That means its non-midnight show friday business was 38.6m which is actually higher than ROTS non-midnight show thursday business.


45.5 - 5.9 = 39.6
according to bom numbers.


So, that must be the record opening day without midnights.


probably. did HP4 do any midnight sales?


Yeah, like 10m. ;)


Tue May 30, 2006 12:30 am
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SO WITHOUT MIDNIGHTS IT WENT

39
32
25


ouch


Tue May 30, 2006 12:31 am
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DP07 wrote:
revolutions wrote:
DP07 wrote:
revolutions wrote:
Magnus101 wrote:
That's a good number. That means its non-midnight show friday business was 38.6m which is actually higher than ROTS non-midnight show thursday business.


45.5 - 5.9 = 39.6
according to bom numbers.


So, that must be the record opening day without midnights.


probably. did HP4 do any midnight sales?


Yeah, like 10m. ;)


really :blink: WOW!

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Tue May 30, 2006 12:37 am
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excel wrote:
SO WITHOUT MIDNIGHTS IT WENT

39
32
25


ouch


$7 million drops each day. Not too bad.

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Tue May 30, 2006 12:42 am
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Eventine wrote:
excel wrote:
SO WITHOUT MIDNIGHTS IT WENT

39
32
25


ouch


$7 million drops each day. Not too bad.


At this rate it will be out of theaters on Thursday.


:tongue:


Tue May 30, 2006 12:45 am
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DP07 wrote:
Eventine wrote:
excel wrote:
SO WITHOUT MIDNIGHTS IT WENT

39
32
25


ouch


$7 million drops each day. Not too bad.


At this rate it will be out of theaters on Thursday.


:tongue:


That'd be another record for X-3, then.

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DP07 wrote:
Friday: 38.5m
Sat: 34m
Sun: 30m
Mon: 23m

3-day: 102.5m
4-day: 125.5m

Total: 267m


Congrats!

The days may have been off, but the 3-day and the 4-day predictions were excellent! Great job, David. You're on a roll this year (too bad about Over the Hedge, though).

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X-Men: The Last Stand vs. The Matrix Reloaded vs. Harry Potter and the Prizoner of Azkaban



[table][row]Days[col]X-Men 3[col]% Change[col]Total Gross[col]The Matrix Reloaded[col]% Change[col]Total Gross[col]Harry Potter 3[col]% Change[col]Total Gross[row]Day 1[col]$45,102,265[col]NEW[col]$45,102,265[col]$42,508,303[col]NEW[col]$42,508,303[col]$38,268,295[col]NEW[col]$38,268,295[row]Day 2[col]$31,997,843[col]-29.1%[col]$77,100,108[col]$31,330,393[col]-16.5%[col]$73,838,696[col]$31,493,867[col]-17.7%[col]$69,762,162[row]Day 3[col]$25,650,557[col]-19.8%[col]$102,750,665[col]$34,389,237[col]+9.8%[col]$108,227,933[col]$23,925,205[col]-24%[col]$93,687,367[row]Day 4[col]$20,110,492[col]-21.6%[col]$122,861,157[col]$26,054,783[col]-24.2%[col]$134,282,716[col]$8,428,431[col]-64.8%[col]$102,115,798[/table]

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Wed May 31, 2006 11:19 am
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X-Men: The Last Stand vs. The Matrix Reloaded vs. Harry Potter and the Prizoner of Azkaban Weekends



[table][row]Weekend[col]X-Men 3[col]% Change[col]Total Gross[col]The Matrix Reloaded[col]% Change[col]Total Gross[col]Harry Potter 3[col]% Change[col]Total Gross[row]Weekend #1[col]$102,750,665[col]NEW[col]$102,750,665[col]$91,774,413[col]NEW[col]$134,282,716[col]$93,687,367[col]NEW[col]$93,687,367[/table]

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Wed May 31, 2006 11:24 am
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Dr. Lecter wrote:
DP07 wrote:
Friday: 38.5m
Sat: 34m
Sun: 30m
Mon: 23m

3-day: 102.5m
4-day: 125.5m

Total: 267m


Congrats!

The days may have been off, but the 3-day and the 4-day predictions were excellent! Great job, David. You're on a roll this year (too bad about Over the Hedge, though).


Thanks. The same thing to hurt OTH will destroy Cars. :tongue:


Wed May 31, 2006 4:55 pm
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X-Men: The Last Stand vs. The Matrix Reloaded vs. Harry Potter and the Prizoner of Azkaban



[table][row]Days[col]X-Men 3[col]% Change[col]Total Gross[col]The Matrix Reloaded[col]% Change[col]Total Gross[col]Harry Potter 3[col]% Change[col]Total Gross[row]Day 1[col]$45,102,265[col]NEW[col]$45,102,265[col]$42,508,303[col]NEW[col]$42,508,303[col]$38,268,295[col]NEW[col]$38,268,295[row]Day 2[col]$31,997,843[col]-29.1%[col]$77,100,108[col]$31,330,393[col]-16.5%[col]$73,838,696[col]$31,493,867[col]-17.7%[col]$69,762,162[row]Day 3[col]$25,650,557[col]-19.8%[col]$102,750,665[col]$34,389,237[col]+9.8%[col]$108,227,933[col]$23,925,205[col]-24%[col]$93,687,367[row]Day 4[col]$20,110,492[col]-21.6%[col]$122,861,157[col]$26,054,783[col]-24.2%[col]$134,282,716[col]$8,428,431[col]-64.8%[col]$102,115,798[row]Day 5[col]$7,289,543[col]-63.8%[col]$130,150,700[col]$10,108,350[col]-61.2%[col]$144,391,066[col]$7,247,296[col]-14%[col]$109,363,094[/table]


Well, the daily tracking is almost on par with Harry Potter 3 now, though it is still ahead of it by over $20 million in terms of total gross.

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Wed May 31, 2006 5:06 pm
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Grosses after 5 Days:


Star Wars: Episode III - Revenge of the Sith - $172,802,507
Spider-Man 2 - $152,411,751
The Matrix Reloaded - $144,391,066
Spider-Man - $135,840,755
X-Men: The Last Stand- $130,150,700
Star Wars: Episode II - Attack of the Clones - $120,829,572
Harry Potter and the Goblet of Fire - $119,743,524
Harry Potter and the Prizoner of Azkaban - $109,363,094
Harry potter and the Sorcerer's Stone - $104,590,892
X2: X-Men United - $98,146,251
Bruce Almighty - $90,871,470


Not too bad...at all.

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Wed May 31, 2006 5:13 pm
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Will X3 reach $250 million?


I added a poll to this one.

Do you think the film can outgross Harry potter 3 and thus pass the $250 million mark?

I say "yes", pegging its final gross at around $255-260 million.

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Wed May 31, 2006 5:15 pm
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it following my perdiction.

It looks to get 20 million over these three weekdays. It heading to an 38-42 million weekend.

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Wed May 31, 2006 5:19 pm
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I give it 235m-240m.


Wed May 31, 2006 5:27 pm
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If there was any question, I voted no.

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Wed May 31, 2006 5:35 pm
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It'll sit at around $180-183 million after the weekend. At the rate it's falling, I doubt it'll pass $250 million. I see around $240-245 million, as I originally predicted. I just imagined better legs before Friday.


Wed May 31, 2006 5:40 pm
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It would probably sit at 240 at its rate. Unless 2006 is a new bar for how multipliers are set the same year 2003 was for most summer movies which coeincidently started with X-men also


Wed May 31, 2006 5:57 pm
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X-Men: The Last Stand vs. The Matrix Reloaded vs. Harry Potter and the Prisoner of Azkaban



[table][row]Days[col]X-Men 3[col]% Change[col]Total Gross[col]The Matrix Reloaded[col]% Change[col]Total Gross[col]Harry Potter 3[col]% Change[col]Total Gross[row]Day 1[col]$45,102,265[col]NEW[col]$45,102,265[col]$42,508,303[col]NEW[col]$42,508,303[col]$38,268,295[col]NEW[col]$38,268,295[row]Day 2[col]$31,997,843[col]-29.1%[col]$77,100,108[col]$31,330,393[col]-16.5%[col]$73,838,696[col]$31,493,867[col]-17.7%[col]$69,762,162[row]Day 3[col]$25,650,557[col]-19.8%[col]$102,750,665[col]$34,389,237[col]+9.8%[col]$108,227,933[col]$23,925,205[col]-24%[col]$93,687,367[row]Day 4[col]$20,110,492[col]-21.6%[col]$122,861,157[col]$26,054,783[col]-24.2%[col]$134,282,716[col]$8,428,431[col]-64.8%[col]$102,115,798[row]Day 5[col]$7,289,543[col]-63.8%[col]$130,150,700[col]$10,108,350[col]-61.2%[col]$144,391,066[col]$7,247,296[col]-14%[col]$109,363,094[row]Day 6[col]$5,805,109[col]-20.4%[col]$135,955,809[col]$7,528,447[col]-25.5%[col]$151,919,513[col]$6,878,482[col]-5.1%[col]$116,241,576[/table]

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Thu Jun 01, 2006 5:22 pm
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X-Men: The Last Stand vs. The Matrix Reloaded vs. Harry Potter and the Prisoner of Azkaban



[table][row]Days[col]X-Men 3[col]% Change[col]Total Gross[col]The Matrix Reloaded[col]% Change[col]Total Gross[col]Harry Potter 3[col]% Change[col]Total Gross[row]Day 1[col]$45,102,265[col]NEW[col]$45,102,265[col]$42,508,303[col]NEW[col]$42,508,303[col]$38,268,295[col]NEW[col]$38,268,295[row]Day 2[col]$31,997,843[col]-29.1%[col]$77,100,108[col]$31,330,393[col]-16.5%[col]$73,838,696[col]$31,493,867[col]-17.7%[col]$69,762,162[row]Day 3[col]$25,650,557[col]-19.8%[col]$102,750,665[col]$34,389,237[col]+9.8%[col]$108,227,933[col]$23,925,205[col]-24%[col]$93,687,367[row]Day 4[col]$20,110,492[col]-21.6%[col]$122,861,157[col]$26,054,783[col]-24.2%[col]$134,282,716[col]$8,428,431[col]-64.8%[col]$102,115,798[row]Day 5[col]$7,289,543[col]-63.8%[col]$130,150,700[col]$10,108,350[col]-61.2%[col]$144,391,066[col]$7,247,296[col]-14%[col]$109,363,094[row]Day 6[col]$5,805,109[col]-20.4%[col]$135,955,809[col]$7,528,447[col]-25.5%[col]$151,919,513[col]$6,878,482[col]-5.1%[col]$116,241,576[row]Day 7[col]$5,375,353[col]-7.4%[col]$141,331,162[col]$6,323,052[col]-16%[col]$158,242,565[col]$6,823,073[col]-0.8%[col]$123,064,649[row]Day 8[col]$10,309,481[col]+91.8%[col]$151,640,643[col]$5,627,160[col]-11%[col]$163,869,725[col]$11,340,416[col]+66.2%[col]$134,405,065[row]Day 9[col]$14,328,792[col]+39%[col]$165,969,435[col]$10,328,193[col]+83.5%[col]$174,197,918[col]$13,541,888[col]+19.4%[col]$147,946,953[row]Day 10[col]$9,378,974[col]-34.5%[col]$175,348,409[col]$14,447,596[col]+39.9%[col]$188,645,514[col]$10,028,089[col]-25.9%[col]$157,975,042[row]Day 11[col]$2,932,897[col]-68.7%[col]$178,281,306[col]$12,128,245[col]-16.1%[col]$200,773,759[col]$3,988,420[col]-60.2%[col]$161,963,462[row]Day 12[col]$3,025,777[col]+3.2%[col]$181,307,083[col]$8,708,118[col]-28.2%[col]$209,481,877[col]$3,742,468[col]-6.2%[col]$165,705,930[row]Day 13[col]$2,471,902[col]-18.3%[col]$183,778,985[col]$2,789,232[col]-68%[col]$212,271,109[col]$3,623,498[col]-3.2%[col]$169,329,428[row]Day 14[col]$2,387,089[col]-3.4%[col]$186,166,074[col]$2,435,292[col]-12.7%[col]$214,706,401[col]$3,568,359[col]-1.5%[col]$172,897,787[row]Day 15[col]$4,962,358[col]+107.9%[col]$191,128,432[col]$2,307,404[col]-5.3%[col]$217,013,805[col]$5,301,202[col]+48.6%[col]$178,198,989[row]Day 16[col]$6,699,418[col]+35%[col]$197,827,850[col]$4,320,368[col]+87.2%[col]$221,334,173[col]$7,109,213[col]+31.4%%[col]$185,308,202[row]Day 17[col]$4,416,802[col]-34.1%[col]$202,244,652[col]$6,912,557[col]+60%[col]$228,246,730[col]$5,617,051[col]-21%[col]$190,925,253[row]Day 18[col]$1,668,518[col]-62.2%[col]$203,913,170[col]$4,454,316[col]-35.6%[col]$232,701,046[col]$2,365,255[col]-57.9%[col]$193,290,508[/table]


Harry Potter ans the Prisoner of Azkaban slowly, but surely is crawling to X3 and going to pass it eventually. Still, a superb run!

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Tue Jun 13, 2006 11:37 pm
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Grosses after 18 Days:


Star Wars: Episode III - Revenge of the Sith - $307,892,961
Spider-Man 2 - $294,579,826
Spider-Man - $289,882,492
The Matrix Reloaded - $232,701,046
Star Wars: Episode II - Attack of the Clones - $232,324,769
Harry Potter and the Goblet of Fire - $230,406,014
Harry Potter and the Sorcerer's Stone - $220,931,289
X-Men: The Last Stand- $203,913,170
Harry Potter and the Prisoner of Azkaban - $193,290,508
X2: X-Men United - $175,534,022
Bruce Almighty - $173,405,220


WOW at ROTS and both Spidey flicks.

Unbelievable, how fast X3 got behind...Bruce Almighty will eventually pass it too.

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Tue Jun 13, 2006 11:45 pm
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So can we safely call this the most frontloaded movie of all time? 230 mil is still an excellent gross, but damn did it ever fall hard.

Harry Potter and the Order of The Phoenix should have a similar situation next year, except even more extreme IMO. That movie is going to die soooooo quickly. X3 and it should have a nice comparison run, probably charted in a similar chart fashion by Lecter once again.

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Tue Jun 13, 2006 11:46 pm
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230ish.


Tue Jun 13, 2006 11:56 pm
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Well considering what the other 2 made, this really is damn good for as much fanboy shi* that was whipped upon Brett Ratner and how this movie would fail without Singer and you know what?? Looks like Ratner proved many of folks wrong.. X3 will end up with more than what SR will get.. That much I am certain of..


Wed Jun 14, 2006 12:16 am
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Dr. Lecter wrote:
Grosses after 18 Days:

Star Wars: Episode III - Revenge of the Sith - $307,892,961
Spider-Man 2 - $294,579,826
Spider-Man - $289,882,492
The Matrix Reloaded - $232,701,046
Star Wars: Episode II - Attack of the Clones - $232,324,769
Harry Potter and the Goblet of Fire - $230,406,014
Harry Potter and the Sorcerer's Stone - $220,931,289
X-Men: The Last Stand- $203,913,170
Harry Potter and the Prisoner of Azkaban - $193,290,508
X2: X-Men United - $175,534,022
Bruce Almighty - $173,405,220


WOW at ROTS and both Spidey flicks.

Unbelievable, how fast X3 got behind...Bruce Almighty will eventually pass it too.


DOMESTIC - Day 18

X3 tracking better than X2 during mid-week (understandable since we're in the middle of Summer), but X2 makes up for it with better weekend grosses. All in all, X3 is looking at $240-$250m if it stays with X2 from here on out...not bad, bring on on X4: Cries of an Angel :biggrin:

1) Star Wars 3: ROTS - $307,892,961 (Sun - $7,555,982)
2) Shrek 2 - $302,608,864 (Sat - $15,563,658)
3) Spiderman 2 - $294,579,826 (Sat - $9,941,993)
4) Spiderman - $289,882,492 (Mon - $4,308,824)
5) Lord Of The Rings: ROTK - $283,395,934 (Sat - $10,563,221)
6) Lord Of The Rings: TTT - $254,290,037 (Sat - $10,699,493)
7) The Passion Of The Christ - $253,792,087 (Sat - $13,452,908)
8) Star Wars 1: PM - $245,134,578 (Sat - $13,854,324)
9) The Matrix: Reloaded - $232,701,046 (Sun - $4,454,316)
10) Star Wars 2: AOTC - $232,324,769 (Sun - $6,488,254)

11) Harry Potter 4: GOF - $230,406,014 (Mon - $1,139,298)
12) Harry Potter 1: SS - $220,931,000 (Mon - $1,261,000)
13) X-Men 3: The Last Stand - $203,913,170 (Mon - $1,668,518)
14) Harry Potter 2: COS - $201,207,172 (Mon - $1,048,160)
15) Lord Of The Rings: FOTR - $199,400,725 (Sat - $10,114,063)
16) Meet The Fockers - $197,578,935 (Sat - $12,944,090)
17) Finding Nemo - $195,066,147 (Mon - $3,578,936)
18) Harry Potter 3: POA - $193,290,508 (Mon - $2,365,255)
19) Independence Day - $192,848,503 (Sat - $8,871,485)
20) War Of The Worlds - $187,826,223 (Sat - $6,234,094)

The Incredibles - $179,257,620 (Mon - $1,702,135)
X-Men 2: X-Men United - $175,534,022 (Mon - $1,361,997)
Jurassic Park 1 - $175,129,415 (Mon - $4,030,950)
The Da Vinci Code - $173,644,652 (Mon - $1,678,501)
Bruce Almighty - $173,405,220 (Mon - $1,969,695)

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