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 What does POTC 2's Opening Mean For The Film Industry? 
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Quote:
Warner Bros. It's still too early to call Superman Returns ($108.1 mil) sluggish, but with a production and marketing outlay of more than $300 mil, it's a safe bet that the movie needs to earn some $600 mil worldwide to break even (don't forget that studios usually have to split a movie's theatrical take with exhibitors 50-50). So execs at the studio (which is also a part of EW.com's parent company, Time Warner) should be sweating. Regardless, the weather in Burbank hasn't been sunny. The well-reviewed V for Vendetta ($70.5 mil) underperformed, as have Firewall ($48.7 mil), The Lake House ($41.3 mil), 16 Blocks ($31.8 mil), and, most of all, Poseidon, which has sunk with $59.1 mil domestically (and only around $100 mil abroad) on costs in excess of $200 mil. It'll take a while for the studio to catch its breath after having released the year's highest-profile disappointment


http://www.ew.com/ew/report/0,6115,1210545_1_0_,00.html

I also read another article, not sure if it was EW, Variety, etc. (unfortunately I can't locate it) that stated if SR didn't pull a profit from its theaterical run, it would put a serious crimp on many Warner projects. Batman Begins didn't turn a profit until it went to DVD. Warners' has sunk a over a half billion dollars to get two franchises running and don't have much to show for them at this point. Compounding it is the fact they have had almost no luck with their movies since HP4. I think the next Batman will do great and should make a good profit, but I am not so sure Superman can continue. However, even Batman will be a problem, because the first one cost over $200m to market (sequels always cost more) and after SR disappointing run, studios get skittish on "sure things" when they cost that much to get to market.

Don't forget studios use their profits to fund projects that never go into production, projects that go into production but never get finished, other movies that go straight to video or never get released, and upgrading their company. I may be overstating the impact of SR box office on Warner Bros., but I don't think many of us understand its impact could be much more than just one non-profitable movie.

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Sat Jul 08, 2006 11:33 pm
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revolutions wrote:
RAWSAW wrote:
It should send a message to skip the mid week opening and stick with Fridays....


i hope so :mad: i hate wednesday & thursday openings.



Nothing wrong with opening on Wednesday and Thursday, it's just that you won't claim that Opening Weekend record and not make opening record headlines.

Still, to each his own, Reloaded/ROTK/Passion/Shrek2/SM2/ROTS show that you could still open huge by spreading your gross through 5-Days.

In fact, even if POTC2 grosses $135m opening Weekend it will still be behind ROTS ($173m), Spiderman 2 ($152m), Reloaded ($134m) heading into the mid-weeks...

So at the end of the day, it's the final number that really matters. :hahaha:

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Sat Jul 08, 2006 11:40 pm
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$145M weekend and $30M on Monday and Tuesday = $175M in 5 days.

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Sat Jul 08, 2006 11:43 pm
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WhatdoesPOTC2'sOpeningMeanForTheFilmIndustry?

It'sALLLIIIIIVEE!

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Sun Jul 09, 2006 1:42 am
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gardenia.11/14.... wrote:
Make-up > plot......

lol!!!


Sun Jul 09, 2006 1:53 am
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Cream of the Crop

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for me, potc's opening means that indiana jones 4 will have a 60m+ opening day. its also a sad testimony to the lamentable taste of the mass audience.


Sun Jul 09, 2006 7:33 am
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Joseba B-Loki wrote:
for me, potc's opening means that indiana jones 4 will have a 60m+ opening day. its also a sad testimony to the lamentable taste of the mass audience.

I know i will be blasted for saying this by some but to me Indiana Jones and Pirates is about the same quality. Dumb fun.

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Sun Jul 09, 2006 8:04 am
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its no use blasting a person that is obviously crazy :tongue:


Sun Jul 09, 2006 8:14 am
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~~~Archangel~~~ wrote:

So at the end of the day, it's the final number that really matters. :hahaha:


Exactly! Lets wait and see where it ends up!

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Sun Jul 09, 2006 8:53 am
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~~~Archangel~~~ wrote:

So at the end of the day, it's the final number that really matters. :hahaha:


Exactly! Lets wait and see where it ends up!

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Sun Jul 09, 2006 8:53 am
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Joseba B-Loki wrote:
for me, potc's opening means that indiana jones 4 will have a 60m+ opening day. its also a sad testimony to the lamentable taste of the mass audience.


Stop being delusional, it won't have a $60 million opening day.

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Sun Jul 09, 2006 9:32 am
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Dr. Lecter wrote:
Joseba B-Loki wrote:
for me, potc's opening means that indiana jones 4 will have a 60m+ opening day. its also a sad testimony to the lamentable taste of the mass audience.


Stop being delusional, it won't have a $60 million opening day.

$60m doesn't seem oout of the question to me -- certainly not delusional...


Sun Jul 09, 2006 10:01 am
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I definitely think an Indiana Jones 4 movie could do $30 m opening day, but not sure about how much higher. If the marketing at Paramount, markets and primes it to be similar to a Phantom Menace like event, than we could really see huge numbers out of it. Films like The Mummy were filling the Indy void, but marketed well, the 4th movie could do really well.


Sun Jul 09, 2006 10:10 am
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So the new buzz word is "adventure"!?

Indiana Jones, Lord of the Rings, The Mummy, Pirates of the Carribean - seems like more than anything audienced are craving period (no modern day) adventure films.

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Sun Jul 09, 2006 10:28 am
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I think "lighthearted" and "comedy" are the new buzz words. With Shrek 2, Meet the Fuckers (:p), and now PotC2............ crazy.

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Sun Jul 09, 2006 10:31 am
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I use the term myself, "comfort sequel." Movies like POTC 2, Shrek 2, Rush Hour 2, Mummy 2, Toy Story 2, etc.


Sun Jul 09, 2006 10:38 am
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Joseba B-Loki wrote:
its no use blasting a person that is obviously crazy :tongue:

You're too much caught up in nostalgia... :tongue:

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Sun Jul 09, 2006 10:47 am
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choubachou wrote:
I think "lighthearted" and "comedy" are the new buzz words.

Yes, unfortunately... :sad:

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Sun Jul 09, 2006 10:48 am
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Joseba B-Loki wrote:
for me, potc's opening means that indiana jones 4 will have a 60m+ opening day. its also a sad testimony to the lamentable taste of the mass audience.


Indy 4 will be lucky to have a $60M opening weekend. Like T3, Batman, and Superman, no-one cares about it anymore.

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Sun Jul 09, 2006 11:02 am
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choubachou wrote:
I think "lighthearted" and "comedy" are the new buzz words. With Shrek 2, Meet the Fuckers (:p), and now PotC2............ crazy.


So maybe we can say the new buzz word is "Lighthearted adventure" ;)

O wrote:
I use the term myself, "comfort sequel." Movies like POTC 2, Shrek 2, Rush Hour 2, Mummy 2, Toy Story 2, etc.


Hopefully comfort sequel will extend to 3rd films in a series as next summer we have - Spidey 3, Shrek 3, POTC 3, Bourne 3, Rush Hour 3, Ocean's 3.... :smile:

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Sun Jul 09, 2006 11:04 am
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choubachou wrote:
Joseba B-Loki wrote:
for me, potc's opening means that indiana jones 4 will have a 60m+ opening day. its also a sad testimony to the lamentable taste of the mass audience.


Indy 4 will be lucky to have a $60M opening weekend. Like T3, Batman, and Superman, no-one cares about it anymore.


really? must be an american thing then, because here in austria and germany the indiana jones franchise is at least on par with star wars, harry potter and lotr in terms of popularity. its perhaps the most beloved of all franchises here, everyone loves indy.


Sun Jul 09, 2006 11:06 am
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people care about excitement, thrills, adventure, action and what not.

but above all, they care about having fun.


Sun Jul 09, 2006 12:38 pm
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