Very clever. Wrong, but clever.

I already gave you my explaination. Incredible WOM came from part of the audience, but a strong minority didn't like it.

I see it being over 245m after 7 days and 300m after 10. It might reach 400m in 20 days.

There is no way it reaches 400 mill. I see the absolute max as 350.

400m+ in 18 days

Uh, so from day 24 to 32 it will have to avg. 6.25 mill per day.

your in need of the 588m prediction

Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man's Chest

Opening Day: 58.03m
2nd Day: 54.90m -5%
Opening Wknd: 154.98m - Fri: 58.03m / Sat: 54.90m -5% / Sun: 42.05m -24%
4-Day: 175.12m - Mon: 20.14m -52%
5-Day: 193.12m - Tue: 18.00m -10%
6-Day: 208.18m - Wed: 15.06m -16%
Opening Wk: 220.98m - Thur: 12.80m -15%
2nd Wknd: 80.24m -48.5% - Fri: 24.00m +86% / Sat: 32.16m +34% / Sun: 24.08m -25%
11-Day: 313.16m - Mon: 12.04m -50%
12-Day: 324.58m - Tue: 11.42m -5%
13-Day: 335.43m - Wed: 10.85m -5%
2nd Wk: 345.61m - Thur: 10.18m -6%
3rd Wknd: 50.86m -36% - Fri: 14.76m +45% / Sat: 20.10m +36% / Sun: 16.00m -20%
Wk-1: 220.98m - Wknd: 154.98m | Total: 220.98m
Wk-2: 124.63m - Wknd: 80.24m | Total: 345.61m
Wk-3: 80.06m - Wknd: 50.86m | Total: 425.67m
Wk-4: 50.54m - Wknd: 30.52m | Total: 476.21m
Wk-5: 34.20m - Wknd: 20.12m | Total: 510.34m
Wk-6: 22.60m - Wknd: 14.06m | Total: 532.81m
Wk-7: 16.12m - Wknd: 10.12m | Total: 548.93m
Wk-8: 12.18m - Wknd: 8.10m | Total: 561.11m
Wk-9: 12.15m - Wknd: 8.15m - 4-Day-Wknd: 10.65m | Total: 573.26m
Wk-10: 5.62m - Wknd: 4.45m | Total: 578.88m
Wk-11: 3.38m - Wknd: 2.64m | Total: 582.26m
Wk-12: 2.00m - Wknd: 1.58m | Total: 584.26m
Wk-13: 1.26m - Wknd: .98m | Total: 585.52m
Wk-14: .74m - Wknd: .56m | Total: 586.26m
Wk-15: .40m - Wknd: .32m | Total: 586.66m
Wk-16: .62m - Wknd: .45m | Total: 587.28m
Wk-17: .48m - Wknd: .40m | Total: 587.76m
Wk-18: .26m - Wknd: .22m | Total: 588.02m
Wk-19: .16m - Wknd: .12m | Total: 588.18m
Wk-20: .12m - Wknd: .08m | Total: 588.30m
Money Made After Wk-20: ~.5m
Estimated Wks in theaters: 24
Days to 50m: 1-Days - 58.03m
Days to 100m: 2-Days - 102.93m
Days to 150m: 3-Days - 154.98m
Days to 200m: 6-Days - 208.18m
Days to 250m: 9-Days - 277.14m
Days to 300m: 10-Days - 301.22m
Days to 350m: 15-Days - 360.37m
Days to 400m: 18-Days - 404.12m
Days to 450m: 24-Days - 456.19m
Days to 500m: 32-Days - 500.04m
Days to 550m: 50-Days - 551.21m
Domestic Total: 588m
International Total: 612m
World Wide Total: 1,200b

Multiplyer: 3.80

I have the absolute max at 340

810m

You should make T-Shirts with that prediction on them.

LMAO

From the very beginning I have predicted:

Sight unseen, start with a default BO battle with TTT.
If WOM is bad, BO battle with FotR.
If WOM is great, BO battle with RotK.

Based on the RT reviews, I can't join this club. It's not into RotK territory for sure, but WOM won't be terrible so it's more than FotR. I'd guess about $325M - $330M at this point, with frontload OW of about $120. That's respectable for a sequel, especially if it's a sequel to a movie where the WOM generated almost entirely from the shock and awe of the new character on the block. Sparrow ain't new anymore.

I don't know if some of the 400-500 predictions are jokes, but they should be. Let me tell you this:

Return of the King did 380, you think Pirates will beat it? Good luck.

Yes, I do. Spiderman beat ROTK, and so did Shrek 2. Spidey's fanbase is far less religious about their franchise, and Shrek's fanbase is hardly religious at all. Mobilizing the common people results in a bigger gross than a colossal pilgrimage of dorks like us. Democracy: one man, one vote, and nobody cares if LOTR fans love their movies more.

If we are using examples to justify our feelings, then I have a few as well.

Empire Strikes Back
Back To The Future
Beverly Hills Cop
Jaws 2
Temple of Doom
Superman 2
Gremlins 2
MIBII
Jurassic Park.

There are more films that were huge that had declining sequels than not. I expect this to be just as big, just not much bigger.

136/425

All from more then a decade ago. You guys don't learn.

AoTC
Matrix Revolutions
Harry Potter 2
Harry Potter 3
Excorist the Beginning

1st sequels to unanticipated movies are the only fair comparisions.

Even though im in the under $310 club (with $309) - I agree with DP07 about the examples provided. Pirates was more of a surprise so the recent examples dont cut it. However, one may include Spiderman. Still - it made so much money in that it built up its fanbase during its run and not so much afterwards like Terminator, Austin Powers, The Mummy, Bourne Identity, Rush Hour and X-Men. These were all medium to big hits but capped off below $155m. So Pirates will have definate expansion, but will also lose outbecause repeat viewings are not as high as they used to.

better hurry and join this club before it's too late.

Potc2

$305m

Yes, it's hard to jump on a ship as it's heading to the bottom of the ocean.

Why I thought Jack did that at teh begingin of PoTC!

that's all it'll be doing after this weekend.

Nah, he jumped off a ship as it was heading under water.

PEACE, Mike.