i really dunno...the best multiplier i see is like, a 2.7. after a 140 million ow for 380. im giving it a 2.65 for 140/370.

Thats because you have such a masive opening, if it openers lower near 100 milion it can get a 3.0 multiplier,

I think POTC2's legs will be helped by many people wating to see it until after the crowds have died down, as pretty much everyone knows this is gonna be big. It helped the Star Wars movies and Spider-Man, why not this?

star wars hadgood legs? what? had it opened on a friday ala pirates 2 it MIGHT have managed a 2.7 multiplier. tops.

Also REMEMBER SUMMER WEEKDAYS WILL BE MASSIVE LIKE FOR SPIDERMAN 2. It can get 35-40 million on its first 4 weekdays alone!! Plus over 20 million from the 2nd week of weekdays.

It can get way over 75 million from weekdays i think.

I was including all three films when I said "the Star Wars movies." Most people credit TPM's good legs to the fact that many people waited to see it until after the crowds died down. By Episode III, it was pretty clear cut those that wanted to see and those who didn't, hence the below-average legs. Same goes for the original Spider-Man and Spider-Man 2.

The range for those interested in this is so wide that not all will go opening weekend. There are those that are large crowd-phobic that will wait until the second or third weekends or the weekdays to see it, when the audience levels will be lower. WOM shouldn't be THAT much of an issue, as people will want to see it simply because its, well Pirates of the Caribbean. And those who enjoy it will most likely return for multiple viewings, as its the kind of movie you rewatch multiple times, unlike ROTS, which to the larger public I think was more obligatory viewing because hey, it was the last Star Wars.

i see pirates being as frontloaded as spidey 2 would been had it opened on a froiday if not more.

(thats realllly frontloaded )

All teens will see this. Teens go in groups of like 5+, and the only other option for teens 2 see is Superman and usually they go with people of the opposite sex, so Pirates would appeal to them way more. Many people around 16-21 will go in the daytime cause its summer and they are out of school. So that will help also. Also the comparison between harry potter and POTC..Harry potter has a huge fanbase, but i think its cause of the books, if you read the books you see the movie, but potc appeals to and is more fun movie to many many people. I know most of my friends see harry potter but dont think its above average, but with a summer flick such as pirates they will have fun as it will have romance, comedy, big stars, action, fantasy and everything. The only demographic group that may not be interested is people above the age of 35. Chaning my prectiction to a little lower.

130/386.

Had it been released on a Friday, I think it would've gone like this:

Friday: $47M
Saturday: $45M
Sunday: $36M
3-day: $128M

Its total probably would've dropped down to about $360M, which would give it a 2.81 multipler. Still, I think that, much like with the Star Wars prequels, those that wanted to see it were much more sure then before. POTC2 won't suffer from this, but POTC3 will.

yeah. 2.81 is da best i think pirates can do, and thats assuming its as amazing of a sequel as spidey 2 was.

yeah. 2.81 is da best i think pirates can do, and thats assuming its as amazing of a sequel as spidey 2 was.

I didn browse through all the arguments about how Pirates will make and SR drops in this thread but has tracking numbers for MTC been posted yet?

they came out usally around this time, last i remember it was at 111 million.

Jesus freakin' christ. I can't believe MTC went that high.

BY GOD!!!!

Pirates- 107.5
Supes- 23.6 (55% drop)

whats the link, i am wnat to know more about that site

Good god almighty. That huge.

i am not used to such large numbers

It's hard to really gauge these movies at this point since the PotC hype machine is taking away alot from them, next week will probably get more of an idea where they're gonna be. Though they might not be far off i'd say.

Reel Source is the only one the public can access (for a subscription fee)

http://www.reelsource.com

Pirates- 120 million
superman returns - 22 million

What is MTC?

i think its a website that tracks how much a movie is going to make.

ok, and usually sites like that under predict so that they are not way off, you know what i mean...Stay safe..So that means over 120 million for sure.