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Joker's Thug #3
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 2:36 am
Posts: 11130
Location: Waiting for the Dark Knight to kick my ass
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excel wrote: thats it? wouldnt that be like.....20? What? _________________ "People always want to tear you down when you're on top, like Napoleon back in the Roman Empire" - Dirk Diggler
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| Thu Jun 29, 2006 2:52 am |
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Excel
Superfreak
Joined: Sat Aug 20, 2005 12:54 am
Posts: 22182
Location: Places
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yeah, well have to see.
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| Thu Jun 29, 2006 2:53 am |
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Excel
Superfreak
Joined: Sat Aug 20, 2005 12:54 am
Posts: 22182
Location: Places
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Killuminati510 wrote: excel wrote: thats it? wouldnt that be like.....20? What? theres like 20 movies that preformed like superman...the answer you gave was vague lol. theres probably more clogging; lets get that drano working!
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| Thu Jun 29, 2006 2:59 am |
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xiayun
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:41 pm
Posts: 25109
Location: San Mateo, CA
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As it has been pointed out, such a high percentage of written reviews could indicate a fanboy effect and thus lead to a high ratio, although we don't have data to back that up.
_________________Recent watched movies: American Hustle - B+ Inside Llewyn Davis - B Before Midnight - A 12 Years a Slave - A- The Hunger Games: Catching Fire - A- My thoughts on box office
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| Thu Jun 29, 2006 3:12 am |
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Joker's Thug #3
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 2:36 am
Posts: 11130
Location: Waiting for the Dark Knight to kick my ass
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excel wrote: Killuminati510 wrote: excel wrote: thats it? wouldnt that be like.....20? What? theres like 20 movies that preformed like superman...the answer you gave was vague lol. theres probably more clogging; lets get that drano working! Oh, well we were using Last Stand, BB, and WotW. Which were all around 150-180. _________________"People always want to tear you down when you're on top, like Napoleon back in the Roman Empire" - Dirk Diggler
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| Thu Jun 29, 2006 3:14 am |
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xiayun
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:41 pm
Posts: 25109
Location: San Mateo, CA
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I was going to list King Kong in the beginning, but didn't think the situation really matches up.
_________________Recent watched movies: American Hustle - B+ Inside Llewyn Davis - B Before Midnight - A 12 Years a Slave - A- The Hunger Games: Catching Fire - A- My thoughts on box office
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| Thu Jun 29, 2006 3:18 am |
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Joker's Thug #3
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 2:36 am
Posts: 11130
Location: Waiting for the Dark Knight to kick my ass
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Thats around a 3 to 1 ratio with written reviews to reviews. You know what the average usually is?
_________________"People always want to tear you down when you're on top, like Napoleon back in the Roman Empire" - Dirk Diggler
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| Thu Jun 29, 2006 3:20 am |
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Eventine
Too Brilliant for Introductions
Joined: Sat Nov 05, 2005 12:45 am
Posts: 3073
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Projection time!  _________________
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| Thu Jun 29, 2006 3:31 am |
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zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm
Posts: 36662
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I'll stick with $23-24 million.
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| Thu Jun 29, 2006 3:33 am |
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trixster
loyalfromlondon
Joined: Wed Oct 13, 2004 6:31 pm
Posts: 19697
Location: ville-marie
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My first ever projection using Yahoo:
I'll say $22.9 million.
_________________Magic Mike wrote: zwackerm wrote: If John Wick 2 even makes 30 million I will eat 1,000 shoes. Same. Algren wrote: I don't think. I predict. 
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| Thu Jun 29, 2006 3:36 am |
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Joker's Thug #3
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 2:36 am
Posts: 11130
Location: Waiting for the Dark Knight to kick my ass
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Well im gonna have to give it a ratio of 195, given the huge amount of written reviews to reviews and the crowd reports. Which would give it around 23.9m, I do think this is close to the high end though.
_________________"People always want to tear you down when you're on top, like Napoleon back in the Roman Empire" - Dirk Diggler
Last edited by Joker's Thug #3 on Thu Jun 29, 2006 4:21 am, edited 3 times in total.
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| Thu Jun 29, 2006 3:40 am |
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Excel
Superfreak
Joined: Sat Aug 20, 2005 12:54 am
Posts: 22182
Location: Places
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wheres the final update
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| Thu Jun 29, 2006 3:41 am |
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neo_wolf
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Oct 17, 2004 10:19 pm
Posts: 11029
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| Thu Jun 29, 2006 3:41 am |
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trixster
loyalfromlondon
Joined: Wed Oct 13, 2004 6:31 pm
Posts: 19697
Location: ville-marie
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I honestly can't see this doing over $25 million.
_________________Magic Mike wrote: zwackerm wrote: If John Wick 2 even makes 30 million I will eat 1,000 shoes. Same. Algren wrote: I don't think. I predict.
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| Thu Jun 29, 2006 3:42 am |
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Joker's Thug #3
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 2:36 am
Posts: 11130
Location: Waiting for the Dark Knight to kick my ass
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OMEN IS AT IT AGAIN!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
_________________"People always want to tear you down when you're on top, like Napoleon back in the Roman Empire" - Dirk Diggler
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| Thu Jun 29, 2006 3:42 am |
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xiayun
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:41 pm
Posts: 25109
Location: San Mateo, CA
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Final projection: $23.2m.
_________________Recent watched movies: American Hustle - B+ Inside Llewyn Davis - B Before Midnight - A 12 Years a Slave - A- The Hunger Games: Catching Fire - A- My thoughts on box office
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| Thu Jun 29, 2006 3:45 am |
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neo_wolf
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Oct 17, 2004 10:19 pm
Posts: 11029
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I say a 190 ratio= 24.5(with previews)
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| Thu Jun 29, 2006 3:46 am |
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Excel
Superfreak
Joined: Sat Aug 20, 2005 12:54 am
Posts: 22182
Location: Places
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xiayun wrote: excel wrote: 4000 is like 25 million...right? Yeah, about. yeah um...what happened to this? what are peoples predictions based on the ahoo reviews. dont include the theater reports.
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| Thu Jun 29, 2006 3:47 am |
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Eventine
Too Brilliant for Introductions
Joined: Sat Nov 05, 2005 12:45 am
Posts: 3073
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Ha. Excel won't give up without putting a fight. _________________
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| Thu Jun 29, 2006 3:48 am |
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neo_wolf
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Oct 17, 2004 10:19 pm
Posts: 11029
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excel wrote: xiayun wrote: excel wrote: 4000 is like 25 million...right? Yeah, about. yeah um...what happened to this? what are peoples predictions based on the ahoo reviews. dont include the theater reports. It does not look like it will make over 25mill according to crowd reports, now if we didnt have CR then it would look like a 30mill gross according to yahoo, funny huh?
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| Thu Jun 29, 2006 3:49 am |
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Excel
Superfreak
Joined: Sat Aug 20, 2005 12:54 am
Posts: 22182
Location: Places
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ChipMunky wrote: ChipMunky wrote: ChipMunky wrote: I'm thinking this...
[s]Minimum: 2400 reviews, $15 mil opening day[/s]
[s]Median[/s] Minimum: 3200 reviews, $20 mil opening day
[s]Maximum[/s] Median: 4000 reviews, $25 mil opening day
Maximum: 4800 reviews, $30 mil opening day
[s]In fact... I think the median is really the minimum...[/s] Fixed MWAHAHAHAHAHA!!! and this???
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| Thu Jun 29, 2006 3:49 am |
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zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm
Posts: 36662
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excel wrote: xiayun wrote: excel wrote: 4000 is like 25 million...right? Yeah, about. yeah um...what happened to this? what are peoples predictions based on the ahoo reviews. dont include the theater reports. ...it doesn't work like that. In order to make a proper prediction, you need to take all factors into consideration.
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| Thu Jun 29, 2006 3:49 am |
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Excel
Superfreak
Joined: Sat Aug 20, 2005 12:54 am
Posts: 22182
Location: Places
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oh. i see. ill keep my 22.5 prediction then if everybody else is going low despite lots of reviews.
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| Thu Jun 29, 2006 3:50 am |
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xiayun
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:41 pm
Posts: 25109
Location: San Mateo, CA
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excel wrote: xiayun wrote: excel wrote: 4000 is like 25 million...right? Yeah, about. yeah um...what happened to this? what are peoples predictions based on the ahoo reviews. dont include the theater reports. My initial ratio prediction was 170, but with the unusual amount of written reviews, I'm increasing it to 200. Since we haven't been consistently tracking the relationship between written reviews and ratios, I can't say there is definitely correlation, but it feels plausible. _________________Recent watched movies: American Hustle - B+ Inside Llewyn Davis - B Before Midnight - A 12 Years a Slave - A- The Hunger Games: Catching Fire - A- My thoughts on box office
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| Thu Jun 29, 2006 3:51 am |
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neo_wolf
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Oct 17, 2004 10:19 pm
Posts: 11029
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I do remember last year when BB and kong came out most were reporting sellouts and what not and were expecting 20mill easy and using yahoo it showed otherwise, i still wont forget the shock and funny excuses when the actual numbers came out.
King kong was sold out! its gonna make 20mill easy!
Actual:9.8
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| Thu Jun 29, 2006 3:53 am |
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