hehe

Amazingly true.

This has become a non-question now.

Yes even if it drops hard, by the end of the week it will have 165 million in the bank already, a second week gross of something even as low as 30 million would have put it close to 200 million anyhow. AS of right now I cant see SR opening day even matching X-2 or X-3. I would say its opening day will be closer to the Hulk(Note I didnt mention anything about legs or weekend so dont say that Hulk isnt a good comparison)

Well the SR fanatics think SR is gonna get 300m, so this isnt over in their heads.

ehh...itll be a lot closerthen i expected, thats for sure. but in no way is it over.remember, about.....what 14days ago....EVERYBODY had da vinci beating x3, while x3 will beat by near 100 million now.

lots of things can change.

X3 all the way 250 million plus

superman returns low 200's- 205-210 million

It's over (not really) when X3 tops $300m bitches. We all know it won't.

X3 is now a lock for $250M. Superman probably won't reach $200M.

yeah.

right.

even if somehow x3 wins domesticly, superman will win the worldwide take. that is a given.

Game over.

Not that it was in much doubt in the first place.

But how can it be over even if X3 tops $300 million. Are you saying you are conceding your $400 million prediction for SR? You have no faith man

well x3 wonbt top 300 milion and theres a shot it might not get 250 million.

this aint over, no way. 102 million x 2.45 expected multiplier=250 milliom on da dot.

Well if X3 keeps droppping and does not show legs....this competition is not over.
Superman will win

If it manages over 105 million for 5 day, the match will be extremely close to call. The only outstanding item is see if Superman is going to be frontloaded as we have not all movies are exempt from frontloadedness (Breakup,Davinci,IA2,Cars,X-3)

Ill bump my SR up to 230 just this week, I may bump it down next week though depending if it stays strong

I said not really.

WELLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLL.........how are those "x3s a lock for 250" comments working out?

Not bad considering it has 215 Million and only 35 Million more to get since this will be out all Summer.. X3 has now passed X2 I believe Domestically..

x3 will not top 235 million after a 45 million opening day.

Considering it only need 18 million more to top 235, how is it not going to make it after its last week had 7.5 million if you also count the weekday numbers. And if you still think it will continue to ticker down to 50% each week, I wonder how exaggerated Superman Returns multiplier would be when its second week would barely be around 30 million when Pirates opens. Not to mention its weekdays probably wont be as strong since its 2.5 hrs. I had said the same thing about Kong's winter weekdays suffering because of its length, most people doubted me and I was right

thats not what you should judge. judge its week to week drop

It added 28 million 2 wees ago. it added 14 last week.

so assuming it follows the trend itll go 7, 3.5, 1.85, . 9, .45, ect.

totallying right around 230, possibly hitting 235 if its lucky.

the thing with superman though is it loks to have th ebig opening but unlike x3 and da vinci it looks to have good to great word of mouth.

Like Cars dropping close to 45% despite having positive reviews. You cannot judge how good WOM is just by reviews, its like judging how critics really loved King Kong but audience finding it way too long for repeat value

That remains the be seen because notfabio has SR advanced tickets at 25 sold one week before SR opens compared to DVC that had 50 tickets sold one week before it opens. We dont know if RS will change again. Also WOTW made half of its intake in its first week and that had 75% positive reviews, what would be so different about SR especially when it faces POTC2 the following week

I remember how much WOM helped X2. BB was a special case since it's opening was less then spectacular. It wont have great holds no matter what, thats why it needs a great OW. As long as it's no Hulk with audience ( which it obviously wont be ) it'll have okay legs, nothing great nothing bad.

those are all fine examples. but i predict superman to have a good hold. to 40% likebatman but around 50% on the the dot