Yahoo Review Thread - 2010
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DP07
The Thirteenth Floor
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:26 am Posts: 15497 Location: Everywhere
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Bret Ratner is the best wrote: Wow I just came from lunch and the theater here in South Coast Plaza(its near a mall where I work in) was pretty empty, it hasnt been like this since Silent Hill. The times I did check around there was when MI3,X3,Davinci opened, their usually was around 40 or so people outside the parking lot(when Davinci and X3 opened), Silent Hill during that time had maybe 10 people standing outside. Today there was like only 15 or so people. I went back to work after that so there might of been more people but it was a little less than what MI3 had during that time. I think DP07 is almost right that Cars will open to less than 50 million. The yahoo threads dont look encouraging so its destined to make around that much I salute you DP07 once again good call 
Thanks, although it's probably a bit too early. I'm hopeful though.
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Fri Jun 09, 2006 4:52 pm |
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O
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Jul 10, 2005 1:53 pm Posts: 12193
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Cars would have to do at least $14 m imo to do $50 m or more, $17.2 m to do $60 m or more, $20.1 m to do $70 m or more. I used Nemo's ratio. With the 80 multiplier, this would be equal to 1120, 1376, and 1608 reviews respectably. At this point, I just want Cars to outdo Hedge, if the current review count is any indication.
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Fri Jun 09, 2006 5:02 pm |
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DP07
The Thirteenth Floor
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:26 am Posts: 15497 Location: Everywhere
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Cars 457, +29, B+
The Omen 3281, 221 today, +13, C+
A Prairie Home Companion 0 (Not Active)
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Fri Jun 09, 2006 5:11 pm |
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Thegun
On autopilot for the summer
Joined: Thu Oct 21, 2004 10:14 pm Posts: 21857 Location: Walking around somewhere
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I dont think they are overrated, but Cars just didnt look like an event animated film of the year. It just didnt look good in my opinion.
_________________ Chippy wrote: As always, fuck Thegun. Chippy wrote: I want to live vicariously through you, Thegun!
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Fri Jun 09, 2006 6:08 pm |
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zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm Posts: 36662
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Hmm, The Omen isn't looking too hot right now.
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Fri Jun 09, 2006 6:12 pm |
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xiayun
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:41 pm Posts: 25109 Location: San Mateo, CA
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Cars 461, +4, B+
The Omen 3285, 225 today, +4, C+
A Prairie Home Companion 0 (Not Active)
Patience.
_________________Recent watched movies: American Hustle - B+ Inside Llewyn Davis - B Before Midnight - A 12 Years a Slave - A- The Hunger Games: Catching Fire - A- My thoughts on box office
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Fri Jun 09, 2006 6:15 pm |
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El Maskado
Arrrrrrrrrrgggghhhhhhhhhh!
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 8:17 pm Posts: 21572
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Oh well since Cars is going to do well. I might as well say it
Pixar is going down!!!
buhahahahahahahahaha
Lamer caps!
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Fri Jun 09, 2006 6:15 pm |
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xiayun
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:41 pm Posts: 25109 Location: San Mateo, CA
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Cars 617, +156, B+
The Omen 3373, 313 today, +88, C+
A Prairie Home Companion 0 (Not Active)
_________________Recent watched movies: American Hustle - B+ Inside Llewyn Davis - B Before Midnight - A 12 Years a Slave - A- The Hunger Games: Catching Fire - A- My thoughts on box office
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Fri Jun 09, 2006 6:38 pm |
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Jonathan
Begging Naked
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 12:07 pm Posts: 14737 Location: The Present (Duh)
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Cars has almost passed OTH's final total of 648, so its hardly bad. (BTW, OTH was at 275 at this point).
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Fri Jun 09, 2006 6:39 pm |
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mrstupor
Full Fledged Member
Joined: Sat May 07, 2005 8:37 am Posts: 51
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Positive Jon wrote: Cars has almost passed OTH's final total of 648, so its hardly bad. (BTW, OTH was at 275 at this point).
so looks like its heading for 1400 reviews, and a $17-$18 mill day, and $60-$61 mill for the weekend?????
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Fri Jun 09, 2006 6:42 pm |
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xiayun
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:41 pm Posts: 25109 Location: San Mateo, CA
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Cars is certain to have a bit higher ratio than OTH since it's less kid-oriented, but it's not doing too bad. Still on pace for 1,200 and $15m. Even in the worst case, I don't see an opening weekend below $40m.
_________________Recent watched movies: American Hustle - B+ Inside Llewyn Davis - B Before Midnight - A 12 Years a Slave - A- The Hunger Games: Catching Fire - A- My thoughts on box office
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Fri Jun 09, 2006 6:44 pm |
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Webslinger
why so serious?
Joined: Tue Jun 06, 2006 11:24 pm Posts: 4110 Location: Stuck In A Moment I Can't Get Out Of
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Positive Jon wrote: Cars has almost passed OTH's final total of 648, so its hardly bad. (BTW, OTH was at 275 at this point).
If it performs as OTH did as far as the multiplying number of the current review count (or simpler: OTH- 648/275= about 2.36, Cars- 461 x 2.36), it should be able to do around $14 million Friday, a bit lower than expected.
Still, I think it will pick up.
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Fri Jun 09, 2006 6:45 pm |
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Jonathan
Begging Naked
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 12:07 pm Posts: 14737 Location: The Present (Duh)
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Webslinger wrote: Positive Jon wrote: Cars has almost passed OTH's final total of 648, so its hardly bad. (BTW, OTH was at 275 at this point). If it performs as OTH did as far as the multiplying number of the current review count (or simpler: OTH- 648/275= about 2.36, Cars- 461 x 2.36), it should be able to do around $14 million Friday, a bit lower than expected. Still, I think it will pick up.
No, that was the number at the same time as the last update. with 617 and the same pace as OTH, about $17.5M w/DP07's ratio and a little more then a $55M weekend, in line with our expectations.
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Fri Jun 09, 2006 6:48 pm |
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Eventine
Too Brilliant for Introductions
Joined: Sat Nov 05, 2005 12:45 am Posts: 3073
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xiayun wrote: Cars is certain to have a bit higher ratio than OTH since it's less kid-oriented, but it's not doing too bad. Still on pace for 1,200 and $15m. Even in the worst case, I don't see an opening weekend below $40m.
Anything under $40 million would be menacing, so that's not saying too much yet.
_________________
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Fri Jun 09, 2006 6:49 pm |
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xiayun
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:41 pm Posts: 25109 Location: San Mateo, CA
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Eventine wrote: xiayun wrote: Cars is certain to have a bit higher ratio than OTH since it's less kid-oriented, but it's not doing too bad. Still on pace for 1,200 and $15m. Even in the worst case, I don't see an opening weekend below $40m. Anything under $40 million would be menacing, so that's not saying too much yet.
Oh, I just meant to point out, by the end of the day, it may very well fall right in the middle between what DP predicted and $70m.
_________________Recent watched movies: American Hustle - B+ Inside Llewyn Davis - B Before Midnight - A 12 Years a Slave - A- The Hunger Games: Catching Fire - A- My thoughts on box office
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Fri Jun 09, 2006 6:51 pm |
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Webslinger
why so serious?
Joined: Tue Jun 06, 2006 11:24 pm Posts: 4110 Location: Stuck In A Moment I Can't Get Out Of
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Positive Jon wrote: Webslinger wrote: Positive Jon wrote: Cars has almost passed OTH's final total of 648, so its hardly bad. (BTW, OTH was at 275 at this point). If it performs as OTH did as far as the multiplying number of the current review count (or simpler: OTH- 648/275= about 2.36, Cars- 461 x 2.36), it should be able to do around $14 million Friday, a bit lower than expected. Still, I think it will pick up. No, that was the number at the same time as the last update. with 617 and the same pace as OTH, about $17.5M w/DP07's ratio and a little more then a $55M weekend, in line with our expectations.
For some reason, I didn't catch the 617.
Your projection for tonight sounds about right.
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Fri Jun 09, 2006 6:54 pm |
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Shack
Devil's Advocate
Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2005 2:30 am Posts: 40274
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I still think it'll have an excellent weekend multiplier, better than all the other Pixar flicks. There obviously isn't as much rush factor this time around, so I expect a lot of kids and so on will come out on Saturday. Plus, I some of the good WOM should spread.
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Fri Jun 09, 2006 6:55 pm |
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MikeQ.
The French Dutch Boy
Joined: Wed Oct 13, 2004 8:28 pm Posts: 10266 Location: Mordor, Middle Earth
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If DP07 ends up being right, I will fully congratulate him for sticking to his guns.
I hope for big numbers though, because one, I think Pixar creates top notch animated films and they should be rewarded or else shit that Disney or other studios come out with will reign, and two, I want the box office to be big for the sake of good box office.
Also, put me in the camp of "big weekend multiplier". Cars is one of Pixar's most kid oriented films yet after The Incredibles being more adult oriented and such (or so the marketing shows; the movie could very well be different). There will be a lot of kids seeing this movie. Ratio will be low, I think. I'm pretty encouraged that it has already passed Over the Hedge, or so someone said.
PEACE, Mike.
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Fri Jun 09, 2006 7:06 pm |
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MikeQ.
The French Dutch Boy
Joined: Wed Oct 13, 2004 8:28 pm Posts: 10266 Location: Mordor, Middle Earth
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Cars 694, +77, B+
The Omen 3419, 359 today, +46, C+
A Prairie Home Companion 0 (Not Active)
PEACE, Mike.
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Fri Jun 09, 2006 7:38 pm |
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xiayun
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:41 pm Posts: 25109 Location: San Mateo, CA
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Cars 735, +41, B+
The Omen 3446, 359 today, +27, C+
A Prairie Home Companion 0 (Not Active)
The pace for Cars has been fine. No real slow hours, and I'm pretty sure there is a big one lurking.
_________________Recent watched movies: American Hustle - B+ Inside Llewyn Davis - B Before Midnight - A 12 Years a Slave - A- The Hunger Games: Catching Fire - A- My thoughts on box office
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Fri Jun 09, 2006 8:38 pm |
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Libs
Sbil
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:38 pm Posts: 48677 Location: Arlington, VA
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xiayun wrote: Cars 735, +41, B+ The Omen 3446, 359 today, +27, C+ A Prairie Home Companion 0 (Not Active) The pace for Cars has been fine. No real slow hours, and I'm pretty sure there is a big one lurking.
Notfabio's crowd report pointed to 55-65, which would be lower than the last two Pixars, but certainly strong. I don't think there's anything to worry about, reallyu.
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Fri Jun 09, 2006 8:57 pm |
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Eventine
Too Brilliant for Introductions
Joined: Sat Nov 05, 2005 12:45 am Posts: 3073
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It could be lower than the last three Pixars. It's still solid, though.
_________________
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Fri Jun 09, 2006 9:03 pm |
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Excel
Superfreak
Joined: Sat Aug 20, 2005 12:54 am Posts: 22182 Location: Places
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whys it so low?
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Fri Jun 09, 2006 9:04 pm |
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notfabio
Harry Potter and the Half Blood Prince
Joined: Sat Jul 09, 2005 9:30 pm Posts: 437
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 Couple of reasons, most immediate, running time....
excel wrote: whys it so low?
Being 2 hours with the short means at least one less matinee show than your average animated film.
CGI animated fatigue is apparently a real factor to be considered from here out for non-sequels.
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Fri Jun 09, 2006 9:15 pm |
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Box
Extraordinary
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 12:52 am Posts: 25990
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Libs wrote: xiayun wrote: Cars 735, +41, B+ The Omen 3446, 359 today, +27, C+ A Prairie Home Companion 0 (Not Active) The pace for Cars has been fine. No real slow hours, and I'm pretty sure there is a big one lurking. Notfabio's crowd report pointed to 55-65, which would be lower than the last two Pixars, but certainly strong. I don't think there's anything to worry about, reallyu.
I agree. I've predicted $57-59m for it, and if it does $60m, I'll consider that excellent. The film is an extremely hard sell even with the Pixar label attached. Take it from an animation fan: the moment these films stray even a bit from the true-and-tried formulas (superheros, families, cutsie-stuff, no longer than 1.5 hrs in length, etc.), it becomes very difficult for them to register those high grosses. Cars, being mechanical, are too removed from children for them to feel a profound attachment to them. Toy cars, yes, but those are toys, which are intimate items, and form a coherent part of the children's world. Adults, too, will fondly remember their toys even as adults, whereas their attachment to their cars is on an entirely different, disenchanted level.
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Fri Jun 09, 2006 9:23 pm |
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