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Mesjarch
Cream of the Crop
Joined: Tue May 03, 2005 5:41 am Posts: 2388 Location: Poland
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How many more updates and what do you predict for X3 friday from those numbers?
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Sat May 27, 2006 2:38 am |
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DP07
The Thirteenth Floor
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:26 am Posts: 15497 Location: Everywhere
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Mesjarch wrote: How many more updates and what do you predict for X3 friday from those numbers?
One more. I think the ratio will be under 200 especially with the clogging. It's hard to say exactly, but anything over 41m would make sense to me. 44m-45m would be my best guess.
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Sat May 27, 2006 2:48 am |
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Mesjarch
Cream of the Crop
Joined: Tue May 03, 2005 5:41 am Posts: 2388 Location: Poland
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 45m would mean that Spiderman record could say byebye 
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Sat May 27, 2006 2:59 am |
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Chippy
KJ's Leading Pundit
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 4:45 pm Posts: 63026 Location: Tonight... YOU!
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$38 mil, MINIMUM
$45 mil, MAXIMUM
Methinks
_________________trixster wrote: shut the fuck up zwackerm, you're out of your fucking element trixster wrote: chippy is correct
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Sat May 27, 2006 3:02 am |
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MadGez
Dont Mess with the Gez
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 9:54 am Posts: 23266 Location: Melbourne Australia
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ChipMunky wrote: $38 mil, MINIMUM
$45 mil, MAXIMUM
Methinks
I presume they include midnight figures. So what would Saturday be like?
MIN - $37, MAX $44m??
Either way - some serious records could be broken!!
_________________
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Sat May 27, 2006 3:06 am |
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DP07
The Thirteenth Floor
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:26 am Posts: 15497 Location: Everywhere
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Mesjarch wrote: :blink: 45m would mean that Spiderman record could say byebye 
Yes, I think it's possible. The record would already have been broken 4 times though if everything opened on a Friday.
Last edited by DP07 on Sat May 27, 2006 3:10 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Sat May 27, 2006 3:08 am |
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DP07
The Thirteenth Floor
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:26 am Posts: 15497 Location: Everywhere
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I think it will drop 5%-15% on Sat.
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Sat May 27, 2006 3:09 am |
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Mesjarch
Cream of the Crop
Joined: Tue May 03, 2005 5:41 am Posts: 2388 Location: Poland
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It depends on midnights I think. If they are like over 10m then think that 12% drop could happen. If the previews are like 6-7m then I think it might drop somewhere around 5-6%. With 45m openning day it would mean like 40m saturday and 32-33m Sunday which would give 117 m 3-day
I think that 100 m 3-day is a 100% lock now.
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Sat May 27, 2006 3:18 am |
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DP07
The Thirteenth Floor
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:26 am Posts: 15497 Location: Everywhere
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Final:
X-Men: The Last Stand 7,784, +211, B+
Well, perhaps I should be conservative and say 41m, but I'll stay with 44.5m. 
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Sat May 27, 2006 3:46 am |
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zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm Posts: 36662
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I'll go with $39 million.
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Sat May 27, 2006 3:48 am |
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Shack
Devil's Advocate
Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2005 2:30 am Posts: 40275
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I'll say $38.1 million.
_________________Shack’s top 50 tv shows - viewtopic.php?f=8&t=90227
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Sat May 27, 2006 4:11 am |
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Archangel
Forum General
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 9998 Location: Australia
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Absolutely huge projections for X3 on opening day...I can't believe it can improve on X2 by this much. Insane, i'm so hoping for a $40m opening day.
Only 3 other movies have done so:
ROTS - $50,013,859
SM2 - $40,442,604
HP4 - $40,118,363
The crowd I saw it with yesterday was huge....it's probably the first movie where i've seen the audience laugh and be so in-tune with what's going on. All the jokes in the movie received huge applause and people were really having a good time..
I'm going to predict:
Fri - $40m
Sat - $34m
Sun - $30m
Mon - $21m
= $104m // $125m
Wohooo.... 
_________________ Im Archangel. Telin le thaed. Lasto beth nin, tolo dan nan galad.
I surrender who I've been for who you are Nothing makes me stronger than your fragile heart If I had only felt how it feels to be yours I would have known what I've been living for all along What I've been living for
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Sat May 27, 2006 4:18 am |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm Posts: 92093 Location: Bonn, Germany
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My projections:
$37-42 million
I go with $39.5 million
_________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
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Sat May 27, 2006 6:32 am |
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Levy
Golfaholic
Joined: Wed Jan 05, 2005 2:06 pm Posts: 16054
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My projection: Ratio of 225, 34.6 Million opening day
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Sat May 27, 2006 7:10 am |
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Rolling Thunder
Forum General
Joined: Fri Nov 19, 2004 12:11 pm Posts: 9148 Location: Kentucky Bluegrass
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The frontpage effect should push the ratio to about 200. I'm thinking a $38.5M Friday and a whopping 4-day total of $125M.
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Sat May 27, 2006 7:26 am |
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Anonymous
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Ratio 300, gross $26m.
It better do that!
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Sat May 27, 2006 8:22 am |
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Michael.
No Wire Tampons!
Joined: Sat Jan 08, 2005 12:27 am Posts: 23283
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Nebs is more on the mark. Don't see this doing more than $30m on friday.
_________________ I'm out.
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Sat May 27, 2006 8:31 am |
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neo_wolf
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Oct 17, 2004 10:19 pm Posts: 11029
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I say 42.5mill.
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Sat May 27, 2006 9:05 am |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm Posts: 92093 Location: Bonn, Germany
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Mike Pepsi wrote: Nebs is more on the mark. Don't see this doing more than $30m on friday.
Hehe
_________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
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Sat May 27, 2006 9:06 am |
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baumer72
Mod Team Leader
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 11:00 pm Posts: 7087 Location: Crystal Lake
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Although any number it ends up with is going to be huge, but if it does more than 35, thatis insane. This will surely break the 250 mark that BKB asked about.
_________________ Brick Tamland: Yeah, there were horses, and a man on fire, and I killed a guy with a trident.
Ron Burgundy: Brick, I've been meaning to talk to you about that. You should find yourself a safehouse or a relative close by. Lay low for a while, because you're probably wanted for murder.
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Sat May 27, 2006 9:24 am |
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Jonathan
Begging Naked
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 12:07 pm Posts: 14737 Location: The Present (Duh)
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Dr. Lecter wrote: Mike Pepsi wrote: Nebs is more on the mark. Don't see this doing more than $30m on friday. Hehe
He's just mad DVC wasn't able to do it.
But I do think DP is being very optimistic, the way he always is when a film has uber-blockbuster potential. Remember him saying $100M opening for DVC Saturday morning?
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Sat May 27, 2006 10:24 am |
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Rolling Thunder
Forum General
Joined: Fri Nov 19, 2004 12:11 pm Posts: 9148 Location: Kentucky Bluegrass
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Positive Jon wrote: Dr. Lecter wrote: Mike Pepsi wrote: Nebs is more on the mark. Don't see this doing more than $30m on friday. Hehe He's just mad DVC wasn't able to do it.  But I do think DP is being very optimistic, the way he always is when a film has uber-blockbuster potential. Remember him saying $100M opening for DVC Saturday morning?
He usually is optimistic. I do think it will get the $125M 4-day that he predicted, though, so he's far from being off his rocker. 
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Sat May 27, 2006 10:26 am |
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Rolling Thunder
Forum General
Joined: Fri Nov 19, 2004 12:11 pm Posts: 9148 Location: Kentucky Bluegrass
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X-Men's ratio was 175 - excellent job again, everyone! 
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Sat May 27, 2006 11:55 am |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm Posts: 92093 Location: Bonn, Germany
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DP07 wrote: Final: X-Men: The Last Stand 7,784, +211, B+ Well, perhaps I should be conservative and say 41m, but I'll stay with 44.5m. 
Excellent projection.
You dared, you won.
And seriously, those who projected below $35 million had it coming.
Never let personal bias influence your predictions.
_________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
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Sat May 27, 2006 11:56 am |
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BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm Posts: 25035 Location: Anchorage,Alaska
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Dr. Lecter wrote: DP07 wrote: Final: X-Men: The Last Stand 7,784, +211, B+ Well, perhaps I should be conservative and say 41m, but I'll stay with 44.5m.  Excellent projection. You dared, you won. And seriously, those who projected below $35 million had it coming. Never let personal bias influence your predictions.
no wonder my score for Da Vinci sucked  I got 61% with a 62m prediction for the 4-day.
_________________The Force Awakens
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Sat May 27, 2006 1:16 pm |
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