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choubachou
Indiana Jones IV
Joined: Thu Oct 21, 2004 1:13 pm Posts: 1796
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The Dark Shape wrote: That's fine, but it's not your group of fanatics who are going to make the film a hit -- that'll be Joe Six-Pack. Pirates of the Caribbean isn't Star Wars, it's Indiana Jones.
And Temple of Doom had the biggest opening of all time when it opened.
_________________ Best of 2014: 1- Apes 9.5/10 2- Noah 9.0/10 3- Lone Survivor 8.5/10 4- Captain America 8.0/10 5- 300: 8.0/10
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Tue May 23, 2006 9:29 pm |
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BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm Posts: 25035 Location: Anchorage,Alaska
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Zingaling wrote: Update.
Opening Weekend: $112 million ($28,000 PTA in 4,000 theaters) Domestic Total: $325 million
appalling legs, learn to predict 
_________________The Force Awakens
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Tue May 23, 2006 9:45 pm |
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BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm Posts: 25035 Location: Anchorage,Alaska
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Eventine wrote: Eventine wrote: Opening Weekend: $109 million Total: $387 million Multiplier: 3.6 Scratch that Opening Weekend: $121 million Total: $403 million Multiplier: 3.3 $400 million, baby! 
3.5+ multiplyer 
_________________The Force Awakens
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Tue May 23, 2006 9:48 pm |
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BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm Posts: 25035 Location: Anchorage,Alaska
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Magnus101 wrote: More extensive POTC2 breakdown
OD: 44m Sat: 41m (7% drop) Sun: 35m (15% drop) Mon: 17.5m(50% drop) Tues: 15.7m (11% drop) Wed: 14.1m (11% drop) Thurs: 13.4m (5% drop)
Opening week: 180.7m
Biggest Friday ever is coming. Could come close to biggest Sunday ever. Should break Tuesday record. Third highest opening week ever. Biggest OW ever.
Records shall fall.
good prediction, but its in need of a more garganuan opening 
_________________The Force Awakens
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Tue May 23, 2006 9:50 pm |
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batnanna
Da Bears
Joined: Thu May 04, 2006 2:15 am Posts: 2802 Location: Springfield, Missouri
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Magnus101 wrote: More extensive POTC2 breakdown
OD: 44m Sat: 41m (7% drop) Sun: 35m (15% drop) Mon: 17.5m(50% drop) Tues: 15.7m (11% drop) Wed: 14.1m (11% drop) Thurs: 13.4m (5% drop)
Opening week: 180.7m
Biggest Friday ever is coming. Could come close to biggest Sunday ever. Should break Tuesday record. Third highest opening week ever. Biggest OW ever.
Records shall fall.
I didn't look closely at that at first and thought where it said Opening weekend instead of week. Needless to say my jaw dropped. Then I realized it was week, not weekend. My heart started again.
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Tue May 23, 2006 9:51 pm |
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BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm Posts: 25035 Location: Anchorage,Alaska
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nanna banana521 wrote: jb007 wrote: nanna banana521 wrote: excel wrote: nice tv spot with ameircan idol tonight...nonew stuff...but it looks great as is. I saw that too! I say 117 opening weekend. 400+ total.  You must be related to BJ.   No, but he reminds me of myself so much that its scary. And I love him to death!  
_________________The Force Awakens
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Tue May 23, 2006 9:52 pm |
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BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm Posts: 25035 Location: Anchorage,Alaska
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BJs Prediction:
Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man's Chest
Opening Day: 58.03m
2nd Day: 54.90m -5%
Opening Wknd: 154.98m - Fri: 58.03m / Sat: 54.90m -5% / Sun: 42.05m -24%
4-Day: 175.12m - Mon: 20.14m -52%
5-Day: 193.12m - Tue: 18.00m -10%
6-Day: 208.18m - Wed: 15.06m -16%
Opening Wk: 220.98m - Thur: 12.80m -15%
2nd Wknd: 80.24m -48.5% - Fri: 24.00m +86% / Sat: 32.16m +34% / Sun: 24.08m -25%
11-Day: 313.16m - Mon: 12.04m -50%
12-Day: 324.58m - Tue: 11.42m -5%
13-Day: 335.43m - Wed: 10.85m -5%
2nd Wk: 345.61m - Thur: 10.18m -6%
3rd Wknd: 50.86m -36% - Fri: 14.76m +45% / Sat: 20.10m +36% / Sun: 16.00m -20%
Wk-1: 220.98m - Wknd: 154.98m | Total: 220.98m
Wk-2: 124.63m - Wknd: 80.24m | Total: 345.61m
Wk-3: 80.06m - Wknd: 50.86m | Total: 425.67m
Wk-4: 50.54m - Wknd: 30.52m | Total: 476.21m
Wk-5: 34.20m - Wknd: 20.12m | Total: 510.34m
Wk-6: 22.60m - Wknd: 14.06m | Total: 532.81m
Wk-7: 16.12m - Wknd: 10.12m | Total: 548.93m
Wk-8: 12.18m - Wknd: 8.10m | Total: 561.11m
Wk-9: 12.15m - Wknd: 8.15m - 4-Day-Wknd: 10.65m | Total: 573.26m
Wk-10: 5.62m - Wknd: 4.45m | Total: 578.88m
Wk-11: 3.38m - Wknd: 2.64m | Total: 582.26m
Wk-12: 2.00m - Wknd: 1.58m | Total: 584.26m
Wk-13: 1.26m - Wknd: .98m | Total: 585.52m
Wk-14: .74m - Wknd: .56m | Total: 586.26m
Wk-15: .40m - Wknd: .32m | Total: 586.66m
Wk-16: .62m - Wknd: .45m | Total: 587.28m
Wk-17: .48m - Wknd: .40m | Total: 587.76m
Wk-18: .26m - Wknd: .22m | Total: 588.02m
Wk-19: .16m - Wknd: .12m | Total: 588.18m
Wk-20: .12m - Wknd: .08m | Total: 588.30m
Money Made After Wk-20: ~.5m
Estimated Wks in theaters: 24
Days to 50m: 1-Days - 58.03m
Days to 100m: 2-Days - 102.93m
Days to 150m: 3-Days - 154.98m
Days to 200m: 6-Days - 208.18m
Days to 250m: 9-Days - 277.14m
Days to 300m: 10-Days - 301.22m
Days to 350m: 15-Days - 360.37m
Days to 400m: 18-Days - 404.12m
Days to 450m: 24-Days - 456.19m
Days to 500m: 32-Days - 500.04m
Days to 550m: 50-Days - 551.21m
Domestic Total: 588m
International Total: 612m
World Wide Total: 1,200b
Multiplyer: 3.80
_____________________________________
Bumping it up just to look at, speculate 
_________________The Force Awakens
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Tue May 23, 2006 9:55 pm |
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batnanna
Da Bears
Joined: Thu May 04, 2006 2:15 am Posts: 2802 Location: Springfield, Missouri
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BJ wrote: nanna banana521 wrote: jb007 wrote: nanna banana521 wrote: excel wrote: nice tv spot with ameircan idol tonight...nonew stuff...but it looks great as is. I saw that too! I say 117 opening weekend. 400+ total.  You must be related to BJ.   No, but he reminds me of myself so much that its scary. And I love him to death!  
I so sowwy! Did nanna embarass BJ?
OMG! I'm such a dummyhead! I have seen your Pirates predictions like a million times and it is like the best post ever and I didn't think to nominate it for best post at BOM! Can you ever forgive me BJ?
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Tue May 23, 2006 10:06 pm |
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BJ
Killing With Kindness
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:57 pm Posts: 25035 Location: Anchorage,Alaska
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nanna banana521 wrote: BJ wrote: nanna banana521 wrote: jb007 wrote: nanna banana521 wrote: excel wrote: nice tv spot with ameircan idol tonight...nonew stuff...but it looks great as is. I saw that too! I say 117 opening weekend. 400+ total.  You must be related to BJ.   No, but he reminds me of myself so much that its scary. And I love him to death!   I so sowwy! Did nanna embarass BJ? OMG! I'm such a dummyhead! I have seen your Pirates predictions like a million times and it is like the best post ever and I didn't think to nominate it for best post at BOM! Can you ever forgive me BJ?
Its all good
Its good to see you got plenty of noms at BOM  If I voted it would most definately be between you and Magnus for best poster there. 
_________________The Force Awakens
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Tue May 23, 2006 10:19 pm |
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batnanna
Da Bears
Joined: Thu May 04, 2006 2:15 am Posts: 2802 Location: Springfield, Missouri
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BJ wrote: Its all good Its good to see you got plenty of noms at BOM  If I voted it would most definately be between you and Magnus for best poster there. 
You can vote, and you should vote for Magnus. I ruin every thread. 
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Tue May 23, 2006 10:31 pm |
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Eventine
Too Brilliant for Introductions
Joined: Sat Nov 05, 2005 12:45 am Posts: 3073
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BJ wrote: Eventine wrote: Eventine wrote: Opening Weekend: $109 million Total: $387 million Multiplier: 3.6 Scratch that Opening Weekend: $121 million Total: $403 million Multiplier: 3.3 $400 million, baby!  3.5+ multiplyer 
Not quiet sold to it yet.
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Tue May 23, 2006 10:37 pm |
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batnanna
Da Bears
Joined: Thu May 04, 2006 2:15 am Posts: 2802 Location: Springfield, Missouri
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nanna banana521 wrote: BJ wrote: Its all good Its good to see you got plenty of noms at BOM  If I voted it would most definately be between you and Magnus for best poster there.  You can vote, and you should vote for Magnus. I ruin every thread. 
Forget I said that. Magnus isn't nominated for best poster. But he should be! 
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Tue May 23, 2006 10:44 pm |
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Excel
Superfreak
Joined: Sat Aug 20, 2005 12:54 am Posts: 22182 Location: Places
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records WILL fall...hype for thi swill INSANE! Top 2 of the weekend will combine over 160 million ALONE...
friday:46.9 million
saturday: 44.3 million
sunday:31.8 million
total:123 million
monday: 12.9 million -60%(dissapointment among crowd begins to set in. Word is its a good movie, but overall not as enjoyable as the first. for a lot of people, the ending ruins chances of repeats, while building hype for pirates 3)
tuesday: 10.3 million
wednesday-9.7 million
thursday: 10.1 million
opening week-166 million
2nd weekend: 57 million -53%
3rd weekend: 33 million-43%
total: 370 million u.s., over 700 ww.
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Tue May 23, 2006 10:51 pm |
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Eventine
Too Brilliant for Introductions
Joined: Sat Nov 05, 2005 12:45 am Posts: 3073
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excel wrote: monday: 12.9 million -60%(dissapointment among crowd begins to set in. Word is its a good movie, but overall not as enjoyable as the first. for a lot of people, the ending ruins chances of repeats, while building hype for pirates 3)
So that's assuming it disappoints the audiences. It's interesting to see how well it does if it doesn't disappoint and is as acclaimed, if not more laudable, than the first one.
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Wed May 24, 2006 1:34 am |
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Eventine
Too Brilliant for Introductions
Joined: Sat Nov 05, 2005 12:45 am Posts: 3073
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Eventine's Prediction:
I'm actually revising my predictions three time in one day...
Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man's Chest
Opening Day: 48.08m
2nd Day: 46.16m -4%
Opening Wknd: 130.24m - Fri: 48.08m / Sat: 46.16m -4% / Sun: 36.00m -22%
4-Day: 146.80m - Mon: 16.56m -54%
5-Day: 161.54m - Tue: 14.74m -11%
6-Day: 174.36m - Wed: 12.82m -13%
Opening Wk: 186.41m - Thur: 12.05m -6%
2nd Wknd: 74.10m -43.1% - Fri: 21.81m +81% / Sat: 29.88m +37% / Sun: 22.41m -25%
11-Day: 270.59m - Mon: 10.08m -55%
12-Day: 279.76m - Tue: 9.17m -9%
13-Day: 288.29m - Wed: 8.53m -7%
2nd Wk: 296.99m - Thur: 8.70m +2%
3rd Wknd: 40.10m -46% - Fri: 12.09m +39% / Sat: 15.48m +28% / Sun: 12.53m -19%
Wk-1: 186.41m - Wknd: 130.24m | Total: 186.41m
Wk-2: 110.58m - Wknd: 74.10m | Total: 296.99m
Wk-3: 64.14m - Wknd: 40.10m | Total: 361.13m
Wk-4: 40.41m - Wknd: 26.07m | Total: 401.54m
Wk-5: 24.48m - Wknd: 17.99m | Total: 426.02m
Wk-6: 17.38m - Wknd: 12.85m | Total: 443.40m
Wk-7: 12.69m - Wknd: 8.62m | Total: 456.09m
Wk-8: 8.76m - Wknd: 5.32m | Total: 464.85m
Wk-9: 7.45m - Wknd: 4.18m - 4-Day-Wknd: 5.44m | Total: 472.30m
Wk-10: 5.14m - Wknd: 2.84m | Total: 477.44m
Wk-11: 3.03m - Wknd: 1.77m | Total: 480.47m
Wk-12: 1.67m - Wknd: 1.32m | Total: 482.14m
Wk-13: 1.07m - Wknd: .83m | Total: 483.21m
Wk-14: .67m - Wknd: .49m | Total: 483.88m
Wk-15: .33m - Wknd: .23m | Total: 484.21m
Wk-16: .49m - Wknd: .36m | Total: 484.70m
Wk-17: .29m - Wknd: .21m | Total: 484.99m
Wk-18: .21m - Wknd: .14m | Total: 485.20m
Wk-19: .18m - Wknd: .12m | Total: 485.38m
Wk-20: .10m - Wknd: .07m | Total: 485.48m
Money Made After Wk-20: ~.3m
Estimated Wks in theaters: 25
Days to 50m: 2-Days - 58.03m
Days to 100m: 3-Days - 130.24m
Days to 150m: 5-Days - 161.54m
Days to 200m: 8-Days - 208.22m
Days to 250m: 10-Days - 260.51m
Days to 300m: 15-Days - 309.08m
Days to 350m: 19-Days - 351.15m
Days to 400m: 28-Days - 401.54m
Days to 450m: 44-Days - 451.09m
Domestic Total: 487m
International Total: 519m
World Wide Total: 1.006b
Multiplyer: 3.74
Yeah. I went up by $100 million from my original.
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Last edited by Eventine on Wed May 24, 2006 5:54 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Wed May 24, 2006 1:48 am |
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batnanna
Da Bears
Joined: Thu May 04, 2006 2:15 am Posts: 2802 Location: Springfield, Missouri
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Eventine wrote: Eventine's Prediction: I'm actually revising my predictions three time in one day... Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man's Chest Opening Day: 48.08m 2nd Day: 46.16m -4%Opening Wknd: 130.24m - Fri: 48.08m / Sat: 46.16m -4% / Sun: 36.00m -22%4-Day: 146.80m - Mon: 16.56m -54%5-Day: 161.54m - Tue: 14.74m -11%6-Day: 174.36m - Wed: 12.82m -13%Opening Wk: 186.41m - Thur: 12.05m -6%2nd Wknd: 74.10m -43.1% - Fri: 21.81m +81% / Sat: 29.88m +37% / Sun: 22.41m -25%11-Day: 270.59m - Mon: 10.08m -55%12-Day: 279.76m - Tue: 9.17m -9%13-Day: 288.29m - Wed: 8.53m -7%2nd Wk: 296.99m - Thur: 8.70m +2%3rd Wknd: 40.10m -46% - Fri: 12.09m +39% / Sat: 15.48m +28% / Sun: 12.53m -19%Wk-1: 186.41m - Wknd: 130.24m | Total: 186.41m Wk-2: 110.58m - Wknd: 74.10m | Total: 296.99m Wk-3: 64.14m - Wknd: 40.10m | Total: 361.13m Wk-4: 40.41m - Wknd: 26.07m | Total: 401.54m Wk-5: 24.48m - Wknd: 17.99m | Total: 426.02m Wk-6: 17.38m - Wknd: 12.85m | Total: 443.40m Wk-7: 12.69m - Wknd: 8.62m | Total: 456.09m Wk-8: 8.76m - Wknd: 5.32m | Total: 464.85m Wk-9: 7.45m - Wknd: 4.18m - 4-Day-Wknd: 5.44m | Total: 472.30m Wk-10: 5.14m - Wknd: 2.84m | Total: 477.44m Wk-11: 3.03m - Wknd: 1.77m | Total: 480.47m Wk-12: 1.67m - Wknd: 1.32m | Total: 482.14m Wk-13: 1.07m - Wknd: .83m | Total: 483.21m Wk-14: .67m - Wknd: .49m | Total: 483.88m Wk-15: .33m - Wknd: .23m | Total: 484.21m Wk-16: .49m - Wknd: .36m | Total: 484.70m Wk-17: .29m - Wknd: .21m | Total: 484.99m Wk-18: .21m - Wknd: .14m | Total: 485.20m Wk-19: .18m - Wknd: .12m | Total: 485.38m Wk-20: .10m - Wknd: .07m | Total: 485.48m Money Made After Wk-20: ~.3m Estimated Wks in theaters: 25 Days to 50m: 2-Days - 58.03m Days to 100m: 2-Days - 102.93m Days to 150m: 3-Days - 154.98m Days to 200m: 6-Days - 208.18m Days to 250m: 9-Days - 277.14m Days to 300m: 10-Days - 301.22m Days to 350m: 15-Days - 360.37m Days to 400m: 18-Days - 404.12m Days to 450m: 24-Days - 456.19m Domestic Total: 487m International Total: 519m World Wide Total: 1.006b Multiplyer: 3.74  Yeah. I went up by $100 million from my original.
BJ Junior! 
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Wed May 24, 2006 1:59 am |
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MadGez
Dont Mess with the Gez
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 9:54 am Posts: 23250 Location: Melbourne Australia
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I guess im struggling to predict this one as im not in the target demographic - age 13 to 21, mainly females. However, I just cant see these $400 and $500m totals.
Granted - I can see a huge opening. The first made $75m five day - so I can see this doing about $90-$100m 3 day. A $290-$320 final should result.
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http://worldofkj.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=2&t=85934
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Wed May 24, 2006 3:16 am |
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liesse00
Commander Coo Coo Bananas
Joined: Sat May 20, 2006 10:45 am Posts: 585 Location: North Central Illinois
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Holy Crap my theater is already taking preorders for Dead Mans Chest! If that doesn't tell how big people people think this is going to be I don't what does. They started taking preorders for Cars I think on the 19th this month and I thought that was early.
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Sun May 28, 2006 1:48 pm |
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Alex Y.
Top Poster
Joined: Fri Oct 15, 2004 4:47 pm Posts: 5812
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I'd consider this to be a big disappointment if it doesn't open to a better 3-day opening than X3.
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Sun May 28, 2006 11:53 pm |
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Amer
Indiana Jones IV
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 10:35 pm Posts: 1912 Location: Texas
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I think if this movie is not number one and does not make over 300 Million, it will be a dissapointment in my eyes. Im expecting great things. I just hope they are not only advertising this as "Jack Sparrow's Movie", even though he is one of my favorite characters ever. Almost a month away...!!
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Sun May 28, 2006 11:56 pm |
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Rev
Romosexual!
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 3:06 am Posts: 32578 Location: the last free city
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Disney will be happy it'll gross in 3 days what the first did in 5 (50% increase).
 As will the rest of you.
_________________ Is it 2028 yet?
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Mon May 29, 2006 12:19 am |
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Amer
Indiana Jones IV
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 10:35 pm Posts: 1912 Location: Texas
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Hey Rev, any 35 million weekend predictions on this one like DVC, or no?
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Mon May 29, 2006 12:32 am |
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Eventine
Too Brilliant for Introductions
Joined: Sat Nov 05, 2005 12:45 am Posts: 3073
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I haven't heard anyone talk about it yet so what do you all think its drop will be on its 2nd weekend?
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Wed May 31, 2006 12:42 am |
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Rev
Romosexual!
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 3:06 am Posts: 32578 Location: the last free city
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CptJackSparrow wrote: Hey Rev, any 35 million weekend predictions on this one like DVC, or no?
hell no
this should easily do between $75-$100m fri-sun.
_________________ Is it 2028 yet?
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Wed May 31, 2006 12:46 am |
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Eventine
Too Brilliant for Introductions
Joined: Sat Nov 05, 2005 12:45 am Posts: 3073
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Considering ROTS and HP 4 2nd weekends were holidays, I gotta say that Pirates matching it on a non-holiday weekend is pretty damn good.
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Wed May 31, 2006 12:50 am |
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