| Author |
Message |
|
neo_wolf
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Oct 17, 2004 10:19 pm
Posts: 11028
|
Its currently at 0% in RT, this will have very bad wom.
|
| Wed May 17, 2006 12:42 pm |
 
|
|
|
Heinrich Himmler
Cream of the Crop
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 5:17 pm
Posts: 2716
Location: Berlin, Germania
|
changing my prediction to 74/212
|
| Wed May 17, 2006 12:45 pm |
|
|
|
Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm
Posts: 92093
Location: Bonn, Germany
|
I don't see how it could open below $80 million actually.
_________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
|
| Wed May 17, 2006 12:48 pm |
|
|
|
Heinrich Himmler
Cream of the Crop
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 5:17 pm
Posts: 2716
Location: Berlin, Germania
|
28m friday, 26m saturday, 20m sunday? i think the bad wom will spread very fast.
|
| Wed May 17, 2006 12:51 pm |
|
|
|
Rolling Thunder
Forum General
Joined: Fri Nov 19, 2004 12:11 pm
Posts: 9148
Location: Kentucky Bluegrass
|
Joseba B-Loki wrote: 28m friday, 26m saturday, 20m sunday? i think the bad wom will spread very fast. It's rare for bad WOM to have an impact OW. Given the popularity of the book and the tremendous hype, WOM may actually have very little impact the first two weekends.
|
| Wed May 17, 2006 12:54 pm |
|
|
|
Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm
Posts: 92093
Location: Bonn, Germany
|
It is an adult movie, thus, no matter how bad the WoM is, it will rise on Saturday. Moreover, it's Friday WILL be above $30 million.
_________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
|
| Wed May 17, 2006 12:55 pm |
|
|
|
Heinrich Himmler
Cream of the Crop
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 5:17 pm
Posts: 2716
Location: Berlin, Germania
|
but isnt it, to a certain degree, a "fanboy" movie too, with a rush out factor on opening day?
|
| Wed May 17, 2006 1:01 pm |
|
|
|
xiayun
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:41 pm
Posts: 25109
Location: San Mateo, CA
|
There are no midnight showings or free advance screenings, so all the demands will come out on the weekend. I can't see it falling on Saturday. The frontloadedness caused by the fanbase will reflect on a smaller Saturday increase, but not a decrease altogether.
If the general consensus from the viewers is it's too wordy and boring, it can affect the repeat business of a 2.5-hour film and thus the leg, but there isn't much to stop a massive first 10-day gross.
_________________Recent watched movies: American Hustle - B+ Inside Llewyn Davis - B Before Midnight - A 12 Years a Slave - A- The Hunger Games: Catching Fire - A- My thoughts on box office
|
| Wed May 17, 2006 1:09 pm |
|
|
|
DP07
The Thirteenth Floor
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:26 am
Posts: 15497
Location: Everywhere
|
RT means nothing at the BO.
Nuff said.
|
| Wed May 17, 2006 2:48 pm |
|
|
|
zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm
Posts: 36662
|
I don't see under a 2.8x multiplier.
|
| Wed May 17, 2006 2:53 pm |
|
|
|
DP07
The Thirteenth Floor
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:26 am
Posts: 15497
Location: Everywhere
|
Dr. Lecter wrote: I'll change my prediction once more. I remain the same on the opening, but add a worse multiplier. This will be QUITE frontloaded and WoM won't carry it.
Opening weekend - $91.5 million
Total gross - $247 million You are kidding, right?
|
| Wed May 17, 2006 2:53 pm |
|
|
|
DP07
The Thirteenth Floor
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:26 am
Posts: 15497
Location: Everywhere
|
The overraction to the reviews reminds me of Man on Fire and National Treasure.
|
| Wed May 17, 2006 2:57 pm |
|
|
|
Snrub
Vagina Qwertyuiop
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 4:14 pm
Posts: 8767
Location: Great Living Standards
|
I've just realised I haven't made an official prediction yet.
$35-$45 million opening weekend.
$135 million total
|
| Wed May 17, 2006 2:58 pm |
|
|
|
DP07
The Thirteenth Floor
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:26 am
Posts: 15497
Location: Everywhere
|
Snrub wrote: I've just realised I haven't made an official prediction yet.
$35-$45 million opening weekend.
$135 million total That's your best one yet Snrub!
|
| Wed May 17, 2006 2:59 pm |
|
|
|
zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm
Posts: 36662
|
All the reviews have two things in common: Michael Caine is excellent and the film is good "entertainment." The latter should prevent a multiplier of less than 2.8, in my opinion. And, Memorial Day weekend will help it a lot.
|
| Wed May 17, 2006 3:02 pm |
|
|
|
trixster
loyalfromlondon
Joined: Wed Oct 13, 2004 6:31 pm
Posts: 19697
Location: ville-marie
|
Zingaling wrote: All the reviews have two things in common: Michael Caine is excellent and the film is good "entertainment." The latter should prevent a multiplier of less than 2.8, in my opinion. And, Memorial Day weekend will help it a lot. Michael Caine isn't in it. You're thinking of Ian McKellan.  _________________Magic Mike wrote: zwackerm wrote: If John Wick 2 even makes 30 million I will eat 1,000 shoes. Same. Algren wrote: I don't think. I predict.
|
| Wed May 17, 2006 3:02 pm |
|
|
|
Joker's Thug #3
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 2:36 am
Posts: 11130
Location: Waiting for the Dark Knight to kick my ass
|
Killuminati510 wrote: Some of you are INCREIBLY crazy. This looks like a great adult thriller and should be the big adult movie of the summer but it's not attracting anyon else. If it happens to be a really good movie it should be able to do over 200m because it's opening wont be that big, but 300m+ is never happening.
Im just gonna pretend that this movie will be great considering the talent involved and from what I saw from the trailer, so for now.....
Opening - 58m
Final - 205m Well doesnt look like it'll ge great wom, but still should be able to reach 200m, since the ow will be much bigger. _________________ "People always want to tear you down when you're on top, like Napoleon back in the Roman Empire" - Dirk Diggler
|
| Wed May 17, 2006 3:03 pm |
|
|
|
zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm
Posts: 36662
|
trixster wrote: Zingaling wrote: All the reviews have two things in common: Michael Caine is excellent and the film is good "entertainment." The latter should prevent a multiplier of less than 2.8, in my opinion. And, Memorial Day weekend will help it a lot. Michael Caine isn't in it. You're thinking of Ian McKellan. Yeah, yeah... I'm tired. 
|
| Wed May 17, 2006 3:03 pm |
|
|
|
Joker's Thug #3
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 2:36 am
Posts: 11130
Location: Waiting for the Dark Knight to kick my ass
|
trixster wrote: Zingaling wrote: All the reviews have two things in common: Michael Caine is excellent and the film is good "entertainment." The latter should prevent a multiplier of less than 2.8, in my opinion. And, Memorial Day weekend will help it a lot. Michael Caine isn't in it. You're thinking of Ian McKellan. They're all old and look the same, it's not his fault. _________________"People always want to tear you down when you're on top, like Napoleon back in the Roman Empire" - Dirk Diggler
|
| Wed May 17, 2006 3:03 pm |
|
|
|
Jonathan
Begging Naked
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 12:07 pm
Posts: 14737
Location: The Present (Duh)
|
Oh, fuck it:
Opening: 87.5
Total: 275.2 (3.15)
|
| Wed May 17, 2006 3:07 pm |
|
|
|
Snrub
Vagina Qwertyuiop
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 4:14 pm
Posts: 8767
Location: Great Living Standards
|
DP07 wrote: Snrub wrote: I've just realised I haven't made an official prediction yet.
$35-$45 million opening weekend.
$135 million total That's your best one yet Snrub! Thank you, thank you. I'm quite proud of it. Thinking of having it framed.
|
| Wed May 17, 2006 3:09 pm |
|
|
|
zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm
Posts: 36662
|
The film's score on Yahoo! is now up to 102. That's freakin' huge.
|
| Wed May 17, 2006 3:41 pm |
|
|
|
DP07
The Thirteenth Floor
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:26 am
Posts: 15497
Location: Everywhere
|
Zingaling wrote: The film's score on Yahoo! is now up to 102. That's freakin' huge. #9 overall.
|
| Wed May 17, 2006 3:43 pm |
|
|
|
Rod
Extra on the Ordinary
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:50 pm
Posts: 12821
|
Pearl Harbor like numbers.
Opening: $65 million
Total: $195 million
_________________ Best Actress 2008
|
| Wed May 17, 2006 3:57 pm |
|
|
|
baumer72
Mod Team Leader
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 11:00 pm
Posts: 7087
Location: Crystal Lake
|
I'm a little perplexed at anyone thinking this will make less than 200 mill.
_________________
Brick Tamland: Yeah, there were horses, and a man on fire, and I killed a guy with a trident.
Ron Burgundy: Brick, I've been meaning to talk to you about that. You should find yourself a safehouse or a relative close by. Lay low for a while, because you're probably wanted for murder.
|
| Wed May 17, 2006 4:09 pm |
|
|
