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 The Da Vinci Code prediction thread 

Do I have way to high of expectations for DVC
Total votes : 0

 The Da Vinci Code prediction thread 
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loyalfromlondon
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I'm upping mine to:

Opening Weekend: $83.5 million
Total Gross: $275 million

A slightly better opening and slightly better legs will secure $300 million for this.

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zwackerm wrote:
If John Wick 2 even makes 30 million I will eat 1,000 shoes.


Same.


Algren wrote:
I don't think. I predict. ;)


Tue May 16, 2006 2:13 pm
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Indiana Jones IV

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I'm finally jumping to the bandwagon as well:

75/260.


Tue May 16, 2006 2:15 pm
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Superfreak
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66.7/250.


Tue May 16, 2006 3:15 pm
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Squee

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58.2304 opening
220 total.

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Tue May 16, 2006 3:29 pm
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You must have big rats
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My new opening day prediction - $32.2 million

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Tue May 16, 2006 3:57 pm
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Extraordinary

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Zingaling wrote:
I'm catching up to Scott and DP07 on the yearly chart, despite the fact that I suck. :shades:


Wrong thread? :smile:

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Tue May 16, 2006 4:05 pm
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College Boy Z

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Yes. :oops:


Tue May 16, 2006 4:14 pm
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College Boy Z

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Oh, and I'll up my prediction a little bit...

Friday: $26.7 million
Saturday: $31.2 million (+17%)
Sunday: $22.1 million (-29%)

Opening Weekend: $80 million ($20,000 PTA in 4,000 theaters)
Domestic Total: $256 million (3.2x multiplier)


Tue May 16, 2006 4:27 pm
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Extraordinary

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Albino groups are against this film, now this movie is finished!

10/25mill total.

:biggrin:


Tue May 16, 2006 7:08 pm
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There is too much controversy for this film to fail. I was in that group that figured on a robust but not record setting opening. Now I am not too sure. I'm sitting on the fence right now and I think it could go anywhere from 80-100 for the weekend. I still think it will make just north of 300 as well. This is a bona fide hit for sure.

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Tue May 16, 2006 7:12 pm
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Extraordinary

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This movie could do $160 m and I'd still see it as a major success as it is an adult thriller opening in the summer. It could double that total, but like I've said before, this film has alot more room to breathe than say a film like Poseidon or Superman does...


Tue May 16, 2006 7:14 pm
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Extraordinary

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The reviews are bad from Cannes, but that isn't too surprising. They don't tend to like this type of film. But the book was always really really wordy, so that's probably not going to be a plus for the movie if Howard stuck very close to the book...


Tue May 16, 2006 10:26 pm
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College Boy Z

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I wouldn't take the Cannes reviews too seriously with predictions. They did say that it's good entertainment, and if that's true, it doesn't have to be a fantastic film to have a nice multiplier (around 3.0-3.4x).


Tue May 16, 2006 10:28 pm
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The Thirteenth Floor
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neo_wolf wrote:
Albino groups are against this film, now this movie is finished!

10/25mill total.

:biggrin:


Matinees/night opening day?


Tue May 16, 2006 10:38 pm
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Extraordinary

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It will have bad legs.


Tue May 16, 2006 11:05 pm
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Kypade
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Me prediction:

Open: Five million higher than the highest current prediction, so long as the highest current prediciton is at least 92mil.

Total: Fifteen million higher than the next highest 2006 film, so long as the next highest 2006 film makes at least 333m.


Wed May 17, 2006 2:08 am
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The Greatest Avenger EVER
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Post Re: The Da Vinci Code prediction thread
Magnus101 wrote:
I'm surprised there isn't a thread of this.

Plot(though most know it): A murder in the Louvre and clues in Da Vinci paintings lead to the discovery of a religious mystery protected by a secret society for two thousand years -- which could shake the foundations of Christianity.

Release date: May 19

Director: Ron Howard

Cast:
Tom Hanks
Audrey Tautou(most americans don't know her, but some may know her form Amelie)
Ian McKellan
Paul Bettany
Alfred Moina
Jean Reno

Website: http://www.sonypictures.com/movies/thedavincicode/

Teaser can be seen there. It was released in the summer, and has no like shots of the movie, just a guy with a deep voice saying some random stuff. Trailer will preimere with Kong.

I saw the first looks at ET and this looks to be amazing.

I have high hopes for this(VERY high hopes). Below is what i said in the BOM board.

This film will break 300m and it will take the summer crown.

Best release date.

Big actors.

Big director.

Based off of a popular book.

Contrvosey.

And it will be an amazing film.

The book has spawned soo many documenatires and special, and the thing is that many have not even read the book but know about it. And if you give a person a chance to read the book or watch the film first, they'll go to the film most of the times. And Sony, after a dissapointing year, is going to go full-swing to make this film huge. They will use the contrvosey too fuel it up.

People have been waiting for that new blockbuster. People are getting tired of sequels and remakes. While remakes and sequels are huge, people desire something new thats amazing. DVC is going to be it.

Oh, and last time Hanks/Howard teamed up for a summer flick: Apollo 13, which came 2nd in the summer and made about 250m adjusted.

OW range: 80m - 105m. Passion opend with a 5-day of 125m. I think DVC 3-day can be near 105m if it can create that simliar hype.

Total:
80-85m OW = 280m - 340m
85m - 90m OW = 300m - 360m
90m - 95m OW = 315m - 380m
95m - 100m OW = 330m - 400m
100m - 105m OW = 350m - 400m

Minimum multiplier of 3.5.

Max multiplier of 4.0

Crack the Code on May 19.


It's HYPERBOLE and after 17 Pages, I think your Expectations are too high.. That's what I voted..


Wed May 17, 2006 3:13 am
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Passion could have received awful reviews and people still would have flocked to it. In many ways, controversial films are immune to poor or disappointing reviews. Any way you cut it, this will be big this weekend, and all summer.


Wed May 17, 2006 7:31 am
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Extraordinary

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Dr. Lecter wrote:
Oh and my updated predictions:


Opening weekend - $91.5 million

Total gross - $269 million

This will be quite a franchise.

Franchise?

Don't tell me Brown is busy writing sequels a la Harry Potter...

:huh:


Wed May 17, 2006 7:53 am
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Cream of the Crop

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74m opening

230m total


Wed May 17, 2006 8:23 am
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bradley witherberry wrote:
Dr. Lecter wrote:
Oh and my updated predictions:


Opening weekend - $91.5 million

Total gross - $269 million

This will be quite a franchise.

Franchise?

Don't tell me Brown is busy writing sequels a la Harry Potter...

:huh:


Angels and Demons is another Robert Langdon book and Brown is currently writing a third one.

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Wed May 17, 2006 11:45 am
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I'll change my prediction once more. I remain the same on the opening, but add a worse multiplier. This will be QUITE frontloaded and WoM won't carry it.

Opening weekend - $91.5 million

Total gross - $247 million

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Wed May 17, 2006 11:46 am
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Multiplier will be more than 3.

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Brick Tamland: Yeah, there were horses, and a man on fire, and I killed a guy with a trident.
Ron Burgundy: Brick, I've been meaning to talk to you about that. You should find yourself a safehouse or a relative close by. Lay low for a while, because you're probably wanted for murder.


Wed May 17, 2006 11:53 am
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baumer72 wrote:
Multiplier will be more than 3.


Nah

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Wed May 17, 2006 11:55 am
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Dr. Lecter wrote:
baumer72 wrote:
Multiplier will be more than 3.


Nah


You're right....3.3. :shades:

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Brick Tamland: Yeah, there were horses, and a man on fire, and I killed a guy with a trident.
Ron Burgundy: Brick, I've been meaning to talk to you about that. You should find yourself a safehouse or a relative close by. Lay low for a while, because you're probably wanted for murder.


Wed May 17, 2006 11:58 am
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